SPORTS WAGERS
CINCINNATI +1.11 over Atlanta
The Braves are really laboring these days with just six wins in its last 14 games. Tommy Hanson is a guy who also looks to be in a bit of trouble. When Hanson isn’t striking out a batter, he’s very hittable and it appears as though he’s fading. His 194 innings last season between the majors and Triple-A was the most of his career and he’s already up to 120 this year. His outings are getting shorter and he’s been rocked already on a few occasions. Hanson’s BAA is .270, which isn’t awful but it’s not so great either and the reason his ERA last season was so low was because of a strand rate of 80.3%. This season his strand rate is at a more normal 70.6% but his BABIP is .350, which confirms that when he’s not striking out guys he’s very hittable. The Reds crushed him already once this season (1.2 IP 8H 8ER) and that was in Atlanta and this park is a lot less forgiving. Edinson Volquez makes just his fourth start of the year. He’s been awful in his last two after a strong season debut and that is a bit of a concern. However, Volquez went 4-0 with a 1.45 ERA in four rehab starts and really his only issue is control. In his season debut he was brilliant when he struck out nine and walked just two. In two subsequent starts he was falling behind hitters and walking too many people and that’s why he got into trouble. The focus here will be getting ahead in the count and should that come to pass Volquez will be fine because he has electric stuff and it sure doesn’t hurt that the Braves are laboring offensively these days. Play: Cincinnati +1.11 (Risking 2 units).
CINCINNATI +1.11 over Atlanta
The Braves are really laboring these days with just six wins in its last 14 games. Tommy Hanson is a guy who also looks to be in a bit of trouble. When Hanson isn’t striking out a batter, he’s very hittable and it appears as though he’s fading. His 194 innings last season between the majors and Triple-A was the most of his career and he’s already up to 120 this year. His outings are getting shorter and he’s been rocked already on a few occasions. Hanson’s BAA is .270, which isn’t awful but it’s not so great either and the reason his ERA last season was so low was because of a strand rate of 80.3%. This season his strand rate is at a more normal 70.6% but his BABIP is .350, which confirms that when he’s not striking out guys he’s very hittable. The Reds crushed him already once this season (1.2 IP 8H 8ER) and that was in Atlanta and this park is a lot less forgiving. Edinson Volquez makes just his fourth start of the year. He’s been awful in his last two after a strong season debut and that is a bit of a concern. However, Volquez went 4-0 with a 1.45 ERA in four rehab starts and really his only issue is control. In his season debut he was brilliant when he struck out nine and walked just two. In two subsequent starts he was falling behind hitters and walking too many people and that’s why he got into trouble. The focus here will be getting ahead in the count and should that come to pass Volquez will be fine because he has electric stuff and it sure doesn’t hurt that the Braves are laboring offensively these days. Play: Cincinnati +1.11 (Risking 2 units).
FantasySports Gametime
Sunday Baseball
100* Play New York Yankees (-130) over Tampa Bay
Game starts at 1:40 PM EST
50* Play New York Mets (-155) over Arizona
Game starts at 1:10 PM EST
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50* Play Chicago White Sox (-140) over Oakland
Game starts at 2:10 PM EST
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
WNBA Hoops
100* Play Atlanta (-2) over Indiana
Game starts at 3:00 PM EST
Sunday Baseball
100* Play New York Yankees (-130) over Tampa Bay
Game starts at 1:40 PM EST
50* Play New York Mets (-155) over Arizona
Game starts at 1:10 PM EST
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50* Play Chicago White Sox (-140) over Oakland
Game starts at 2:10 PM EST
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
WNBA Hoops
100* Play Atlanta (-2) over Indiana
Game starts at 3:00 PM EST
SUPER SPORTS GROUP
Atlanta v. Cincinnati 1:05pm
PICK: Reds ML +110 Game
PICK: OVER 9 Game ev
Arizona v. NY 1:35pm
PICK: D'Backs ML +155 Game
PICK: UNDER 8.5 Game ev Best bet of the day #1
Baltimore v. KC 2:10pm
PICK: OVER 9.5 Game -105 Best bet of the day #2
Seattle v. Minnesota 2:10pm
PICK: OVER 8.5 Game ev
PICK: Mariners RL (+1.5) +140
Florida v. San Diego 4:05pm
PICK: Padres ML +130 Game Game of the week
Atlanta v. Cincinnati 1:05pm
PICK: Reds ML +110 Game
PICK: OVER 9 Game ev
Arizona v. NY 1:35pm
PICK: D'Backs ML +155 Game
PICK: UNDER 8.5 Game ev Best bet of the day #1
Baltimore v. KC 2:10pm
PICK: OVER 9.5 Game -105 Best bet of the day #2
Seattle v. Minnesota 2:10pm
PICK: OVER 8.5 Game ev
PICK: Mariners RL (+1.5) +140
Florida v. San Diego 4:05pm
PICK: Padres ML +130 Game Game of the week
Foxsheets
5* plays
Favoring: PITTSBURGH on the money line.
