StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets
NFL | PITTSBURGH at CINCINNATI
Play Under – Road teams against the total after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games, versus division opponents
41-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
3-1 this year. ( 75.0% | 1.9 units )
NFL | SEATTLE at PHILADELPHIA
Play Against – Road teams vs. the money line (SEATTLE) outrushing their opponents by 1.5 or more yards/carry on the season, after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games
40-25 since 1997. ( 61.5% | 0.0 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.0 units )
NFL | ST LOUIS at WASHINGTON
Play Against – Road favorites vs. the 1rst half line (ST LOUIS) after allowing 14 points or less last game against opponent after allowing 40 points or more last game
41-15 since 1997. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )
NFL | PITTSBURGH at CINCINNATI
Play Under – Road teams against the total after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games, versus division opponents
41-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
3-1 this year. ( 75.0% | 1.9 units )
NFL | SEATTLE at PHILADELPHIA
Play Against – Road teams vs. the money line (SEATTLE) outrushing their opponents by 1.5 or more yards/carry on the season, after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games
40-25 since 1997. ( 61.5% | 0.0 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.0 units )
NFL | ST LOUIS at WASHINGTON
Play Against – Road favorites vs. the 1rst half line (ST LOUIS) after allowing 14 points or less last game against opponent after allowing 40 points or more last game
41-15 since 1997. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )
Randall the Handle
LINE: ST. LOUIS by 3
The Rams deserved a pushover opponent after an extremely difficult October and November and boy did they get one as St. Louis clobbered the Raiders last week by 52-0. That has the public understandably enamoured with the Rams, especially when facing another weakling in these troubled Redskins. However, that is when we prefer to step in as value is commonly found on the less popular side. St. Louis has spotted points just twice this year. Once was last week and they obviously covered easily. The other occasion was in the season opener here when they were a 3-point choice over the Vikings before getting crushed 34-6. Now the Rams are being asked to give road points for the first time since the 2010 season. That doesn’t jive. Washington’s struggles and quarterback issues are well documented but they have skilled players throughout their roster and current QB Colt McCoy gives them their best chance at a win, something that could very well happen here.
TAKING: REDSKINS +3
Chiefs (7-5) at Cardinals (9-3)
LINE: ARIZONA by 1
Is this some sort of pre-Christmas sale? The Cardinals lose a couple of games on the road, then return home where they are 6-0 this season (5-1 vs. spread) and we only have to win the game to cash this ticket? We’ll stand in line for that. It’s not like a heavyweight is coming for a visit. It’s the pedestrian Chiefs, a team that has also lost consecutive games with one being to the dreadful Raiders, Oakland’s only win of the year. Kansas City employs the most pedestrian of offences with its dinky passes and continual ground game. Trouble is, Arizona excels at stopping the run and if you force the Chiefs to go aerial, they become completely discombobulated. Let’s not forget that the Cards are tied with the best record in football. They employ dangerous pass receivers (Larry Fitzgerald is expected back) and KC’s best pass defender is out. This one comes gift wrapped.
TAKING: CARDINALS -1
Giants (3-9) at Titans (2-10)
LINE: Even
As ugly as the Giants’ season has been, they look like runway models compared to this abysmal Titans squad. The G-Men find innovative ways to lose. Tennessee just gets hammered every week. So while this game won’t set any viewing records, it doesn’t mean that an opportunity is not presented. The Titans own the 27[SUP]th[/SUP] ranked offence compared to New York’s 15[SUP]th[/SUP] ranked unit. Tennessee is 29[SUP]th[/SUP] in scoring and 27[SUP]th[/SUP] in rushing. Defensively, Tennessee is dead last in both rush defence and points allowed. The Titans made Houston QB Ryan Fitzpatrick look like Dan Marino, allowing six touchdown passes last week. The Giants have plenty of issues of their own but they have the experience of Eli Manning and exciting playmaking ability of rookie Odell Beckham Jr. Tennessee has few bright spots. Its only win in past 11 games was a close 16-14 home victory over the Jaguars and Titans have covered just once in their last 11 games.
