Service Plays Sunday 3/23/14

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STATSYSTEMS SPORTS STAT/SHEETS, 3/23/14
NCAA COLLEGE BASKETBALL
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Sunday, 3/23/14 NCAACB Knowledge *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2013-14 NCAA College Basketball season we will analyze all of your daily basketball action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
______________________________________

Sunday's Notebook
•Mercer beat Tennessee 75-67 LY in Knoxville in a first round NIT game, shooting 56% inside arc while turning ball over only eight times. Bears were 23-28 from line versus Duke Friday, shot 56% inside arc- they're 78-31 over last three years, so this isn't a fluke. Mercer won at Ole Miss back in December, lost by 3 at Texas. Tennessee won seven of last eight, with 56-49 loss to Florida in SEC tourney; they beat SC-Upstate 74-65 back in November, its only game versus an A-Sun opponent. Volunteers are playing for third time in five days, beating Iowa in OT Wednesday, beating UMass by 19 Friday. Favorites covered only three previous second round games with an 11-seed meeting a 14-seed

•Over last 5+ years, #1 seeds are 13-7-1 versus spread in this round. Virginia was down 5 at half Friday, only 9th #1 seed to trail a 16-seed at the half, but they won comfortably. Cavaliers won 17 of last 18 games since tough loss at Duke in early January; they're #7 in country, allowing opponents to make only 41.7% of its 2-point shots. Memphis is just 3-3 in its last six games; they turn ball over too much, don't make enough foul shots for team with their talent- they're 5-8 versus top 30 teams this year- they've played #49 schedule nationally, are #62 in experience. Virginia won by 3 over SMU in its only game versus an AAC opponent.

•Since 1999, #10 seeds who beat 7-seed in first round are 18-7 versus spread in second round. Stanford is #21 in country in experience, #13 in height; they played #20 schedule in country. Both Cardinal guards played 40:00 Friday, third starter played 36 in brickfest win over New Mexico- they held Williams/Kirk to combined 1-12 from floor. Kansas was 32-all at half with EKU Friday, Over last 5+ years, #2 seeds are 11-7 versus spread in this round. Jayhawks split last six games; their defense isn't as good without Embiid; they lost at Colorado in only games versus Pac-12 squad.

•Wichita State is 35-0, they were in Final Four LY, while Kentucky was losing NIT game at Robert Morris. Shockers beat Tennessee by 9, beat Alabama by 5 in its two games versus SEC opponents. Over last 5+ years, #1 seeds are 13-7-1 versus spread in this round. Kentucky is last in country in experience; they're 4-8 this season versus top 50 teams- they turned ball over 15 times on 61 possessions in Friday's ugly win versus Kansas State. Last time Wichita won game by less than 10 points was at No Iowa on Feb 8- this is their Super Bowl, the game Dick Vitale says they're going to lose. Game opened at Wichita -2.5, is now -4.5 or -5.

•Baylor won 11 of last 13 games; they dismantled Nebraska Friday 74-60 going 38-48 on foul line, with Nebraska coach getting tossed for carping to refs. Bears are athletic but do not defend 3's well, allowing opponents to hit 36.1% of them, bad news versus Creighton squad that leads country, making 42.1% behind arc. Favorites covered nine of last 11 second round games pitting 3-seed versus 6-seed. Bluejays scored 72+ wins in their last seven wins; they scored 69 or less points in their last six losses. Baylor held five of its last eight opponents under 70 points. Guys on ESPNU during week seemed pessimistic about Creighton's chances in this game.

•Iowa State's Niang (foot) is done for year, huge blow for Cyclone squad whose bench is in bottom 25 in country in minutes played. State won its last five games, scoring 85+ points in four of five games. North Carolina snuck by gutty Providence by hoop Friday, its first win in three games; Tar Heels were torched by PG Cotton (36 points, 8 assists). Tar Heels lost by 3 at home to Texas in their only game versus Big 12 opponent this season. Favorites covered nine of last 11 second round games pitting a #3-seed versus 6-seed, but like we said, Niang's injury just makes Cyclones unplayable in this spot.

•Arizona won eight of last ten games but after being up 12 on Weber St. at half Friday, Wildcats struggled to put away a 14-6 Big Sky team, with final score 68-59. Gonzaga was sharp in fairly easy win over Oklahoma State, running out to 9-0 lead and coasting home; they won last six in a row, beat Pac-12 doormat Washington State by 16 in only game versus Pac-12 squad. Zags won last meeting with Arizona by 11 two years ago; they lost last four second round games and seven of last nine- their last Sweet 16 was in 2009. Since '01, Arizona is 7-1 in this round. Over last 5+ seasons, #1 seeds are 13-7-1 versus spread in this round.

