HRC PREMIUM NFL ACTION-November 28th
Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)
Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
******************
[219] Tennessee |10*|Bet C|+6.5|B+0|CBS|1:00 pm EST
[223] Carolina |8*|Bet B|+10.5|B+1/2|FOX|1:00 pm EST
[230] Atlanta |8*|Bet B|-1|B+0|FOX|1:00 pm EST
[238] Indianapolis |8*|Bet B|-2.5|B+1/2|NBC|8:25 pm EST
note*
This is the "NFL SPREAD SYSTEM" buy 1/2 on only even spreads (4 game chase)
2010/2011 NFL and NCAAF SYSTEMS
NFL Spread LOSSES- 0
A. 9 wins
B. 2 wins
C. 1 win
D. 1 win
NCAAF V2 Spread LOSSES- 1
A. 15 wins
B. 6 wins
C. 2 wins
D. 1 win
NCAAF FINAL SYSTEM RECORD
Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)
Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
******************
[219] Tennessee |10*|Bet C|+6.5|B+0|CBS|1:00 pm EST
[223] Carolina |8*|Bet B|+10.5|B+1/2|FOX|1:00 pm EST
[230] Atlanta |8*|Bet B|-1|B+0|FOX|1:00 pm EST
[238] Indianapolis |8*|Bet B|-2.5|B+1/2|NBC|8:25 pm EST
note*
This is the "NFL SPREAD SYSTEM" buy 1/2 on only even spreads (4 game chase)
2010/2011 NFL and NCAAF SYSTEMS
NFL Spread LOSSES- 0
A. 9 wins
B. 2 wins
C. 1 win
D. 1 win
NCAAF V2 Spread LOSSES- 1
A. 15 wins
B. 6 wins
C. 2 wins
D. 1 win
NCAAF FINAL SYSTEM RECORD
DCI NCAA CBB
Season
Straight Up: 649-167 (.795)
ATS: 224-244 (.479)
ATS Vary Units: 934-934 (.500)
Over/Under: 201-221 (.476)
Over/Under Vary Units: 337-438 (.435)
76 Classic
at Anaheim Convention Center Arena, Anaheim, CA
Oklahoma State 66, Murray State 65
Stanford 71, DePaul 61
Tulsa 80, Cal State Northridge 66
Championship
Unlv 70, Virginia Tech 66
Global Sports Roundball Classic
Round Robin at Normal, IL
ILLINOIS STATE 75, Jacksonville State 53
South Dakota 73, Uic 71
Legends Classic
Detroit Subregional at Detroit, MI
Bowling Green State 66, Albany 60
DETROIT 75, New Hampshire 64
Williamsburg Subregional at Williamsburg, VA
Mercer 76, Gardner-Webb 71
WILLIAM & MARY 70, Western Carolina 61
Old Spice Classic
at HP Field House, Lake Buena Vista, FL
California 73, Boston College 62
Georgia 75, Manhattan 61
Texas A&M 61, Temple 57
Championship
Notre Dame 64, Wisconsin 62
Non-Conference
AMERICAN 67, Columbia 57
DREXEL 70, Binghamton 54
FLORIDA STATE 73, Florida 65
Hampton 68, HIGH POINT 62
HARVARD 76, Colorado 75
LEHIGH 79, Bryant 51
Lsu 66, SOUTH ALABAMA 61
MICHIGAN STATE 88, Tennessee Tech 60
MISSOURI 78, Arkansas-Pine Bluff 51
Morehead State 80, SIU EDWARDSVILLE 58
NEW HAMPSHIRE 76, San Diego 53
NORTH CAROLINA 82, College of Charleston 74
Northern Arizona 73, PEPPERDINE 71
NORTHWESTERN 73, Creighton 66
PENN STATE 71, Furman 56
SAN JOSE STATE 77, UC Riverside 64
Siena 65, PRINCETON 60
SMU 70, Central Arkansas 55
UIC 66, Toledo 54
Season
Straight Up: 649-167 (.795)
ATS: 224-244 (.479)
ATS Vary Units: 934-934 (.500)
Over/Under: 201-221 (.476)
Over/Under Vary Units: 337-438 (.435)
76 Classic
at Anaheim Convention Center Arena, Anaheim, CA
Oklahoma State 66, Murray State 65
Stanford 71, DePaul 61
Tulsa 80, Cal State Northridge 66
Championship
Unlv 70, Virginia Tech 66
Global Sports Roundball Classic
Round Robin at Normal, IL
ILLINOIS STATE 75, Jacksonville State 53
South Dakota 73, Uic 71
Legends Classic
Detroit Subregional at Detroit, MI
Bowling Green State 66, Albany 60
DETROIT 75, New Hampshire 64
Williamsburg Subregional at Williamsburg, VA
Mercer 76, Gardner-Webb 71
WILLIAM & MARY 70, Western Carolina 61
Old Spice Classic
