CT Sports Picks
Pick: Sea -127
Reason: Finish the week off strong as Craig is locked and loaded with two 5 star winners: MLB Top Underdog Play of Day (17-6 MLB Run) + NBA Game 3 East Conf Winner. get both and thank us later with huge finish to the week!
SEA -127: split in this series first two games but today we have ace Hernandez on our side. For SD Stauffer takes the mound and thats great news for us as he has given up 10 runs in last two starts and 10 innings. Pads stink at home being worst team in league this year. 4 star play
Pick: Sea -127
Reason: Finish the week off strong as Craig is locked and loaded with two 5 star winners: MLB Top Underdog Play of Day (17-6 MLB Run) + NBA Game 3 East Conf Winner. get both and thank us later with huge finish to the week!
SEA -127: split in this series first two games but today we have ace Hernandez on our side. For SD Stauffer takes the mound and thats great news for us as he has given up 10 runs in last two starts and 10 innings. Pads stink at home being worst team in league this year. 4 star play
NBA
Write-Up
Sunday, May 22
We'll see what effect ridiculous four days between games has here; you'd think it favors the team with less depth (Miami). You look at stats from Games 1-2, and Miami's offensive stats are very similar; Chicago went from 44% in Game 1 to 34% in Game 2-- Rose was 10-22 in first game, 7-23 in Game 2. Chicago bench was just 5-16 last game (11-22 Game 1). Bulls are +12 in turnovers for series; they;ve got 36 offensive rebounds in two games but James/Wade got to foul line twice as much last game as in Game 1. Miami is 6-0 at home in playoffs, 1-4 vs Bulls this year. Heat scored 82-81-82 points in its three playoff losses.
Write-Up
Sunday, May 22
We'll see what effect ridiculous four days between games has here; you'd think it favors the team with less depth (Miami). You look at stats from Games 1-2, and Miami's offensive stats are very similar; Chicago went from 44% in Game 1 to 34% in Game 2-- Rose was 10-22 in first game, 7-23 in Game 2. Chicago bench was just 5-16 last game (11-22 Game 1). Bulls are +12 in turnovers for series; they;ve got 36 offensive rebounds in two games but James/Wade got to foul line twice as much last game as in Game 1. Miami is 6-0 at home in playoffs, 1-4 vs Bulls this year. Heat scored 82-81-82 points in its three playoff losses.
NHL
Write-Up
Sunday, May 22
Home team is 3-0 in Canuck-Shark series; after having power play for a total of just 2:53 in Games 1-2, Sharks had it for 15:51 in Game 3 (at the Shark Tank), scoring three times, and getting half their 38 shots on goal with man advantage. Red flag for San Jose is that they've been outscored 9-2 in third period this series- they scored three goals on nine shots last game in third period. Sharks are 5-3 at home in playoffs; they're 2-5 in last seven games overall. Vancouver is 4-3 on road in playoffs, 5-2 in its last seven games against San Jose. Only 33:51 of Game 3 was 6-on-6.
Write-Up
Sunday, May 22
Home team is 3-0 in Canuck-Shark series; after having power play for a total of just 2:53 in Games 1-2, Sharks had it for 15:51 in Game 3 (at the Shark Tank), scoring three times, and getting half their 38 shots on goal with man advantage. Red flag for San Jose is that they've been outscored 9-2 in third period this series- they scored three goals on nine shots last game in third period. Sharks are 5-3 at home in playoffs; they're 2-5 in last seven games overall. Vancouver is 4-3 on road in playoffs, 5-2 in its last seven games against San Jose. Only 33:51 of Game 3 was 6-on-6.
Today's NHL Picks
Vancouver at San Jose
The Sharks look to build on their 7-1 record in their last 8 playoff games as a favorite from -110 to -150. San Jose is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Sharks favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-115). Here are all of today's picks.
<table id="table1" cellpadding="4" cellspacing="4"><tbody><tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt; width: 564px;" height="17">SUNDAY, MAY 22
Time Posted 8:30 a.m. EST</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 95px;">Game 65-66: Vancouver at San Jose (3:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 11.059; San Jose 12.741
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-115); Under</td></tr></tbody></table>
Vancouver at San Jose
The Sharks look to build on their 7-1 record in their last 8 playoff games as a favorite from -110 to -150. San Jose is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Sharks favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-115). Here are all of today's picks.