TAKING: GIANTS Even
THE REST
Ravens (7-5) at Dolphins (7-5)
LINE: MIAMI by 3
Prefer taking whatever points are offered here as Baltimore has been a bit inconsistent lately but seems to play its best ball against winning teams. Ravens have scored an impressive 67 points in past two games and much can be attributed to the improved running game bolstered by Justin Forsett. While Miami is well balanced, they have had trouble stopping the run as we saw first-hand on Monday night against a Jets team that had no interest in passing the ball but were still able to grind out 277 rushing yards. Combined with a capable passing game, Baltimore gets the nod.
TAKING: RAVENS +3
Steelers (7-5) at Bengals (8-3-1)
LINE: CINCINNATI by 3
Every do or die cliché belongs to the Steelers in this one as there are six 7-5 teams in the AFC and it appears only one of them will qualify for the playoffs. While the Steelers have been inconsistent lately we’d rather hitch our wagon to a team that has provided some explosive games rather than a Cincinnati team that seems to be missing that extra gear. While the Bengals have just one loss on their own field this season, Pittsburgh has had great success visiting their division rivals by winning 11 of the past 12 games on this turf. Steelers on current 4-0 run vs. spread in road games against winning teams.
TAKING: STEELERS +3
Colts (8-4) at Browns (7-5)
LINE: INDIANAPOLIS by 3½
Browns sticking with Brian Hoyer over Johnny Manziel at quarterback, a logical choice considering that Cleveland remains in the playoff race and a switch to a rookie can be hazardous. This might be a good matchup for Hoyer as Indianapolis’ secondary is riddled with injuries and it lost top defender Vontae Davis last week, leaving a huge hole that cannot be easily filled. Browns pass defence continues to play at a high level and are more than capable of slowing down Andrew Luck’s air attack. Indy hits the road for first time in a month and could get caught off guard against a desperate host that has played well here.
TAKING: BROWNS +3½
Texans (6-6) at Jaguars (2-10)
LINE: HOUSTON by 6
Expecting Ryan Fitzpatrick to have another six touchdown passing day is like hitting the Lotto on consecutive weeks. It’s not going to happen. Prior to his return to face Tennessee last week, after being benched in favour of injured Ryan Mallett, Fitzpatrick needed five games to throw six touchdowns. He had tossed just eight touchdowns to match his eight interceptions in previous eight starts. Is this really the guy you wanted to be giving away points with on the road, in the division? Of course, it goes deeper than quarterback where Houston does have talent but Jacksonville’s defence good enough to compete here.
TAKING: JAGUARS +6
Panthers (3-8) at Saints (5-7)
LINE: NEW ORLEANS by 10½
Who would ever think that the Saints dread returning home? They had dropped three straight here before a surprising win in Pittsburgh last week and now we’re not sure which team shows up today. Even though the Panthers are a rather despicable bunch, we can’t trust this host spotting double-digits until they earn back our trust. Also not anxious to be giving away substantial points with the 31[SUP]st[/SUP] ranked defensive team as Saints giving up an incredulous 390 yards per game. Saints won earlier meeting in Charlotte by 28-10 count. Twice in one season to win by a margin, in division, with a losing team? No thanks.
TAKING: PANTHERS +10½
Buccaneers (2-10) at Lions (8-4)
LINE: DETROIT by 10
Some of this is timing and catching the Lions in a perfect position to dismantle the Bears last week has many riding a rested Detroit team for this one. That could be a mistake. Mathew Stafford and Co. were able to take advantage of Chicago’s porous secondary in that easy win but lest we forget that the Leos had scored just 15 points in its two prior games to that one which included zero touchdowns. This Tampa defence is an improving unit, having allowed just 42 points in its past three games. Bucs also much better on the road where they have covered four of five. Lots of room for a cover here.
TAKING: BUCCANEERS +10
Jets (2-10) at Vikings (5-7)
LINE: MINNESOTA by 6
Only a few more bumps remain in the potholed road known as the Jets’ 2014 season. Changes are coming. We all know that. In the meantime, can this team compete? The Jets are off a short week after suffering another humiliating loss. However, we’re not going to bail on them quite yet. After all, they are playing a Minnesota team that might have less offensive power than they do. Vikes needed two blocked punts for touchdowns to win last week. So when we’re offered a near touchdown with neophyte Teddy Bridgewater as our obstacle, we are content allowing the defences to fight this one out in a conservative affair.