•Stephen F Austin pulled rabbit out of hat with amazing comeback in last minute versus VCU, beating Rams in OT; #12 seeds covered six of last seven tries as an underdog in this round. Lumberjacks haven't lost since 66-58 loss at East Tennessee, which is coached by Murray Bartow, whose dad replaced John Wooden at UCLA. Bruins won last four games, three by 17+ points; they're #25 in country, making 38.9% from arc. Over last 12 years, #4 seeds are 11-21 versus spread as favorite in this round. SFA is #4 in country, forcing turnovers 24.1% of time- they lost at Texas by 10, best team they had played until beating VCU Friday.

•Situational Trends of The Day
-- VIRGINIA is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in a week this season.
The average score was VIRGINIA 68.4, OPPONENT 53.0.

-- ARIZONA is 12-1 UNDER (+10.9 Units) after a game where they made 50% of their 3 point shots or better over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ARIZONA 69.4, OPPONENT 59.1.

-- TENNESSEE is 16-5 against the 1rst half line (+10.5 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins this season.
The average score was TENNESSEE 34.9, OPPONENT 26.7.

-- KANSAS is 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) the 1rst half total in road games after playing 4 consecutive games as favorite this season.
The average score was KANSAS 31.5, OPPONENT 32.2.

-- GREGG MARSHALL is 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) as a neutral court favorite of 6 points or less or pick as the coach of WICHITA ST.
The average score was MARSHALL 69.7, OPPONENT 57.9.

•Matchup Trends of The Day
-- VIRGINIA is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots after 15+ games this season.
The average score was VIRGINIA 66.8, OPPONENT 55.0.

-- N CAROLINA is 9-0 OVER (+9.0 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games this season.
The average score was N CAROLINA 77.9, OPPONENT 76.3.

-- STANFORD is 12-0 (+12.0 Units) against the 1rst half line versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing <=12 turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was STANFORD 37.2, OPPONENT 28.2.

-- CLEMSON is 12-1 OVER (+10.9 Units) the 1rst half total versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game this season.
The average score was CLEMSON 30.2, OPPONENT 32.2.

-- JOHN GROCE is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in home games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game after 15+ games as the coach of ILLINOIS.
The average score was GROCE 60.3, OPPONENT 69.3.

•Situation Analysis of The Day
-- Play Against - An underdog versus the money line (SOUTHERN MISS) - in a game involving two good defensive teams (40-42.5%), dominant rebounding team (>=+6 reb/game) against a good rebounding team (+3 to +6 reb/game).
(47-4 over the last 5 seasons.) (92.2%, +40.7 units. Rating = 5*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -173.8
The average score in these games was: Team 72.8, Opponent 62.2 (Average point differential = +10.6)

The situation's record this season is: (12-0, +12 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (27-1, +24.5 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (107-31, +41.1 units).

-- Play Against - A road team (CLEMSON) - excellent defensive team (<=40%) against a good defensive team (40-42.5%) after 15+ games, after 2 straight games making 50% of their shots or better.
(37-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.4%, +27.1 units. Rating = 4*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (30-17 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.7
The average score in these games was: Team 69.9, Opponent 65.7 (Average point differential = +4.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 15 (32.6% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (6-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (23-5).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (70-49).

-- Play Under - All teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (CREIGHTON) - hot team - having won 15 or more of their last 20 games, in a NCAA tournament game, with four starters returning from last season.
(62-22 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.8%, +37.8 units. Rating = 4*)

The average total posted in these games was: 144.5
The average score in these games was: Team 68.5, Opponent 68.7 (Total points scored = 137.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 51 (60.7% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (4-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (34-10).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (191-132).

-- Play On - An underdog versus the 1rst half line (GONZAGA) - good FT shooting team (69-73%) against an average FT shooting team (65-69%) after 15+ games, after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 40% or less.
(37-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (77.1%, +24.9 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 30.3, Opponent 30.2 (Average first half point differential = +0.1)

The situation's record this season is: (7-5).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-10).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (61-36).

