Service Plays Sunday 7/6/14

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Rain pushes Coke Zero 400 to Sunday start

DAYTONA BEACH, Fla. -- The NASCAR Sprint Cup Series lost to Mother Nature on Saturday night when rain forced postponement of the Coke Zero 400 at Daytona International Speedway until 11 a.m. ET Sunday.

Prerace activities are scheduled for 10:45 a.m. The green flag originally was scheduled to drop at 7:57 p.m. Saturday.

NASCAR made repeated attempts to dry the track surface to get the race in later Saturday night, but rain continued to fall, negating progress made by track drying equipment. The call was finally made by NASCAR officials to end track drying attempts when local weather radar at 9 p.m. showed rain continuing throughout the night.

The Coke Zero 400 is the second race of the season at Daytona for the Sprint Cup Series, with the first being the season-opening Daytona 500 on Feb. 23. The Daytona 500 was also delayed by rain but completed on the scheduled day in the evening rather than the afternoon. That race was won by Dale Earnhardt Jr.

Jimmie Johnson is the defending winner of the Coke Zero 400. He swept both races a year ago at the track.

When the Coke Zero takes the green flag on Sunday, David Gilliland will start the race from the pole, with Reed Sorenson alongside on the front row. Gilliland claimed the pole during a qualifying session on Friday that was shortened by rain.

Because of rain washing the rubber laid down on the track during the weekend, a competition caution will be expected around lap 20 of the race.

Landon Cassill and Bobby Labonte will start the race in the second row. It'll be the first race for Labonte since the Daytona 500.

Johnson, the defending champion, will start fifth and Earnhardt seventh.

Rain also affected the NASCAR Nationwide Series schedule at Daytona on Friday, shortening the qualifying session and delaying the start of the race by about 1 1/2 hours.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Brian France gives midseason state of the sport at Daytona

DAYTONA BEACH, Fla. -- If NASCAR CEO Brian France could change one thing about 2014 it might be the lousy weather that has haunted the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series schedule.

With it raining again at Daytona hours before the scheduled start of the Coke Zero 400, France addressed the national media for the first time since the implementation of the 2014 Chase for the NASCAR Sprint Cup qualifying format and rules package. He said the sport is pleased with the results despite its share of challenges.

"I think we can all see the benefits of changing the importance of winning (races)," France said. "It has changed the racing on the track. The drivers are telling us that. They're taking different kinds of chances. They're going for wins when they would have played it safe, otherwise.

"I think that (competition) is just going to get more intense as we close in on Richmond and set the (Chase) field there."

France predicted that the new format for crowning a champion, in which four drivers will vie for the title in the final race of the season, will also be a major positive.

"We didn't want to have a bad race or two take somebody out early on in the Chase," he said.

France conceded that there are still tweaks to be made, notably with the revised rules package for 2014.

"We're not where we want to be on that," he said, "and we're embarking on a lot of work -- a lot of science, technology and innovation -- to get the very best racing product that we can on all of the tracks. That's obviously a fundamental goal and responsibility at NASCAR."

Nasty weather and going head-to-head with Olympic and World Cup coverage have been among the challenges in 2014 as NASCAR has dealt with up-and-down TV ratings and less-than-capacity crowds at some venues.

"Some markets are doing better than they did last year, so it's a mixed bag," France said. "There are some markets that have had a lot of pressure and Dover is one of those.

"But when you go around and really look at it and all the digital interests that we have today on devices -- and that's obviously not scored currently -- we're real pleased. When you combine it all up, even with our challenges, we're still not off that much. We're never pleased when our ratings aren't growing at the rate we would like, but we understand that circumstances will always have us going one way or the other from time to time."

Overall, France said he is pleased with the economic state of the sport.

"We're on a nice, steady ground and sponsorship is coming back for us, thankfully," he said. "The business is sound and we're going forward."

France said the sport is already looking ahead to 2015, when NBC and FOX will share a new television contract and a new sponsor for the NASCAR Nationwide Series is expected to come on board.