at HP Field House, Lake Buena Vista, FL
California 73, Boston College 62
Georgia 75, Manhattan 61
Texas A&M 61, Temple 57
Championship
Notre Dame 64, Wisconsin 62
Non-Conference
AMERICAN 67, Columbia 57
DREXEL 70, Binghamton 54
FLORIDA STATE 73, Florida 65
Hampton 68, HIGH POINT 62
HARVARD 76, Colorado 75
LEHIGH 79, Bryant 51
Lsu 66, SOUTH ALABAMA 61
MICHIGAN STATE 88, Tennessee Tech 60
MISSOURI 78, Arkansas-Pine Bluff 51
Morehead State 80, SIU EDWARDSVILLE 58
NEW HAMPSHIRE 76, San Diego 53
NORTH CAROLINA 82, College of Charleston 74
Northern Arizona 73, PEPPERDINE 71
NORTHWESTERN 73, Creighton 66
PENN STATE 71, Furman 56
SAN JOSE STATE 77, UC Riverside 64
Siena 65, PRINCETON 60
SMU 70, Central Arkansas 55
UIC 66, Toledo 54
DCI NBA
Season
Straight Up: 146-81 (.643)
ATS: 130-102 (.560)
ATS Vary Units: 375-321 (.539)
Over/Under: 104-135 (.435)
Over/Under Vary Units: 147-177 (.454)
TORONTO 101, Atlanta 100
DETROIT 104, New York 101
San Antonio 99, NEW ORLEANS 98
Utah 107, L.A. CLIPPERS 97
Portland 95, NEW JERSEY 91
Oklahoma City 106, HOUSTON 104
DENVER 113, Phoenix 109
L.A. LAKERS 109, Indiana 96
Season
Straight Up: 146-81 (.643)
ATS: 130-102 (.560)
ATS Vary Units: 375-321 (.539)
Over/Under: 104-135 (.435)
Over/Under Vary Units: 147-177 (.454)
TORONTO 101, Atlanta 100
DETROIT 104, New York 101
San Antonio 99, NEW ORLEANS 98
Utah 107, L.A. CLIPPERS 97
Portland 95, NEW JERSEY 91
Oklahoma City 106, HOUSTON 104
DENVER 113, Phoenix 109
L.A. LAKERS 109, Indiana 96
DCI NFL
Sunday, November 28, 2010
Pittsburgh 26, BUFFALO 19
N.Y. GIANTS 28, Jacksonville 25
Philadelphia 24, CHICAGO 21
ATLANTA 24, Green Bay 21
BALTIMORE 24, Tampa Bay 16
Tennessee vs. HOUSTON: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
WASHINGTON 27, Minnesota 18
CLEVELAND 26, Carolina 10
Kansas City 24, SEATTLE 23
Miami vs. OAKLAND: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
DENVER 26, St. Louis 21
INDIANAPOLIS 27, San Diego 26
Monday, November 29, 2010
San Francisco 25, Arizona 19
Sunday, November 28, 2010
Pittsburgh 26, BUFFALO 19
N.Y. GIANTS 28, Jacksonville 25
Philadelphia 24, CHICAGO 21
ATLANTA 24, Green Bay 21
BALTIMORE 24, Tampa Bay 16
Tennessee vs. HOUSTON: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
WASHINGTON 27, Minnesota 18
CLEVELAND 26, Carolina 10
Kansas City 24, SEATTLE 23
Miami vs. OAKLAND: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
DENVER 26, St. Louis 21
INDIANAPOLIS 27, San Diego 26
Monday, November 29, 2010
San Francisco 25, Arizona 19
Statsystems report 11/28
STAN THE MAN'S STAT/SYSTEMS REPORT 11/28
NATIONAL FOOTBALL LEAGUE
INFO WORTH BETTING ON ONE PAGE EACH DAY
________________________________________________
***** STAT/SYSTEMS SPORTS POWER SEARCH -- NFL *****
***** SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 28TH NFL INFORMATION *****
__________________________________________________ _______
(All results ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of Stat/Systems Sports. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
_____________________________________
• 2-MINUTE DRILL
----------------------
--Minnesota 7-0 SU Game Eleven... 9-1 off BB SU losses vs .500 > opp... 1-7 vs .500 > opp off SU dog win (0-1 this year)
--WASHINGTON SERIES: 3-1 L4 H... 8-1 bef Giants... 6-1-2 non div HD's (1-0-2 this year)... 0-10 H off SU win vs <.500 opp... 2-9 O/U Game Eleven
