Service Plays Sunday 9/19/10

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Craig Davis
30 Dime Play on the ATLANTA FALCONS minus the points over the Arizona Cardinals. This line is mostly at -6 1/2 for the Falcons but there are a few at -7. Buy the 1/2 point if your line is -7 or if it goes up to -7 1/2.


15 Dime Play on the CAROLINA PANTHERS minus the points at home over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Panthers are listed at -3 1/2 or -4 in most places. Buy the 1/2 point down in either case.

10 Dime, 3-team Teaser Play on the ATLANTA FALCONS, CAROLINA PANTHERS and DALLAS COWBOYS. Use a 3-team, 7-point teaser on this.
 

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Derek Mancini

40 Dime - Raiders over Rams. Oakland is currentlly between a 3 and 3 1/2 point favorite in this contest. Go ahead and buy down the 1/2 point on the Raiders if you get it at 3 1/2 or even 3.
 

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Matt Rivers

200,000♦ Teaser Winner on the ATLANTA FALCONS and SAN DIEGO CHARGERS. Using a standard 6-point teaser we are going to reduce the points we're laying with the Falcons and Chargers. Atlanta is listed as a -6 1/2 or -7 point home chalk while San Diego is listed at -7 across the board. Using the teaser the Falcons will be a -1/2 to -1 point home chalk and the Chargers will be a -1 point home chalk.



75,000♦ Winner on the GREEN BAY PACKERS minus the points at home over the Buffalo Bills. The Packers are listed at -13 almost universally across the board.
 
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Streaking and Slumping Pitchers

Streaking

Daniel Hudson (7-2, 2.58 ERA), Arizona Diamondbacks

Did anyone know Daniel Hudson was going to make an immediate impact when the D-Backs got him from the White Sox? All of a sudden, things don’t seem so bleak in the desert state.

Hudson has been beyond good since joining Arizona’s starting rotation. He’s stopped four-game losing streaks in each of his last two starts and he owns a 1.67 ERA since switching over to the National League.

"You're seeing a kid who knows how to pitch, too," interim manager Kirk Gibson told the Arizona Daily Star. "Especially when he got to the third time around, he changed it up a little bit. He's got a good understanding of what's going on out there."

The Diamondbacks are 4-0 in Hudson’s last four starts and 5-1 in his last six outings.


Slumping

Adam Wainwright (18-11, 2.50 ERA), St. Louis Cardinals

Hey, remember when the Cards were fighting for first place in NL Central and Adam Wainwright was a shoe-in for the NL Cy Young award? Hard to believe that was only six weeks ago.

The Red Birds are 1-5 in Wainwright’s last six starts and they were big faves in each of those games. Wainwright has given St. Louis backers just two quality starts since Aug. 18.


Returning

Andy Pettitte (11-2, 2.88 ERA), New York Yankees

This is a big deal for the Yankees. Their rotation heading into the playoffs is really iffy after C.C. Sabathia. Pettitte was enjoying one of his best seasons until he tweaked his groin in a start against the Rays back in mid July.

His return got delayed a few times so bettors should be careful backing him in his first start. This could be just an experiment to see if he’s a go or no-go for the postseason.
 
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Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets

Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox (-165, 8)

Injuries have all but killed the Red Sox this season, but J.D. Drew returned from nagging problems on Saturday.

"I feel a lot better today," MLB.com reported Drew as saying. "I'll go out there and run around a little bit, do my hitting group and stuff like that, but it's much better. It's just another day to let my hamstring catch up a little bit. My ankle feels pretty good. Everything is right on track." He ended up going 1-for-3 with a single and a walk in a win over the Blue Jays.

More good news for Boston is that Jon Lester is taking the mound on Sunday. The Red Sox are 39-12 in Lester’s last 51 home starts.

It is worth noting that Lester is about to join an elite group of lefties in Major League history. He is almost certain to match Randy Johnson, Sandy Koufax, Sam McDowell, Johan Santana, and Sid Fernandez as southpaws who have more than one season with at least nine strikeouts per nine innings. Lester, with 208 strikeouts in 190 innings, is on pace to lead the majors this season in that statistic.

