Service Plays Sunday 8/31/14

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Team to Watch - Utah State
By Bruce Marshall

It was fair to expect some drop-off last year at Utah State (2013 SU 9-5, ATS 9-5) after program reconstruction wizard Gary Andersen left Logan to succeed Bret Bielema at Wisconsin. After all, 11-2 football seasons happened about as often in the Cache Valley as Jay-Z and Beyonce' stop by for a visit. And the Aggies were going to be upgrading their conference affiliation as they joined the Mountain West after a decade-long stint in the disintegrating WAC.

But no one expected the floor to collapse beneath the Utags, either, as there was some continuity between the regimes of 2012 & '13 thanks to new HC Matt Wells, promoted from offensive coordinator. Some of the Andersen staff, and almost all of the terminology, also remained from 2012. And the roster returned 15 starters from a Potato Bowl-winning side.

What no one, including new HC Wells, was expecting was for star QB Chuckie Keeton, who had generated some fringe Heisman Trophy chatter entering last season, to go down with a knee injury in early October, or for USU to start three different QBs during the season. So when the smoke finally cleared and the Utags had pipped favored Boise State to win the Mountain half of the loop and then upset one-time BCS contender Northern Illinois in the Poinsettia Bowl, there was not much discussion about what sort of hands the program was in, post-Andersen. Utag AD Scott Barnes (once upon a time a hoops PF for some of Boyd Grant's better Fresno State teams in the early '80s) was impressed enough with Wells' work to offer his coach a contract extension after the season.

Now, it's time to talk about an encore in 2014. Only this time Wells will have to proceed with less than half as many returning starters (just seven) as he had a year ago. Fortunately for Wells, the electric Keeton is back in the fold. Better yet, just in case Keeton goes down again, Wells has an experienced pilot in reserve in soph Darrell Garretson, who eventually took over the QB chores last season and helped the offense to five single season school records while winning 6 of 7 starts, saving a campaign that was teetering at 3-4 in mid-October.

Which also begs the question how Utah State could nab two such ringers at QB, when other schools west of the Rockies, including several in the higher-profile Pac-12, can't seem to find one capable QB.

But as long as Keeton is fully recovered from his knee injury (which also kept him out of spring drills), he remains the focal point on the attack end. As he should; prior to the knee injury vs. BYU, Chuckie had completed 136 of 198 throws for 1388 YP and 18 TDs, to go along with just two interceptions, after passing for 3373 yards and 27 TDs last and adding another 619 yards and 8 rush TDs during a full season of work in 2012. Just in case Keeton isn't ready, or goes down again, Garretson is available in the bullpen after passing for 1444 yards and 10 TDs in half-a-season's worth of work in 2013.

The offensive returning starter number (three) deceives further when realizing it also doesn't include RB Joe Hill, who was playing with the first string and had gained 252 yards and almost 5 ypc before going down with his own knee injury last September. Hill will be ready in the fall, although Wells and co-o.c.'s Kevin McGiven and Luke Wells are legitimately concerned about Hill's durability, as his 5'11, 190-lb. frame is not designed for heavy-duty work as have been some other recent featured Aggie runners, including muscle-bound Robert Turbin, now a member of the Super Bowl champ Seahawks. Wells also moved some of this better athletes to WR positions in spring, hoping to find a complement for highlight-reel JoJo Nelson, a 5'7, 151-lb. electron who caught 59 passes a year ago and was the only player in the country last season to record multiple TDs via rushing (three), receiving (two), and returns (two punt returns). The kicking game appears in good hands (or feet, we suppose) with sr. PK Nick Diaz, who nailed 17 of 23 FG attempts a year ago.

Where the returning starter angle might cause concern is along the OL, as only one regular (the deceivingly-named LT Kevin Whimpey) returns from 2013. Wells, however, was encouraged with what he saw in spring work. "Our guys are talented," said Wells of his new-look OL. "They're just youthful and inexperienced." Still, MW sources indicate that replacing key C Tyler Larsen (in the Miami Dolphins' camp this summer) could be a tall order.

The real legacy left behind in Logan by Andersen was a defensive monster that was his creation and passed on to new d.c. Todd Orlando a year ago. The Orlando version of the 3-4 "D" posted similar impressive numbers, including top ten national rankings in scoring (7th at 17.1 ppg) and rushing (8th at 107 ypg). The returning starter number (four) for this platoon deceives as well, with several holdovers having rotated in and out of the lineup a year ago.

