Gavazzi MLB
Sunday, May 4th
MLB
Washington (Gonzalas) (-135) at Philadelphia (Hernandez) 1:05 ET
4% Washington -135
Love the situation in the pitching matchup. All greater than .500 teams for playing on the road following a loss are 54-28 this season. With Washington coming off a 7-2 loss on Saturday, must note that the Nats are 7-1 following a defeat of late. In spite of that loss, they are still 8-3 vs. the Phillies in this series of late. Hernandez will fill in for ailing Hamils. For the year –to- date, Hernandez has a 5.74 ERA allowing 41 base runners in 26 2/3 IP. The Phills are just 2-4 in his 6 starts losing the last 2. Much the opposite is true of Gonzalez. Washington is 5-1 in his starts including 3-0 recently. For the season, Gonzalez has a 3.25 ERA with 38/13 KBB. IN 8 starts vs. Philly, Gonzalez has worked 50 2/3 innings with a 2.66 ERA and 56/18 KBB.
Milwaukee (Lohse) at Cincinnati (Simon) (-115) 4:10 ET
3% Cincinnati (-115 Action)
Each of these pitchers is outstanding relegating this to an Action play with the Hunter vs. the Hunted. In filling in for Latos, Simon has been brilliant. In 5 starts, he has allowed 2 or less runs and 5 or less hits in each start with a .183 BAA. That is good for a 4-1 record with a 1.60 ERA. Lohse can match that 4-1 record with a 2.70 ERA and 40/11 KBB. Yet I clearly favor the Reds in this series finale. Despite winning 2/3 from the Brewers in this weekend set, Cincinnati still trails Milwaukee by 6 ½ games. Milwaukee entered the week at 18-7. Without Braun in the lineup, they have gone just 3-3 with a .204 BA. The Reds bullpen was a concern to begin the season. In the last 10 games, however, these relievers have returned to form with a 2.14 ERA.
NY Mets (Gee) at Colorado (Chacin) (-130) 4:10 ET
3% Colorado -130 Action
Finally! We won a 1 run game. We had the Rockies last night who trailed 6-0 out of the gate. An 8 run 5th game them the lead. But they needed a 2 run walk off homer for the eventual 11-10 victory. Now we are 12-19, 5-10 recently in 1 run decisions. Hoping last night’s victory keys a huge streak of 1 run wins to even our record. Despite that record in 1 run games, $100 % of bankroll players are still +$1470. Today we will back the Rockies again by a field where they have won 6-7 from the Mets. Colorado enters on a run of 6-1 outscoring the opposition 51-32. Last night’s win boosts the record at Coors to 11-4 where they have averaged 7.9 RPG. Gee has pitched well for the Mets with a 2.88 ERA with little to show for it as the Mets have alternated team wins and losses in his 6 starts. Chacin makes his first start of the season but in 20 IP vs. the Mets has a 1.80 ERA.
Tampa Bay (Bedard) at NY Yankees (Sabathia) (-1 ½ runs, +135) 1:05 ET
5% NY Yankees -1 ½ runs, +135
We won with the Yankees yesterday on the run line and come right back today. We have faded Bedard in each of his starts resulting in a 3-1 record for us. In those 4 starts, Bedard has a 5.52 ERA allowing 27 BR in 14 2/3 IP with a 10/10 KBB. HE IS NOW 0-9 in his last 15 starts. Pitching from this mound, Bedard is 1-3 with a 5.01 ERA. In his starts against NYY on April 18th Bedard lasted just 3 2/3 IP allowing 4 runs. Though Sabathia has a 5.11 ERA, his solid 41/8 KBB indicates better is in the offing. In his April 17th start against Tampa Bay, he went 7 innings allowing just 2 runs on 7 hits in a 10-2 win. In the previous 4 seasons, 153/202 NYY home wins have come by 2 or more runs. This year, 12-16 NYY wins have come by 2 or more runs. For Tampa Bay, all 10 of their road losses this year have come by 2 or more runs. Play the Yankees on the run line as your top play of the day.
Chicago White Sox (Rienzo) at Cleveland (Kluber) (-155) 1:05 ET
4% Cleveland -155
This is the CWS team we grew to love last year by playing against them. The Pale Hose are now on a 0-4 slide with a .212 BA. That drops their road record to 5-10 following a 26-55 road log last year. Returning home from a 0-6 road trip, the site of the White Sox has brought Cleveland to life. With a pair of victories this weekend, Cleveland has now won 8 straight vs. CWS on this field outscoring them 48-23. Kluber has pitched his best baseball from this mound this season. In 3 starts, Kluber has a 2.91 ERA with a 22/3 KBB. In a pair of appearances against Cleveland, Rienzo has worked 11 innings allowing 8 runs with 20 base runners. Play Cleveland for the sweep.
Toronto (McGowan) at Pittsburgh (Volquez) (-120) 1:35 ET
3% Pittsburgh -120
The Pirates entered this series reeling. On a 2-10 slide, Pittsburgh was hitting .217 averaging just 2.8 RPG. In 15/28 games, the Bucs had scored 2 or less runs. That all changed at the site of the Toronto pitching staff. Pittsburgh won the last two nights, by combined scores of 14-11 with a .387 BA. Toronto has now gone 1/8 in no small part because in the last 10 games Toronto has a 6.65 ERA including an 8.81 bullpen ERA. McGowan has a 5.87 ERA for the year including 7.07 in losing his last 3 starts. Volquez has been reborn with the Bucs posting a 3.21 ERA, 18/6 KBB while allowing just 34 BR in 33 2/3 IP. The Bucs get the sweep.
