JASON JOHNSON
Marlins at Braves
Pick: Braves -165
Hudson's been especially effective at home. He lost his first start at Turner Field on April 21, but is 5-0 with a 1.30 ERA in his last five outings.
His lone start against the Marlins (37-43) came May 27 in rain-soaked South Florida. He allowed two runs over four innings, but didn't come back after a 77-minute rain delay in Atlanta's 8-3 win.
Hudson is 8-2 with a 2.99 ERA in 16 career starts versus Florida.
Ricky Nolasco (7-6, 4.84) is 1-1 with a 3.95 ERA in five starts at Turner Field, but plenty of Atlanta's lineup has enjoyed facing him. Jones is a .464 (13 for 28) hitter with four homers against Nolasco, Brian McCann is batting .323 (10 for 31) with four homers and Escobar is hitting .417 (10 for 24). Take the Braves on their home turf in a close game
Marlins at Braves
Pick: Braves -165
Hudson's been especially effective at home. He lost his first start at Turner Field on April 21, but is 5-0 with a 1.30 ERA in his last five outings.
His lone start against the Marlins (37-43) came May 27 in rain-soaked South Florida. He allowed two runs over four innings, but didn't come back after a 77-minute rain delay in Atlanta's 8-3 win.
Hudson is 8-2 with a 2.99 ERA in 16 career starts versus Florida.
Ricky Nolasco (7-6, 4.84) is 1-1 with a 3.95 ERA in five starts at Turner Field, but plenty of Atlanta's lineup has enjoyed facing him. Jones is a .464 (13 for 28) hitter with four homers against Nolasco, Brian McCann is batting .323 (10 for 31) with four homers and Escobar is hitting .417 (10 for 24). Take the Braves on their home turf in a close game
FOX SHEETS
Play Against - Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (SEATTLE) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season (AL), starting a pitcher who walked <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings.
(57-31 over the last 5 seasons.) (64.8%, +41 units. Rating = 4*)
Play On - Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (PITTSBURGH) - allowing 5.3 or more runs/game on the season (NL), after scoring 4 runs or less 5 straight games.
(58-35 since 1997.) (62.4%, +46.9 units. Rating = 4*)
Play Against - Home teams (ST LOUIS) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 10 or more runs, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games.
(33-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (68.8%, +32 units. Rating = 4*)
Play Against - Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN FRANCISCO) - with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.50 over his last 3 starts, with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games.
(55-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.6%, +37.5 units. Rating = 4*)
Play Against - Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN FRANCISCO) - with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.50 over his last 3 starts.
(55-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.6%, +37.5 units. Rating = 4*)
lay On - All favorites with a money line of -150 or more (LA ANGELS) - below average hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=4.20) -AL, in the second half of the season.
(97-25 since 1997.) (79.5%, +54.7 units. Rating = 4*)
Play On - All favorites with a money line of -150 or more (LA ANGELS) - poor hitting team (AVG <=.260) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=4.20) -AL, in the second half of the season.
(48-8 since 1997.) (85.7%, +35.1 units. Rating = 4*)
Play On - Any team (CHI WHITE SOX) - poor AL offensive team (<=4.5 runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA<=3.33), after 2 straight games with no home runs.
(63-31 over the last 5 seasons.) (67%, +41.3 units. Rating = 4*)
Play Against - Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (SEATTLE) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season (AL), starting a pitcher who walked <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings.
(57-31 over the last 5 seasons.) (64.8%, +41 units. Rating = 4*)
Play On - Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (PITTSBURGH) - allowing 5.3 or more runs/game on the season (NL), after scoring 4 runs or less 5 straight games.
(58-35 since 1997.) (62.4%, +46.9 units. Rating = 4*)
Play Against - Home teams (ST LOUIS) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 10 or more runs, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games.
(33-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (68.8%, +32 units. Rating = 4*)
Play Against - Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN FRANCISCO) - with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.50 over his last 3 starts, with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games.
(55-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.6%, +37.5 units. Rating = 4*)
Play Against - Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN FRANCISCO) - with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.50 over his last 3 starts.
(55-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.6%, +37.5 units. Rating = 4*)
lay On - All favorites with a money line of -150 or more (LA ANGELS) - below average hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=4.20) -AL, in the second half of the season.
(97-25 since 1997.) (79.5%, +54.7 units. Rating = 4*)
Play On - All favorites with a money line of -150 or more (LA ANGELS) - poor hitting team (AVG <=.260) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=4.20) -AL, in the second half of the season.
(48-8 since 1997.) (85.7%, +35.1 units. Rating = 4*)
Play On - Any team (CHI WHITE SOX) - poor AL offensive team (<=4.5 runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA<=3.33), after 2 straight games with no home runs.
(63-31 over the last 5 seasons.) (67%, +41.3 units. Rating = 4*)
JR O'DONNELL
REDZONE SPORTS
Bonus Play
Detroit Tigers (+100) vs SEA
Seattle is really looking hard to trade the stud Cliff Lee as he is not the sharp side here on the 4th!! Seattle has been under achievers so far at 33-47 and the Cliff Lee show has been knocked around by these Tigers. The over all 5-9 mark and a rough rough 4.76 ERA lifetime against the Tigers, and 0-3 the last 3 starts! The Tigers are 12-1 at home!