-- Play Over - Neutral court teams where the first half total is 60.5 to 65.5 (WICHITA ST) - good shooting team (45-47.5%) against an average shooting team (42.5-45%), in a game involving two dominant rebounding teams (>=+6 reb/game) after 15+ games.
(58-14 since 1997.) (80.6%, +42.6 units. Rating = 5*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 62.9
The average first half score in these games was: Team 33.4, Opponent 33.4 (Total first half points scored = 66.8)

The situation's record this season is: (2-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (14-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (20-10).
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NBA

Hot teams
-- Hawks won five of their last six games.
-- Suns won four of their last five games. Minnesota won three of its last four home games.
-- Nuggets won their last four home games.
-- Brooklyn won six of its last seven games. Dallas won six of last eight.
-- New York won its last eight games (6-2 vs spread).

Cold Teams
-- Raptors lost three of their last four games.
-- Wizards covered twice in their last eight games.
-- Sacramento lost six of its last eight games. Bucks lost last six games, but covered six of their last eight.
-- Cavaliers lost last four games, but covered five of last six.
-- Magic lost its last eight games (3-5 vs spread). Lakers lost seven of their last eight games.

Series records
-- Hawks won 15 of their last 19 games with Toronto.
-- Suns lost three of last four games with Minnesota.
-- Nuggets won five of last seven games with Washington.
-- Bucks won four of last five visits to Sacramento.
-- Nets won three of last four games with Dallas; underdogs covered last five series games.
-- Knicks won seven of last nine games with Cleveland.
-- Lakers lost five of last seven games with Orlando.

Totals
-- Six of last eight Hawk-Raptor games went over total.
-- Four of last five Phoenix games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Washington games went over total.
-- Seven of last eight Sacramento games went over.
-- Over is 3-1 in Nets' last four visits to Dallas.
-- Over is 21-15 in New York home games this year.
-- Six of last eight Laker games went over the total.
 
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NHL

Hot teams
-- Blue Jackets won four of their last five road games.
-- Penguins won three of their last four home games.
-- Chicago won three of its last four games.
-- Red Wings won four of their last five games.


Cold teams
-- Islanders lost six of their last nine games.
-- Blues lost their last two games, 4-0/4-1.
-- Maple Leafs lost their last four games, scoring 10 goals. Devils lost four of their last five.
-- Predators lost three of their last four games.
-- Minnesota lost seven of its last nine games.
-- Vancouver is 0-6 in game following its last six wins. Sabres lost seven of last eight games.
-- Panthers, Ducks both lost six of their last eight games.

Totals
-- Six of last seven Columbus games stayed under total.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six St Louis games; last four Penguin games went over.
-- Seven of last ten New Jersey games went over the total.
-- Last seven Chicago games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in Detroit's last seven games.
-- Under is 8-1-1 in last ten Buffalo games.
-- Five of last seven Anaheim games stayed under.

Series records
-- Islanders lost last two games with Columbus, 7-3/5-2.
-- Penguins won three of last four games with St Louis.
-- Maple Leafs won their last six games with New Jersey.
-- Blackhawks won seven of last nine games with Nashville.
-- Red Wings won ten of last fourteen games with Minnesota.
-- Sabres won two of last three games with Vancouver.
-- Ducks won three of last four games with Florida.
 

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Hockey Crusher
St Louis Blues + Pittsburgh Penguins UNDER 5.5
(System Record: 77-3, lost last 4 games)
Overall Record: 77-65-1
 

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Basketball Crusher
Mercer +7.5 over Tennessee
(System Record: 64-7, lost last game)
Overall Record: 64-75-5
 

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Soccer Crusher
Gimnasia LP + San Lorenzo UNDER 2
This match is happening in Argentina
(System Record: 540-20, won last 3 games)
Overall Record: 540-465-79
 
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Hockey Crusher
St Louis Blues + Pittsburgh Penguins UNDER 5.5
(System Record: 77-3, lost last 4 games)
Overall Record: 77-65-1

Rest of the Plays
Detroit Red Wings -120 over Minnesota Wild
Chicago Blackhawks -1.5 over Nashville Predators
Pittsburgh Penguins -115 over St. Louis
 
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NCAAB

Sunday, March 23

NCAA games

Mercer beat Tennessee 75-67 LY in Knoxville in a first round NIT game, shooting 56% inside arc while turning ball over only eight times. Bears were 23-28 from line vs Duke Friday, shot 56% inside arc- they're 78-31 over last three years, so this isn't a fluke. Mercer won at Ole Miss back in December, lost by 3 at Texas. Tennessee won seven of last eight, with 56-49 loss to Florida in SEC tourney; they beat SC-Upstate 74-65 back in November, its only game vs an A-Sun opponent. Vols are playing for third time in five days, beating Iowa in OT Wednesday, beating UMass by 19 Friday. Favorites covered only three previous second round games with an 11-seed meeting a 14-seed