Sunday, May 4th
MLB
Washington (Gonzalas) (-135) at Philadelphia (Hernandez) 1:05 ET
4% Washington -135
Love the situation in the pitching matchup. All greater than .500 teams for playing on the road following a loss are 54-28 this season. With Washington coming off a 7-2 loss on Saturday, must note that the Nats are 7-1 following a defeat of late. In spite of that loss, they are still 8-3 vs. the Phillies in this series of late. Hernandez will fill in for ailing Hamils. For the year –to- date, Hernandez has a 5.74 ERA allowing 41 base runners in 26 2/3 IP. The Phills are just 2-4 in his 6 starts losing the last 2. Much the opposite is true of Gonzalez. Washington is 5-1 in his starts including 3-0 recently. For the season, Gonzalez has a 3.25 ERA with 38/13 KBB. IN 8 starts vs. Philly, Gonzalez has worked 50 2/3 innings with a 2.66 ERA and 56/18 KBB.
Milwaukee (Lohse) at Cincinnati (Simon) (-115) 4:10 ET
3% Cincinnati (-115 Action)
Each of these pitchers is outstanding relegating this to an Action play with the Hunter vs. the Hunted. In filling in for Latos, Simon has been brilliant. In 5 starts, he has allowed 2 or less runs and 5 or less hits in each start with a .183 BAA. That is good for a 4-1 record with a 1.60 ERA. Lohse can match that 4-1 record with a 2.70 ERA and 40/11 KBB. Yet I clearly favor the Reds in this series finale. Despite winning 2/3 from the Brewers in this weekend set, Cincinnati still trails Milwaukee by 6 ½ games. Milwaukee entered the week at 18-7. Without Braun in the lineup, they have gone just 3-3 with a .204 BA. The Reds bullpen was a concern to begin the season. In the last 10 games, however, these relievers have returned to form with a 2.14 ERA.
NY Mets (Gee) at Colorado (Chacin) (-130) 4:10 ET
3% Colorado -130 Action
Finally! We won a 1 run game. We had the Rockies last night who trailed 6-0 out of the gate. An 8 run 5th game them the lead. But they needed a 2 run walk off homer for the eventual 11-10 victory. Now we are 12-19, 5-10 recently in 1 run decisions. Hoping last night’s victory keys a huge streak of 1 run wins to even our record. Despite that record in 1 run games, $100 % of bankroll players are still +$1470. Today we will back the Rockies again by a field where they have won 6-7 from the Mets. Colorado enters on a run of 6-1 outscoring the opposition 51-32. Last night’s win boosts the record at Coors to 11-4 where they have averaged 7.9 RPG. Gee has pitched well for the Mets with a 2.88 ERA with little to show for it as the Mets have alternated team wins and losses in his 6 starts. Chacin makes his first start of the season but in 20 IP vs. the Mets has a 1.80 ERA.
Tampa Bay (Bedard) at NY Yankees (Sabathia) (-1 ½ runs, +135) 1:05 ET
5% NY Yankees -1 ½ runs, +135
We won with the Yankees yesterday on the run line and come right back today. We have faded Bedard in each of his starts resulting in a 3-1 record for us. In those 4 starts, Bedard has a 5.52 ERA allowing 27 BR in 14 2/3 IP with a 10/10 KBB. HE IS NOW 0-9 in his last 15 starts. Pitching from this mound, Bedard is 1-3 with a 5.01 ERA. In his starts against NYY on April 18th Bedard lasted just 3 2/3 IP allowing 4 runs. Though Sabathia has a 5.11 ERA, his solid 41/8 KBB indicates better is in the offing. In his April 17th start against Tampa Bay, he went 7 innings allowing just 2 runs on 7 hits in a 10-2 win. In the previous 4 seasons, 153/202 NYY home wins have come by 2 or more runs. This year, 12-16 NYY wins have come by 2 or more runs. For Tampa Bay, all 10 of their road losses this year have come by 2 or more runs. Play the Yankees on the run line as your top play of the day.
Chicago White Sox (Rienzo) at Cleveland (Kluber) (-155) 1:05 ET
4% Cleveland -155
This is the CWS team we grew to love last year by playing against them. The Pale Hose are now on a 0-4 slide with a .212 BA. That drops their road record to 5-10 following a 26-55 road log last year. Returning home from a 0-6 road trip, the site of the White Sox has brought Cleveland to life. With a pair of victories this weekend, Cleveland has now won 8 straight vs. CWS on this field outscoring them 48-23. Kluber has pitched his best baseball from this mound this season. In 3 starts, Kluber has a 2.91 ERA with a 22/3 KBB. In a pair of appearances against Cleveland, Rienzo has worked 11 innings allowing 8 runs with 20 base runners. Play Cleveland for the sweep.
Toronto (McGowan) at Pittsburgh (Volquez) (-120) 1:35 ET
3% Pittsburgh -120
The Pirates entered this series reeling. On a 2-10 slide, Pittsburgh was hitting .217 averaging just 2.8 RPG. In 15/28 games, the Bucs had scored 2 or less runs. That all changed at the site of the Toronto pitching staff. Pittsburgh won the last two nights, by combined scores of 14-11 with a .387 BA. Toronto has now gone 1/8 in no small part because in the last 10 games Toronto has a 6.65 ERA including an 8.81 bullpen ERA. McGowan has a 5.87 ERA for the year including 7.07 in losing his last 3 starts. Volquez has been reborn with the Bucs posting a 3.21 ERA, 18/6 KBB while allowing just 34 BR in 33 2/3 IP. The Bucs get the sweep.