Still, there are some potential areas of concern, including up front, where DE B.J. Larsen is the only returning starter on the line, and the secondary, which graduated four starters. The D-backs still have an upper-class look about them however, with three seniors in the projected starter mix, with FS Brian Suite the most familiar with live action. The strength of the platoon again figures to be an active LB corps featuring a pair of All-MW selections, OLB Kyler Fackwell and ILB Zach Vigil.

For our purposes, especially noteworthy about the Ags has been their pointspread prowess, with both Andersen and Wells, covering 20 of 27 chances the past two seasons. Being hidden in Cache County is apparently preventing the oddsmakers from placing too much of a premium on this notorious overachiever vs. the number.

The 2014 schedule is fairly intriguing, with an opening game at Tennessee, a rare visit to Logan by an ACC school (Wake Forest), and trips to Arkansas State and BYU. The Utags also trek to Colorado State and Boise in MW Mountain showdowns, but miss what figures to be the top three teams (Fresno, Nevada, and San Diego State) from the Western half of the loop. Anything less than another bowl bid would be a major letdown, and a repeat of last fall's Mountain Division title (which the Utags won in 2013, essentially without Keeton) would come as no surprise.
 
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Week 3 Premier League betting preview: Spurs have found their mojo
By SOCCER AUTHORITY

Resident footy expert Soccer Authority takes a look at the fixture list for the third week of the Premier League season, where Manchester United will look to reverse a dismal start and table-toppers Tottenham Hotspur look to continue its excellent form.

Devil of a start

It’s game week three in the Premier League and there is one thing we can say for sure, ‘United will win’! A bold statement but you only have to think about what the reaction would be if Man United were held or beaten away to Burnley.

Having already lost to Swansea, they drew with Sunderland and were embarrassed by MK Dons in the League Cup. This painful situation for United will force all eyes on Turf Moor this weekend with the old cliché of ‘a must-win game’ serving more purpose than ever before.

There will be goals!

A couple of other games will draw a wide audience hoping to see goals. Champions Manchester City host Stoke and with their recent goal-scoring form and win over Liverpool, you can be sure that City will want to put on another show. Stevan Jovetic will want the goalrush to continue and Aguero will no doubt add more misery to a very lack luster Stoke.

Everton take on Chelsea this week in Goodison Park. Although the Toffees have not put many points on the board, they have played very well in their two previous games. They have an excellent way of opening other teams up and are also very effective on the break. Their defense is their weakness and this can be exploited by Chelsea. Chelsea have enough firepower to cause havoc here and will want to keep up their impressive form.

There will also be goals due in London this week with Liverpool traveling down to take on Tottenham. The Reds will be hurting from their defeat to City last week and will certainly have the ability to put a few goals past Spurs. Nevertheless, Spurs have found their mojo recently and with the home crowd behind them, they could make this a real contest.

Injury watch

- It is looking like Chelsea’s Diego Costa could face a number of weeks on the sideline with a hamstring injury. This is a real shame as the Premier League fans were really enjoying Costa’s link up play with Cesc Fabregas. A blow for Chelsea but they have so much in reserve that they should be able to maintain their form for the next few weeks.

- Arsenal striker Olivier Giroud has broken his tibia and has been ruled out for up to three to four months. This could be dangerous for Arsenal. They might be forced to move Alexis Sanchez into a more central role. Manager Arsene Wenger doesn’t have any plans to sign more players.

Swansea to continue their form

Swansea have really proven that they have grown as a Premier League club and they are here to stay! This week they host West Brom and should pick up maximum points on their home patch. Watch out for Wilfried Bony as this could be the perfect opportunity for him to get on the score sheet and show that last season was no fluke.
 
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EPL Best Bets - Week 3
By Toby Maxtone-Smith

The big game last weekend saw Manchester City put in a menacingly good performance as they dispatched Liverpool 3-1 at the Etihad Stadium. This was City at their rampant, attacking best. Every time they came forward you feared for Liverpool's defence, and the scoreline could have been higher. At present, City and Chelsea look comfortably the front-runners in the title race at this early stage.

The early leaders are, however, Tottenham. They beat QPR 4-0 in a fine display at White Hart Lane. Spurs were awful last season, but scraped sixth place and there is a new found optimism under Mauricio Pochettino. Otherwise there were wins for Chelsea, West Ham and Swansea.

Let's handicap Week 3.

