Greg Dempson
New York Giants at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Last Sunday the New York Giants tied the 1963 Houston Oilers for the most points scored while losing a game, matching the identical 52–49 score from December 22, 1963 when the Houston Oilers lost to the Oakland Raiders. Last weekend’s Giants/Saints shoot-out was the highest scoring game in the NFL since 204 when the Bengals defeated the Browns by a score of 58–48.
The last time Tampa Bay played the Giants the Buccaneers were in the wrong end of a shoot-out (41–34,) in 2012 with that game sailing way over the posted total of 44. This total has been bet up to as high as 50 from an opening number of 47.5. I am not interested in the total in this 4:05 ET start as my focus is on the side portion of this game.
View From the 50 yard Line
· The Bucs are 1–11 straight up and 3 – 9 ATS in their last 12.
· The Giants are 3–1 ATS in their last four trips to Tampa Bay.
· The Buccaneers are 2–11 ATS off a win over a division rival as an underdog of 6 or more points.
· The Giants are 29–14 ATS in road games after gaining 6 or more yards per play in their previous game.
· There is a superb system on the Giants that is 22 – 08 = 73% ATS since 1999 which inproves to 16 – 04 ATS in division and conference play when backing the Giants.
· Here is the clincher, since 1999 when a team lost straight up on the road by less than 7 points, (Giants,) and are on the road again with a line that’s + or – 3 points, our play on team, (applies to the Giants,) is 10 – 00 – 02 = 100% ATS.
NFL PICK
My ********* game of the Week is on the New York Giants at – 2.5 points.