<table id="table1" cellpadding="4" cellspacing="4"><tbody><tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt; width: 564px;" height="17">SUNDAY, MAY 22
Time Posted 8:30 a.m. EST</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 95px;">Game 65-66: Vancouver at San Jose (3:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 11.059; San Jose 12.741
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-115); Under</td></tr></tbody></table>
Today's NBA Picks
Chicago at Miami
The Heat look to build on their 4-0 ATS record in their last 4 playoff games as a favorite. Miami is the pick (-4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: Miami (-4 1/2). Here are all of today's picks
<table cellpadding="4" cellspacing="4"><tbody><tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt; width: 564px;" height="17">SUNDAY, MAY 22
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="564" height="17">Game 511-512: Chicago at Miami (8:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 121.161; Miami 128.351
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 7; 176
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 4 1/2; 179 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-4 1/2); Under</td></tr></tbody></table>
Chicago at Miami
The Heat look to build on their 4-0 ATS record in their last 4 playoff games as a favorite. Miami is the pick (-4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: Miami (-4 1/2). Here are all of today's picks
<table cellpadding="4" cellspacing="4"><tbody><tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt; width: 564px;" height="17">SUNDAY, MAY 22
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="564" height="17">Game 511-512: Chicago at Miami (8:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 121.161; Miami 128.351
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 7; 176
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 4 1/2; 179 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-4 1/2); Under</td></tr></tbody></table>
Today's MLB Picks
LA Dodgers at Chicago White Sox
The White Sox look to take advantage of an LA team that is 2-6 in Hiroki Kuroda's last 8 interleague starts. Chicago is the pick (-135) according to Dunkel, which has the White Sox favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-135). Here are all of today's picks.
<table cellpadding="4" cellspacing="4" width="538"><tbody><tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">SUNDAY, MAY 22
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 901-902: Colorado at Milwaukee (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Jimenez) 15.978; Milwaukee (Wolf) 15.182
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Colorado (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-115); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 903-904: Cincinnati at Cleveland (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Volquez) 15.016; Cleveland (Carrasco) 15.606
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-115); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 905-906: NY Mets at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Pelfrey) 16.235; NY Yankees (Nova) 15.088
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-185); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+165); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 907-908: Houston at Toronto (1:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Rodriguez) 14.689; Toronto (Drabek) 15.213
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-135); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 909-910: Tampa Bay at Florida (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Shields) 15.395; Florida (Buente) 13.883
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-145); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 911-912: Detroit at Pittsburgh (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Porcello) 16.065; Pittsburgh (Maholm) 15.006
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-115); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 913-914: Texas at Philadelphia (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Harrison) 15.935; Philadelphia (Oswalt) 15.136
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-160); 8
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+140); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 915-916: Washington at Baltimore (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Zimmermann) 15.967; Baltimore (Tillman) 14.863
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-105); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 917-918: St. Louis at Kansas City (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Garcia) 14.949; Kansas City (O'Sullivan) 15.984
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 9
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-165); 8
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+145); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 919-920: LA Dodgers at Chicago White Sox (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kuroda) 14.062; White Sox (Jackson) 16.077
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 2; 7
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-135); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 921-922: Atlanta at LA Angels (3:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Lowe) 15.684; LA Angles (Chatwood) 14.980
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-140); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 923-924: Seattle at San Diego (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Hernandez) 14.437; San Diego (Stauffer) 14.803
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle (-135); 6
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+115); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 925-926: Oakland at San Francisco (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Gonzalez) 15.526; San Francisco (Sanchez) 14.347
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 7
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-115); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-105); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 927-928: Minnesota at Arizona (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Liriano) 14.744; Arizona (Hudson) 15.876
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-150); 8
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-150); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 929-930: Chicago Cubs at Boston (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Russell) 15.798; Boston (Wakefield) 16.656
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-140); Under</td></tr></tbody></table>
LA Dodgers at Chicago White Sox
The White Sox look to take advantage of an LA team that is 2-6 in Hiroki Kuroda's last 8 interleague starts. Chicago is the pick (-135) according to Dunkel, which has the White Sox favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-135). Here are all of today's picks.