"I think in the coming weeks we'll be getting to the end of that (sponsorship) process and we will be in very good shape when the dust settles," France said.

Speaking at Daytona International Speedway, where the $400 million-plus Daytona Rising renovation project is in full swing, France said he wouldn't be surprised if other venues follow suit to attract fans.

Noting that Daytona is where NASCAR kicks off its season, France said that facility "needs to be a spectacular place to come for our fans."

Adding new seating options, escalators and social media zones in the manner of Daytona might not make sense at every NASCAR track. But France speculated that every facility will take note of the updates.

"I think every track has to have its own identity and has to do what it thinks is important in the marketplace they compete in," he said. "Will (Daytona Rising) be something other tracks want to emulate? I think it will."

With the Daytona project being privately financed, France suggested that state and local municipalities would be well-served to help finance similar improvements that attract fans in other markets.

"Unfortunately for our industry, the speedways don't enjoy the public financing component that almost all major sports enjoy," France said. "We're hoping that gets better-balanced over time -- in other words, that communities, local governments, states will help grow these facilities like they do other stadiums and arenas."

France hinted of more changes ahead for the sport, noting that future rules, such as new engine specifications, must be "relevant," not only to current manufacturers but to manufacturers who might consider entering the NASCAR arena.

He also said NASCAR remains cognizant of lowering the cost of racing so it does not present a barrier for new teams to enter the sport or prevent smaller teams from competing effectively.

"Lowering the cost of racing, getting parity where teams can come in and have success, and making ourselves more relevant to manufacturers and partners is all part of the NASCAR business model," he said.

France predicted "robust discussion" about possible schedule changes for the 2015 season and beyond. Though not specifically addressing a FOX Sports report that Darlington Raceway could host the second race of the season, France said that weather concerns, a new television partner and the new Chase format are reasons to consider shifting some races to new dates.

"We'll be releasing that (2015 schedule) in September," France said.

One thing France does not envision changing is the site of NASCAR's title-determining venue, Homestead-Miami Speedway.

"Historically, we've liked to do it in South Florida," he said. "The weather is great that time of year. It's a good market for us and the track -- and this is an important thing -- is by any definition the best mile-and-a-half track that the drivers believe they have. They can really race hard and compete hard and that matters. When you factor all of those things in, we're going to be in Homestead for the foreseeable future."

 

[cracy]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS AL PITCHING REPORT
SUNDAY, JULY 6TH 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________

#965 TAMPA BAY @ #966 DETROIT - 8:05 PM
•Rays LH David Price (7-7, 3.50 ERA, WHIP: 1.084) - After a five-game winless streak, Price has won three of his last four starts while yielding only seven runs over 31 1/3 innings. The Vanderbilt product leads the majors in strikeout-walk ratio (153-17, 9.00), but has surrendered 17 homers – among the most in the majors. Miguel Cabrera is only 1-for-14 with six strikeouts against Price, who is 4-1 with a 2.23 ERA in seven appearances (five starts) versus Detroit.

--KEY STAT: PRICE is 15-2 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in road games versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was PRICE 5.6, OPPONENT 2.7.

--PRICE is 1-10 against the run line (-9.0 Units) versus American League teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game on the season this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was PRICE 3.2, OPPONENT 3.7.

--PRICE is 8-26 against the run line (-18.4 Units) in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was PRICE 3.9, OPPONENT 4.1.

--PRICE is 1-10 against the run line (-10.0 Units) after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was PRICE 2.8, OPPONENT 4.2.

•Tigers RH Rick Porcello (11-4, 3.12 ERA, WHIP: 1.125) - Before Porcello’s two shutouts, he blanked Cleveland over six innings on six hits in his previous start to begin a three-game winning streak. The 25-year-old New Jersey native has permitted two or fewer runs in 10 of his 16 starts in 2014 and 96 hits in 106 2/3 innings overall. Desmond Jennings is 3-for-10 in his career against Porcello, who is 2-2 in five career starts versus Tamps Bay with a 2.73 ERA.

--KEY STAT: PORCELLO is 8-0 (+8.6 Units) against the money line versus an American League team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was PORCELLO 5.0, OPPONENT 2.9.