--Pittsburgh SERIES: 8-0 L8/3-0 L3 A... NOV: 8-1 off non div HG (1-0 this year)... 6-1 off BB HG's vs opp off DD SU win... 0-8 off DD SU win & scored 35 > pts (0-1 this year)... 2-6 RF's > 3 pts (1-0 this year)
--BUFFALO 11-1 dogs off DD ATS win... NOV: 8-1 H w/rev vs non div (1-0 this year)... 0-4 aft scoring 35 > pts... 2-7 dogs < 8 pts vs .600 > opp (1-1 this year)... 4-0 O/U Game Eleven
--Tennessee SERIES: 6-2 L8/4-1 L5 A... 12-1 dogs vs opp w/rev (1-0 this year)... 8-1 dogs < 8 pts vs div opp w/rev... 0-3 Game Eleven
--HOUSTON 7-1 w/rev vs div opp off HG... NOV: 9-2 < .500 vs opp off fav role (1-0 this year)... 0-7 vs .500 > opp off DD ATS loss... 1-4 SU Game Eleven
--Jacksonville SERIES: 3-1 L4... 7-1 .500 > vs. 500 > opp off BB ATS losses (0-1 this year)... 9-1 .500 > off SU non div win vs .500 > opp (0-1 this year)... 5-3 bef Titans (1-0 this year)... 0-7 dogs off BB SU wins vs opp w/rev... 1-3 SUATS Game Eleven
--NY GIANTS 0-8 w/rev off BB SUATS losses... 1-10 SU Game Eleven... 1-6 non div favs > 3 pts bef div HG (1-0 this year)... 1-5 favs vs non conf opp off SU win
--Carolina 7-1 aft allowing 35 > pts... 9-2 dogs vs .333 < opp (1-0 this year)... NOV: 1-7 A vs opp off non div w/rev... 2-10 non conf dogs (0-2 this year... 2-9 dogs vs opp w/rev (2-3 this year)... 1-5 O/U Game Eleven
--CLEVELAND 4-1 w/rev off SUATS loss vs opp off BB SU losses... 0-5 O/U Game Eleven
--Tampa Bay 7-0 dogs off DD SUATS non div win... 0-8 off SU dog win vs opp off DD ATS win (0-1 this year)... 1-6 dogs off BB SU wins vs non div opp (0-1 this year)... 4-12 A vs non conf opp (1-0 this year)... 3-8 bef Falcons (1-0 this year)... 2-9 O/U Game Eleven
--BALTIMORE SERIES: 5-2 L7... 17-0 H off non conf... NOV: 13-2 .500 > H off non div (1-0 this year)... HARBAUGH: 7-1 off NFC (1-0 this year)/12-2 fav vs non div opp (3-1 this year)... 4-1 O/U Game Eleven
--Philadelphia 9-0 A vs non div off div (1-0 this year)... 12-2 aft Giants... NOV: 11-2 A off BB SUATS wins... 5-1 off div vs opp off BB SU wins... 4-0 O/U Game Eleven
--CHICAGO NOV: 12-0 w/rev vs non div opp off SU win (1-0 this year)... 0-7-1 off BB SUATS wins, last by DD... SMITH: 11-1 w/rev vs opp off div (2-0 this year)... 1-9 O/U Game Eleven
--Green Bay 9-0 off DD div ATS win w/rev vs opp off BB ATS wins... 1-6 vs NFC South... NOV: 3-9 .500 > A off DD SU win (1-0 this year)... 3-1 O/U Game Eleven
--ATLANTA SERIES: 4-1 L5... 0-9 H off BB SUATS wins (0-1 this year)... 0-7 H off 3 SU wins... 1-3 Game Eleven... SMITH: 11-3 H off non div (2-1 this year)
--Miami SERIES: 4-1 L5 A... 7-1 A vs AFC West... 5-1 off SU fav non conf loss... 0-3 SU Game Eleven... SPARANO: 11-1 RD Game Four > (2-1 this year)
--OAKLAND 5-1 aft allowing 35 > pts vs non div opp (1-0 this year)... 6-2 Game Eleven... NOV: 0-7 favs off SUATS loss vs non div opp... 1-12 L13 favs (1-1 this year)
--Kansas City SERIES: 5-1 L6... NOV: 7-1 RD's vs opp off SUATS loss... 4-1 A off non conf (0-1 this year)... 2-8 Game Eleven
--SEATTLE 7-1-1 non div favs w/rev... 13-2 H vs non conf opp (1-0 this year)... NOV: 1-8 favs vs opp off DD SU win
--St. Louis 1-7 Game Eleven... SPAGNUOLO: 6-2 A vs < .500 opp (2-1 this year)
--DENVER SERIES: 3-1 L4/3-0 L3 H... 0-9 non div favs between div games... 1-3 O/U Game Eleven
--San Diego SERIES: 5-1 L6/12-1 L13 A... 7-0 aft Broncos... 7-1 bef Raiders (1-0 this year)... 13-2 vs AFC South (3-0 this year)... 5-1 SU Game Eleven... TURNER: 12-2 off div vs .500 > opp (1-0 this year)