<table cellpadding="4" cellspacing="4" width="538"><tbody><tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">SUNDAY, MAY 22
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 901-902: Colorado at Milwaukee (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Jimenez) 15.978; Milwaukee (Wolf) 15.182
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Colorado (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-115); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 903-904: Cincinnati at Cleveland (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Volquez) 15.016; Cleveland (Carrasco) 15.606
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-115); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 905-906: NY Mets at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Pelfrey) 16.235; NY Yankees (Nova) 15.088
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-185); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+165); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 907-908: Houston at Toronto (1:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Rodriguez) 14.689; Toronto (Drabek) 15.213
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-135); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 909-910: Tampa Bay at Florida (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Shields) 15.395; Florida (Buente) 13.883
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-145); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 911-912: Detroit at Pittsburgh (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Porcello) 16.065; Pittsburgh (Maholm) 15.006
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-115); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 913-914: Texas at Philadelphia (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Harrison) 15.935; Philadelphia (Oswalt) 15.136
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-160); 8
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+140); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 915-916: Washington at Baltimore (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Zimmermann) 15.967; Baltimore (Tillman) 14.863
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-105); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 917-918: St. Louis at Kansas City (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Garcia) 14.949; Kansas City (O'Sullivan) 15.984
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 9
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-165); 8
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+145); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 919-920: LA Dodgers at Chicago White Sox (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kuroda) 14.062; White Sox (Jackson) 16.077
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 2; 7
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-135); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 921-922: Atlanta at LA Angels (3:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Lowe) 15.684; LA Angles (Chatwood) 14.980
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-140); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 923-924: Seattle at San Diego (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Hernandez) 14.437; San Diego (Stauffer) 14.803
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle (-135); 6
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+115); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 925-926: Oakland at San Francisco (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Gonzalez) 15.526; San Francisco (Sanchez) 14.347
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 7
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-115); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-105); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 927-928: Minnesota at Arizona (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Liriano) 14.744; Arizona (Hudson) 15.876
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-150); 8
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-150); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 929-930: Chicago Cubs at Boston (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Russell) 15.798; Boston (Wakefield) 16.656
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-140); Under</td></tr></tbody></table>
GC MLB Play
Sunday Double Perfect 7* NBA Playoff Game of the Year has 19-0 and 14-0 Power Systems. Saturday Top plays on Dallas and the under cash big. MLB splits. 21-3 Dominator Side goes early + NHL Power Side. Free MLB Play below
On Sunday the Bonus Play is on the Oakland A/s. Game 925 at 4:04 eastern. Oakland has won 6 of 7 on Sunday while The Giants have lost 5 of 6 on Sunday. The A/s are 6-2 as road dogs from +100 to +125 and have won 9 of 12 vs Left handed Pitchers. The Giants are averaging 3.4 runs per game vs Leftys this season. The Pitching matchup also favors Oakland as G. Gonzalez has a 2.31 era compared to 3.71 for J. Sanchez. Oakland is a live dog here. Look for them to take the finale. On Sunday its the 7* Double perfect NBA Playoff Game of the Year. This game is backed with 2 Power systems with 19-0 and 14-0 records. Saturday night we has Dallas and the under as the NBA Is on a Big Run. I also have a Solid 21-3 MLB Power System Play and an NHL Sequence scenario side. Jump on and end the week big today. Fort the Bonus Play take Oakland. GC
