Likewise
D Esler | CBB Sides - Sunday, Feb 28 2016 12:30PM
#820 Seton Hall 2.0(-110) Greek vs #819 Xavier, Ohio single-dime bet
Analysis: There is little doubt who the overall better team is here - but there is also little doubt who NEEDS this game, and it's the Halls' last home game. Seton is projected as about a #9 seed - so it could go either way. A win here obviously assures them a trip to the Dance - a loss by Xavier probably does very little after the Villanova win - which is another reason for taking SH here - it's a classic letdown spot, and on the road, obviously. Seton has lost one game (at home to Butler by 6) since Xavier beat them back on January 23rd, or over a month. And that game was three days after a one-point loss at home to Villanova. Seton can score here as in that last game they actually shot 54% fro âm inside - but they couldn't make three's and put Xavier on the line a lot. At home, both those should regress, and even with that they didn't lose badly to Xavier. It's also the Halls' last home game this season - Carrington had a great game at Xavier, and Whitehead did NOT. However, he's been playing well of late and especially at home. If Seton shot free throws better I'd consider this a bigger bet - but they DO have the #1 interior defense in the Conference, and Xavier does NOT create a ton of turnovers, and Seton is the #1 offensive rebounding team in the Conference as well - yet another game not unlike our Texas win yesterday in that it is somewhat statistical and a lot "situational" -
Pick Made: Feb 28 2016 5:12AM PST
D Esler | CBB Sides - Sunday, Feb 28 2016 12:30PM
#820 Seton Hall 2.0(-110) Greek vs #819 Xavier, Ohio single-dime bet
Analysis: There is little doubt who the overall better team is here - but there is also little doubt who NEEDS this game, and it's the Halls' last home game. Seton is projected as about a #9 seed - so it could go either way. A win here obviously assures them a trip to the Dance - a loss by Xavier probably does very little after the Villanova win - which is another reason for taking SH here - it's a classic letdown spot, and on the road, obviously. Seton has lost one game (at home to Butler by 6) since Xavier beat them back on January 23rd, or over a month. And that game was three days after a one-point loss at home to Villanova. Seton can score here as in that last game they actually shot 54% fro âm inside - but they couldn't make three's and put Xavier on the line a lot. At home, both those should regress, and even with that they didn't lose badly to Xavier. It's also the Halls' last home game this season - Carrington had a great game at Xavier, and Whitehead did NOT. However, he's been playing well of late and especially at home. If Seton shot free throws better I'd consider this a bigger bet - but they DO have the #1 interior defense in the Conference, and Xavier does NOT create a ton of turnovers, and Seton is the #1 offensive rebounding team in the Conference as well - yet another game not unlike our Texas win yesterday in that it is somewhat statistical and a lot "situational" -
Pick Made: Feb 28 2016 5:12AM PST
The only games from Lawrence you should be playing are his late phone plays which are rated mostly 3's (usually 1 or 2 4's a week)
5's are rare and 10's are GOM's or GOY's but really should be played as 5's - I know this because I had his service for years) The 7-10's posted here are individual plays he sells on daily basis - Apologize for clutter
Steve Merril
NCAA Basketball
(3% play) MEMPHIS +2 (vs. Tulsa) - 4:00 pm ET (ESPN-U) #838
Tulsa is a good team, and the Golden Hurricane come into today’s game at Memphis with a solid 19-9 SU record. Tulsa is 6-4 SU in true road games this season, but their wins have come against inferior competition like Missouri State, East Carolina, Tulane, and Central Florida. All four of those teams are terrible, so winning on the road against those schools is unimpressive. Tulsa has been unable to win on the road against capable teams; they lost by 19 points at Cincinnati, 15 points at Houston, and by 4 points at Temple. In their three road losses listed above, the Golden Hurricane gave up 80 points per game. Overall, Tulsa’s defense is allowing 71.2 points per game on the road this season. Tulsa will be playing their fourth road game over their last six games, and with the final home game for seven seniors on deck, this game is one they can easily be overlooking.
Memphis is having a mediocre season as the Tigers come into this game with a 15-13 SU record. However, they are off back-to-back losses with their last being a 69-62 home loss to SMU. There’s no shame in losing to the Mustangs, and off that loss, we expect a peak performance this afternoon, especially since this will be the last home game for two starting seniors who average a combined 26.6 points per game. Memphis is 13-6 SU at home where they are holding opponents to just 64.9 points per game on 37.2% shooting from the field and 29.4% shooting from three-point land. We expect a big bounce back game by Memphis here, so we’ll back the Tigers as a home underdog on Sunday afternoon.
Play MEMPHIS (+) as a 3% play.
-------------------
NBA
No official NBA play, but I do have an opinion below.
(1% opinion) INDIANA -4.5 (vs. Portland) - 6:05 pm ET #808
Portland has been playing terrific basketball recently; the Trail Blazers are 7-1 SU over their last eight games. However, five of those games have come on their home court. Portland just embarked on a 6-game road trip which started off with a 103-95 win in Chicago last night. That was a phony win as Portland shot just 43.7% (38-87) from the field and 23.8% (5-21) from three-point land. The Trail Blazers won that game at the free throw line as they held a +12 point differential (22-10) and a +15 attempts differential (27-12) over the Bulls.