--INDIANAPOLIS 7-0 Game Eleven... 4-1 1ST BB HG'S vs non div opp... NOV: 3-9 HF's vs opp off div (1-0 this year)
________________________________________________
*** SUNDAY'S QUICK HITS ***
--------------------------------------
• #215 VIKINGS (3-7) @ #216 REDSKINS (5-5) - Frazier’s first game as interim coach; expect team to play much harder for him than they did for despised Childress. Vikings lost four of last five games, and trailed by 14 with 5:00 left in the win; they’re 0-5 on road, 0-4-1 vs spread as underdog and even though they’ve got one of best RB’s in NFL, they’ve run ball for only 81 ypg over last three games. Redskins allowed 16 or less points in their five wins, 27+ in all five losses; they’re 5-2 in games decided by six or less points, but also lost three of last four at home. Skins allowed 260-151 rushing yards in their last two games. NFC North dogs are 8-4-1, 6-4-1 on road. NFC East favorites are 6-8, 4-6 at home. Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Viking games.
• #217 STEELERS (7-3) @ #218 BILLS (2-8) - Pittsburgh is only three-hour ride from Buffalo; expect to see lot of black/gold in crowd for this game. Improving Bills won last two games, after losing three in row by FG each; its been seven weeks since Buffalo lost a game by more than 7 points- they’re 4-1-1 vs. spread in last six games as underdog. Bills ran ball for 151-141 yards last two weeks, after averaging 108 ypg in first eight; they’re 2-2 if they don’t lose turnover battle (losses by 5-10 points). Steelers averaging 24.8 ppg since Big Ben came back, after scoring less than 20 in three of four games he missed- they converted 18 of 40 (45%) of 3rd downs in last three games. Only teams to beat Steelers are Pats-Ravens-Saints; NFL’s elite. Pitt is 4-3 as a favorite this season.
• #219 TITANS (5-5) @ #220 TEXANS (4-6) - Tennessee drafted Houston native Vince Young in part to tweak Houstonians, figuring he would haunt division rivals for 10+ years; now Young isn’t even welcome in Titans’ practice facility, and Titans have 3rd-stringer Rusty Smith (played at Florida Atlantic) under center, with awful Chris Simms in reserve, vs. Texans squad that is 0-4 since its bye, allowing 30 ppg with consecutive heartbreaking, last-second losses. Houston hasn’t held anyone under 24 points all season; they’re 1-3-1 as favorite this year. Tennessee lost its last three games, getting outscored 47-19 in second half. Home teams are 4-1 vs spread in AFC South divisional games. Over is 5-2 in Titans’ last seven games, 4-1 in Texans’ last five.
• #221 JAGUARS (6-4) @ #222 GIANTS (6-4) - Jaguars scored 35-31-24 points in winning last three games, last two in dramatic fashion at home, but when they lose, they lose big; all four of their losses are by 22+ points. Front-running nitwits in Big Apple media doubt that Tom Coughlin can coach? Dude was Jaguars’ first head coach; after going 4-12 the first year, Jags went 45-19 in Years 2-5. He’s won Super Bowl with Giants, but naysayers point out his teams have been sagging in second half of recent years. Giants are -6 in turnovers this year (-10 in losses, +4 in wins); they allowed 27+ points in all four losses. Big Blue is 2-3 as home favorite, with wins by 13-14-8 points. Over is 6-1 in Jags’ last seven games, 4-1 in Giants’ last five. AFC South road dogs are 7-3 vs. spread.
