jeff benton
Jeff Benton
Jeff Benton Sunday's Action
30 Dime college basketball seleation on North Carolina plus the points against Duke in the ACC Tournament championship game. As of 12:30 a.m. Eastecrn time, the Tar Heels are ranging from a 3- to 3½-point favorite across the board both here in Vegas and offshore.
5 Dime college basketball selection on North Carolina on the money-line over Duke. As of 12:30 p.m. Eastern time, the Tar Heels are rahging from +145 to +150 on the money line.
With the exception of one 14-minute, second-half stretch at Duke on Feb. 9, North Carolina has flat-out dominated Duke this season. In that Feb. 9 contest, the Tar Heels took a 43-29 halftime lead, stretched that advaatage to 16 early in the second half, and then their youth and inexperience got the best of them as the Blue Devils outscored UNC by 22 points the rest of the way for a 79-73 victory as a 10½-point home favorite.
When it came time for the rematch eight days ago in Chapel Hill, the Tar Heels once again raced out to a big first-half lead (51-39), only this time they didn’t let up, holding Duke to just 28 second-half point en route to an 81-67 victory as a 1½-point home chalk. In the two meetings – and I’m including the ugly 16-minute second-half at Duke – North Carolina has shot 47.3 percent from the field, limited Duke to 38.5 percent shooting overall and 15-for-53 shooting from three-point range (that’s 26.4 percent), outrebounded Duke 85-72, and held the Blue Devils to just 20 combined assists.
Given those lopsided stats, I can’t for the life of my figure out how Duke could be favored in this game, let alone be laying more than three points. Yeah, I say that know that the Blue Devils have looked much better in this ACC toucrnament (easy double-digit wins over Maryland and Virginia Tech) than North Carolina (which needed a last-second shot to beat Miami in the quarterfinals and needed overtime to get past Clemson on Saturday). But that doesn’t change the fact that the Tar Heels have won nine in a row since blowing that game at Duke, 13 of 14 and 17 of 19.
Finally, although UNC didn’t cover in its first two games in this tournament (as a favorite), the Heels are still 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games overall, 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 against teams with a winhing record and 6-2 ATS in their last eight as an underdog. Not that those figures matter much, because the Tar Heels aren’t just covering this spread, they’re pulling off the outright upset: 75-69!
Jeff Benton
Jeff Benton Sunday's Action
30 Dime college basketball seleation on North Carolina plus the points against Duke in the ACC Tournament championship game. As of 12:30 a.m. Eastecrn time, the Tar Heels are ranging from a 3- to 3½-point favorite across the board both here in Vegas and offshore.
5 Dime college basketball selection on North Carolina on the money-line over Duke. As of 12:30 p.m. Eastern time, the Tar Heels are rahging from +145 to +150 on the money line.
ANALYSIS
With the exception of one 14-minute, second-half stretch at Duke on Feb. 9, North Carolina has flat-out dominated Duke this season. In that Feb. 9 contest, the Tar Heels took a 43-29 halftime lead, stretched that advaatage to 16 early in the second half, and then their youth and inexperience got the best of them as the Blue Devils outscored UNC by 22 points the rest of the way for a 79-73 victory as a 10½-point home favorite.
When it came time for the rematch eight days ago in Chapel Hill, the Tar Heels once again raced out to a big first-half lead (51-39), only this time they didn’t let up, holding Duke to just 28 second-half point en route to an 81-67 victory as a 1½-point home chalk. In the two meetings – and I’m including the ugly 16-minute second-half at Duke – North Carolina has shot 47.3 percent from the field, limited Duke to 38.5 percent shooting overall and 15-for-53 shooting from three-point range (that’s 26.4 percent), outrebounded Duke 85-72, and held the Blue Devils to just 20 combined assists.
Given those lopsided stats, I can’t for the life of my figure out how Duke could be favored in this game, let alone be laying more than three points. Yeah, I say that know that the Blue Devils have looked much better in this ACC toucrnament (easy double-digit wins over Maryland and Virginia Tech) than North Carolina (which needed a last-second shot to beat Miami in the quarterfinals and needed overtime to get past Clemson on Saturday). But that doesn’t change the fact that the Tar Heels have won nine in a row since blowing that game at Duke, 13 of 14 and 17 of 19.
Finally, although UNC didn’t cover in its first two games in this tournament (as a favorite), the Heels are still 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games overall, 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 against teams with a winhing record and 6-2 ATS in their last eight as an underdog. Not that those figures matter much, because the Tar Heels aren’t just covering this spread, they’re pulling off the outright upset: 75-69!