The Banker: Newcastle United to beat Crystal Palace at 67/100

Newcastle have had a slightly underwhelming start to the season - they haven't scored yet and have only one point to their name, but they should get their campaign up and running with a home match against a Crystal Palace side in turmoil. Palace have just re-appointed Neil Warnock as their manager following Tony Pulis's shock departure on the eve of the new season. As much as he is a likeable and charismatic man, Warnock's Premier League record is poor.

If you take away the defensive solidity that Pulis gave them, the Palace side just looks Championship-standard. With off-field issues dominating events in South London, there has been little clear strategy in the transfer market. This disjointedness showed in the 3-1 home defeat to West Ham last weekend.

Newcastle's transfer business looks very good, with Remy Cabella, Siem de Jong and Daryl Janmaat all adding quality at reasonable prices.

The Solid Bet: Sunderland to beat Queens Park Rangers at 37/20

QPR have been pretty awful so far this season. They opened the season with an uninspiring 1-0 home defeat to Hull City, followed by a 4-0 thumping at Tottenham. And on Tuesday the West Londoners were knocked out of the League Cup by League 2 Burton Albion, 1-0. Three games, three defeats, no goals.

The most alarming thing about the loss at Tottenham was that they opted for a three-at-the-back formation. All three defenders, Richard Dunne, Steven Caulker and Rio Ferdinand, are very slow players and they were just carved apart by Pochettino's rampant Spurs. Harry Redknapp has never been the best at assembling defences, using the 'score more than the opposition' mantra. However his attack at QPR, the surely-departing Loic Remy aside, looks very ordinary. There is a sluggishness to the team, and even after a two year spell a few years ago, QPR still don't really look ready.

Sunderland were unlucky not to beat Manchester United at the weekend, and were excellent in a 3-0 win at Birmingham City in the League Cup. Their away form was decent under Gus Poyet and, on their day, they are a dangerous team going forward.

The Outsider: Burnley to beat Manchester United at 4/1

Manchester United's post-Ferguson nightmare got even worse on Tuesday as League 1 (English football's third tier) side MK Dons hammered United 4-0. United were a disgrace. It seems unbelievable that just 15 months ago they won their twentieth league title. Even with the additions of Angel Di Maria, Luke Shaw and Ander Herrera, there has still not been anywhere near enough rebuilding at the club. Painfully average players, such as Chris Smalling, Phil Jones, Anderson, Nani, Ashley Young and Antonio Valencia are still somehow at the club. Van Gaal's 3-5-2 experiment has been a disaster so far, and yet there seems no prospect of him dropping it soon.

Burnley are still pointless, but they have had a tough start and there have been encouraging signs among the losses. They gave Chelsea a good game first up, and troubled the Blues in the wide areas. Right-back Kieran Trippier and striker Danny Ings are their best players, and Turf Moor was something of a fortress last season. The Clarets lost only once there, and that was against league winners Leicester City, without their two best forwards.

The First Goalscorer: Mauro Zarate for West Ham United vs Southampton at 7/1

This match looks one of the hardest to call this weekend, but there is surely some value in Mauro Zarate, West Ham's new Argentinian striker, carrying on his good form from the Irons' 3-1 win over Palace last weekend. Zarate scored a lovely half-volley in that match and already looks like a great acquisition for the East Londoners.

He scored 18 in 28 for Buenos Aires-based Velez Sarsfield last year and knows English football a bit, having had a spell at Birmingham City in 200708. He has the pace to trouble a new-look Saints back-line and is worth a punt at the price.
 
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Oral-B USA 500 Preview
By Micah Roberts

It feels like forever since we’ve had a NASCAR Sprint Cup race on a 1.5-mile track, but the last time was only June 28 at Kentucky which was the fifth of 11 that will run on the season.

Only two races remain before the 10-race Chase starts and while there are some great races going on to see who will be among the final 16 drivers making it, the only thing that matters right now is who is going to win Sunday night at Atlanta Motor Speedway.

To get back into the mind frame of 1.5-mile racing, let’s check up on how the first five races on them went this season. The scoreboard so far reads: Penske Racing 3, everyone else 2. Brad Keselowski won at Las Vegas and Kentucky while Joey Logano won at Texas. Jeff Gordon won at Kansas and Jimmie Johnson took the checkers at Charlotte. Of those five tracks, Atlanta resembles its sister-track Texas the most.

Those four drivers, each with three wins a piece on the season, have been the big dogs all year. Dale Earnhardt Jr., also with three wins, is in that category as well with three top-5 finishes on the 1.5s this season. Kevin Harvick, with two wins on the season, finished second at both Kansas and Charlotte.