--PORCELLO is 12-3 (+9.2 Units) against the money line versus an American League team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was PORCELLO 4.9, OPPONENT 3.7.

--PORCELLO is 15-5 against the run line (+12.7 Units) in July games since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was PORCELLO 5.8, OPPONENT 3.5.

#967 KANSAS CITY @ #968 CLEVELAND - 1:05 PM
•Royals LH Danny Duffy (5-7, 2.60 ERA, WHIP: 1.073) - Duffy already has compiled the highest win total of his four-year career, and he's poised for many more if he maintains his current trend. The 25-year-old has allowed three or fewer runs in six straight starts, going 3-2 with a 1.69 ERA over that span. He is 1-0 with a 4.38 ERA in three games (two starts) against Cleveland and threw two scoreless innings in relief against the Indians earlier this season.

--KEY STAT: DUFFY is 20-7 against the run line (+14.0 Units) versus American League teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was DUFFY 4.7, OPPONENT 3.8.

•Indians RH Corey Kluber (7-6, 2.99 ERA, WHIP: 1.219) - Kluber has recorded three straight quality starts but has been tagged with tough-luck losses in two of them. He held the Los Angeles Dodgers to one run over 6 2/3 innings last time out but wound up on the wrong end of a 1-0 decision. The 28-year-old is 3-1 with a 3.77 ERA in seven career starts against the Royals and has split two meetings with them this season, including a four-hitter in which he struck out 11 on April 24.

--KEY STAT: KLUBER is 17-4 (+13.7 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KLUBER 6.4, OPPONENT 3.7.

--KLUBER is 14-3 (+11.1 Units) against the money line versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KLUBER 5.9, OPPONENT 3.1.

--KLUBER is 12-5 against the run line (+9.9 Units) versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KLUBER 5.9, OPPONENT 3.1.

--KLUBER is 16-5 OVER (+11.2 Units) versus teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KLUBER 6.4, OPPONENT 4.3.

--KLUBER is 19-8 OVER (+11.1 Units) versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KLUBER 6.0, OPPONENT 4.3.

#969 BALTIMORE @ #970 BOSTON - 1:35 PM
•Orioles RH Kevin Gausman (3-2, 3.86 ERA, WHIP: 1.357) - Gausman is being recalled from the minors for the fourth time this season and third in less than a month. He went 3-0 with a 0.95 ERA in a three-start stretch in June before giving up five runs in five innings against Tampa Bay in his most recent major-league outing on June 27. The fourth overall selection in the 2012 amateur draft, Gausman has given up two runs over 9 2/3 innings while striking out 12 in four career games (one start) against Boston.

•Red Sox RH Jake Peavy (1-7, 4.82 ERA, WHIP: 1.443) - Peavy has lost seven straight decisions and gone 12 consecutive starts without a win after being on the wrong end of a 2-0 decision against the Chicago Cubs on Monday. He yielded two runs in six innings while fanning seven in the contest, recording the third quality start in his last four appearances. The 33-year-old has given up nine runs on 18 hits in 12 2/3 frames versus Baltimore this season.

#971 NY YANKEES @ #972 MINNESOTA - 2:10 PM
•Yankees RH Hiroki Kuroda (5-6, 4.08 ERA, WHIP: 1.244) - Kuroda has lost three of his last four decisions after falling to Tampa Bay in his last outing. He gave up two runs and nine hits in eight innings against the Rays and has given up two or fewer earned runs in five of his last eight turns. Kuroda is 1-1 with a 5.79 ERA in two career starts against Minnesota.

--KEY STAT: KURODA is 30-14 UNDER (+13.9 Units) versus an American League team with an on base percentage .320 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KURODA 3.8, OPPONENT 3.5.

--KURODA is 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) when playing on Sunday over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KURODA 2.4, OPPONENT 2.4.

--KURODA is 19-5 UNDER (+13.0 Units) in day games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KURODA 3.8, OPPONENT 2.5.