Sunday Double Perfect 7* NBA Playoff Game of the Year has 19-0 and 14-0 Power Systems. Saturday Top plays on Dallas and the under cash big. MLB splits. 21-3 Dominator Side goes early + NHL Power Side. Free MLB Play below
On Sunday the Bonus Play is on the Oakland A/s. Game 925 at 4:04 eastern. Oakland has won 6 of 7 on Sunday while The Giants have lost 5 of 6 on Sunday. The A/s are 6-2 as road dogs from +100 to +125 and have won 9 of 12 vs Left handed Pitchers. The Giants are averaging 3.4 runs per game vs Leftys this season. The Pitching matchup also favors Oakland as G. Gonzalez has a 2.31 era compared to 3.71 for J. Sanchez. Oakland is a live dog here. Look for them to take the finale. On Sunday its the 7* Double perfect NBA Playoff Game of the Year. This game is backed with 2 Power systems with 19-0 and 14-0 records. Saturday night we has Dallas and the under as the NBA Is on a Big Run. I also have a Solid 21-3 MLB Power System Play and an NHL Sequence scenario side. Jump on and end the week big today. Fort the Bonus Play take Oakland. GC
SPORTS WAGERS
Los Angeles +126 over CHICAGO
The White Sox beat the Dodgers yesterday to even the series at 1-1 but they’re still four games under .500 at home and they’ve lost five of the last six games that Edwin Jackson has started. Current Dodger hitters have seen Jackson for a combined 75 AB’s and have a sweet .338 BA against him with an even sweeter .373 SLG% and .910 OPS. Those are some serious numbers and it’s not like Jackson is tearing it up these days. The opposition is batting .294 against him and his 4.53 ERA is not far off from his xERA of 4.33. Meanwhile, Hiroki Kuroda has elite skills right across the board. Outstanding control (15 BB) combined with a decent strikeout rate of 48 K’s in 60 frames combined with a strong groundball/fly-ball profile of 52%/33% makes Kuroda one of the most reliable pitchers in the game. Kuroda has allowed two earned runs or fewer in six of nine starts this season and one has to believe that the Dodgers chances of winning with Kuroda on the hill are better than the South Side’s chances. Play: Los Angeles +126 (Risking 2 units).
N.Y. Mets +164 over N.Y. YANKEES
You’ll have to excuse us while we crap our pants in awe of the Yanks 7-3 win over the Mets yesterday. It was the Yankees first home win in their last seven games but it doesn’t change the fact that they continue to be way overvalued. As a result of that, we’ll continue to take back these big offerings against them and absolutely make no exception here. Ivan Nova has upside for sure but his BB/K (20/24) ratio needs serious help. He’s always working deep into counts and thus his pitch count is almost always high. Mike Pelfrey's improved pitching continues, as he has now recorded a quality start in four of his last five outings. He has seen his ERA decrease from 9.72 to 5.11 over that span. In 21.1 frames this month, Pelfrey has allowed just 16 hits and five earned runs for an ERA of 2.11 and a WHIP of 0.98. Pelfrey is risky because he, too, has a poor BB/SO ratio but the difference is he’s not the one laying –175. Play: N.Y. Mets +164 (Risking 2 units).
Washington +102 over BALTIMORE
Jordan Zimmerman is getting stronger and better with each passing start. He returned from Tommy John surgery last August and he flashed good skills, headlined by xERA, good command and GB profile. This year, his command is still outstanding and his velocity is slowly but surely returning. Zimmerman was slated to pitch Tuesday but gets an extra five days rest because that game was postponed by rain. Zimmermann is not hurt, with the break being part of the team's plan to limit his innings this year. Over his last two starts, Zimmerman has struck out 17 batters over 12.1 innings. He’s walked just 11 hitters all year in 48 frames and he should be extra sharp here with the extra days rest. Chris Tilman continues to get smacked around by RHers. He comes in with a 5.35 ERA and a 39%/45% GB/FB profile. He has a low strikeout rate and an ugly looking pen behind him. His 5.87 ERA from last year has not shown much improvement this season. Tilman and the O’s pen is not a good proposition to be laying anything with. Play: Washington +102 (Risking 2 units).
Los Angeles +126 over CHICAGO
The White Sox beat the Dodgers yesterday to even the series at 1-1 but they’re still four games under .500 at home and they’ve lost five of the last six games that Edwin Jackson has started. Current Dodger hitters have seen Jackson for a combined 75 AB’s and have a sweet .338 BA against him with an even sweeter .373 SLG% and .910 OPS. Those are some serious numbers and it’s not like Jackson is tearing it up these days. The opposition is batting .294 against him and his 4.53 ERA is not far off from his xERA of 4.33. Meanwhile, Hiroki Kuroda has elite skills right across the board. Outstanding control (15 BB) combined with a decent strikeout rate of 48 K’s in 60 frames combined with a strong groundball/fly-ball profile of 52%/33% makes Kuroda one of the most reliable pitchers in the game. Kuroda has allowed two earned runs or fewer in six of nine starts this season and one has to believe that the Dodgers chances of winning with Kuroda on the hill are better than the South Side’s chances. Play: Los Angeles +126 (Risking 2 units).