Last season at this time, we knew Joe Gibbs Racing drivers had the edge coming in as they had won four of the five previous 1.5-mile races prior to Atlanta. On race day, Kyle Busch continued that JGR run by winning at Atlanta. Chances are that we will see a similar scenario this week with the Penkse drivers being the two to beat

Last season, Logano finished second in this race. He comes in fresh off his Saturday night win at Bristol and should be primed to get his fourth win of the season this week.

Gordon is a five-time winner at Atlanta, the last coming in 2011. The first Cup start of his career came in 1992 at Atlanta, which ironically was the final race of Richard Petty’s great career. It was kind of like a NASCAR royalty torch being passed on.

In 2001, when Gordon only had three ATL wins, he finished 0.006 second behind rookie Kevin Harvick in the closest margin of victory in track history. That was a tumultuous time in NASCAR. Dale Earnhardt had just passed away and it was Harvick’s third career Cup start and he was taking over Earnhardt’s RCR ride.

Dale Earnhardt Inc. cars driven by Michael Waltrip and Steve Park won the first two Cup races of the season. Harvick won the fourth race at Atlanta and mixed between the odd supernational vibe is Gordon winning at Las Vegas in the third race of the season. Later on, Dale Jr. would win at Daytona in the ultimate tribute to his father. And then a few months later, Gordon would win his fourth and final season championship.

Adding to the lore of that era when Harvick began his career with such a splash is that he has not won at Atlanta since. He’s been ninth or better in six of his last seven Atlanta starts, but surprisingly no wins since 2001. Expect Harvick will be very good this week.

Top-5 Finish Prediction:

1) #22 Joey Logano (8/1)
2) #24 Jeff Gordon (8/1)
3) #2 Brad Keselowski (8/1)
4) #4 Kevin Harvick (7/1)
5) #88 Dale Earnhardt Jr. (8/1)
 
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Bettors split between Liverpool-Tottenham
By JUSTIN HARTLING

Though it is early in the Premier League season, Liverpool and Tottenham will go head-to-head in a huge match Sunday. Tottenham, who is currently second in this young season, are 2-0-0 and have yet to allow a single goal against. Liverpool will be looking to get on the right side of things with a 1-0-1 record.

With the game looking so tight, bettors have been divided. In spread betting Liverpool is seeing an ever so slight 51 percent backing advantage according to a Spokesperson from Pinnacle Sports. 1X2 betting has seen bettors are taking a slight lean towards Liverpool with the team seeing 37 percent of backing, Tottenham 24 percent and the draw seeing 39 percent.

Total betting is much more one-sided with the over seeing 78 percent.
 
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Utah State solid ATS vs. SEC competition
Stephen Campbell

The Utah State Aggies have had no problem covering for bettors against SEC competition recently, going 4-1 ATS in their last five games versus the conference.

The Aggies open their season against another SEC school - the Tennessee Volunteers - in Knoxville Sunday. Tennessee is currently a -5.5 fave with an Over/Under of 51.5.
 
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Indians, Royals clash

Cleveland (69-64) at Oakland (74-60)

First pitch: Sunday, 8:05 p.m. ET

Line and Total: Kansas City -160 Cleveland +140, Total: 9

The Cleveland Indians look to inch back into the race for the final Wild Card spot in the American League as the Royals try to continue a bid at winning the AL Central division for the first time since 1985.

Cleveland has not really been able to find their groove this year and still sit four games out of the final Wild Card spot coming into this series. They have been turning it around of late, though, with victories in eight of their last 12 contests while winning or tying each of their last six series. To start the week, they defeated the White Sox over a three-game set, capping it off with a 3-2 win in Thursday’s rubber-match. OF Michael Bourn (.272) was a huge asset in the game, going 3-for-5 with two triples and a run while coming into Friday with a five game hitting streak in which he is 9-for-22 (.409) with three extra-base hits, two RBI and three runs.

Kansas City has taken the league by storm and with a record of 26-9 (.743) since July 22nd, have grabbed a 1.5-game lead over the Tigers coming into the series. They were able to take 2-of-3 against the Twins earlier this week, allowing just two runs over the first couple of games, but failed to get the sweep after a big 11-5 loss in 10 innings on Thursday. OF Alex Gordon (.282) did have a homer in the contest and has four long balls in his last eight games.

