vegas-runner | NFL Side Triple-Dime Bet
145 WAS 7.0 (-120) Sportsbetting.com vs 146 BAL
Analysis:
*** NFL SNF 3* BEST BET ***
( BUY THE 1/2 POINT to +7 )
Washington comes in at 7-5 and really needing a win to stay alive in the Playoff hunt. Baltimore comes in an over-achieving 8-4, and more importantly, "9-3" ATS, making them a premium to back...Now they are playing home, on a national stage, and against their NFC rivals...So right away we can be assured they will be priced higher than they should be which offers us almost automatic "Value" on the dog...
I made this line "4" and that was adding in the fact that Baltimore has scored 30+ points in back to back weeks, while the Redskins come off a 7-23 home loss to the NY Giants...
And even though being able to get a perceivable 3 points more than I should be in a game that I can almost be assured that I will get the Dogs best effort for 60 min., is usually more than enough reason to back the Redskins...after breaking the game down, it became apparent why the "Outfits" also gave a "Buy-Order" on Washington in Tonight's "Prime-Time" SNF Match-Up...
For starters Washington has played the league's 12th toughest schedule, and have been able to win "4 of their 5" Road Games, so far this year...
We see that coming into this game, the Ravens have put up 34 vs Cincinnati..37 vs Clevelan...and 41 vs Houston...Producing an Undefeated Record against "Sub-500" Teams, while struggling when facing a Winning Team...
The Redskins have only allowed an average of only "18 PTS" per Game...91 Yrds Rushing...and 193 Yrds Passing, with a Completion % of Only 56%...in their Road Games...And after 2 losing efforts in MNF this year, I really believe they will be extremely motivated to make sure that they do not allow themselves to be embarassed...on the National Stage Tonight...And I feel they have the athletes, motivation, and ability to allow them to be in this game form start to finish, and will go as far as calling this a very "Winnable" Game for the Redskins when you really break down. Both...the Match-Ups and the Game Itself...
Bottom line, this is just too many points to give a very "Motivated" team, who must be considered amongst the better teams that Baltimore has faced, and one of the better teams in the NFC...Able to move to 8-4 with a Win here Tonight...
Fortunately, "Public Perception" is offering us a handicapp of a "TD" and that allows us to cash a ticket as long as Washington is able to make a game of it...I don't see that being a problem, and will agree with the "Outfits" that grabbing the Points is an excellent bet, that definately allows us to get the best of it going in...
Let's go ahead and Buy the Hook, and take the Road Dog, Washington Redskins +7...as an NFL 3* BEST BET...VR
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