N.Y. Mets +164 over N.Y. YANKEES
You’ll have to excuse us while we crap our pants in awe of the Yanks 7-3 win over the Mets yesterday. It was the Yankees first home win in their last seven games but it doesn’t change the fact that they continue to be way overvalued. As a result of that, we’ll continue to take back these big offerings against them and absolutely make no exception here. Ivan Nova has upside for sure but his BB/K (20/24) ratio needs serious help. He’s always working deep into counts and thus his pitch count is almost always high. Mike Pelfrey's improved pitching continues, as he has now recorded a quality start in four of his last five outings. He has seen his ERA decrease from 9.72 to 5.11 over that span. In 21.1 frames this month, Pelfrey has allowed just 16 hits and five earned runs for an ERA of 2.11 and a WHIP of 0.98. Pelfrey is risky because he, too, has a poor BB/SO ratio but the difference is he’s not the one laying –175. Play: N.Y. Mets +164 (Risking 2 units).
Washington +102 over BALTIMORE
Jordan Zimmerman is getting stronger and better with each passing start. He returned from Tommy John surgery last August and he flashed good skills, headlined by xERA, good command and GB profile. This year, his command is still outstanding and his velocity is slowly but surely returning. Zimmerman was slated to pitch Tuesday but gets an extra five days rest because that game was postponed by rain. Zimmermann is not hurt, with the break being part of the team's plan to limit his innings this year. Over his last two starts, Zimmerman has struck out 17 batters over 12.1 innings. He’s walked just 11 hitters all year in 48 frames and he should be extra sharp here with the extra days rest. Chris Tilman continues to get smacked around by RHers. He comes in with a 5.35 ERA and a 39%/45% GB/FB profile. He has a low strikeout rate and an ugly looking pen behind him. His 5.87 ERA from last year has not shown much improvement this season. Tilman and the O’s pen is not a good proposition to be laying anything with. Play: Washington +102 (Risking 2 units).
MLB
Write-Up
Sunday, May 22
Hot pitchers
-- Pelfrey is 2-0, 2.53 in his last three starts. Nova is 3-1, 4.13 in his last five starts.
-- WRodriguez is 1-0, 1.50 in his last four starts.
-- Shields is 4-1, 1.82 in his last seven starts.
-- Maholm has a 2.79 RA in his last three starts, but Pirates scored only five runs in his last four outings.
-- Porcello is 3-0, 1.99 in his last five starts.
-- Oswalt is 1-0, 3.00 in two home starts.
-- Tillman is 1-0, 0.82 in his last couple starts.
-- Garcia is 2-0, 0.75 in his last three starts.
-- Kuroda is 2-0, 0.00 in his last two starts (14.2 IP). EJackson has 2.21 RA in his last three starts.
-- Stauffer has a 2.12 RA in his last three home starts.
-- Lowe is 1-0, 2.84 in his last three starts.
-- FHernandez is 3-2, 2.74 in his last six starts.
-- GGonzalez is 3-0, 4.24 in his last four starts; he'd have loss, but 7-0 deficit in Texas was rained out in 4th inning.
-- Liriano is 2-1, 2.37 in his last three starts. DHudson is 4-1, 2.67 in his last five starts.
Cold pitchers
-- Jimenez is 0-3, 6.38 in seven starts this season. Wolf is 0-2, 8.56 in his last three starts.
-- Volquez is 1-1, 6.14 in his last three road starts. Carrasco is 1-1, 5.03 in his last four starts.
-- Drabek is 1-2, 5.85 in his last four starts.
-- Buente is making first big league start; he was
-- Harrison is 0-4, 6.35 in his last six starts, but he lost a win when 7-0 lead was washed out in 4th inning.
-- Zimmerman is 1-3, 9.00 in his last five starts.