Two young guns will be on the bump for this matchup as 24-year old LHP T.J. House (2-3, 4.18 ERA) goes head-to-head with 25-year old LHP Danny Duffy (8-11, 2.47 ERA) of the host Royals. The road has not been kind to the Indians as they are a woeful 29-39 (.426) after Thursday while Kansas City is a solid 35-30 (.538) in front of their fans.

Overall in the past three seasons, the Royals hold a 26-24 edge against their division rivals and have pulled out five victories in six tries against them at home this year. Amazingly, 32 of their 47 games in the past three years have gone over the total; including 8-of-13 in 2014. In their last series, the teams combined for 11 homers in four contests as Kansas City won three times.

T.J. House has been a solid option for the big league club this year as they search for consistent starters. He has never been a top prospect in the minors, but has always showed consistency. In his 14 games (13 starts) with the Indians, House has been unlucky with batters hitting .344 BABIP as he has allowed 1.01 homers per nine innings. His 6.7 K/9 are decent, but he can by no means be considered a strikeout pitcher. Cleveland is 7-3 in House’s last 10 starts, but he has been able to go six plus innings just three times over those outings. He wasn’t able to get out of the fifth inning against the White Sox in his last start (August 26th) as he gave up five runs on seven hits while striking out four batters (1 walk).

He earned a win against the Royals in his only time facing them while allowing three runs on nine hits with three strikeouts (0 walks). DH Billy Butler is the only player on Kansas City who has multiple hits against House (2-for-3) while OF Lorenzo Cain is the only person with an extra-base hit (1-for-3, 1 double). Meanwhile, SS Alcides Escobar was 0-for-3 in the matchup with a strikeout.

Cleveland’s bullpen has been phenomenal and is 30-17 (.638) with a 2.79 ERA (1.18 WHIP) while successfully converting 32-of-48 (67%) saves coming into this series. Cody Allen (1.71 ERA, 18 saves) has been phenomenal in the closers role and has struck out 12.0 batters per nine innings while going 18-for-19 (95%) in his save chances.

Danny Duffy is finally living up to his potential and ranks third in the AL with his 2.47 ERA while putting up a tremendous 1.07 WHIP (6th in AL). The youngster has lost some of his strikeout ability (6.8 K/9 in 2014) as he attempts to harness his control but has seen his walk rate (3.1 BB/9) drop more than two walks per nine since last year. He has been very lucky, though, as batters are hitting an extremely low .231 BABIP on the season, but he has given up a mere 10 homers in 134.2 innings (0.67 HR/9). The Royals have come away victors in six of Duffy’s last seven starts as he has given up one or fewer runs in five of those games.

He’s faced the Indians five times (4 starts) in his career while going 1-1 with a 3.55 ERA (1.38 WHIP) and has had 28 strikeouts in 25.1 IP. OF Michael Brantley (4-for-10, 1 RBI) and 1B Carlos Santana (5-for-13, 1 HR, 2 RBI) have seen the ball well out of Duffy’s hands while 3B Lonnie Chisenhall and OF David Murphy are hitless between them in eight at-bats with four strikeouts.

Coming into this series, the Royals’ bullpen is 24-13 (.649) with a 3.50 ERA (1.27 WHIP) and are an amazing 42-for-51 (82%) in saves. They have not done as well at home, though, with a bloated 4.33 ERA (1.38 WHIP). Greg Holland (1.72 ERA, 40 saves) is one of the elite closers in baseball and has blown a meager two saves on the year while striking out 12.6 batters per nine innings.
 
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Phillies, Burnett not coming through for backers
Stephen Campbell

It's been a tough year for the Philadelphia Phillies, but wins have been especially hard to come by with A.J. Burnett on the mound.

The Phils are an ugly 1-7 in Burnett's last eight outings, and he'll get the nod again Sunday when the Phillies face off against the New York Mets at Citi Field. Dillon Gee will start for New York.

The Mets are currently -127 faves with a total of seven.
 
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Under trending in Twins-Orioles recent matchups
Stephen Campbell

When the Baltimore Orioles and the Minnesota Twins have gotten together recently, low totals have been the story. The Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings between the two clubs through Saturday.

They'll renew acquaintances in Maryland Sunday. The O's are presently -170 faves with an O/U of 8.5.
 
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Blue Jays struggling behind Happ
Stephen Campbell

The Toronto Blue Jays have been ice cold with J.A. Happ on the mound, dropping all five of his last starts.

He'll get the ball once again when the Jays host the New York Yankees at Rogers Centre Sunday. Brandon McCarthy counters on the bump for the Yanks.

Sportsbooks currently have the Yankees as -120 road faves with a total of 8.5 for the AL East matchup.
 