Play On - Road underdogs with a money line of +200 or more (PITTSBURGH) - terrible power team - averaging 0.75 or less HR's/game on the season, after scoring 3 runs or less 3 straight games
(23-16 since 1997.) (59.0%,
The situation's record this season is: (1-0
Favoring: PITTSBURGH on the run line.
Play On - All underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+100 or higher) (PITTSBURGH) - poor NL hitting team (AVG <=.250) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA <=3.75), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games
(41-13 since 1997.) (75.9%,
The situation's record this season is: (5-1
4* plays
Favoring: HOUSTON on the money line.
Play On - All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (HOUSTON) - poor NL offensive team (<=4.1 runs/game) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA>=5.00), starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest
(83-33 since 1997.) (71.6%,
The situation's record this season is: (4-3 .
Favoring: LA ANGELS on the run line.
Play On - Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (LA ANGELS) - below average AL hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA <=3.75), cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 5 games
(59-23 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.0%, +40.1
The situation's record this season is: (14-3 Say no to Big oil. Walk if you can!
Favoring: LA ANGELS on the run line.
Play On - Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (LA ANGELS) - poor AL hitting team (AVG <=.260) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA <=3.75), cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 5 games
(53-20 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.6%,
The situation's record this season is: (13-3
Favoring: TAMPA BAY on the money line.
Play On - Home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (TAMPA BAY) - on a good fielding streak, 10 straight games with one or less errors, with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games
(41-22 over the last 5 seasons.) (65.1%,
The situation's record this season is: (5-2
Favoring: LA ANGELS on the run line.
Play On - All underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =-190 to -135) (LA ANGELS) - with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 1.100 over his last 10 games
(46-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (88.5%,
The situation's record this season is: (9-2
Favoring: DETROIT on the money line.
Play Against - All favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (BOSTON) - after 2 straight games where they stranded 10 or more runners on base, in August games
(42-22 over the last 5 seasons.) (65.6%,
The situation's record this season is: (0-0 0 units).
Favoring: LA ANGELS on the money line.
Play Against - Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TEXAS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season (AL), starting a pitcher who walked <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings
(38-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.9%,)
The situation's record this season is: (6-2
Favoring: MINNESOTA on the run line.
Play On - Home favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+135 to -190) (MINNESOTA) - having won 12 or more of their last 15 games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season
(64-29 since 1997.) (68.8%,
The situation's record this season is: (3-0
Favoring: ST LOUIS on the money line.
Play Against - Road teams (PITTSBURGH) - after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs against opponent with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 15 games
(66-22 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.0%, +40.6 units.
The situation's record this season is: (5-1
Favoring: LA ANGELS on the run line.
Play On - All teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (LA ANGELS) - bad offensive team (<=4.5 runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA<=4.20) (AL), after a loss by 2 runs or less
(83-36 over the last 5 seasons.) (69.7%,
The situation's record this season is: (14-6
Favoring: ST LOUIS on the money line.
Play Against - Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (PITTSBURGH) - after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs against opponent with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games
(60-16 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.9%,
The situation's record this season is: (7-0 +
Favoring: SAN FRANCISCO on the run line.