•Twins RH Ricky Nolasco (5-6, 5.49 ERA, WHIP: 1.574) - Nolasco ended a four-start winless drought when he defeated Kansas City on Tuesday. He allowed one run and eight hits in six innings in a good bounce-back outing from permitting six runs and 11 hits in six innings against the Los Angeles Angels. Nolasco beat the Yankees in his first career start against them on May 30 when he yielded one run and seven hits in six innings.

--KEY STAT: NOLASCO is 8-0 (+9.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was NOLASCO 6.3, OPPONENT 2.8.

--NOLASCO is 11-2 (+10.1 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was NOLASCO 4.9, OPPONENT 2.5.
___________________________________________

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#973 SEATTLE @ #974 CHI WHITE SOX - 2:10 PM
•Mariners RH Taijuan Walker (1-0, 4.50 ERA, WHIP: 1.167) - Walker was solid in his season debut on Monday, improving to 2-0 in four career starts after allowing three runs on five hits while striking out six over six innings in a 10-4 victory over the Houston Astros. The Mariners' top prospect was supposed to crack the team’s rotation out of spring training, but dealt with a number of shoulder issues since joining camp in February. Walker, who went 3-1 with a 3.38 ERA in eight minor-league starts before his promotion, will square off against the White Sox for the first time.

•White Sox RH Hector Noesi (2-6, 5.33 ERA, WHIP: 1.463) - After tossing four no-hit innings, Noesi fell apart in the fifth during an 8-4 setback against the Los Angeles Angels on Tuesday. The 27-year-old, who began the season with Seattle before he was dealt to the Texas Rangers on April 12, surrendered three hits and a career-high seven walks over five frames and matched another career high with seven strikeouts. Noesi will draw his first career start versus the Mariners after posting a 2.35 ERA in four relief appearances against them.

#975 HOUSTON @ #976 LA ANGELS - 3:35 PM
•Astros RH Collin McHugh (4-7, 3.22 ERA, WHIP: 1.085) - After allowing five home runs in his first 72 1/3 innings, McHugh yielded three homers in six innings last Monday against Seattle. The 27-year-old, who is 0-4 with a 4.13 ERA in his past four starts, has recorded at least four strikeouts in all 13 of his starts this season. McHugh is facing the Angels for the third time this season after going 1-1 with a 1.50 ERA while striking out 11 batters in 12 innings over his first two outings.

•Angels RH Garrett Richards (9-2, 2.81 ERA, WHIP: 1.073) - Richards likely secured his spot in the All-Star game with a strong outing against the White Sox last Tuesday, when he allowed three runs on two hits over eight innings. The 26-year-old has a 1.49 ERA over his last six starts, and he’s yielded just four home runs in 109 innings. Chris Carter is 6-for-15 with a home run against Richards, who is 3-1 with a 4.11 ERA in eight career games (five starts) against Houston, including 2-1 with a 2.70 ERA in three starts this season.

--KEY STAT: RICHARDS is 14-2 (+12.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was RICHARDS 6.3, OPPONENT 3.7.

--RICHARDS is 11-3 against the run line (+9.1 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was RICHARDS 5.1, OPPONENT 3.4.

--RICHARDS is 13-4 against the run line (+10.6 Units) in all games this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was RICHARDS 5.4, OPPONENT 3.2.

#977 TORONTO @ #978 OAKLAND - 4:05 PM
•Blue Jays RH Drew Hutchison (6-6, 3.81 ERA, WHIP: 1.229) - Hutchison rebounded from a pair of losses on Tuesday, when he struck out a season-high 10 batters while limiting Milwaukee to one run and three hits over seven innings. The 23-year-old has been inconsistent over his last seven starts, allowing four or more runs four times and fewer than two runs on three occasions. Hutchison, who never has faced Oakland, is 4-2 with a 2.23 ERA in 10 road outings this season.