Indiana has lost two of their last three games with their last being a last-second 96-95 home loss to Charlotte. The Pacers are in a good bounce back now, especially since they are 18-10 SU on their home court this season. But my concern with the Pacers is the fact they haven’t been winning games by margin lately. Over their last seven games, Indiana is 0-7 ATS based on tonight’s posted line as all four of their wins have come by 3 points or less. Still, Indiana is in a great situational spot for a bounce back win on Sunday night, even though the line is a bit high.
NCAA Basketball
(3% play) MEMPHIS +2 (vs. Tulsa) - 4:00 pm ET (ESPN-U) #838
Tulsa is a good team, and the Golden Hurricane come into today’s game at Memphis with a solid 19-9 SU record. Tulsa is 6-4 SU in true road games this season, but their wins have come against inferior competition like Missouri State, East Carolina, Tulane, and Central Florida. All four of those teams are terrible, so winning on the road against those schools is unimpressive. Tulsa has been unable to win on the road against capable teams; they lost by 19 points at Cincinnati, 15 points at Houston, and by 4 points at Temple. In their three road losses listed above, the Golden Hurricane gave up 80 points per game. Overall, Tulsa’s defense is allowing 71.2 points per game on the road this season. Tulsa will be playing their fourth road game over their last six games, and with the final home game for seven seniors on deck, this game is one they can easily be overlooking.
Memphis is having a mediocre season as the Tigers come into this game with a 15-13 SU record. However, they are off back-to-back losses with their last being a 69-62 home loss to SMU. There’s no shame in losing to the Mustangs, and off that loss, we expect a peak performance this afternoon, especially since this will be the last home game for two starting seniors who average a combined 26.6 points per game. Memphis is 13-6 SU at home where they are holding opponents to just 64.9 points per game on 37.2% shooting from the field and 29.4% shooting from three-point land. We expect a big bounce back game by Memphis here, so we’ll back the Tigers as a home underdog on Sunday afternoon.
Play MEMPHIS (+) as a 3% play.
-------------------
NBA
No official NBA play, but I do have an opinion below.
(1% opinion) INDIANA -4.5 (vs. Portland) - 6:05 pm ET #808
Portland has been playing terrific basketball recently; the Trail Blazers are 7-1 SU over their last eight games. However, five of those games have come on their home court. Portland just embarked on a 6-game road trip which started off with a 103-95 win in Chicago last night. That was a phony win as Portland shot just 43.7% (38-87) from the field and 23.8% (5-21) from three-point land. The Trail Blazers won that game at the free throw line as they held a +12 point differential (22-10) and a +15 attempts differential (27-12) over the Bulls.
Indiana has lost two of their last three games with their last being a last-second 96-95 home loss to Charlotte. The Pacers are in a good bounce back now, especially since they are 18-10 SU on their home court this season. But my concern with the Pacers is the fact they haven’t been winning games by margin lately. Over their last seven games, Indiana is 0-7 ATS based on tonight’s posted line as all four of their wins have come by 3 points or less. Still, Indiana is in a great situational spot for a bounce back win on Sunday night, even though the line is a bit high.
The Fez | CBB Sides - Sunday, Feb 28 2016 12:30PM
#820 Seton Hall 2.0(-110) Greek vs #819 Xavier, Ohio single-dime bet
Analysis: Tremendous spot for the Hall to win it all today, as the Xmen just come off their game of the year win vs. Nova......
It won't be easy but look for Xavier to crash and burn off their big ga šme win, flying East vs. a team that needs this game BAD to lock up their tourney bid.
Pick Made: Feb 28 2016 9:04AM PST
#820 Seton Hall 2.0(-110) Greek vs #819 Xavier, Ohio single-dime bet
Analysis: Tremendous spot for the Hall to win it all today, as the Xmen just come off their game of the year win vs. Nova......
It won't be easy but look for Xavier to crash and burn off their big ga šme win, flying East vs. a team that needs this game BAD to lock up their tourney bid.
Pick Made: Feb 28 2016 9:04AM PST
The FEZ | NBA Total - Sunday, Feb 28 2016 6:05PM
#807 POR / #808 IND UNDER 209.0 Pinnacle single-dime bet
Analysis: We got to this one a bit late, but it's a good one
1st Half UNDER 105 1 star
GAME UNDER 209 1 star.
Inflated NBA totals based on hyper scoring since the break. However, this is less an impact for teams still in contention for the playoffs and seeding.
Port plays higher scoring at home, Indy Ÿ on the road. Both teams higher scoring 2nd halves.
I actually like the 1h a bit better, but let's play both.
Pick Made: Feb 28 2016 8:51AM PST
#807 POR / #808 IND UNDER 209.0 Pinnacle single-dime bet
Analysis: We got to this one a bit late, but it's a good one
1st Half UNDER 105 1 star
GAME UNDER 209 1 star.
Inflated NBA totals based on hyper scoring since the break. However, this is less an impact for teams still in contention for the playoffs and seeding.
Port plays higher scoring at home, Indy Ÿ on the road. Both teams higher scoring 2nd halves.
I actually like the 1h a bit better, but let's play both.
Pick Made: Feb 28 2016 8:51AM PST