Pick: Red Sox


Colorado Rockies at Los Angeles Dodgers (-130, 7)

The Rockies and Dodgers are going in opposite directions as the season comes to a close, and the series so far has been proof. Colorado is looking for the sweep on Sunday following a 12-2 blowout on Saturday.

The Rockies have won 13 of their last 15 games, are within one game of San Francisco and San Diego in the NL West, and are within 2.5 of the Braves in the Wild Card race. The Dodgers have dropped four in a row and are long gone from playoff contention.

Joe Torre has announced he is retiring on Friday so L.A. is also dealing with that distraction. Perhaps he has seen more than enough of Troy Tulowitzki, who hit two more home runs on Saturday. Tulowitzki now has 14 dingers in his last 15 games, tying the modern-day record shared by Albert Bell and Barry Bonds.

"I really don't have words to describe what we're seeing from Troy Tulowitzki," manager Jim Tracy told the Denver Post. "I mean, how do you describe 14 homers in 15 games? You know, it's one thing to be hot, and another to be in a zone like this guy is in. But he has that type of mentality. He loves this time of the year, and he's proven that going back to 2007."

Pick: Rockies
 
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MLB Dunkel


Milwaukee at San Francisco
The Brewers look to take advantage of a San Francisco team that is 0-6 in Barry Zito's last 6 starts. Milwaukee is the pick (+125) according to Dunkel, which has the Brewers favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+125). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 19

Game 901-902: Atlanta at NY Mets (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Lowe) 14.603; NY Mets (Dickey) 15.412
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 6
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-110); 7
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-110); Under

Game 903-904: Chicago Cubs at Florida (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Samardzija) 16.064; Florida (Miller) 14.531
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+100); Over

Game 905-906: Arizona at Pittsburgh (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Hudson) 13.935; Pittsburgh (Duke) 14.202
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Arizona (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+120); Over

Game 907-908: Washington at Philadelphia (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Maya) 14.445; Philadelphia (Blanton) 17.318
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 3; 9
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-200); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-200); Under

Game 909-910: Cincinnati at Houston (2:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Wood) 14.950; Houston (Myers) 14.291
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-115); 7
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-115); Under

Game 911-912: San Diego at St. Louis (2:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Garland) 14.507; St. Louis (Wainwright) 14.083
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-170); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+150); Over

Game 913-914: Milwaukee at San Francisco (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Narveson) 15.646; San Francisco (Zito) 15.253
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+125); Over

Game 915-916: Colorado at LA Dodgers (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Hammel) 14.333; LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 15.021
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-135); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-135); Under

Game 917-918: Toronto at Boston (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Marcum) 16.260; Boston (Lester) 15.098
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Boston (-170); 8
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+150); Under

Game 919-920: NY Yankees at Baltimore (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Pettitte) 16.481; Baltimore (Tillman) 15.433
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 10
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-180); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-180); Over

Game 921-922: LA Angels at Tampa Bay (1:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Kazmir) 15.329; Tampa Bay (Niemann) 16.372
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-175); 9
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-175); Under

Game 923-924: Detroit at Chicago White Sox (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Bonderman) 16.187; White Sox (Danks) 13.712
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 2 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-155); 9
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+135); Over

Game 925-926: Cleveland at Kansas City (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Tomlin) 15.511; Kansas City (Hochevar) 14.429
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+110); Under

Game 927-928: Oakland at Minnesota (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Cramer) 15.081; Minnesota (Liriano) 16.374
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-200); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-200); Over

Game 929-930: Texas at Seattle (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Hunter) 16.692; Seattle (Fister) 13.596
Dunkel Line: Texas by 3; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-140); Under
 
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DAVID BANKS
Sunday September 19, 2010


NFL
1:00 Ravens -2.5
1:00 Eagles -6.5
1:00 Bears +7
1:00 Dolphins +5.5
4:15 Chargers -7
4:15 Patriots -2.5
8:20 Colts -5
Over 48.5