•Athletics RH Jeff Samardzija (2-7, 3.00 ERA, WHIP: 1.204) - Samardzija ended his time in Chicago with a four-game winless streak after being tagged for six runs - five earned - over five innings by Washington on June 28. The 29-year-old allowed fewer than three earned runs in 12 of his 17 starts with the Cubs but was just 1-3 in those contests. Samardzija will be pitching at O.co Coliseum - and against the Blue Jays - for the first time in his career.

--KEY STAT: SAMARDZIJA is 7-20 (-12.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SAMARDZIJA 2.9, OPPONENT 4.6.

--SAMARDZIJA is 2-13 (-12.3 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SAMARDZIJA 2.4, OPPONENT 4.6.

--SAMARDZIJA is 9-0 UNDER (+9.0 Units) after giving up 2 or more home runs last outing over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SAMARDZIJA 2.4, OPPONENT 2.8.

Interleague
#979 TEXAS @ #980 NY METS - 1:10 PM
•Rangers RH Nick Tepesch (3-3, 3.65 ERA, WHIP: 1.354) - Tepesch has not pitched since scattering three hits over 7 1/3 scoreless innings in a victory over Minnesota on June 27, as his scheduled start was pushed back twice this past week. The 25-year-old went 0-3 between wins, both of which came against the Twins. Tepesch has made five of his eight starts this season on the road, going 1-2 with a 3.91 ERA.

•Mets RH Zack Wheeler (3-8, 4.25 ERA, WHIP: 1.385) - Wheeler was forced to settle for a no-decision at Atlanta on Monday despite limiting the Braves to one run and four hits in 6 1/3 innings. It was an impressive bounce-back performance by the 24-year-old, who was tagged for six runs over two frames by Oakland on June 25 after tossing his first career complete game - a three-hit shutout - six days earlier at Miami. Wheeler remains in search of his first home victory, as he is 0-4 with a 5.40 ERA in six outings at Citi Field.
________________________________________________

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Primetime Sports Picks

5 Unit --> Chicago Cubs (Arrieta)/Washington (Zimmermann) UNDER 7
3 Unit --> N.Y. Yankees (Kuroda) -120 over Minnesota (Nolasco)
3 Unit --> Miami (Alvarez) -115 over St. Louis (Gonzales)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Game of the Day: Rays at Tigers

Tampa Bay Rays at Detroit Tigers (+105, 7.5)

Logan Forsythe was struggling much like his Tampa Bay Rays in mid-June, batting .178 and spending plenty of time watching from the bench. Forsythe has batted .431 since then to help ignite the Rays, who look to finish their 11-game road trip with nine victories when they visit the Detroit Tigers on Sunday night. Runs will be hard to come by as Detroit’s Rick Porcello, coming off the first two shutouts of his career, takes the mound against David Price -- the major-league strikeout leader.

The Rays have taken two of three in the series and lost only once in their last eight as Forsythe boasts three homers and eight RBIs on the road trip. The Tigers have dropped the last two after winning 12 of their previous 14 and lead the American League Central while hot-hitting Victor Martinez is day-to-day with a sore back. J.D Martinez is 8-for-19 with two homers and five RBIs in July though for the Tigers.

TV: 8 p.m. ET; ESPN

LINE HISTORY: Books opened the Tigers -104 home faves, but that line has moved to +105. The total opened 7.5.

POWER RANKINGS: Rays (+103), Tigers (-188)

INJURY REPORT: Rays: SS Yunel Escobar (Shoulder/Out), LF David DeJesus (Hand/Out) Tigers: DH Victor Martinez (Back/Doubtful)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Rays LH David Price (7-7, 3.50 ERA) vs. Tigers RH Rick Porcello (11-4, 3.12)

After a five-game winless streak, Price has won three of his last four starts while yielding only seven runs over 31 1/3 innings. The Vanderbilt product leads the majors in strikeout-walk ratio (153-17, 9.00), but has surrendered 17 homers – among the most in the majors. Miguel Cabrera is only 1-for-14 with six strikeouts against Price, who is 4-1 with a 2.23 ERA in seven appearances (five starts) versus Detroit.

