Service Plays Sunday 2/14/16

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Stephen Nover 3*

Bradley 18.5 (-110) Greek vs 854 Illinois St.
Analysis:
Illinois State is coming off three wins and covers, the last two as double-digit 'dog winners against MIssouri Valley Conference leader Wichita State at home - coming from 18 points down to do it - and winning at Evansville this past Thursday. The victory against Evansville moved Illinois State into second place in the league. Now the Redbirds get a well deserved home rest stop against Bradley, which is second-to-last in the conference.


The Redbirds are laying a huge number- an opening 18 to 18 1/2 points - in this rivalry matchup. The Redbirds haven't been favored by more than 8 1/2 points all season. Their largest victory margin versus a board foe is 13 points.


The two teams met on Jan. 20 and Illinois State won, 55-52, as an 11-point favorite. Bradley shot 31.2 percent from the floor. The Braves shoot 36.7 percent on the season.


The Missouri Valley is a conference known for well-coached, disciplined teams that play strong defense. Illinois State certainly fits that mold giving uŸp less than 67 points per game. But the Redbirds also only score 67 points a game. Bradley doesn't score much, but the Braves surrender less than 70 points a game. The Braves are giving up an average of just 56 points during their last two games.


Bradley is going to play at a slow, deliberate pace. The total is low. So taking this many points in a rivalry matchup is huge especially against a foe in a letdown spot.
 
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Gc: Ncaab

On Valentines Day its a rare 6* 100% NCAAB Highest rated power play leading the way on NBA All Star Game Sunday. NCAAB ACC Play below.

The NCAAB Comp play is on Miami at 6:30 eastern. The Hurricanes are 7-1 vs teams ranked in top 50 RPI and Florida St is just 2-6 in these games. Miami is 5-1 as a road favorite and already beat the Seminoles by 13 this year. The Canes are 7-0 vs teams who score 77 or more per game and 4-0 ats when the total is 150 to 160. Florida St is 0-3 vs teams who average 77 or more per game and 1-4 after allowing 80 or more in their last game. Look for Miami to win this one. On Sunday the lead play is a rare 6* Highest rated 100% Valentines Day Massacre in College Hoops as we cap off another solid week. Jump on now and end the week with another big day in baskets. For the Bonus Play. Take Miami. GC
 

ACP

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STEVE MERRIL HE IS 21 WINS 2 LOSSES 91%.

The dude is on a run similar to what Marco DeAngelo was on a few years back. Cant remember exactly what it was but it was sick. I missed most of as I did this one. I want to say I jumped on this one just before the Clemson pick. What we all need to remember is the balance factor when it finally does end and he goes negative over 2-3 consecutive days. Be real careful as in order for him to hit his 56-57% he would have to lose way more than he wins. Keep that in mind when you see a few losing days in a row, switch then to Paper betting him a day or 2 to see if he breaks back out. Do not increase wagers. in fact you should be gradually increasing them after 3-5 wins. not when he starts balancing back out.

In the meantime FIRE AWAY AT THIS RED HOT CAPPER AND RIDE HIM TO THE BANK. Best of Luck.

Anyone else have others who are doing HOT?

Iowa St -5.5 (vs. Texas) #504 WINNER
SMU -5 (vs. Gonzaga) #660 WINNER
UNLV -6.5 (vs. Col St) #664 WINNER
Cal pk (vs. Oregon) #754 WINNER
PHOENIX +16.5 (vs. Golden State)#522 WINNER
N. IOWA -12.5 (vs. Missouri State) #552 WINNER
MISSISS STATE +1 (vs. Arkansas)#752 WINNER
PHILADELPHIA +9 (vs. L.A. Clip)-#50 WINNER
CLEMSON -2 (vs. Notre Dame)-#530 LOSER
UNDER 22 1H(Panthers/Broncos) - #102 WINNER
MINNESOTA -3 (vs. Chicago) -#514 WINNER
KENTUCKY -7/-7.5 (vs. Florida) -#590 WINNER
PEPPERDINE +6.5 (vs. Gonzaga) -#698 WINNER
ORLANDO +4 (vs. L.A. Clippers) -#858 LOSER
OREGON STATE +2.5 (vs. Utah) -#778 WINNER
ORLANDO +11.5 (at Oklahoma City)-#509 WINNER
NEBRASKA +5.5/+6 (vs. Maryland)-#554 WINNER
GEORGIA +1 (vs. South Carolina)-#728 WINNER
DENVER +5 (vs. Toronto)-#516 WINNER
ORLANDO +4 (vs. Boston)-#834 WINNER
USC -8.5 (vs. Washington)-#558 WINNER
LSU +5 (vs. Oklahoma)-#576 WINNER
SAN DIEGO STATE +4 (at UNLV)-#635 WINNER
 

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Ken Thomson | CBB Total - Sunday, Feb 14 2016 8:30PM
865 UCLA / 866 Ariz. St OVER 151.0 Greek single-dime bet

Analysis: Both teams need this game badly so focus should not be an issue. ASU will try and keep momentum rolling after two straight wins while the Bruins need to start winning games to get to at least .500 in the Pac-12 or they have no shot an at large bid for the Big Dance. That's why I am looking Over the total as I feel shooters will be knocking down three's in this this game. The first game hit 155 as the Bruins won 81-74 at Pauley Pavilion. The two teams only went to the free throw line a to –tal of 30 times in that game as both went ( 10-15 ) from the charity stripe. I expect that game total to be higher. It's a gut feeling that has me thinking this game can get into the low 80's. It's the get away game of the weekend so a lot of interest in this one and with both teams needing the game the side is tough to call.
 

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NsaSUNDAY'S PICKS 2/14/16
25* CBB North Carolina -10.5
20* CBB Syracuse -10.5
20* CBB Arizona -9.5
(Top 3 Plays - Play Same Amount Each or
just play 25* if you only want TOP Play)
------------------------
10* CBB Iowa -19
10* CBB Temple -15
5* CBB Utah -16
 

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CPAW.. do you have the number KELSO released on Pitt/NC Under? It has dropped 5 whole points so vital info to know. Thanks partner.
 

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