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MLB

National League
Reds-Pirates
Cueto is 0-2, 6.35 in his last two starts.
Liriano is 0-3, 5.09 in his last four starts.

Cincinnati lost their last seven road games.
Pirates won seven of their last nine games.

Over is 5-2 in last seven Cincinnati road games.

Phillies-Mets
Burnett is 1-5, 7.29 in his last six starts.
Gee is 1-2, 4.66 in his last three starts.

Phillies won seven of their last nine games.
Mets lost eight of their last twelve games.

Under is 3-1-1 in last five New York games.

Marlins-Braves
Eovaldi is 0-3, 9.42 in his last three starts.
Wood is 3-0, 1.76 in his last four starts.

Marlins lost five of their last seven games.
Atlanta won five of its last seven home games.

Under is 5-1-2 in last eight Atlanta games.

Cubs-Cardinals
Wood is 1-2, 3.09 in his last four starts.
Lackey is 1-0, 3.15 in his last three starts.

Cubs won nine of their last fourteen games.
St Louis lost five of its last seven games.

Five of last seven St Louis games stayed under the total.

Rockies-Diamondbacks
de la Rosa is 2-1, 3.15 in his last three starts.
Anderson is 0-2, 9.69 in his last three starts.

Rockies lost four of their last five games.
Arizona lost ten of its last thirteen games.

Seven of last eight Colorado games stayed under total.

Dodgers-Padres
Ryu was 4-1, 2.33 in his last six starts before going on DL.
Stults is 3-1, 2.70 in his last five starts.

Dodgers lost three of their last five games.
San Diego won five of its last six games.

Last four San Diego games stayed under total.

Brewers-Giants
Lohse is 1-3, 6.12 in his last five starts.
Bumgarner is 3-1, 1.80 in his last five starts.

Milwaukee lost seven of its last nine games.
Giants won their last five games, allowing nine runs.

Five of last six San Francisco games stayed under total.

American League
Twins-Orioles
Nolasco is 0-3, 6.23 in his last four starts.
Chen is 1-0, 2.79 in his last three starts.

Minnesota lost ten of its last fourteen games.
Orioles won seven of their last eight home games.

Six of last nine Minnesota games went over total.

Bronx-Blue Jays
McCarthy is 1-3, 3.54 in his last four starts; Bronx scored five runs in those four games.
Happ is 0-4, 4.45 in his last five starts.

Bronx won seven of its last ten games.
Blue Jays lost four of their last six games.

Under is 10-4-1 in last fifteen Bronx games.

Red Sox-Rays
Buchholz is 0-3, 6.55 in his last seven starts.
Cobb is 7-0, 1.74 in his last eleven starts.

Red Sox lost ten of their last thirteen games.
Tampa Bay lost nine of its last fourteen games.

Six of last eight Tampa Bay home games stayed under total.

Rangers-Astros
Martinez iz 2-4, 6.61 in his last six starts.
Keuchel is 0-2, 4.18 in his last four starts.

Texas is 7-6 in its last thirteen road games.
Astros lost six of their last ten home games.

Five of last seven Texas games stayed under total.

Tigers-White Sox
Porcello is 2-0, 1.06 in his last couple starts.
Quintana is 0-3, 6.94 in his last four starts.

Detroit won six of its last eight games.
White Sox lost ten of their last twelve games.

Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Porcello starts.

Indians-Royals
House is 2-1, 3.33 in his last five starts.
Duffy is 4-1, 2.91 in his last seven starts.

Cleveland won 13 of its last 18 games.
Royals lost five of their last seven games.

14 of last 17 Cleveland games stayed under total.

A's-Angels
Kazmir is 2-3, 6.28 in his last five starts.
Shoemaker is 5-1, 1.64 in his last six starts.

Oakland lost 11 of its last 14 road games.
Angels won 14 of their last 18 games.

Under is 13-4 in last seventeen Angel games.

Interleague games
Nationals-Mariners
Roark is 1-1, 2.10 in his last four starts.
Iwakuma is 3-0, 2.25 in his last four starts.

Nationals won 14 of their last 18 games.
Seattle lost four of its last five home games.

Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Washington games.