-- O'Sullivan is 1-2, 5.95 in his last three starts.
-- Chatwood is 0-1, 6.10 in his last four starts.
-- JSanchez is 1-2, 6.00 in his last three starts.
-- Russell is 0-4, 11.30 in four starts this season. Wakefield is 0-1, 8.10 in his two starts this season.
Totals
-- Five of last six Colorado road games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last ten Toronto home games went over the total.
-- Seven of Cardinals' last nine road games went over the total.
-- Under is 9-4-1 in Dodgers' last fourteen games.
-- Nine of Cubs' last ten games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Cincinnati road games stayed under the total.
-- 12 of Phillies' last 15 games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Baltimore games went over the total.
-- Under is 11-4 in last fifteen Bronx home games.
-- Five of last seven Detroit games stayed under the total. Under is 9-0 in Maholm starts this season.
-- Over is 4-2-1 in last seven Tampa Bay road games.
-- Three of last four Arizona games went over the total.
-- Angels' last six home games all went over the total.
-- Five of last six games at Petco Park stayed under the total.
-- San Francisco's last three games stayed under the total.
Hot teams
-- Brewers won nine of their last twelve games.
-- Red Sox won 10 of their last 13 games.
-- Indians won 17 of their last 19 home games.
-- Phillies are 9-5 in their last fourteen home games.
-- Pirates won their last four games, allowing six runs.
-- Florida won its last two games, both by 5-3 scores.
-- Toronto won eight of its last ten games.
-- Mets are 10-5 in their last fifteen games. Bronx won four of its last five games, but lost six of last seven at home.
-- Cardinals won five of their last six games.
-- White Sox won 10 of their last 14 games.
-- Arizona won eight of its last ten home games.
-- Seattle won its last five games, allowing three runs.
-- Giants won 11 of their last 14 games.
Cold teams
-- Colorado lost eight of its last ten road games.
-- Reds lost their last four games, scoring eight runs.
-- Texas is 4-11 in its last fifteen road games.
-- Orioles lost four of their last five games. Nationals lost six of their last eight games.
-- Astros lost eleven of their last fourteen games.
-- Detroit lost its last five games, scoring nine runs.
-- Rays lost four of their last five games.
-- Royals lost eight of their last twelve games.
-- Dodgers lost six of their last eight games.
-- Minnesota lost 11 of its last 14 games.
-- Angels lost eight of their last ten games. Atlanta lost three of its last four games.
-- San Diego lost 14 of its last 20 home games.
-- Oakland lost its last four games, scoring five runs.
Umpires
-- Colo-Mil-- Last four Dreckman games stayed under the total.
-- Cin-Clev-- Last five Hoye games stayed under the total.
-- NY-NY-- Five of last seven Cooper games stayed under.
-- Hst-Tor-- Favorite won seven of nine Bellino games this season.
-- TB-Fla-- Under is 6-2-1 in Diaz games this season.
-- Det-Pitt-- Underdogs are 6-4 when Winters is behind the plate.
-- Tex-Phil-- Four of last five Dimuro games went over the total.
-- Wsh-Balt-- Home team won last seven Tichenor games (under 5-2).
-- StL-KC-- All three Campos games this season stayed under total.
-- LA-CWS-- Home team won five of last six Culbreth games.
-- Atl-LAA-- Six of last eight Davidson games went over the total.
-- Sea-SD-- Favorites won five of last six Barrett games (over is 3-0-2 in his last five games).
-- A's-SF-- Eight of ten Scott games went over the total.
-- Minn-Az-- Six of eight Foster games stayed under total.
-- Chi-Bos-- Home side won seven of last eight Hickox games.
Write-Up
Sunday, May 22
Hot pitchers
-- Pelfrey is 2-0, 2.53 in his last three starts. Nova is 3-1, 4.13 in his last five starts.
-- WRodriguez is 1-0, 1.50 in his last four starts.
-- Shields is 4-1, 1.82 in his last seven starts.
-- Maholm has a 2.79 RA in his last three starts, but Pirates scored only five runs in his last four outings.
-- Porcello is 3-0, 1.99 in his last five starts.
-- Oswalt is 1-0, 3.00 in two home starts.