TAKING: JETS +6
Bills (7-5) at Broncos (9-3)
LINE: DENVER by 10
It’s not really fair to penalize Buffalo’s strong defensive stats because of the teams and quarterbacks they’ve faced this season. However, if our objective is to pick the winning side, we have no choice but to do so. Bills have squared off against a group that includes the Jets twice, Miami twice, Houston, Cleveland, Detroit and Minnesota. Not exactly high octane teams. When facing Tom Brady, they gave up 346 yards passing. Even Jay Cutler torched the Bills for 341 yards. Denver has not lost at home in six tries, averaging more than 35 points per game at Mile High. Buffalo unlikely to trade punches in that range.
TAKING: BRONCOS -10
49ers (7-5) at Raiders (1-11)
LINE: SAN FRANCISCO by 8
You just need watch the Niners to see the lack of confidence displayed by its offence. This appears to be more of a chronic thing than a temporary ache. Colin Kaepernick seems lost but the team is strangely asking him to throw more passes than he ever has before? San Francisco has scored 17 or fewer points in five of its past six games. Granted, the Raiders are a doormat but there is some Bay Area bragging rights at stake here and teams coming off embarrassing losses (Oakland lost 52-0 last week) have a prideful way of rebounding from such disgrace. Just too many to give with 49ers in current form.
TAKING: RAIDERS +8
Seahawks (8-4) at Eagles (9-3)
LINE: PHILADELPHIA by 1
This is simply a bad line. Seattle held struggling Arizona offence and then punchless 49ers to three points each and suddenly its feared defence of a year ago is back? Not so fast. While we respect the Seahawks’ stop unit, we’ve seen it struggle against some formidable offences this season and Philadelphia’s is a dangerous group that can throw all sorts of schemes at you. Chip Kelly has had 10 days to prepare for this one and while his guys may not rack up their usual abundance of points, Seattle’s offence is a stagnant group that may not be able to answer. Seahawks 2-10 both straight up and against the spread in week after facing the 49ers.
TAKING: EAGLES -1
Patriots (9-3) at Chargers (8-4)
LINE: NEW ENGLAND by 3½
Uh oh, Patriots off a loss. History will support a big bounce back (covered 9 of past 12 after a defeat) but this could actually be a flat spot for the Patriots fresh off a high profile game at Lambeau Field. New England now traveling for second week in a row and will face an 8-4 San Diego squad that many had lost faith in not so long ago but the Bolts have inconspicuously won three straight. While Tom Brady is as elite as they come, the Chargers’ Philip Rivers is no slouch sporting 69.1% completion percentage, tops in the AFC. Good Sunday nighter and tough one to call but taking better than a field goal is the way we’ll lean.
TAKING: CHARGERS +3½
Falcons (5-7) at Packers (9-3)
LINE: GREEN BAY by 13
Green Bay appears unstoppable right now, especially on this field. To find flaws in their game would just sound foolish. We won’t even try. Thing is this, we don’t have to win the game to get the checkmark. We just need the Falcons to stay within two touchdowns. Easier said than done of course but with Atlanta fighting to remain at par with the Saints, they must leave everything on the field right now. The Falcs have quietly won three of past four and the near two touchdown spot leaves us plenty of backdoor space. Packers could also have slight letdown after win over mighty Patriots last week.
TAKING: FALCONS +13
LINE: ST. LOUIS by 3
The Rams deserved a pushover opponent after an extremely difficult October and November and boy did they get one as St. Louis clobbered the Raiders last week by 52-0. That has the public understandably enamoured with the Rams, especially when facing another weakling in these troubled Redskins. However, that is when we prefer to step in as value is commonly found on the less popular side. St. Louis has spotted points just twice this year. Once was last week and they obviously covered easily. The other occasion was in the season opener here when they were a 3-point choice over the Vikings before getting crushed 34-6. Now the Rams are being asked to give road points for the first time since the 2010 season. That doesn’t jive. Washington’s struggles and quarterback issues are well documented but they have skilled players throughout their roster and current QB Colt McCoy gives them their best chance at a win, something that could very well happen here.