Before Porcello’s two shutouts, he blanked Cleveland over six innings on six hits in his previous start to begin a three-game winning streak. The 25-year-old New Jersey native has permitted two or fewer runs in 10 of his 16 starts in 2014 and 96 hits in 106 2/3 innings overall. Desmond Jennings is 3-for-10 in his career against Porcello, who is 2-2 in five career starts versus Tamps Bay with a 2.73 ERA.

TRENDS:

*Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 overall.
*Tigers are 23-7 in Porcellos last 30 starts.
*Under is 5-0 in Porcellos last 5 starts vs. Rays
*Rays are 7-16 in the last 23 meetings.

CONSENSUS: 61.9 percent of backers are taking the Tigers at +102

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

EZWINNERS

3* (971) Yankees -$120
2* (972) Padres -$125

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets

MLB | SAN FRANCISCO at SAN DIEGO
Play On – All underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SAN FRANCISCO) after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team
38-20 over the last 5 seasons. ( 65.5% | 24.6 units )
4-5 this year. ( 44.4% | 0.0 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends – FoxSheets

MLB | KANSAS CITY at CLEVELAND
KANSAS CITY is 39-17 (+24.0 Units) against the money line with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 15 games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was: KANSAS CITY (4.8) , OPPONENT (3.4)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets

WNBA | PHOENIX at LOS ANGELES
Play Under – Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 very good team – outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game
212-128 since 1997. ( 62.4% | 71.2 units )
6-6 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.6 units )

WNBA | PHOENIX at LOS ANGELES
Play Against – Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (LOS ANGELES) after scoring 70 points or more in 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 77 points or more in 4 straight games
29-11 since 1997. ( 72.5% | 0.0 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 0.0 units )

WNBA | MINNESOTA at NEW YORK
Play Under – Home teams where the first half total is greater than 65.5 revenging a road loss versus opponent, playing with 3 or more days rest
152-87 since 1997. ( 63.6% | 56.3 units )
1-4 this year. ( 20.0% | -3.4 units )

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

BOB BALFE

SAN DIEGO PADRES -120
(Hahn/Lincecum)

Tim Lincecum has not one, but two no hitters against this Padres team yet today is still the dog. This Giants team just can’t hit the ball at all and the Padres pitcher actually has better numbers in his short work this year. Look for a low scoring snoozefest. Take the Padres.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CHASE DIAMOND
10* MLB DIAMOND DOG
Toronto vs. Oakland
Toronto Blue Jays +147

This game features the 47-42 Jays at the 54-33 Oakland. Oakland is making a run at the World Series getting ace Jeff Samardzija but facts are pitchers normally take a little to adjust to a new team and surroundings and this team is really laying big juice against a very capable Jays team. Drew Hutchison is no push over he is a young gun with a 6-6 3.81 ERA we will take the plus money as the public jumps all over Jeff’s first start. 62% are backing the A’s here and this line has already dropped 10 cents as Vegas looks to push more on the A’s. Take the Jays for a 10* premium winner.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ADVANCED SPORTS INVESTMENTS

SOCCER
PERRY'S SELECTIONS (July -9.20)
NORWAY - TIPPELIGAEN
9:30am SANDNES ULF @ STROMSGODSET IF -297
SWEDEN ALLSVENSKAN
11:30am MALMO FF -150 @ IF BROMMAPOJKARNA

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

GAMBLING GOD

League: MLB
Team A: Nationals
Team B: Cubs
Pick: Under 7
Risk:$120 to win $100
Time: 10:00 AM PT

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

HARRY BONDI

MLB Bonus Play

TAMPA BAY (-120) over Detroit
8:00 p.m. ET

Tough loss for us in 14 innings with the free game yesterday going against “King” Felix Hernandez. Two weeks ago Tampa manager Joe Madden said he thought his team, then 12 games behind Toronto, would still win the division. Most thought he was crazy but since then the Rays have gone 7-1! tonight under the lights of Sunday Night Baseball they send their ace David Price to the hill and we expect another Rays win. Price has yielded only seven runs over his last 31 innings pitched and leads the majors in strikeout-walk ratio (153-17, 9.00). Let’s back Price and the red hot Rays over the Tigers in Motown tonight.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

BEHIND THE BETS

Cleveland Indians
St. Louis Cardinals

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ecks and Bacon


Ben lee lost on Saturday with E Bouchard +$120/P Kvitova for $25 in the Women's Final at Wimbledon.