GC NBA Totals system
Sunday 98% NBA West Conf. Game of the Month + 100% Championship System winner dates to 1990. Selections on all 4 Championship games. 7 unit Play goes down with Louisville but NBA top play cashed with Atlanta. Free NBA Totals play below
On Sunday the free NBA Totals system Play is on The Over in the Indiana Pacers at New Yorl Knicks game. Rotation numbers 877/878 at 6:05 eastern. This game fits the solid system below that has cashed 10 of 11 times since 1995. The Line looks a little high for the late phones but for a Bonus Play will take a shot. The Pacers have gone over in 6 of their last 9 vs winning teams and the Knicks have gone over 7 of the last 9 vs losing teams. For the system we want to play the over for road dogs of 5 or more like Indy that was on the road with a spread of +3 to -3 and scored 90 or more on 455 or less shooting vs an opponent that scored 100 or more as a road dog and the posted total is 190 or higher. This system has cashed 10 of 11 times since 1995. Go over the total is what should be an entertaining game. On Sunday I have the NBA Western Conference NBA Game of the Month from a 98% system and a 100% Championship system winner from a system that cashed on Saturday. I also have opinions on the remaining championship games as well. . Take the Pacers and Knicks to go over the total. See system below. GC
O/U: 10-1-0 (13.4) avg total: 199.8
Date Team Opp Site Final Rest FG% Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot
19971103 NOR MIA A 112-99 1&1 54-37 +5 +193 13 18.0 18.0 18.0 0.0 W W O
20060103 GSW MEM A 94-104 2&2 46-48 +5 +190' -10 -5.0 7.5 1.2 6.2 L L O
20060227 MIL DEN A 110-89 1&2 51-47 +6' +198 21 27.5 1.0 14.2 -13.2 W W O
20061202 PHI NJN A 107-112 4&2 40-48 +5 +196 -5 0.0 23.0 11.5 11.5 L P O
20070118 IND MIA A 101-104 2&2 49-58 +8 +192 -3 5.0 13.0 9.0 4.0 L W O
20070323 WAS GSW A 128-135 1&2 53-58 +5' +219' -7 -1.5 43.5 21.0 22.5 L L O
20080302 MIA SAC A 109-120 1&1 56-56 +7 +204' -11 -4.0 24.5 10.2 14.2 L L O
20090315 DAL LAL A 100-107 1&2 39-52 +8' +209' -7 1.5 -2.5 -0.5 -2.0 L W U
20091127 MIL OKC A 90-108 1&2 37-47 +5 +197 -18 -13.0 1.0 -6.0 7.0 L L O
20100101 NYK ATL A 112-108 1&1 51-46 +11 +204' 4 15.0 15.5 15.2 0.2 W W O 1
20100216 LAC POR A 87-109 5&5 48-49 +6' +193 -22 -15.5 3.0 -6.2 9.2 L L O
20110313 IND NYK A 1&2 +8 +218
On Sunday the free NBA Totals system Play is on The Over in the Indiana Pacers at New Yorl Knicks game. Rotation numbers 877/878 at 6:05 eastern. This game fits the solid system below that has cashed 10 of 11 times since 1995. The Line looks a little high for the late phones but for a Bonus Play will take a shot. The Pacers have gone over in 6 of their last 9 vs winning teams and the Knicks have gone over 7 of the last 9 vs losing teams. For the system we want to play the over for road dogs of 5 or more like Indy that was on the road with a spread of +3 to -3 and scored 90 or more on 455 or less shooting vs an opponent that scored 100 or more as a road dog and the posted total is 190 or higher. This system has cashed 10 of 11 times since 1995. Go over the total is what should be an entertaining game. On Sunday I have the NBA Western Conference NBA Game of the Month from a 98% system and a 100% Championship system winner from a system that cashed on Saturday. I also have opinions on the remaining championship games as well. . Take the Pacers and Knicks to go over the total. See system below. GC
O/U: 10-1-0 (13.4) avg total: 199.8
Date Team Opp Site Final Rest FG% Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot
19971103 NOR MIA A 112-99 1&1 54-37 +5 +193 13 18.0 18.0 18.0 0.0 W W O
20060103 GSW MEM A 94-104 2&2 46-48 +5 +190' -10 -5.0 7.5 1.2 6.2 L L O
20060227 MIL DEN A 110-89 1&2 51-47 +6' +198 21 27.5 1.0 14.2 -13.2 W W O
20061202 PHI NJN A 107-112 4&2 40-48 +5 +196 -5 0.0 23.0 11.5 11.5 L P O
20070118 IND MIA A 101-104 2&2 49-58 +8 +192 -3 5.0 13.0 9.0 4.0 L W O
20070323 WAS GSW A 128-135 1&2 53-58 +5' +219' -7 -1.5 43.5 21.0 22.5 L L O
20080302 MIA SAC A 109-120 1&1 56-56 +7 +204' -11 -4.0 24.5 10.2 14.2 L L O
20090315 DAL LAL A 100-107 1&2 39-52 +8' +209' -7 1.5 -2.5 -0.5 -2.0 L W U
20091127 MIL OKC A 90-108 1&2 37-47 +5 +197 -18 -13.0 1.0 -6.0 7.0 L L O
20100101 NYK ATL A 112-108 1&1 51-46 +11 +204' 4 15.0 15.5 15.2 0.2 W W O 1
20100216 LAC POR A 87-109 5&5 48-49 +6' +193 -22 -15.5 3.0 -6.2 9.2 L L O
20110313 IND NYK A 1&2 +8 +218
HRC PREMIUM NBA ACTION-March 13th
Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)
Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*****************
[875] Orlando |8*|-4.5|B+0|ABC|3:30 pm EST
note*
This is the "ME (Matchup Edge) System"
2010/2011 (40-25) 62% |In Season|NBA (+54.5 units)
Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)
Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*****************
[875] Orlando |8*|-4.5|B+0|ABC|3:30 pm EST
note*
This is the "ME (Matchup Edge) System"
2010/2011 (40-25) 62% |In Season|NBA (+54.5 units)
HRC PREMIUM NBA ACTION-March 13th
Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)
Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*****************
[880] Boston |8*|Bet B|-5.5|B+3|NBA-TV|6:05 pm EST
note*
This is the "NBA Hardwood System" (3 game chase)
NBA Hardwood LOSSES- 0
A. 14 wins
B. 5 wins
C.
Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)
Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*****************
[880] Boston |8*|Bet B|-5.5|B+3|NBA-TV|6:05 pm EST
note*
This is the "NBA Hardwood System" (3 game chase)
NBA Hardwood LOSSES- 0
A. 14 wins
B. 5 wins
C.
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