TAKING: REDSKINS +3
Chiefs (7-5) at Cardinals (9-3)
LINE: ARIZONA by 1
Is this some sort of pre-Christmas sale? The Cardinals lose a couple of games on the road, then return home where they are 6-0 this season (5-1 vs. spread) and we only have to win the game to cash this ticket? We’ll stand in line for that. It’s not like a heavyweight is coming for a visit. It’s the pedestrian Chiefs, a team that has also lost consecutive games with one being to the dreadful Raiders, Oakland’s only win of the year. Kansas City employs the most pedestrian of offences with its dinky passes and continual ground game. Trouble is, Arizona excels at stopping the run and if you force the Chiefs to go aerial, they become completely discombobulated. Let’s not forget that the Cards are tied with the best record in football. They employ dangerous pass receivers (Larry Fitzgerald is expected back) and KC’s best pass defender is out. This one comes gift wrapped.
TAKING: CARDINALS -1
Giants (3-9) at Titans (2-10)
LINE: Even
As ugly as the Giants’ season has been, they look like runway models compared to this abysmal Titans squad. The G-Men find innovative ways to lose. Tennessee just gets hammered every week. So while this game won’t set any viewing records, it doesn’t mean that an opportunity is not presented. The Titans own the 27[SUP]th[/SUP] ranked offence compared to New York’s 15[SUP]th[/SUP] ranked unit. Tennessee is 29[SUP]th[/SUP] in scoring and 27[SUP]th[/SUP] in rushing. Defensively, Tennessee is dead last in both rush defence and points allowed. The Titans made Houston QB Ryan Fitzpatrick look like Dan Marino, allowing six touchdown passes last week. The Giants have plenty of issues of their own but they have the experience of Eli Manning and exciting playmaking ability of rookie Odell Beckham Jr. Tennessee has few bright spots. Its only win in past 11 games was a close 16-14 home victory over the Jaguars and Titans have covered just once in their last 11 games.
TAKING: GIANTS Even
THE REST
Ravens (7-5) at Dolphins (7-5)
LINE: MIAMI by 3
Prefer taking whatever points are offered here as Baltimore has been a bit inconsistent lately but seems to play its best ball against winning teams. Ravens have scored an impressive 67 points in past two games and much can be attributed to the improved running game bolstered by Justin Forsett. While Miami is well balanced, they have had trouble stopping the run as we saw first-hand on Monday night against a Jets team that had no interest in passing the ball but were still able to grind out 277 rushing yards. Combined with a capable passing game, Baltimore gets the nod.
TAKING: RAVENS +3
Steelers (7-5) at Bengals (8-3-1)
LINE: CINCINNATI by 3
Every do or die cliché belongs to the Steelers in this one as there are six 7-5 teams in the AFC and it appears only one of them will qualify for the playoffs. While the Steelers have been inconsistent lately we’d rather hitch our wagon to a team that has provided some explosive games rather than a Cincinnati team that seems to be missing that extra gear. While the Bengals have just one loss on their own field this season, Pittsburgh has had great success visiting their division rivals by winning 11 of the past 12 games on this turf. Steelers on current 4-0 run vs. spread in road games against winning teams.
TAKING: STEELERS +3
Colts (8-4) at Browns (7-5)
LINE: INDIANAPOLIS by 3½
Browns sticking with Brian Hoyer over Johnny Manziel at quarterback, a logical choice considering that Cleveland remains in the playoff race and a switch to a rookie can be hazardous. This might be a good matchup for Hoyer as Indianapolis’ secondary is riddled with injuries and it lost top defender Vontae Davis last week, leaving a huge hole that cannot be easily filled. Browns pass defence continues to play at a high level and are more than capable of slowing down Andrew Luck’s air attack. Indy hits the road for first time in a month and could get caught off guard against a desperate host that has played well here.
TAKING: BROWNS +3½
Texans (6-6) at Jaguars (2-10)
LINE: HOUSTON by 6
Expecting Ryan Fitzpatrick to have another six touchdown passing day is like hitting the Lotto on consecutive weeks. It’s not going to happen. Prior to his return to face Tennessee last week, after being benched in favour of injured Ryan Mallett, Fitzpatrick needed five games to throw six touchdowns. He had tossed just eight touchdowns to match his eight interceptions in previous eight starts. Is this really the guy you wanted to be giving away points with on the road, in the division? Of course, it goes deeper than quarterback where Houston does have talent but Jacksonville’s defence good enough to compete here.