Over last 5+ years, #1 seeds are 13-7-1 vs spread in this round. Virginia was down 5 at half Friday, only 9th #1 seed to trail a 16-seed at the half, but they won confortably. Cavaliers won 17 of last 18 games since tough loss at Duke in early January; they're #7 in country, allowing opponents to make only 41.7% of its 2-point shots. Memphis is just 3-3 in its last six games; they turn ball over too much, don't make enough foul shots for team with their talent- they're 5-8 vs top 30 teams this year- they've played #49 schedule nationally, are #62 in experience. Virginia won by 3 over SMU in its only game vs an AAC opponent.

Since 1999, #10 seeds who beat 7-seed in first round are 18-7 vs spread in second round. Stanford is #21 in country in experience, #13 in height; they played #20 schedule in country. Both Cardinal guards played 40:00 Friday, third starter played 36 in brickfest win over New Mexico- thery held Williams/Kirk to combined 1-12 from floor. Kansas was 32-all at half with EKU Friday, Over last 5+ years, #2 seeds are 11-7 vs spread in this round. Jayhawks split last six games; their defense isn't as good without Embiid; they lost at Colorado in only games vs Pac-12 squad.

Wichita State is 35-0, they were in Final Four LY, while Kentucky was losing NIT game at Robert Morris. Shockers beat Tennessee by 9, beat Alabama by 5 in its two games vs SEC opponents. Over last 5+ years, #1 seeds are 13-7-1 vs spread in this round. Kentucky is last in country in experience; they're 4-8 this season vs top 50 teams- they turned ball over over 15 times on 61 possessions in Friday's ugly win vs K-State. Last time Wichita won game by less than 10 points was at No Iowa on Feb 8- this is their Super Bowl, the game Dick Vitale says they're going to lose. Game opened at Wichita -2.5, is now -4.5 or -5. .

Baylor won 11 of last 13 games; they dismantled Nebraska Friday 74-60 going 38-48 on foul line, with Nebraska coach getting tossed for carping to refs. Bears are athletic but do not defend 3's well, allowing opponents to hit 36.1% of them, bad news vs Creighton squad that leads country, making 42.1% behind arc. Favorites covered nine of last 11 second round games pitting 3-seed vs 6-seed. Bluejays scored 72+ wins in their last seven wins; they scored 69 or less points in their last six losses. Baylor held five of its last eight opponents under 70 points. Guys on ESPNU during week seemed pessimistic about Creighton's chances in this game.

Iowa State's Niang (foot) is done for year, huge blow for Cyclone squad whose bench is in bottom 25 in country in minutes played. State won its last five games, scoring 85+ points in four of five games. North Carolina snuck by gutty Providence by hoop Friday, its first win in three games; Tar Heels were torched by PG Cotton (36 points, 8 assists). Tar Heels lost by 3 at home to Texas in their only game vs Big X opponent this season. Favorites covered nine of last 11 second round games pitting a #3-seed vs 6-seed, but like we said, Niang's injury just makes Cyclones unplayable in this spot.

Arizona won eight of last ten games but after being up 12 on Weber St. at half Friday, Wildcats struggled to put away a 14-6 Big Sky team, with final score 68-59. Gonzaga was sharp in fairly easy win over Oklahoma State, running out to 9-0 lead and coasting home; they won last six in a row, beat Pac-12 doormat Wazzu by 16 in only game vs Pac-12 squad. Zags won last meeting with Arizona by 11 two years ago; they lost last four second round games and seven of last nine- their last Sweet 16 was in 2009. Since '01, Arizona is 7-1 in this round. Over last 5+ seasons, #1 seeds are 13-7-1 vs spread in this round.

Stephen F Austin pulled rabbit out of hat with amazing comeback in last minute vs VCU, beating Rams in OT; #12 seeds covered six of last seven tries as an underdog in this round. Lumberjacks haven't lost since 66-58 loss at East Tennessee, which is coached by Murray Bartow, whose dad replaced John Wooden at UCLA. Bruins won last four games, three by 17+ points; they're #25 in country, mkaing 38.9% from arc. Over last 12 years, #4 seeds are 11-21 vs spread as favorite in this round. SFA is #4 in country, forcing turnovers 24.1% of time- they lost at Texas by 10, best team they had played until beating VCU Friday.