Play On - Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (SAN FRANCISCO) - with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 1.000 over his last 3 starts
(85-46 over the last 5 seasons.) (64.9%, )
The situation's record this season is: (16-12 +.
Favoring: LA ANGELS on the run line.
Play On - Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (LA ANGELS) - below average hitting team (AVG <=.265) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA <=3.20) -AL, with an on base percentage of .285 or worse over their last 5 games
(48-18 since 1997.) (72.7%, +
The situation's record this season is: (4-1
5* plays
Favoring: PITTSBURGH on the money line.
Play On - Road underdogs with a money line of +200 or more (PITTSBURGH) - terrible power team - averaging 0.75 or less HR's/game on the season, after scoring 3 runs or less 3 straight games
(23-16 since 1997.) (59.0%,
The situation's record this season is: (1-0
Favoring: PITTSBURGH on the run line.
Play On - All underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+100 or higher) (PITTSBURGH) - poor NL hitting team (AVG <=.250) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA <=3.75), with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games
(41-13 since 1997.) (75.9%,
The situation's record this season is: (5-1
4* plays
Favoring: HOUSTON on the money line.
Play On - All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (HOUSTON) - poor NL offensive team (<=4.1 runs/game) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA>=5.00), starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest
(83-33 since 1997.) (71.6%,
The situation's record this season is: (4-3 .
Favoring: LA ANGELS on the run line.
Play On - Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (LA ANGELS) - below average AL hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA <=3.75), cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 5 games
(59-23 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.0%, +40.1
The situation's record this season is: (14-3 Say no to Big oil. Walk if you can!
Favoring: LA ANGELS on the run line.
Play On - Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (LA ANGELS) - poor AL hitting team (AVG <=.260) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA <=3.75), cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 5 games
(53-20 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.6%,
The situation's record this season is: (13-3
Favoring: TAMPA BAY on the money line.
Play On - Home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (TAMPA BAY) - on a good fielding streak, 10 straight games with one or less errors, with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games
(41-22 over the last 5 seasons.) (65.1%,
The situation's record this season is: (5-2
Favoring: LA ANGELS on the run line.
Play On - All underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =-190 to -135) (LA ANGELS) - with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 1.100 over his last 10 games
(46-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (88.5%,
The situation's record this season is: (9-2
Favoring: DETROIT on the money line.
Play Against - All favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (BOSTON) - after 2 straight games where they stranded 10 or more runners on base, in August games
(42-22 over the last 5 seasons.) (65.6%,
The situation's record this season is: (0-0 0 units).
Favoring: LA ANGELS on the money line.
Play Against - Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (TEXAS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season (AL), starting a pitcher who walked <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings
(38-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.9%,)
The situation's record this season is: (6-2
Favoring: MINNESOTA on the run line.
Play On - Home favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+135 to -190) (MINNESOTA) - having won 12 or more of their last 15 games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season
(64-29 since 1997.) (68.8%,
The situation's record this season is: (3-0
Favoring: ST LOUIS on the money line.
Play Against - Road teams (PITTSBURGH) - after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs against opponent with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 15 games
(66-22 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.0%, +40.6 units.
The situation's record this season is: (5-1
Favoring: LA ANGELS on the run line.
Play On - All teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (LA ANGELS) - bad offensive team (<=4.5 runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA<=4.20) (AL), after a loss by 2 runs or less
(83-36 over the last 5 seasons.) (69.7%,
The situation's record this season is: (14-6
Favoring: ST LOUIS on the money line.
Play Against - Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (PITTSBURGH) - after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs against opponent with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games
(60-16 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.9%,
The situation's record this season is: (7-0 +
Favoring: SAN FRANCISCO on the run line.
Play On - Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (SAN FRANCISCO) - with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 1.000 over his last 3 starts
(85-46 over the last 5 seasons.) (64.9%, )
The situation's record this season is: (16-12 +.
Favoring: LA ANGELS on the run line.
Play On - Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (LA ANGELS) - below average hitting team (AVG <=.265) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA <=3.20) -AL, with an on base percentage of .285 or worse over their last 5 games
(48-18 since 1997.) (72.7%, +
The situation's record this season is: (4-1