TAKING: JAGUARS +6
Panthers (3-8) at Saints (5-7)
LINE: NEW ORLEANS by 10½
Who would ever think that the Saints dread returning home? They had dropped three straight here before a surprising win in Pittsburgh last week and now we’re not sure which team shows up today. Even though the Panthers are a rather despicable bunch, we can’t trust this host spotting double-digits until they earn back our trust. Also not anxious to be giving away substantial points with the 31[SUP]st[/SUP] ranked defensive team as Saints giving up an incredulous 390 yards per game. Saints won earlier meeting in Charlotte by 28-10 count. Twice in one season to win by a margin, in division, with a losing team? No thanks.
TAKING: PANTHERS +10½
Buccaneers (2-10) at Lions (8-4)
LINE: DETROIT by 10
Some of this is timing and catching the Lions in a perfect position to dismantle the Bears last week has many riding a rested Detroit team for this one. That could be a mistake. Mathew Stafford and Co. were able to take advantage of Chicago’s porous secondary in that easy win but lest we forget that the Leos had scored just 15 points in its two prior games to that one which included zero touchdowns. This Tampa defence is an improving unit, having allowed just 42 points in its past three games. Bucs also much better on the road where they have covered four of five. Lots of room for a cover here.
TAKING: BUCCANEERS +10
Jets (2-10) at Vikings (5-7)
LINE: MINNESOTA by 6
Only a few more bumps remain in the potholed road known as the Jets’ 2014 season. Changes are coming. We all know that. In the meantime, can this team compete? The Jets are off a short week after suffering another humiliating loss. However, we’re not going to bail on them quite yet. After all, they are playing a Minnesota team that might have less offensive power than they do. Vikes needed two blocked punts for touchdowns to win last week. So when we’re offered a near touchdown with neophyte Teddy Bridgewater as our obstacle, we are content allowing the defences to fight this one out in a conservative affair.
TAKING: JETS +6
Bills (7-5) at Broncos (9-3)
LINE: DENVER by 10
It’s not really fair to penalize Buffalo’s strong defensive stats because of the teams and quarterbacks they’ve faced this season. However, if our objective is to pick the winning side, we have no choice but to do so. Bills have squared off against a group that includes the Jets twice, Miami twice, Houston, Cleveland, Detroit and Minnesota. Not exactly high octane teams. When facing Tom Brady, they gave up 346 yards passing. Even Jay Cutler torched the Bills for 341 yards. Denver has not lost at home in six tries, averaging more than 35 points per game at Mile High. Buffalo unlikely to trade punches in that range.
TAKING: BRONCOS -10
49ers (7-5) at Raiders (1-11)
LINE: SAN FRANCISCO by 8
You just need watch the Niners to see the lack of confidence displayed by its offence. This appears to be more of a chronic thing than a temporary ache. Colin Kaepernick seems lost but the team is strangely asking him to throw more passes than he ever has before? San Francisco has scored 17 or fewer points in five of its past six games. Granted, the Raiders are a doormat but there is some Bay Area bragging rights at stake here and teams coming off embarrassing losses (Oakland lost 52-0 last week) have a prideful way of rebounding from such disgrace. Just too many to give with 49ers in current form.
TAKING: RAIDERS +8
Seahawks (8-4) at Eagles (9-3)
LINE: PHILADELPHIA by 1
This is simply a bad line. Seattle held struggling Arizona offence and then punchless 49ers to three points each and suddenly its feared defence of a year ago is back? Not so fast. While we respect the Seahawks’ stop unit, we’ve seen it struggle against some formidable offences this season and Philadelphia’s is a dangerous group that can throw all sorts of schemes at you. Chip Kelly has had 10 days to prepare for this one and while his guys may not rack up their usual abundance of points, Seattle’s offence is a stagnant group that may not be able to answer. Seahawks 2-10 both straight up and against the spread in week after facing the 49ers.