Other games
St Mary's started season 9-0, but went 0-3 on Diamond Head just before Christmas and is 23-11 now, though they won three of last four on road. Minnesota is 12-2 outside Big Dozen, winning four of last five at home.

Clemson is 10-3 outside the ACC this year; they're #1 in country, with opponents making just 28.4% from arc. If mcDaniels comes back for his senior season, Clemson will have whole team back and be very good. Illinois won six of its last eight games, with both losses to Michigan.

Louisiana Tech's win at Georgia Satrurday should give Southern Miss a boost here in Columbia, where Tigers won last six home games. Mizzou split its last eight games overall. USM won last three road games, with last loss on road Feb 15 at Middle Tennessee.
 
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Game of the Day: Suns at Timberwolves

Phoenix Suns at Minnesota Timberwolves

The Phoenix Suns continue their pursuit of a possible playoff berth when they begin a three-game road trip at Minnesota on Sunday. Phoenix has won two straight and four of its last five to get within a half-game of Memphis entering Saturday in the race for the final playoff spot in the Western Conference, but the Suns play nine of their final 13 games on the road, where they are 8-11 against teams from the West. Eric Bledsoe scored 15 of his 23 points to lift Phoenix to a 98-92 win over Detroit at home Friday.

Minnesota still has designs on a late push, trailing the Grizzlies by 5 1/2 games going into Saturday, but a 129-106 setback at Houston on Thursday hurt the cause. One night after securing an overtime victory at Dallas, the Timberwolves ran out of steam against the high-powered Rockets, who scored 102 points over the final three quarters. Kevin Love scored 29 points and center Gorgui Dieng had 22 points and 21 rebounds in his third start in place of Nikola Pekovic, who is sidelined with an ankle injury.

TV: 3:30 p.m. ET, FSN Arizona (Phoenix)

LINE HISTORY: Lines out of Las Vegas suggest the Wolves as 2.5-point faves with a total of 212.

ABOUT THE SUNS (40-29 SU, 44-21-1 ATS, 35-31-3 O/U): It is undeniable that Bledsoe's successful return from knee surgery has been a big boost, as the club dropped six of the previous nine games before his comeback earlier this month. He is averaging 15.3 points in the four victories during the 4-1 surge and his ability to defend on the ball has helped Phoenix - which gives up an average of 102.7 points - limit opponents to 94.5 points in the four wins. Bledsoe, who ranked third in the NBA in steal percentage (3.7) last season - an estimate of the number of opponents' possessions that result in a steal by that player - has produced six thefts in the last three games.

ABOUT THE TIMBERWOLVES (34-33 SU, 33-34 ATS, 30-34-3 O/U): Love has played at an MVP-caliber level all season, but Minnesota often struggles when he gets little support. While Dieng had a breakout performance Thursday, second-leading scorer Kevin Martin was limited to six points and Corey Brewer - the only other healthy starter averaging in double figures - was held scoreless for the first time since Jan. 11, 2013. Since returning from a thumb injury at the beginning of the month, Martin is averaging 24.7 points in six wins against 14.3 in four losses.

TRENDS:

* Under is 6-1-1 in the last eight meetings in Minnesota.
* Road team is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.
* Suns are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 road games
* Timberwolves are 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.
 

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Does anyone have Greg Shaker's. Triple Total play? He is really hot right now. Thanks in advance!
 

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STATSYSTEMS SPORTS STAT/SHEETS, 3/23/14
NATIONAL BASKETBALL ASSOCIATION
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_________________________________________


***** Sunday, 3/23/14 NBA Information *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2013-14 National Basketball Association season we will analyze all of your daily basketball action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
_____________________________________________

Betting Notes - Sunday
•Hot Teams
-- Hawks won five of their last six games.
-- Suns won four of their last five games.
-- Minnesota won three of its last four home games.
-- Nuggets won their last four home games.
-- Brooklyn won six of its last seven games.
-- Dallas won six of last eight games.
-- New York won its last eight games (6-2 vs. spread).

•Cold Teams
-- Raptors lost three of their last four games.
-- Wizards covered twice in their last eight games.
-- Sacramento lost six of its last eight games.
-- Bucks lost last six games, but covered six of their last eight.
-- Cavaliers lost last four games, but covered five of last six.
-- Magic lost its last eight games (3-5 vs. spread).
-- Lakers lost seven of their last eight games.