Ben lee won on Saturday with Netherlands -$190/Costa Rica in World Cup Soccer.

"Mr Chalk" won on Saturday in MLB in the National League with the Nationals -$142/Cubs.

For Sunday in the Men's Final at Wimbledon E&B like R Federer +$140/N Djokovic for $25.

For Sunday in MLB in the American League "Mr Chalk" likes the Angels -$190/Astros.

Ben lee is 6-5 +$215 for week Thirty Six 168-194-5 -$2914

"Mr Chalk" is 46-34 -$296 for the 2014 MLB season.

All E&B selections will be for $50 unless noted

 

[ToutFade]

All Sports Capper Anyone?

TIA

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPORTS WAGERS

Seattle -1 -103 over CHICAGO

Hector Noesi has appeared in 82 games since 2011 with 33 of those coming as a starter. His ERA year by year including this year: 4.47, 5.82, 6.59, 5.07 and 5.33 That translates into a career ERA of 5.47 and 36 of Noesi’s appearances occurred when he was a Mariner pitching half his games in an extreme pitcher’s park. Noesi’s groundball/line-drive/fly-ball is 38%/22%/40% and that is exactly the same as he’s posted over his career. In his 33 career starts, he has seven quality one’s. Noesi also took abuse at Tacoma (5.83 ERA) last year, which indicates that his promotions were not merit-based. We've seen worse base skills but he needs some extra fastball juice or a more of a groundball lean to take the next step. That’s never happened and we're not optimistic that it will happen. At U.S. Cellular, Noesi has walked 20 batters in 44 innings, he’s 1-4 with a 5.94 ERA, an xERA of 5.60, a 1.46 WHIP, and an oppBA of .295.

The Mariners are nine games over .500. They have one of the best road records in the majors at 27-17 and their only loss over their last six games occurred against Cy Young front-runner, Chris Sale. Taijuan Walker is back with the big club after making three late-season starts for Seattle in ’13. The 21-year-old was expected to start ’14 in the Mariners rotation, but spent some time on the DL and in the minors rehabbing a shoulder injury. The prospect resume is impressive for Walker—he came into the ’14 season with the following ratings: top Seattle prospect in the M's Organization Report, #4 on the minor-league prospect list and the top overall starting pitcher in the 2014 Minor League Baseball Analyst. Walker is extremely athletic and has become even more dangerous as he’s improved his command each season. He works off a plus-plus fastball that he dials up to 98 mph with excellent life. His second plus pitch is an upper 80s mph slider. He uses both the fastball and slider to register lots of strikeouts. Rounding out the arsenal is a solid-average change-up that has the potential to become even better, and an average curve. Walker has demonstrated all the traits an ace starter should possess—plus pitches, good pitch mix, attacking hitters, durability, and good mound presence. Over 411 minor league innings, Walker has a 3.48 ERA, 9.8 K’s/9 and has held opposing batters to a .222 BA. Still awfully young and the usual perils apply (inconsistency, monitored workloads) but this is a potential gem that's close to being ready, which makes us instant investors against a free-swinging White Sox team that has struck out the third most times in the majors.


Milwaukee/CINCINNATI Over 7½+100

In the first two games of this series the Reds and Brewers have combined to score seven runs. That sets this one up for a beatable total and we’re all over it. Matt Latos has a 2.45 ERA this season but it’s a small sample size since he’s only started four games. Latos spent the first 2½ months of the season on the DL and only has 26 innings to show for this year. Latos’ 2.45 ERA is not supported by his skills. His groundball/line-drive/fly-ball rates of 39%/23%/38% are a disaster waiting to happen at this park and today could very well be the day we see that disaster. Latos has a lucky HR/f rate of 3% so it’s only a matter of time before those fly-balls start leaving the yard. Latos’ strikeouts are down too, as he only has 15 in 26 innings and even if he’s sharper than we expect, he’s still very likely to give up two or more. These Brewers are very capable of going deep.