TAKING: EAGLES -1
Patriots (9-3) at Chargers (8-4)
LINE: NEW ENGLAND by 3½
Uh oh, Patriots off a loss. History will support a big bounce back (covered 9 of past 12 after a defeat) but this could actually be a flat spot for the Patriots fresh off a high profile game at Lambeau Field. New England now traveling for second week in a row and will face an 8-4 San Diego squad that many had lost faith in not so long ago but the Bolts have inconspicuously won three straight. While Tom Brady is as elite as they come, the Chargers’ Philip Rivers is no slouch sporting 69.1% completion percentage, tops in the AFC. Good Sunday nighter and tough one to call but taking better than a field goal is the way we’ll lean.
TAKING: CHARGERS +3½
Falcons (5-7) at Packers (9-3)
LINE: GREEN BAY by 13
Green Bay appears unstoppable right now, especially on this field. To find flaws in their game would just sound foolish. We won’t even try. Thing is this, we don’t have to win the game to get the checkmark. We just need the Falcons to stay within two touchdowns. Easier said than done of course but with Atlanta fighting to remain at par with the Saints, they must leave everything on the field right now. The Falcs have quietly won three of past four and the near two touchdown spot leaves us plenty of backdoor space. Packers could also have slight letdown after win over mighty Patriots last week.
TAKING: FALCONS +13
GC: NFL Play
Sunday NFL Triple Perfect Conference Play of the Year on Sunday night + Early 12-0 6* and 2 big Double system 5* Sides. In Hoops its A 5* 100% Blowout, an Undefeated Road warrior and a 18-1 NCAAB Power Angle. There is also a big teaser. Football ranks #1 and The 7* NCAAF Goy cashes with Ohio.St. NFL Play below.
The NFC Power system play is on the Washington Redskins +3. Game 166 at 1:00 eastern. Washington has covered 7 straight off a Non conference game and 10 of 11 if the have the Giants up next and have revenge. The Rams are off a big 52-0 home win but have covered just once in the last 8 vs NFC East teams and are 1-12 ats as a road favorite vs a team with revenge. Home dogs of less than 5 off a road dog loss that allowed 35 or more have covered 17 of 23 vs an opponent off a home favored win. Look for a big game from Washington here today as the Skins are one of the better teams from the line of scrimmage but it has not translated to the win column. We will take them today plus the points. Football remains with a #1 ranking. Saturday 7* GOY Cashes Easily with Ohio.St. Tonight its the Triple Perfect Conference Play of the year. Early 12-0 6* and Double system 5*. Their is also a triple Perfect Late afternoon 5* and 3 big Hoops plays. In the NBA its a 5* Blowout and big 100% Road warrior. In NCAAB its 18-1 Power angle play. Jump on and put the most powerful data in the Industry on your side. For the season its now 51 Games over. 500 in football. For the Bonus Play take Washington +3. GC
The NFC Power system play is on the Washington Redskins +3. Game 166 at 1:00 eastern. Washington has covered 7 straight off a Non conference game and 10 of 11 if the have the Giants up next and have revenge. The Rams are off a big 52-0 home win but have covered just once in the last 8 vs NFC East teams and are 1-12 ats as a road favorite vs a team with revenge. Home dogs of less than 5 off a road dog loss that allowed 35 or more have covered 17 of 23 vs an opponent off a home favored win. Look for a big game from Washington here today as the Skins are one of the better teams from the line of scrimmage but it has not translated to the win column. We will take them today plus the points. Football remains with a #1 ranking. Saturday 7* GOY Cashes Easily with Ohio.St. Tonight its the Triple Perfect Conference Play of the year. Early 12-0 6* and Double system 5*. Their is also a triple Perfect Late afternoon 5* and 3 big Hoops plays. In the NBA its a 5* Blowout and big 100% Road warrior. In NCAAB its 18-1 Power angle play. Jump on and put the most powerful data in the Industry on your side. For the season its now 51 Games over. 500 in football. For the Bonus Play take Washington +3. GC
WAYNE ROOT
MILLIONAIRES----PHILADELPHIA
NO LIMIT CLUB---WASHINGTON
____________________________
PERFECT PLAY---TENNESSEE
New York has to be upset with both teams and will entertain fans with "media" drama for the remainder of the year. The Giants came into this season with realistic hopes of making the playoffs, but things have not gone according to plan. Standout WR Victor Cruz suffered a knee injury in a week 6 loss at Philadelphia and New York has proceeded to lose seven games in a row.