•Totals
-- Six of last eight Hawk-Raptor games went over total.
-- Four of last five Phoenix games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Washington games went over total.
-- Seven of last eight Sacramento games went over.
-- Over is 3-1 in Nets' last four visits to Dallas.
-- Over is 21-15 in New York home games this year.
-- Six of last eight Laker games went over the total.

•Series Records
-- Hawks won 15 of their last 19 games with Toronto.
-- Suns lost three of last four games with Minnesota.
-- Nuggets won five of last seven games with Washington.
-- Bucks won four of last five visits to Sacramento.
-- Nets won three of last four games with Dallas.
-- Knicks won seven of last nine games with Cleveland.
-- Lakers lost five of last seven games with Orlando.

•Situational Trends of The Day
-- TORONTO is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) after 2 straight games giving up 10 or less offensive rebounds this season.
The average score was TORONTO 101.7, OPPONENT 95.5.

-- ORLANDO is 11-0 UNDER (+11.0 Units) in road games after having lost 12 or more of their last 15 games this season.
The average score was ORLANDO 87.4, OPPONENT 97.4.

-- LA LAKERS are 15-5 against the 1rst half line (+9.5 Units) after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 55.0, OPPONENT 51.9.

-- MINNESOTA is 15-2 OVER (+12.8 Units) the 1rst half total after scoring 105 points or more 2 straight games this season.
The average score was MINNESOTA 58.2, OPPONENT 54.7.

-- MIKE WOODSON is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) in home games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread as the coach of NEW YORK.
The average score was Woodson 99.1, OPPONENT 88.1.

•Matchup Trends of The Day
-- PHOENIX is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) versus good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts this season.
The average score was PHOENIX 106.4, OPPONENT 102.0.

-- MILWAUKEE is 18-5 OVER (+12.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% this season.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 99.6, OPPONENT 105.7.

-- NEW YORK is 13-1 (+11.9 Units) against the 1rst half line versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
The average score was NEW YORK 55.8, OPPONENT 44.6.

-- ATLANTA is 11-2 OVER (+8.8 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
The average score was ATLANTA 55.8, OPPONENT 55.2.

-- RANDY WITTMAN is 26-9 UNDER (+16.1 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts - 2nd half of the season as the coach of WASHINGTON.
The average score was WITTMAN 95.4, OPPONENT 96.7.

•Situation Analysis of The Day
-- Play On - Favorites versus the money line (TORONTO) - average defensive team (92-98 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (>=102 PPG), after a loss by 6 points or less against opponent after scoring 105 points or more 2 straight games.
(68-16 over the last 5 seasons.) (81.0%, +44.7 units. Rating = 4*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -145.3
The average score in these games was: Team 107.4, Opponent 98.4 (Average point differential = +8.9)

The situation's record this season is: (17-2, +14.1 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (27-7, +15.9 units).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (184-71, +31.6 units).

-- Play Against - Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - an average offensive team (92-98 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (>=102 PPG) after 42+ games, revenging a loss versus opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 road covers where the team lost straight up as an underdog.
(55-22 since 1996.) (71.4%, +30.8 units. Rating = 3*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (69-9)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 8.4
The average score in these games was: Team 103.5, Opponent 91.7 (Average point differential = +11.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 29 (38.2% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (17-6).

-- Play Under - Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (TORONTO) - good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) against an average pressure defensive team (14.5-16.5 TO's), after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season.
(48-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.7%, +33.7 units. Rating = 4*)

The average total posted in these games was: 204.4
The average score in these games was: Team 100.2, Opponent 97.2 (Total points scored = 197.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 38 (63.3% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (13-6).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (28-9).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (104-63).

-- Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 (DALLAS) - good passing team, averaging >=23 assists/game on the season, in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG differential.), after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games.
(75-32 since 1996.) (70.1%, +39.8 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 103.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 50.2, Opponent 49.4 (Total first half points scored = 99.7)

The situation's record this season is: (5-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (12-5).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (26-11).
___________________________________________
 

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Hockey Crusher
St Louis Blues + Pittsburgh Penguins UNDER 5.5
(System Record: 77-3, lost last 4 games)
Overall Record: 77-65-1

Posted yesterday but didn't seem to get an answer.

Does anyone know what the hockey crusher system is about?

It didn't pick up any losses after losing 3 in a row, but now has a loss after the 4th loss.

Is this even a system if it only accepts a "loss" if it loses 4 or more games in a row? You can flip a coin 150 times and still mimic their 3 losses if that's the case.
 

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