MLB
4:05 Giants -142
 
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TOTALS 4 U

TOP PLAYS
Atlanta UNDER
NYG OVER

REGULAR PLAYS
KC UNDER
Cincy UNDER
Tenn OVER
TB UNDER
Oak OVER
Denver OVER
Wash UNDER
NE OVER
 
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VEGAS VIC

LIONS (+6) over Eagles
Humongous line move in this game from an open of Birds -3 to now -6. So the question is, are they betting on quarterback Michael Vick and his superb second-half performance against the Packers? Or is the public betting against Detroit backup QB Shaun Hill? Probably a mixture of both. What should have been Kevin Kolb against Matthew Stafford (and a line of Eagles -3) is now a battle of the backups. Gotta give the edge to Vick, but at plus-6, Double V's gonna roll with the home 'dog here. And speaking of home 'dogs, they did very well last week, covering five of seven, with a push on the Rams-Cards game if you bought it at plus-4. Home opener, plus six, with a new and improved defense is the winning ticket for Detroit. Especially with the Birds possibly losing linebacker Stewart Bradley to a concussion, as well as center Jamaal Jackson and fullback Leonard Walker going on the dreaded injured reserve list.

FALCONS (-6) over Cardinals

Atlanta didn't show too well on the road Sunday against the Steelers, losing, 15-9, but under coach Mike Smith, the Falcons have proved to be a much better squad at home. They have won 13 of 16 in Atlanta the last 2 years, with a respectable 11-5 mark against the spread. QB Matt Ryan owns a phenomenal 13-1 mark at home since taking over, and you know the joint will be rocking. In home openers under Smith, the Falcs whipped the Lions in 2008, 34-21, as a thtree-point underdog, and topped the Dolphins last season, 19-7, as a four-point favorite. Arizona barely squeezed past one of the worst teams in the NFL, St. Louis, 17-13, and if you watched wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald, you know he isn't close to 100 percent. And the last memory Atlanta has of the Cards is getting bounced from the 2008 playoffs in Arizona, 30-24. Did anyone say revenge? Double V says Best Bet!

VIKINGS (-5) over Dolphins

Kinda hard to buck perfection. Last season, Minnesota had a perfect 8-0 record at home, 9-0 if you count the 34-3 win over Dallas in the playoffs. Obviously, Brett Favre was a little rusty after missing almost all of the preseason, but the Vikes will have had 10 days between games, and he should be ready to go. And since Miami has only nine wins in the last 24 road outings, Vic is prepared to go purple to line my pockets with green.

RAIDERS (-3) over Rams

There was a ton of buzz around Oakland heading into Week 1, and the Raiders fell flat on their faces. Of course, it was against Tennessee and Chris Johnson, a team that is light years ahead of St. Louis. What do you actually get when the Rams come to town? You get an inept crew that has compiled a 4-20 record on the road the last 3 years and is rolling with a rookie QB. Perfect spot for the Silver & Black.

CHARGERS (-7) over Jaguars

Speaking of buzz, San Diego was tabbed by many of the experts as one of the three or four teams to represent the AFC on Super Bowl Sunday, so we're just throwing the opening-week loss right in the trash. The Lightning Bolts have been solid at home under Norv Turner, winning 20 of the last 27, while Jacksonville has been pathetic against the spread, covering only three of the last 13. Gotta ride the Bolts.

Patriots (-2) over JETS

These Jets just can't keep their mouths shut. Darrelle Revis thinks Randy Moss is a slouch. OK, whatever. He should be more concerned about his side of the ball without defensive tackle Kris ******* (knee) and LB Calvin Pace (foot). Brady by a TD.

49ERS (+5) over Saints

New Orleans had extra rest and is the defending Super Bowl champ. San Francisco looked horrible Sunday against Seattle. So, naturally, the Niners will cover as a big, fat home underdog.

Chiefs (+2) over BROWNS

This is the quintessential "who cares" game. Which means, don't you dare spend a dime on this goop.

Bills (+13) over PACKERS

This double-digits game is worth a light touch. But make sure you keep it light.