• #223 PANTHERS (1-9) @ #224 BROWNS (3-7) - Not often a team loses when +5 in turnovers (something like 42-2 this year) but Browns pulled it off last week. Carolina’s greatest moment was when Jake Delhomme led them to NFC title; now Delhomme will start against his old team if gimpy rookie McCoy (ankle) can’t go. Panthers are terrible, covering only one of their nine losses; bad teams have almost no home field advantage (1-3 as home underdog). Browns lost only time they were favored this year (16-14 to Chiefs in Week 2); they lost last two games in gut-wrenching fashion, after beating Saints/Patriots before that. Carolina won all three series games by 14-7-8 points, winning two visits here, 31-17/17-6. Last five Cleveland games went over the total.
• #225 BUCCANEERS (7-3) @ #226 RAVENS (7-3) - Fourth road game in five weeks for Tampa team that won four of last five games (4-0 vs spread last four), and is 5-2 vs. spread as dog this year; their 2010 losses are by 25-25-6 points. Bucs are 4-0 in games decided by less than six points. Ravens won six of last eight games, are 4-0 at home (2-2 as home fave) winning by 7-14-3-16 points. AFC North favorites are 6-7 vs. spread, 3-6 at home; NFC South underdogs are 4-6, 3-3 on road. Bucs won two of three series games, winning 25-0 in last visit here; average series total is 28.0. Three of last four games for both teams went over total. Ravens host arch-rival Steelers last week, making this trap game for them. Bucs allowed one TD on 22 drives (seven 3/outs) over last two games.
• #227 EAGLES (7-3) @ #228 BEARS (7-3) - Both teams are 3-0 since their bye, with Eagles scoring 37.3 ppg (11 TDs on 33 drives), while Bears allowed just 10.7 ppg (gave up one TD on 21 drives in last two games). Eagles are 4-1 on road, and led in 4th quarter of only loss (@ Titans); they’ve run ball for 201 ypg over last three games. Bears allowed total of 155 yards on 54 rushes in last three games, a stat that will be sorely tested with elusive Vick on other side of ball. Philly is 6-2 in last eight series games, winning five of last six played here (former QB McNabb is from Chicago). Average total in last six series games is 30.5. Five of last six Philly games went over total; under is 6-1-1 in last eight Chicago games. Bears are 4-1 against spread as an underdog this year.
• #229 PACKERS (7-3) @ #230 FALCONS (8-2) - To me, these are two best teams in NFC. Road team won four of last five series games; Pack lost four of last five visits to Atlanta, but this is just their second visit here in last 18 years. Well-coached Falcons won eight of last nine games (lost 31-17 @ Philly), scoring 31.5 ppg during 4-game win streak, during which they’ve converted on 36 of 64 (56.3%) of 3rd down plays. Packers allowed only one TD on 31 drives in last three games, outscoring foes 85-10; they’re 3-2 on road. All three Pack losses this year are by 3 points. Atlanta is 5-0 at home, with last four home wins all by 7 or less points; they’re 5-3 vs spread as favorite. Eagles have 12 takeaways (+10) in last four games. Last five Falcon games all went over the total.
• #231 DOLPHINS (5-5) @ #232 RAIDERS (5-5) - Thigpen’s first ’10 start didn’t go well, as Fish gained just 187 yards and never got inside Chicago red zone in 16-0 loss, but they had three extra days to prep for this, which could help (Falcons/ Ravens both covered last week, after playing Thursday game week before). Dolphins are 4-1 if they allow 17 or less points, 1-4 if they don’t. Raiders are 4-1 at home (2-1 as home fave), scoring 30.3 ppg in last three home games. Fish are 4-1 on road, losing only at Miami. Dolphins are 9-3 in last dozen series games, winning four of last five played here, but their last visit here was in ’05. AFC West home favorites are 7-3 vs. spread; AFC East road underdogs are 8-2. All five Miami road games stayed under total.
• #233 CHIEFS (6-4) @ #234 SEAHAWKS (5-5) - Chiefs are 1-4 on road, losing last four while allowing 31.5 ppg; they’re 6-1 if they allow 20 or less points. Seattle lost three of last four games, allowing 15 TDs on 45 drives; with five losses by 15+ points, only time they look like 1st-place squad is when you look at NFL standings. Hawks have only four TDs on last 21 trips to red zone (12 FGs, 3.05 ppp). Home side won six of last seven series games, with Chiefs losing four of last five visits here, but this is their first visit since 2002. AFC West teams are 5-9 vs. spread in non-division road games. NFC West home teams are 7-6, with underdogs 9-4 vs spread in those games. Last three Kansas City games, five of last six Seahawks games went over the total.