Teams' record when this starting pitcher starts:
-- Burnett 11-17; Gee 7-10
-- Cueto 17-11; Liriano 10-13
-- Wood 14-13; Lackey 12-9/4-1
-- Lohse 17-9; Bumgarner 16-12
-- Ryu 14-9; Stults 10-16
-- de la Rosa 15-11; Anderson 9-8
-- Eovaldi 10-17; Wood 8-11

-- McCarthy 4-14/6-3; Happ 10-10
-- Nolasco 10-15; Chen 16-9
-- Buchholz 8-14; Cobb 10-11
-- House 8-5; Duffy 11-10
-- Porcello 16-9; Quintana 9-18 (0-5 last 5)
-- Martinez 6-12; Keuchel 13-12
-- Kazmir 18-8; Shoemaker 12-4

-- Roark 15-11; Iwakuma 14-8

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Burnett 9-28; Gee 4-17
-- Cueto 6-28 (4 of last 6); Liriano 7-23
-- Wood 7-27; Lackey 6-26
-- Lohse 10-26; Bumgarner 7-28
-- Ryu 2-23; Stults 10-26
-- de la Rosa 9-26; Anderson 4-16
-- Eovaldi 11-28; Wood 6-19

-- McCarthy 6-27; Happ 3-20
-- Nolasco 10-25; Chen 9-25 (3 of last 4)
-- Buchholz 8-22; Cobb 4-21
-- House 5-13; Duffy 4-21
-- Porcello 9-25; Quintana 6-27
-- Martinez 7-18; Keuchel 6-25
-- Kazmir 4-26; Shoemaker 1-16

-- Roark 4-26; Iwakuma 5-22

Umpires
-- Chi-StL-- Over is 14-1-1 in last sixteen Morales games.
-- Cin-Pitt-- Last ten Reynolds games stayed under.
-- Mia-Atl-- Four of last five HGibson games went over.
-- Phil-NY-- Favorites won last seven Kulpa games.
-- Col-Az-- Under is 10-4-1 in Marquez games this season.
-- LA-SD-- Seven of last ten Fagan games went over total.
-- Mil-SF-- Nine of last twelve Hamari games went over.

-- NY-Tor-- Favorites won last five Fairchild games.
-- Det-Chi-- Seven of last ten Diaz games went over.
-- Min-Balt-- Last six Muchlinski games stayed under.
-- Bos-TB-- Over is 6-3-1 in last ten Estabrook games.
-- Cle-KC-- Over is 6-1-1 in last eight Emmel games.
-- Tex-Hst-- Under is 12-3-1 in Randazzo games this year.
-- A's-LA-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five Davis games.

-- Wsh-Sea-- Home side won last five Joyce games.
 
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MLB

'Tigers Claw Pale Hose'

The closing matchup of a four game series between Detroit Tigers and Chicago White Sox is today’s baseball betting focus. The pitching matchup here is one in which bettors are probably going to rush to the window to make a play on Detroit. Rick Porcello is the starter for Tigers. He has a 3.06 ERA and has been a very steady member of the quality starting rotation posting an 15-8 mark over 25 starts with a 16-9 team start record. The troops from Mo-Town should feel pretty good about their starter in this game. Porcello in fine form tossing 17.0 innings of 2 run ball in a pair of winning efforts heads to the hill with a sparkling 12-2 TSR vs Pale Hose including 6-2 last eight trips to the South Side of Chicago. For White Sox, the starter is Jose Quintana carrying a 6-10 record 3.48 ERA. The southpaw lasting just 5 innings giving up 9 hits 6 runs in a loss vs Cleveland is winless in five trips to the mound giving up 19 runs over the span (0-5 TSR).
 
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Hondo

Hondo’s laboring

Hondo’s deficit continued to seek its own level Saturday as it grew to 1,550 gilliams as a result of his setback with the Reds in Pittsburgh.

Sunday: Mr. Aitch will chill and grill with McCarthy — 10 units on the Yankees. Also, he will keep it Ryu with a 10-unit play on the Dodgers.
 
