Service Plays Sunday 2/20/11

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LPW Sports Forecast ( If anyone sees their NHL,please post.23-4 run!)

College Hoops

4 Units Denver -10 over South Alabama

4 Units Purdue -1 over Ohio.St
 

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Indian Cowboy

4 units NCAA St. Bonaventure +9.5
4 units NBA Western Conference +1.5
4 units NHL Minnesota +120
 

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Kevin Harvick, Tony Stewart, Dale Earnhardt Jr, Kyle Busch, Jeff Gordon, and Jimmie Johnson top the odds to win the Daytona 500.

The NBA All-Star Game odds has the East -2 with a total of 269.5 and it’s a big day in college basketball betting.

OffshoreInsiders.com Senior Sports Handicapper Matt Rivers has a winner Sunday on Georgia Tech (+21) at Duke.

Reasoning: This write-up is actually going to be pretty funny because all signs will point to me liking Duke. Georgia Tech is inferior in every single category bar none and it’s not even close. But the problem with this game is that the number is just too much, even for a regressing Georgia Tech team that has next to nothing going for them right now.

Nolan Smith has been awesome and the Dookies overall are heads and shoulders better than the Yellow Jackets, there is zero debate at all there. Paul Hewitt is turning into an underachieving disgrace and without Brian Oliver the boys from Hotlanta are one of the worst teams in the entire ACC right now. I would say that only a dismal Wake Forest team is worse.

Smith, Kyle Singler, the Plumlee brothers, Seth Curry and the rest of Coach K’s squad may be up going away by 20 at the half. After all Virginia Tech last week raced out to the huge lead and pummeled these same Jackets. So if anybody believes that Tech has any sort of a chance to keep this thing close then I would say that they are beyond crazy. With that said though everybody seems to somewhat get up for Duke and I do not believe that this current version of the Blue Devils is truly all that. These guys were outplayed at home last week by a good but nothing more North Carolina team and truly are not as great as the 24-2 overall mark would indicate.

Iman Shumpert has been playing some lights out ball for the Jackets and even though his team stinks they did at least come into this thing off of the victory against Chattanooga and to get three touchdowns plus in-conference, even at Cameron Indoor, is going to prove to be a few too many.

This may not be a fun game to back the dog in because they have no shot whatsoever to even keep it relatively close. We may see a 55-35 laugher at some point but even so this gargantuan number should just still be too much in the end.

Top expert pick on this game: Georgia Tech from the real Matt Rivers of OffshoreInsiders.com



Now to the latest Daytona 500 odds.

ODDS TO WIN DAYTONA 500
101 Kevin Harvick +814
102 Tony Stewart +1108
103 Dale Earnhardt Jr +1199
104 Kyle Busch +1199
105 Jamie McMurray +1268
106 Jeff Gordon +1146
107 Jimmie Johnson +1590
108 Denny Hamlin +1590
109 Clint Bowyer +1327
110 Kurt Busch +1199
111 Jeff Burton +1321
112 Carl Edwards +1983
113 Kasey Kahne +2630
114 Matt Kenseth +3048
115 Greg Biffle +3049
116 Juan Montoya +3281
117 Mark Martin +3649
118 Joey Logano +3931
119 Ryan Newman +4286
120 Brian Vickers +5232
121 David Reutimann +5232
122 Martin Truex Jr +5232
123 Brad Keselowski +3564
124 The Field
 
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SPORTS WAGERS

CHICAGO -½ -104 over Pittsburgh

The Pens are getting way too much credit for being able to compete with quality teams when in fact they cannot. Pittsburgh is 2-2 over its last four games and that helps to keep this number way lower than it should be. Those two wins came over the Kings in a game that L.A. dominated from start to finish. The Pens other win came against an Av’s club that has now lost 10 in a row and has more casualties than Pittsburgh. The Penguins resemble a minor-league club. Every serious offensive threat they have is on the rack. They’ve scored three goals in three successive games but even Chris Angel would have a hard time making that illusion work again. The Pens will also play their fourth road game in succession before returning home to meet the Caps tomorrow so don’t be surprised to see back-up goaltender Brent Johnson in net here and Marc Andre Fleury tomorrow. Chicago is in desperation mode. Losing this game is not an option. The Blackhawks are four points out of a playoff spot but they have to climb over three teams to get there. They’re also just a point up on the Jackets and two points up on the Blue Notes. Conceivably, they could fall into 13th place in the conference by their next game should they drop this one. That’s not going to happen against a minor-league club. Play: Chicago -½ -104 (Risking 2.08 units to win 2).


SPORTS WAGERS

PURDUE –1 over Ohio St.

On the final day of Bracket-Buster week and on a Sunday afternoon with no NBA games, the oddsmakers have made Purdue a favorite over the former #1 team in the country that’s now ranked #3. Ohio State is 25-1 and on Jan 24th they beat the Boilermakers by 23 points. The Boilermakers are just 6-4 in their last 10 and that, too, adds to the Buckeyes appeal to the general public. The Buckeyes can virtually lock up the Big-10 title with a victory here, as Purdue is two games back and a loss here would drop them three back with four games left. Bracket-Buster week has a history of ruining bankrolls and it’s games like this that contribute to that. With March Madness and Selection Sunday just around the corner, this is the weekend that college basketball begins to attract a lot of money, as thousands begin to follow the sport from this point on and they also start wagering. A ton of money has been coming in on the Buckeyes and don’t think for a second that the oddsmakers are surprised. They’re not and fully expected that when they offered up points to this highly ranked guest. What we know for sure is that by playing Purdue, we’re on the same side as the house and that’s the side to be on during this final day of Bracket Busters. Play: Purdue –1 (Risking 2.02 units to win 2).