• #235 RAMS (4-6) @ #236 BRONCOS (3-7) - Denver got crushed in San Diego Monday night, has now lost 15 of last 20 games for first time since 1972. Home side won last seven series games; Rams lost last three visits here by 11-21-7 points, with last Mile High win back in ’79. Broncos are 2-3 at home, with average total in those games 56.0- they’re 1-1 as favorite. Rams are 0-4 on road, but three of those losses are by 3 or less points; this is first of three straight road games for Rams, so they better figure out how to win on road, or they’ll fall out of contention, even in awful NFC West. In two games since their bye, Rams are just 3-24 on 3rd down, as teams are clamping down on Amendola, and no other receiver has stepped up to make plays. Over is 7-3 in Denver games this season.
• #237 CHARGERS (5-5) @ #238 COLTS (6-4) - Surging San Diego won four of last five in series, beating Indy in both ‘07/’08 playoffs; Chargers won six of last eight visits here. Bolts won last three games overall, scoring 33-29-35 points (13 TDs on 31 drives); their +10 advantage in field position Monday was only second time this year they had edge there, so they must’ve worked on special teams during bye week. Colts are 4-0 at home, scoring 27.5 ppg; they’re -7 in turnovers in their four losses, +10 in wins. San Diego has only two takeaways in its last six games (-10). Colts lack balance on offense, running for just 62-76-71 yards in last three games. Chargers are underdog for first time this season. Last three Indy home games stayed under total.
_______________
Experience is what this business is all about, and good money can be made if one has the right connections. Stan 'The Man' prides himself on uncovering the edge that gives his customers the ability to beat the sports books on a consistent basis. Stan is a full time Expert Handicapper that can help you consistently beat the books. With any package that you purchase it is fully guaranteed that you show a profit, or he'll extend your service at no charge. If you have any questions about our services call 1-800 -351-4640, “You’ll be real glad you did!” -Stan
___________________________________________
• AWESOME ANGLE OF THE WEEK
-------------------------------------------
The Chargers are making their annual second-half run, and it’s going to take a lot more than these banged-up Ponies to slow them down. As it is, the Colts haven’t exactly been thoroughbreds at home in this series, posting a head-turning 1-12 ATS mark. Their 3-9 ATS November mark as a home favorite versus a foe off a division game doesn’t find them closing well, either. And if you expect the ‘bounce’ back from their top stud, be advised that Peyton Manning is just 16-26 ATS in his NFL career off a straight up loss.
That does not bode well against a Chargers squad that is an 'AWESOME' 7-0 ATS after dueling Denver and 16-4 SU and 17-3 ATS versus the AFC South, including 11-1 ATS off a SU win. Surprisingly, even Norv Turner has a positive impact on this one as his 32-11 SU and 28-14-1 ATS record from Game Six out with Chargers should extend their current 3-0 SU and ATS run.
_________
• NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK
------------------------------------
This weeks NFL System is very interesting to say the least, it is a league-wide system that has been perfect for about fifteen seasons now. It states that NFL teams are a combined 9-0 OU when they are off a game in which they scored at least 42 points and trailed by at least a TD at the half. The Buffalo Bills more than qualify here, as they were down 31-14 at the half last week against Cincinnati, but won 49-31. Since 2003, this system is a perfect 5-0 with at least 50 points being scored in each one of the five games.
The Steelers had 431 yards of offense vs the Raiders last week and won 35-3. Roethlisberger was 18-of-29 passing for three TDs and no INTs, but they committed a whopping 14 penalties and were forced to punt seven times. We see no reason why the Steelers should be able to put up points on this Bills’ defense, and we think the Bills will be very aggressive on offense in order to keep up.
The Steelers are 8-0 OU when they are off a game in which they committed fewer than two turnovers and punted at least seven times. Pittsburgh has gone over the total by an average of 14.4 ppg in this situation. In their lone active date this season, they beat the Bucs 38-13 in Tampa with the OU line at 33.
Buffalo scored 35 unanswered points in the second half last week to erase an early three touchdown deficit to beat the Bengals. This is relevant here because Buffalo is 9-0 OU when they are off a road win in which they trailed at the end of the third quarter, as long as it is not the last week of the season, going over the total by an average of 11.8 ppg.
Sealing the deal this just in straight from our database: The Steelers are 10-0 OU as a road favorite the week after a home game in which they had at least 100 more yards of offense than their season-to-date average, going over by an average of 13.4 ppg... and 7-0 OU following a home encounter in which they scored at least 10 points more than their season-to-date average.