In the Titans’ last 11 games, their only win was a narrow 16-14 home victory over the Jacksonville Jaguars. Tennessee will play in winnable games the next three weeks, home against the Giants and Jets then on the road at Jacksonville. These two teams have both struggled mightily to reach the win column over the last two months of the season. Home field for the Titans as the Giants have quit and resigned itself to continue to make mistakes, commit turnovers and play with little interest. TAKE TENNESSEE
______________________________________________
INNER CIRCLE---SAN DIEGO......NFL UNDERDOG OF THE MONTH
While the Patriots are clearly not invincible, they're still the best team in the AFC. But this is a situational play. A play that fall into place just right. A week after losing on the road at Green Bay, they now find themselvestraveling 3500 miles and starting a game at 8:30 pm est. And laying 3.5 points to boot. This looks like a *trap* game as the public is convinced that the Pats will not lose in back to back games. They might not. They may win the game 24-21 and allow the Chargers tickets to cash big! If the Patriots have a weakness this year, it's clearly on the ground. No Pats running back has eclipsed the 400 yard marker and only Jonas Grey has more than two touchdowns. The Chargers return home after a great come from behind road win to cover this pointspread behind Philip Rivers in a game he wants to win so bad against Tom Brady!!
TAKE SAN DIEGO
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Pinnacle---CLEVELAND...AFC UNDERDOG GAME OF THE YEAR
What's up with Cleveland? Don't they know that they are in the middle of a playoff run? Finally the Browns return to the Cleveland sports city and franchise we all love to hate. Only the Browns would start a QB controversy in a late season playoff run. But according to my sources, the QB benching and bringing in Johnny Football was the right thing to do. Now Bryan Hoyer is back to starting, re-focused and had another week of practice trying to get his timing with Josh Gordon. Besides, the Browns win at home with great defensive play; not by scoring 35 points. On the other hand, if Andrew Luck doesn't throw for 4 to 5 TD's, it will be an easy win and cover for the hometeam dog! TAKE CLEVELAND
MILLIONAIRES----PHILADELPHIA
NO LIMIT CLUB---WASHINGTON
____________________________
PERFECT PLAY---TENNESSEE
New York has to be upset with both teams and will entertain fans with "media" drama for the remainder of the year. The Giants came into this season with realistic hopes of making the playoffs, but things have not gone according to plan. Standout WR Victor Cruz suffered a knee injury in a week 6 loss at Philadelphia and New York has proceeded to lose seven games in a row.
In the Titans’ last 11 games, their only win was a narrow 16-14 home victory over the Jacksonville Jaguars. Tennessee will play in winnable games the next three weeks, home against the Giants and Jets then on the road at Jacksonville. These two teams have both struggled mightily to reach the win column over the last two months of the season. Home field for the Titans as the Giants have quit and resigned itself to continue to make mistakes, commit turnovers and play with little interest. TAKE TENNESSEE
______________________________________________
INNER CIRCLE---SAN DIEGO......NFL UNDERDOG OF THE MONTH
While the Patriots are clearly not invincible, they're still the best team in the AFC. But this is a situational play. A play that fall into place just right. A week after losing on the road at Green Bay, they now find themselvestraveling 3500 miles and starting a game at 8:30 pm est. And laying 3.5 points to boot. This looks like a *trap* game as the public is convinced that the Pats will not lose in back to back games. They might not. They may win the game 24-21 and allow the Chargers tickets to cash big! If the Patriots have a weakness this year, it's clearly on the ground. No Pats running back has eclipsed the 400 yard marker and only Jonas Grey has more than two touchdowns. The Chargers return home after a great come from behind road win to cover this pointspread behind Philip Rivers in a game he wants to win so bad against Tom Brady!!
