Andre Gomes
ATL / PHI Under 43.5
I like this contest to be a low scoring affair for several reasons. First of all, these two teams are second in their respective divisions and with records of 7-4 and 6-5, this game is huge for the wildcard battle, so we can expect a big effort from both sides. Both teams are banged up on their offense. Matt Ryan is out for this contest and QB Chris Redman will start in his place. RB Michael Turner is also out and some of their best receivers are banged up as well. Roddy White missed some practices this week and Michael ******* is even questionable for this game, so the Falcons will have tremendous problems to score today and in my opinion, they will look to have a low risk approach in here.
However, the Eagles aren't better than the Falcons, as RB Brian Westbrook remains in the sidelines. Their big time receiver DeSean Jackson is also out and WR Kevin Curtis didn't recover from an injury and will also miss this game as well, so the Eagles are also shorthanded for today. Sure that the Falcons are currently ranked 23th in yards per game allowed averaging 373.9 yds per game, but I expect a major effort from them in this department.
We have a totals line of 43.5 points and we have some room to work in here and so, I'm taking the Under on this contest.
Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 345/346 Under 43.5