Then there’s Yovani Gallardo. Gallardo was hot for a while but he’s showing signs of tailing off, just like he did last year when the innings started to pile up. In July of last year, Gallardo posted a 7.28 ERA with an oppBA of .311 over four starts. He has hammered at home in his last start against Colorado and a similar fate could be waiting for him here. Reds batters have pounded Gallardo in the past with a batting line of .296/.363/.474. This is an extreme hitter’s park and it’s not often we get a number like this when two very average pitchers hook up. We’ll look to take advantage.


Baltimore +105 over BOSTON

The Red Sox have dropped four of five, they’re nine games under .500 and they’re just a half game out of last place in the AL East. These two split a DH yesterday, which makes for a long and grueling day at this time of the year. We expect the Red Sox to be quite a bit more lethargic than the Orioles and that’s because Baltimore is a winning ball club that is in first place. You see, losing takes a far bigger toll, which is what Boston is dealing with and Jake Peavy is dealing with also. Peavy has one win in 17 starts this year. Boston has just one win in Peavy’s last 12 starts. One problem is that he's walking a lot more batters than usual, leading to the worst command in his 13-year career. In 105 innings, Peavy has walked 40 batters and he’s also throwing too many pitches out of the strike zone that hitters are not swinging at. Peavy’s velocity is down and if we look at his strike zone percentage, we can see that it is also way down. His PITCHf/x zone percentage has him nearly 4% below average this season, and he is in the bottom 15 among qualified starters in zone percentage overall. That’s not necessarily a death sentence — Masahiro Tanaka is even lower than Peavy on the list, and he is doing just fine. The difference, of course, is that Tanaka is getting hitters to swing at 49.9 percent of the pitches he throws, whereas Peavy is at just 44.1%. Another difference is that when hitters swing at Tanaka’s pitches, they make contact just 68.5% of the time, while Peavy’s contact rate is 81.3%. Neither Peavy’s swing percentage nor contact percentage put him among the league stragglers but taken in context with his zone percentage, it’s not exactly encouraging. Jake Peavy is a frustrated pitcher, who knows he can’t challenge hitters like he used to.

Kevin Gausman has made just five starts this season and just 25 appearances (10 starts) over his career. With a career ERA of 5.00 and an ERA of 5.66 last season, Gausman’s stock hasn’t soared yet so now is the time to buy low. Gausman entered 2014 as the #18 prospect in the minors and he certainly has the stuff and makeup to front a rotation. He’s an athletic pitcher (6’3, 190 lbs.) with a plus fastball, change-up, and command. He mixes his pitches nicely and can command all four, pounding strikes to all quadrants of the plate. His fastball, which can reach 99 MPH, shows excellent movement and he gets nice fading action on his change-up. The Orioles decided Gausman's slider would become his primary breaking pitch and it shows good depth and bite. Gausman was sent to the low minors recently and spent a week there to just get some work in while the team was deciding what to do with its surplus of starters. Prior to giving up five runs in five innings and getting beat by Tampa Bay in his last start on June 27, Gausman had allowed just two earned runs over his previous three starts covering 19 innings. Gausman has a huge ceiling and with the potential to be a strong strikeout/groundball pitcher, this is very likely going to be one of the last months to get him cheap. The fact that he and the Orioles are a pup against the reeling Red Sox just adds to the appeal of this wager.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPORTS HANDICAPPER KING

MLB
NY Yankees
Tampa Bay

Freeloader
Washington Nationals RL -1.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Greg Shaker

Houston/LAA OVER 7.5
LAA -1.5
Toronto/Oakland UNDER 7.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SHAKER'S SHORTS (NASCAR early)

Austin Dillon -120 verses Ricky Stenhouse Jr
Danica Patrick -120 verses Micheal Waltrip
Brian Vickers +115 verses Ryan Newman
Jeff Gordon Top 10 Finish -120
Your Book might display as Over/Under 10.5