TAKE SAN DIEGO
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Pinnacle---CLEVELAND...AFC UNDERDOG GAME OF THE YEAR
What's up with Cleveland? Don't they know that they are in the middle of a playoff run? Finally the Browns return to the Cleveland sports city and franchise we all love to hate. Only the Browns would start a QB controversy in a late season playoff run. But according to my sources, the QB benching and bringing in Johnny Football was the right thing to do. Now Bryan Hoyer is back to starting, re-focused and had another week of practice trying to get his timing with Josh Gordon. Besides, the Browns win at home with great defensive play; not by scoring 35 points. On the other hand, if Andrew Luck doesn't throw for 4 to 5 TD's, it will be an easy win and cover for the hometeam dog! TAKE CLEVELAND
Joe Gavazzi
STEAMROLLER GAME OF THE WEEK
Houston Texans (-6) at Jacksonville Jaguars 1:00 PM EST
Each week I isolate an NFL team whom I believe will dominate their opponent at the point of attack. Outrushing your NFL opponent by 30+ yards provides a team with a 74% chance to beat the spread. If a team runs 30 times a game, while their opponent does not, they have an 83% chance to cover the point spread. Finally, if an opponent runs 22 or less times in a game, while our team runs more than 22 times, we have an 86% chance to cover the point spread. Last week, our Steamroller of the Week was these Houston Texans, who rolled to a 45-21 victory against outmanned Tennessee. This week, we are back for more with the same Houston team against the Jaguars team with the second worst offense in the league.
The Jags got just their second win of the season last week when they won 25-24 against the New York Giants. Don’t think it was an offensive explosion. The Jags trailed 21-0 last week, but rallied for a 25-24 victory courtesy of two fumbles returned for touchdowns. But Jacksonville does not respond well to victory, as they are just 2-10 ATS following a win. This team continues to have a pathetic offense, averaging just 16 PPG on 300 YPG. They get outrushed 30/129/4.3 to 23/98/4.3.
That is grist for the running mill that has become the Houston Texans, whose average numbers for the season are 33/134/4.1. At 6-6 SU, following last week’s victory, the Texans are still alive in the playoff hunt. That means there will be full focus today. In last week’s romp over Tennessee, Houston had a 457-320 yard edge. Following a 2-14 SU season of last, Texans are highly motivated to get back to the winning side of the ledger. They are 4-1 SU ATS this season vs sub-.500 teams.
The combination of the Houston incentive, the momentum of last week’s victory, the strong fundamental edge at the point of attack, and Jacksonville’s poor history following a victory will all lead to a comfortable victory by the Texans today.
STEAMROLLER GAME OF THE WEEK
Houston Texans (-6) at Jacksonville Jaguars 1:00 PM EST
Each week I isolate an NFL team whom I believe will dominate their opponent at the point of attack. Outrushing your NFL opponent by 30+ yards provides a team with a 74% chance to beat the spread. If a team runs 30 times a game, while their opponent does not, they have an 83% chance to cover the point spread. Finally, if an opponent runs 22 or less times in a game, while our team runs more than 22 times, we have an 86% chance to cover the point spread. Last week, our Steamroller of the Week was these Houston Texans, who rolled to a 45-21 victory against outmanned Tennessee. This week, we are back for more with the same Houston team against the Jaguars team with the second worst offense in the league.
The Jags got just their second win of the season last week when they won 25-24 against the New York Giants. Don’t think it was an offensive explosion. The Jags trailed 21-0 last week, but rallied for a 25-24 victory courtesy of two fumbles returned for touchdowns. But Jacksonville does not respond well to victory, as they are just 2-10 ATS following a win. This team continues to have a pathetic offense, averaging just 16 PPG on 300 YPG. They get outrushed 30/129/4.3 to 23/98/4.3.
That is grist for the running mill that has become the Houston Texans, whose average numbers for the season are 33/134/4.1. At 6-6 SU, following last week’s victory, the Texans are still alive in the playoff hunt. That means there will be full focus today. In last week’s romp over Tennessee, Houston had a 457-320 yard edge. Following a 2-14 SU season of last, Texans are highly motivated to get back to the winning side of the ledger. They are 4-1 SU ATS this season vs sub-.500 teams.
The combination of the Houston incentive, the momentum of last week’s victory, the strong fundamental edge at the point of attack, and Jacksonville’s poor history following a victory will all lead to a comfortable victory by the Texans today.