-- Tillman is 1-0, 0.82 in his last couple starts.
-- Garcia is 2-0, 0.75 in his last three starts.
-- Kuroda is 2-0, 0.00 in his last two starts (14.2 IP). EJackson has 2.21 RA in his last three starts.
-- Stauffer has a 2.12 RA in his last three home starts.
-- Lowe is 1-0, 2.84 in his last three starts.
-- FHernandez is 3-2, 2.74 in his last six starts.
-- GGonzalez is 3-0, 4.24 in his last four starts; he'd have loss, but 7-0 deficit in Texas was rained out in 4th inning.
-- Liriano is 2-1, 2.37 in his last three starts. DHudson is 4-1, 2.67 in his last five starts.
Cold pitchers
-- Jimenez is 0-3, 6.38 in seven starts this season. Wolf is 0-2, 8.56 in his last three starts.
-- Volquez is 1-1, 6.14 in his last three road starts. Carrasco is 1-1, 5.03 in his last four starts.
-- Drabek is 1-2, 5.85 in his last four starts.
-- Buente is making first big league start; he was
-- Harrison is 0-4, 6.35 in his last six starts, but he lost a win when 7-0 lead was washed out in 4th inning.
-- Zimmerman is 1-3, 9.00 in his last five starts.
-- O'Sullivan is 1-2, 5.95 in his last three starts.
-- Chatwood is 0-1, 6.10 in his last four starts.
-- JSanchez is 1-2, 6.00 in his last three starts.
-- Russell is 0-4, 11.30 in four starts this season. Wakefield is 0-1, 8.10 in his two starts this season.
Totals
-- Five of last six Colorado road games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last ten Toronto home games went over the total.
-- Seven of Cardinals' last nine road games went over the total.
-- Under is 9-4-1 in Dodgers' last fourteen games.
-- Nine of Cubs' last ten games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Cincinnati road games stayed under the total.
-- 12 of Phillies' last 15 games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Baltimore games went over the total.
-- Under is 11-4 in last fifteen Bronx home games.
-- Five of last seven Detroit games stayed under the total. Under is 9-0 in Maholm starts this season.
-- Over is 4-2-1 in last seven Tampa Bay road games.
-- Three of last four Arizona games went over the total.
-- Angels' last six home games all went over the total.
-- Five of last six games at Petco Park stayed under the total.
-- San Francisco's last three games stayed under the total.
Hot teams
-- Brewers won nine of their last twelve games.
-- Red Sox won 10 of their last 13 games.
-- Indians won 17 of their last 19 home games.
-- Phillies are 9-5 in their last fourteen home games.
-- Pirates won their last four games, allowing six runs.
-- Florida won its last two games, both by 5-3 scores.
-- Toronto won eight of its last ten games.
-- Mets are 10-5 in their last fifteen games. Bronx won four of its last five games, but lost six of last seven at home.
-- Cardinals won five of their last six games.
-- White Sox won 10 of their last 14 games.
-- Arizona won eight of its last ten home games.
-- Seattle won its last five games, allowing three runs.
-- Giants won 11 of their last 14 games.
Cold teams
-- Colorado lost eight of its last ten road games.
-- Reds lost their last four games, scoring eight runs.
-- Texas is 4-11 in its last fifteen road games.
-- Orioles lost four of their last five games. Nationals lost six of their last eight games.
-- Astros lost eleven of their last fourteen games.
-- Detroit lost its last five games, scoring nine runs.
-- Rays lost four of their last five games.
-- Royals lost eight of their last twelve games.
-- Dodgers lost six of their last eight games.
-- Minnesota lost 11 of its last 14 games.
-- Angels lost eight of their last ten games. Atlanta lost three of its last four games.
-- San Diego lost 14 of its last 20 home games.
-- Oakland lost its last four games, scoring five runs.
Umpires
-- Colo-Mil-- Last four Dreckman games stayed under the total.
-- Cin-Clev-- Last five Hoye games stayed under the total.
-- NY-NY-- Five of last seven Cooper games stayed under.
-- Hst-Tor-- Favorite won seven of nine Bellino games this season.
-- TB-Fla-- Under is 6-2-1 in Diaz games this season.
