mti 5 star
5-Star SAN DIEGO -5 over Atlanta - This one could get ugly. The Falcons are off a huge revenge game at home vs the Panthers and could have nothing whatsoever left for this one. Last week, the Panthers had the momentum on numerous occasions but the crowd and missed tackles and turnovers by the Panthers kept them in the lead. Here, they are in unfriendly territory and they are facing a team that needs a win to stay in the division race.
Last week, San Diego outgained the Colts 394-341, but lost 23-20. This is a solid spot to back San Diego, as they are 6-0 ATS the week after a loss in which they outgained their opponent, winning every game by at least a TD.
Atlanta weak rushing defense should be exploited by the Chargers' rushing game. Indeed, San Diego is 11-0 ATS vs a team that has allowed at least 4.5 yards per carry season-to-date if there are not laying more than two TDs. The Chargers have beaten these weak rush defenses by an average of 17.7 ppg and covered by an average of 13.9 ppg. In their lone active date this season, they demonished the Patriots 30-10.
The Falcons' passing yards have increased steadily over the past three weeks and this is a bad sign for them. Atlanta is 0-5 ATS when their passing yards have increased over each of the past two weeks, losing by an average of 22.8 ppg and failing to cover by an average of 16.3 ppg.
Finally, the Falcons are TERRIBLE the week after gaining revenge. Atlanta is 0-8 ATS the week after gaining same-season revenge vs a divisional opponent, in at least a three-point win, falling short of expectations by an average of a whopping 17.5 ppg. Lay the points. If the Chargers get an early break, Atlanta will lose their edge and it will get ugly.
MTi's FORECAST: SAN DIEGO 34 Atlanta 10
5-Star SAN DIEGO -5 over Atlanta - This one could get ugly. The Falcons are off a huge revenge game at home vs the Panthers and could have nothing whatsoever left for this one. Last week, the Panthers had the momentum on numerous occasions but the crowd and missed tackles and turnovers by the Panthers kept them in the lead. Here, they are in unfriendly territory and they are facing a team that needs a win to stay in the division race.
Last week, San Diego outgained the Colts 394-341, but lost 23-20. This is a solid spot to back San Diego, as they are 6-0 ATS the week after a loss in which they outgained their opponent, winning every game by at least a TD.
Atlanta weak rushing defense should be exploited by the Chargers' rushing game. Indeed, San Diego is 11-0 ATS vs a team that has allowed at least 4.5 yards per carry season-to-date if there are not laying more than two TDs. The Chargers have beaten these weak rush defenses by an average of 17.7 ppg and covered by an average of 13.9 ppg. In their lone active date this season, they demonished the Patriots 30-10.
The Falcons' passing yards have increased steadily over the past three weeks and this is a bad sign for them. Atlanta is 0-5 ATS when their passing yards have increased over each of the past two weeks, losing by an average of 22.8 ppg and failing to cover by an average of 16.3 ppg.
Finally, the Falcons are TERRIBLE the week after gaining revenge. Atlanta is 0-8 ATS the week after gaining same-season revenge vs a divisional opponent, in at least a three-point win, falling short of expectations by an average of a whopping 17.5 ppg. Lay the points. If the Chargers get an early break, Atlanta will lose their edge and it will get ugly.
MTi's FORECAST: SAN DIEGO 34 Atlanta 10