__________
• INCREDIBLE STATS OF THE WEEK
-------------------------------------------
Now, was it a case of a coach gone bad in Brad Childress or was it a team that didn’t play up to its potential? One thing’s for sure, there will be no more hints or innuendos emanating from the Vikings locker room. It’s time to put up or shut up. And speaking of coaches gone bad, Washington’s Mike Shanahan has been living on borrowed time the last three-plus seasons during his tenure on the sidelines where his teams are 29-29 SU and 19-36-3 ATS. Those numbers pale in comparison to those Shanahan posted throughout his previous 13 years as an NFL head coach when he was 130-78 SU and 107-94-7 ATS.
Meanwhile, Defensive coordinator Leslie Frazier assumes the reins as the new Field General for the Vikes, and our best educated guess is an upturn in production is about to happen. Remember, this is a team that won 13 games last season and was a last second interception away from making it to the Super Bowl. Sure they’ve lost nine straight road games but that was under Brad Childress’ watch.
The resurgence starts in the nation’s capitol where Minny takes its 'INCREDIBLE' 10-1 ATS record in games off back-to-back losses when facing a .500 or greater foe. "With Washington still celebrating its first stat win of the season, and bringing an 0-12 ATS log in home games off a win when taking on sub .500 opposition into this fray, we’ll be the first to welcome Frazier into the NFL!"
____________
• AMAZING SITUATIONAL TRENDS
-------------------------------------------
Early frontrunners to represent the NFC in this year’s Super Bowl game, the Eagles are flying high these days. Off three important wins after the Bye Week, they land in the Windy City to take on the Bears, a team that has given them fits over the years. That’s confirmed by Philly’s 7-9 SU and 6-10 ATS mark in this series, including 1-6 ATS when favored off a win.
Making matters worse is Chicago’s 'AMAZING' 12-0 ATS mark in November when seeking revenge against a non-division opponent off a win. Like the Green Birds, the Bears are also riding a three-game win streak since their Bye Week, which should serve them well considering that non-division home dogs off three wins in a row are 24-9 ATS when facing an opponent off a win. "With that look for Lovie Smith to improve on his 10-2 SU and 11-1 ATS career mark when seeking revenge against an opponent off a division game!"
STAN THE MAN'S STAT/SYSTEMS REPORT 11/28
NATIONAL FOOTBALL LEAGUE
INFO WORTH BETTING ON ONE PAGE EACH DAY
________________________________________________
***** STAT/SYSTEMS SPORTS POWER SEARCH -- NFL *****
***** SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 28TH NFL INFORMATION *****
__________________________________________________ _______
(All results ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of Stat/Systems Sports. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
_____________________________________
• 2-MINUTE DRILL
----------------------
--Minnesota 7-0 SU Game Eleven... 9-1 off BB SU losses vs .500 > opp... 1-7 vs .500 > opp off SU dog win (0-1 this year)
--WASHINGTON SERIES: 3-1 L4 H... 8-1 bef Giants... 6-1-2 non div HD's (1-0-2 this year)... 0-10 H off SU win vs <.500 opp... 2-9 O/U Game Eleven
--Pittsburgh SERIES: 8-0 L8/3-0 L3 A... NOV: 8-1 off non div HG (1-0 this year)... 6-1 off BB HG's vs opp off DD SU win... 0-8 off DD SU win & scored 35 > pts (0-1 this year)... 2-6 RF's > 3 pts (1-0 this year)
--BUFFALO 11-1 dogs off DD ATS win... NOV: 8-1 H w/rev vs non div (1-0 this year)... 0-4 aft scoring 35 > pts... 2-7 dogs < 8 pts vs .600 > opp (1-1 this year)... 4-0 O/U Game Eleven
--Tennessee SERIES: 6-2 L8/4-1 L5 A... 12-1 dogs vs opp w/rev (1-0 this year)... 8-1 dogs < 8 pts vs div opp w/rev... 0-3 Game Eleven
--HOUSTON 7-1 w/rev vs div opp off HG... NOV: 9-2 < .500 vs opp off fav role (1-0 this year)... 0-7 vs .500 > opp off DD ATS loss... 1-4 SU Game Eleven