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[h=1]Today's MLB Picks[/h][h=2]Cleveland at Kansas City[/h]After dropping the first two games of their series wit the Indians, the Royals look to bounce back and come into today's contest with a 14-2 record in Danny Duffy's last 16 starts as a favorite. Kansas City is the pick (-165) according to Dunkel, which has the Royals favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-165). Here are all of today's MLB picks.
SUNDAY, AUGUST 31
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST
Game 951-952: Philadelphia at NY Mets (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Burnett) 14.262; NY Mets (Gee) 15.477
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 8
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-125); 7
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-125); Over
Game 953-954: Cincinnati at Pittsburgh (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Cueto) 16.155; Pittsburgh (Liriano) 14.679
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-130); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+110); Under
Game 955-956: Chicago Cubs at St. Louis (2:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Wood) 15.847; St. Louis (Lackey) 14.811
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 9
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-170); 8
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+150); Over
Game 957-958: Milwaukee at San Francisco (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Lohse) 14.310; San Francisco (Bumgarner) 16.257
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 2; 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-150); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-150); Under
Game 959-960: LA Dodgers at San Diego (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Ryu) 15.805; San Diego (Stults) 14.133
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-145); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-145); Under
Game 961-962: Colorado at Arizona (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (De La Rosa) 14.739; Arizona (Anderson) 13.832
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Arizona (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+100); Over
Game 963-964: Miami at Atlanta (5:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Eovaldi) 16.104; Atlanta (Wood) 14.900
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-165); 7
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+145); Over
Game 965-966: NY Yankees at Toronto (1:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (McCarthy) 15.893; Toronto (Happ) 14.351
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-120); Under
Game 967-968: Minnesota at Baltimore (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Nolasco) 14.765; Baltimore (Chen) 16.014
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2;
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-175); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-175); Under
Game 969-970: Boston at Tampa Bay (1:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Buchholz) 15.780; Tampa Bay (Cobb) 14.849
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-160); 7
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+140); Over
Game 971-972: Cleveland at Kansas City (8:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (House) 14.734; Kansas City (Duffy) 16.460
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-165); 8
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-165); Under
Game 973-974: Detroit at Chicago White Sox (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Porcello) 15.100; White Sox (Quintana) 16.015
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 2; 8
Vegas Line: Detroit (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+100); Over
Game 975-976: Texas at Houston (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Martinez) 15.155; Houston (Keuchel) 14.271
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Houston (-160); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+140); Over
Game 977-978: Oakland at LA Angels (3:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Kazmir) 14.424; LA Angels (Shoemaker) 15.937
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-120); Under
Game 979-980: Washington at Seattle (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Roark) 16.092; Seattle (Iwakuma) 14.618
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Seattle (-150); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+130); Over
 
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[h=1]NCAA Football Game Picks[/h][h=2]SMU at Baylor[/h]The Bears open up their season against the Mustangs and come into the contest with a 4-0 ATS record in the last 4 meetings between the two teams. Baylor is the pick (-32 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Bears favored by 36. Dunkel Pick: Baylor (-32 1/2). Here are all of this week's games.
SUNDAY, AUGUST 31
Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST (8/25)
Game 205-206: Utah State at Tennessee (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 96.112; Tennessee 89.997
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 6; 47
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 6 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (+6 1/2); Under
Game 207-208: SMU at Baylor (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SMU 79.813; Baylor 115.745
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 36; 70
Vegas Line: Baylor by 32 1/2; 75
Dunkel Pick: Baylor (-32 1/2); Under
OTHER GAMES:
Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST (8/25)
Alabama A&M vs. North Carolina A&T (11:45 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama A&M 40.879; North Carolina A&T 53.542
Dunkel Line: North Carolina A&T by 12 1/2
Texas Southern vs. Prairie View A&M (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas Southern 30.216; Prairie View A&M 42.583
Dunkel Line: Prairie View A&M by 12 1/2
 

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Totals 4 You "Total Domination" for Sunday, August 31st

August's College Football Primetime Super Total of the Month!!!!!
SMU/Baylor under 74 1/2

NCAA Best Bets
Utah State/Tennessee under 51 1/2


2014 American League East Daytime Dominator of the Year!!!!!
New York/Toronto over 8 1/2

MLB Best Bets

Minnesota/Baltimore over 8 1/2
Boston/Tampa Bay over 7
Cleveland/Kansas City under 8
Detroit/Chicago over 8
 

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BeatYourBookie

SUNDAY

MLB BASEBALL


10* Play Texas +150 over Houston (MLB TOP PLAY)

Dallas Keuchel is 1-8 when the line posted is between -100 to -150
Dallas Keuchel is 10-26 when pitching in the 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] half of the season
Dallas Keuchel is 7-13 in day games the last three seasons




10* Play Detroit -115 over Chicago White Sox (MLB TOP PLAY)

Jose Quintana is 4-9 when pitching on a Sunday
Jose Quintana is 14-21 vs. division opponents the last three seasons
Jose Quintana is 9-19 in home games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs

=============================================

5* Play Miami +150 over Atlanta (MLB BONUS PLAY)
5* Play New York Yankees -115 over Toronto (MLB BONUS PLAY)
 

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