BENGALS (+3) over Ravens

Cincy beat Baltimore twice last year, and that was without T.O. Bengals should squeeze out another W.

TITANS (-5) over Steelers

Still can't wrap my head around Pittsburgh second-string QB Dennis Dixon.

COWBOYS (-7) over Bears

If Dallas wants to play at home in the Super Bowl, an 0-2 start would be a disaster.

PANTHERS (-3) over Buccaneers

With four wins in the last 21 outings, Tampa has no shot at the roses in this matchup.

BRONCOS (-3) over Seahawks

Seattle opened strong at home, but, on the road, the 'Hawks have covered only one of the last eight.

REDSKINS (+3) over Texans

Maybe Donovan McNabb is the answer to all of Washington's prayers.

Giants (+5) over COLTS

Taking Eli in the "Manning Bowl" since Indy lost safety Bob Sanders (biceps), one of its best on defense.
 

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ROYAL FLUSH SPORTS


Free Selection: 1 Dime New England Patriots-3
Free Selection: 1 Dime Houston Texans-3



(RFS Selections are Rated 1 Dime, 2 Dimes or 5 Dimes)
 
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CFL Dunkel


SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 19

Game 285-286: Winnipeg at Toronto (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 109.191; Toronto 107.438
Dunkel Line: Winnipeg by 2; 55
Vegas Line: Pick; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg; Over

Game 287-288: Edmonton at Montreal (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 103.171; Montreal 120.685
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 17 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Montreal by 12; 53
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-12); Under
 
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hilton consensus

Selection # of Times Selected
CLE -2 53
KC +2 32
GB -13 64
BUF +13 23
BAL -1.5 62
CIN +1.5 55
TEN -5 77
PIT +5 56
PHI -4.5 126
DET +4.5 18
DAL -8.5 33
CHI +8.5 55
CAR -4 31
TB +4 34
ATL -7 69
ARI +7 37
MIN -5.5 86
MIA +5.5 42
OAK -4 40
STL +4 40
DEN -3.5 49
SEA +3.5 26
HOU -2.5 77
WAS +2.5 54
SD -8 16
JAX +8 71
NE -1.5 153
NYJ +1.5 41
IND -5.5 29
NYG +5.5 69
NO -4.5 46
SF +4.5 61
 
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Canadian Bacon: Week 12 Analysis and predictions

Winnipeg Blue Bombers at Toronto Argonauts (-1, 51.5)

A game against Winnipeg is just what the doctor ordered for the slumping Argos. Toronto looks to snap its three-game losing streak against at home vs. the Blue Bombers.

But Winnipeg just knocked out off Saskatchewan with Steven Jyles taking snaps at QB. The Bombers will show up in Toronto playing with house money. They've got nothing to lose.

And it's not like the Argos are striking fear into opponents. All the good the Argos did at the start of the season seem like a distant memory now.

QB Cleo Lemon is multiplying mistakes and gaffes with every game. And RB Cory Boyd, who was so sensational earlier on, will not play after because of a concussion. Toronto will also be without OT Rob Murphy, DT Adriano Belli and possibly SB Jeremaine Copeland.

Pick: Winnipeg


Edmonton Eskimos at Montreal Alouettes (-12, 52.5)

If all goes according to the plan, QB Anthony Calvillo will be back behind center after missing two games because of a bruised sternum. The veteran pivot says he feels fine and will wear new shoulder pads that should provide better protection.

The swift and elusive Adrian McPherson showed last week he can be a bigger part of Montreal's offense with or without Calvillo on the field.

The Eskimos do have a new GM in Eric Tillman and you can bet some players will try to impress the new boss but the real immediate reinforcement might come from Fred Stamps, who's expected back after missing the last two games due to injury. Stamps was the easier the best receiver in the CFL in 2009.

To replace Arkee Whitlock and Chris Ciezki, the Eskimos will likely go to RB Daniel Porter; a former star from Louisiana Tech. Safety Elliott Richardson should also be back in the formation after missing nine games because of a wrist fracture.

Pick: Montreal
 

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