REDZONE SPORTS
Bonus Play
Detroit Tigers (+100) vs SEA
Seattle is really looking hard to trade the stud Cliff Lee as he is not the sharp side here on the 4th!! Seattle has been under achievers so far at 33-47 and the Cliff Lee show has been knocked around by these Tigers. The over all 5-9 mark and a rough rough 4.76 ERA lifetime against the Tigers, and 0-3 the last 3 starts! The Tigers are 12-1 at home!
Handicapper: Wunderdog Sports
Sport: MLB Baseball
Game: Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox - Sunday July 4, 2010 1:35 pm
Pick: 5 units RUNLINE:Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-110)
These two starting pitchers have similar stats (4.90 ERA for Matusz and 4.46 for Lackey). But, their W-L records contrast starkly. One plays for Baltimore and the other, Boston. Matusz is 2-9 while Lackey is 9-3. Boston has won the first two games in this series and there's no reason to think anything different will occur here. The O's are 8-31 on the road this season and 8-27 in division games. They score only 3.1 per game on the road, while Boston gets 5.7 per game at home. Boston has also fared very well vs. LHP like Matusz, averaging 6.0 runs per game vs. southpaws. When facing a victorious team this season, the Orioles are just 9-38. Meanwhile, Lackey has won 17 of his last 18 starts vs. teams that get outscored by 1+ run per game. I like Boston here and will back them on the runline.
Sport: MLB Baseball
Game: Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox - Sunday July 4, 2010 1:35 pm
Pick: 5 units RUNLINE:Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-110)
These two starting pitchers have similar stats (4.90 ERA for Matusz and 4.46 for Lackey). But, their W-L records contrast starkly. One plays for Baltimore and the other, Boston. Matusz is 2-9 while Lackey is 9-3. Boston has won the first two games in this series and there's no reason to think anything different will occur here. The O's are 8-31 on the road this season and 8-27 in division games. They score only 3.1 per game on the road, while Boston gets 5.7 per game at home. Boston has also fared very well vs. LHP like Matusz, averaging 6.0 runs per game vs. southpaws. When facing a victorious team this season, the Orioles are just 9-38. Meanwhile, Lackey has won 17 of his last 18 starts vs. teams that get outscored by 1+ run per game. I like Boston here and will back them on the runline.
"World's Greatest Sports Betting Systems"
Today's Selections
MLB Baseball Betting System A
Today's Selection(S)
Chicago Cubs Series Wins!
New Series Starts Today!
Selection#1 (Game#1) Atlanta -165 5:05 PM
New Series Starts Today!
Selection#2 (Game#1) Seattle -115 1:05 PM
Series Idle
Selection#3 (Game#1) NONE
Philadelphia Series Wins!
Series Idle
Selection#4 (Game#1) NONE
Series in Progress!
Selection #5 (Game#4) San Francisco +115 3:10 PM
Series Idle
Selection #6 (Game #1) NONE
Please Note: If we place a question mark after the team (??) this simply means the line was not posted at the time of the email and we will be betting the opening line when it posts.
Please Note: We will be using our signature 4 game progression again this year in MLB. We will be betting the money line unless otherwise noted in the selection.
Please Note: We bet action on all MLB games unless otherwise noted.
Today's Selections
MLB Baseball Betting System A
Today's Selection(S)
Chicago Cubs Series Wins!
New Series Starts Today!
Selection#1 (Game#1) Atlanta -165 5:05 PM
New Series Starts Today!
Selection#2 (Game#1) Seattle -115 1:05 PM
Series Idle
Selection#3 (Game#1) NONE
Philadelphia Series Wins!
Series Idle
Selection#4 (Game#1) NONE
Series in Progress!
Selection #5 (Game#4) San Francisco +115 3:10 PM
Series Idle
Selection #6 (Game #1) NONE
Please Note: If we place a question mark after the team (??) this simply means the line was not posted at the time of the email and we will be betting the opening line when it posts.
Please Note: We will be using our signature 4 game progression again this year in MLB. We will be betting the money line unless otherwise noted in the selection.
Please Note: We bet action on all MLB games unless otherwise noted.
Tincup Totals
Tincup Totals
One play for this July 4th.
Happy Holiday.
Be safe.
3:10 ET
3*** OVER 8 SF @ Colorado
SF has allowed 4+ runs in ALL of their last 11 games.
Cain for SF has an 8 ERA in the last 3.
SF pen has a 5 ERA on the road.
COL has allowed 10+ runs in 4 of the last 10.
UMPIRE Nauert >>>> 5 of last 6....OVER
GL2us
TINCUP
Tincup Totals
One play for this July 4th.
Happy Holiday.
Be safe.
3:10 ET
3*** OVER 8 SF @ Colorado
SF has allowed 4+ runs in ALL of their last 11 games.
Cain for SF has an 8 ERA in the last 3.
SF pen has a 5 ERA on the road.
COL has allowed 10+ runs in 4 of the last 10.
UMPIRE Nauert >>>> 5 of last 6....OVER
GL2us
TINCUP