CALIFORNIA –105 over UCLA

This game was off the board at the time of this writing due to the unknown status of Bears freshman guard Allen Crabbe. We expect the game to be a pick’em and we’ll update this as soon as the line comes out. UCLA might even be a one or two-point favorite but regardless of whether Ctrabbe plays or not we’re on the home side. Cal has lost four in a row for the first time in three seasons and they need to string together a couple victories just to be in the conversation for the NIT. A third straight trip to the NCAA tournament is a faded dream. UCLA has a legit shot of an invitation or an automatic bid should they win the conference tourney. They’re just 1½-games back of Arizona with a game in hand and this is that game. The Bruins have won six in a row and 10 of its last 11 and just like the Buckeyes, they, too, will attract plenty of attention here. Despite losing just one game since Jan. 9, UCLA is hardly overpowering opponents. They won 69-65 at Stanford on Thursday, its sixth single-digit victory in its past 10 wins with most of those victories being at home against some very weak Pac-10 opponents. When they played Cal back on Jan 20 at Pauley Pavilion, they won by a bucket on a tip-in at the buzzer. The Pac-10 is not strong this year. None of these Pac-10 clubs can be trusted on the road and we see evidence of that every week. UCLA has already lost at USC and they also needed overtime to win at Arizona St (2-12) by a point. The Bears are more than capable of beating this intruder and would love nothing more to ruin the Bruins chances of not only winning the division but also of being invited to the dance. Play: California –105 (Risking 2.1 units to win 2).


MARYLAND –10½ over N.C. State

Rarely will you see us endorsing a 10½-point favorite in a conference game between rivals that have almost identical records. Maryland is just one game ahead of the Wolfpack in the ACC and both teams are under .500. Why then, are the Terps such a big favorite? The oddmakers are begging you to take the points. Don’t bite. Despite being close in the standings, these two are not close in terms of talent. The Terps had an incredibly tough out-of-conference schedule that saw them play Penn State and ranked teams, Pitt, Illinois, Temple and Villanova. They’ve also faced both Va Tech and Duke twice. The Terps are one of the top offensive clubs in the nation and when they win they usually win big. The Wolfpack also played a decent out-of-conference schedule but they’ll play their third road game in their last four and fifth road game in their last seven. The kicker here is that they return home to play the Tar Heels and no doubt that game means the world to them. N.C. State has just two road wins in nine attempts and the line says they’re very likely to get destroyed here. Play: Maryland –10½ (Risking 2.12 units to win 2).
 
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Richie Carrera
of bookie assassin

Ucla PK over CALIFORNIA 15 Dimes

UCLA is 9-1 in their last 10, including some decent road wins over Arizona St., Stanford and Oregon. They have been playing great heading down the stretch and I see no reason why a mediocre Cal team should be a PK against them. Cal has dropped 4 in a row heading into tonight's matchup. Let's face it, 9-6 SU isn't a great home record and not a record that I would back when an elite team rolls into town. This line could move to UCLA -1 or 1.5 as the day moves on, so I would not wait long on this play.
 
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John Chang
of bookie assassin

UCLA Bruins PK over CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS, 10 dimes
Like I said before, UCLA is back, and they've got the Big Dance on their minds. Ben Howland has got his squad tearing through the remainder of their schedule, as the Bruins have only lost 1 out of their last 11 games. Interestingly enough, the oddsmakers still don't seem to be giving UCLA enough credit in my mind. Tonight they are at a Pickem on the road at Cal, and I don't think we could ask for a better line. Cal doesn't play defense, and they've been slacking against the number, going 1-4-1 ATS at home recently. Let's take the much better team here.

St. Bonaventure Bonnies +10 over RICHMOND SPIDERS, 10 dimes
The Bonnies are a great team to back on the road, as they've covered the number in all five of their lined away games this year. They are visiting Richmond today after sweeping all three games of their homestand (a homestand which included a win over highly touted Duquesne.) Plus, the Bonnies have covered the spread in 5 consecutive games. St. Bonaventure star Andrew Nicholson no longer has to carry this team by himself. The Bonaventure backcourt is stepping up big time this season, and even the bench has been contributing of late. Richmond has 3 great scorers themselves, but with Bonaventure's ATS record on the road, their significant advantage on the glass, their stout road defense, and their ability to put the ball in the bucket, I'll take the 10 points every time.

DENVER PIONEERS -9.5 over South Alabama Jaguars, 10 dimes
This game should be a shellacking in the mile high city tonight. The Pioneers have landed on the map for most sports bettors this season after putting together a nice win streak earlier in the season. At home, they've still be covering at a great clip (4-0 ATS in their last 4 as hosts.) In their last 5 home games, they've been stomping on the competition. These games included North Texas, Arkansas State, and Florida Atlantic, not pushovers by any means. South Alabama is flying across the country after losing 4 out of their last 5 contests, and I expect them to give up on this game early when they get a healthy dose of Denver's smothering defense.
 
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Careful with Sammy P

First - he takes a road team last night (LA Kings) at a highly questionable -160. Then consider this: he is 9-8 & 1 the last 10 days. Trushel forcing these plays as 20* and IMO it is slick as ice, no pun intended.:ohno:


Sammy P 20* Buffalo Under5.5
 

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SPORTSHANDICAPPERKING


10 dime CBK/NHL Trifecta


10 dime CBK Cleveland State +5.5

10 dime CBK Clemson +1

10 dime NHL Philadelphia

CBK Freeplay Ohio State +1
 

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