-- Det-Pitt-- Underdogs are 6-4 when Winters is behind the plate.
-- Tex-Phil-- Four of last five Dimuro games went over the total.
-- Wsh-Balt-- Home team won last seven Tichenor games (under 5-2).
-- StL-KC-- All three Campos games this season stayed under total.
-- LA-CWS-- Home team won five of last six Culbreth games.
-- Atl-LAA-- Six of last eight Davidson games went over the total.
-- Sea-SD-- Favorites won five of last six Barrett games (over is 3-0-2 in his last five games).
-- A's-SF-- Eight of ten Scott games went over the total.
-- Minn-Az-- Six of eight Foster games stayed under total.
-- Chi-Bos-- Home side won seven of last eight Hickox games.
FANTASY SPORTS GAMETIME
MLB Baseball Sunday
Play Tampa Bay (-140) over Florida (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 1:10 PM EST
Tampa Bay has won 8 of the last 10 road games as a favorite of -110 or higher and they have also won 8 of the last 9 games coming off four or more road games. Florida has lost 18 of the last 27 games coming off two or more wins by 2 runs or less and they have also lost 38 of the last 58 home games as an underdog of +100 or higher.
Play Arizona (-150) over Minnesota (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 4:10 PM EST
Arizona has won 7 of the last 8 games and they have also won 27 of the last 38 games as a favorite of -150 or higher. Daniel Hudson has won 6 consecutive games as a home favorite of -125 to -175 and he has an ERA of 1.74 over the last three starts.
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Play NY Yankees (-175) over NY Mets (Bonus)
MLB Baseball Sunday
Play Tampa Bay (-140) over Florida (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 1:10 PM EST
Tampa Bay has won 8 of the last 10 road games as a favorite of -110 or higher and they have also won 8 of the last 9 games coming off four or more road games. Florida has lost 18 of the last 27 games coming off two or more wins by 2 runs or less and they have also lost 38 of the last 58 home games as an underdog of +100 or higher.
Play Arizona (-150) over Minnesota (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 4:10 PM EST
Arizona has won 7 of the last 8 games and they have also won 27 of the last 38 games as a favorite of -150 or higher. Daniel Hudson has won 6 consecutive games as a home favorite of -125 to -175 and he has an ERA of 1.74 over the last three starts.
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Play NY Yankees (-175) over NY Mets (Bonus)
WUNDERDOG (MLB)
1 OF 10
Game: Tampa Bay at Florida (1:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: Tampa Bay -150 (moneyline)
The Rays caught a break here in not having to face Josh Johnson. Scheduled to start this game, Johnson was put on the 15-day disabled list. They get Jay Buente instead. So instead of facing Johnson and his 1.64 ERA, the Rays face a 27-year old who has been called up from Triple A to make his first career start. This is an important game for the Rays who look to avoid dropping their fourth straight. On the road this season, Tampa Bay is averaging 5.7 runs per game so I expect them to have success vs. Buente. James Shields goes for the Rays and he's been great, posting a 2.26 ERA. He's been as good on the road as he has been at home. Tampa Bay has been one of the best road teams the past couple of seasons, going 63-42 for +16.2 units over that span. They are also 11-4 overall in their last 15 road games while the Marlins are 2-6 in their last eight games following a win.
Take the Rays here.
1 OF 10
Game: Tampa Bay at Florida (1:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: Tampa Bay -150 (moneyline)
The Rays caught a break here in not having to face Josh Johnson. Scheduled to start this game, Johnson was put on the 15-day disabled list. They get Jay Buente instead. So instead of facing Johnson and his 1.64 ERA, the Rays face a 27-year old who has been called up from Triple A to make his first career start. This is an important game for the Rays who look to avoid dropping their fourth straight. On the road this season, Tampa Bay is averaging 5.7 runs per game so I expect them to have success vs. Buente. James Shields goes for the Rays and he's been great, posting a 2.26 ERA. He's been as good on the road as he has been at home. Tampa Bay has been one of the best road teams the past couple of seasons, going 63-42 for +16.2 units over that span. They are also 11-4 overall in their last 15 road games while the Marlins are 2-6 in their last eight games following a win.
Take the Rays here.