--Jacksonville SERIES: 3-1 L4... 7-1 .500 > vs. 500 > opp off BB ATS losses (0-1 this year)... 9-1 .500 > off SU non div win vs .500 > opp (0-1 this year)... 5-3 bef Titans (1-0 this year)... 0-7 dogs off BB SU wins vs opp w/rev... 1-3 SUATS Game Eleven
--NY GIANTS 0-8 w/rev off BB SUATS losses... 1-10 SU Game Eleven... 1-6 non div favs > 3 pts bef div HG (1-0 this year)... 1-5 favs vs non conf opp off SU win
--Carolina 7-1 aft allowing 35 > pts... 9-2 dogs vs .333 < opp (1-0 this year)... NOV: 1-7 A vs opp off non div w/rev... 2-10 non conf dogs (0-2 this year... 2-9 dogs vs opp w/rev (2-3 this year)... 1-5 O/U Game Eleven
--CLEVELAND 4-1 w/rev off SUATS loss vs opp off BB SU losses... 0-5 O/U Game Eleven
--Tampa Bay 7-0 dogs off DD SUATS non div win... 0-8 off SU dog win vs opp off DD ATS win (0-1 this year)... 1-6 dogs off BB SU wins vs non div opp (0-1 this year)... 4-12 A vs non conf opp (1-0 this year)... 3-8 bef Falcons (1-0 this year)... 2-9 O/U Game Eleven
--BALTIMORE SERIES: 5-2 L7... 17-0 H off non conf... NOV: 13-2 .500 > H off non div (1-0 this year)... HARBAUGH: 7-1 off NFC (1-0 this year)/12-2 fav vs non div opp (3-1 this year)... 4-1 O/U Game Eleven
--Philadelphia 9-0 A vs non div off div (1-0 this year)... 12-2 aft Giants... NOV: 11-2 A off BB SUATS wins... 5-1 off div vs opp off BB SU wins... 4-0 O/U Game Eleven
--CHICAGO NOV: 12-0 w/rev vs non div opp off SU win (1-0 this year)... 0-7-1 off BB SUATS wins, last by DD... SMITH: 11-1 w/rev vs opp off div (2-0 this year)... 1-9 O/U Game Eleven
--Green Bay 9-0 off DD div ATS win w/rev vs opp off BB ATS wins... 1-6 vs NFC South... NOV: 3-9 .500 > A off DD SU win (1-0 this year)... 3-1 O/U Game Eleven
--ATLANTA SERIES: 4-1 L5... 0-9 H off BB SUATS wins (0-1 this year)... 0-7 H off 3 SU wins... 1-3 Game Eleven... SMITH: 11-3 H off non div (2-1 this year)
--Miami SERIES: 4-1 L5 A... 7-1 A vs AFC West... 5-1 off SU fav non conf loss... 0-3 SU Game Eleven... SPARANO: 11-1 RD Game Four > (2-1 this year)
--OAKLAND 5-1 aft allowing 35 > pts vs non div opp (1-0 this year)... 6-2 Game Eleven... NOV: 0-7 favs off SUATS loss vs non div opp... 1-12 L13 favs (1-1 this year)
--Kansas City SERIES: 5-1 L6... NOV: 7-1 RD's vs opp off SUATS loss... 4-1 A off non conf (0-1 this year)... 2-8 Game Eleven
--SEATTLE 7-1-1 non div favs w/rev... 13-2 H vs non conf opp (1-0 this year)... NOV: 1-8 favs vs opp off DD SU win
--St. Louis 1-7 Game Eleven... SPAGNUOLO: 6-2 A vs < .500 opp (2-1 this year)
--DENVER SERIES: 3-1 L4/3-0 L3 H... 0-9 non div favs between div games... 1-3 O/U Game Eleven
--San Diego SERIES: 5-1 L6/12-1 L13 A... 7-0 aft Broncos... 7-1 bef Raiders (1-0 this year)... 13-2 vs AFC South (3-0 this year)... 5-1 SU Game Eleven... TURNER: 12-2 off div vs .500 > opp (1-0 this year)
--INDIANAPOLIS 7-0 Game Eleven... 4-1 1ST BB HG'S vs non div opp... NOV: 3-9 HF's vs opp off div (1-0 this year)
________________________________________________
*** SUNDAY'S QUICK HITS ***
--------------------------------------
• #215 VIKINGS (3-7) @ #216 REDSKINS (5-5) - Frazier’s first game as interim coach; expect team to play much harder for him than they did for despised Childress. Vikings lost four of last five games, and trailed by 14 with 5:00 left in the win; they’re 0-5 on road, 0-4-1 vs spread as underdog and even though they’ve got one of best RB’s in NFL, they’ve run ball for only 81 ypg over last three games. Redskins allowed 16 or less points in their five wins, 27+ in all five losses; they’re 5-2 in games decided by six or less points, but also lost three of last four at home. Skins allowed 260-151 rushing yards in their last two games. NFC North dogs are 8-4-1, 6-4-1 on road. NFC East favorites are 6-8, 4-6 at home. Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Viking games.
• #217 STEELERS (7-3) @ #218 BILLS (2-8) - Pittsburgh is only three-hour ride from Buffalo; expect to see lot of black/gold in crowd for this game. Improving Bills won last two games, after losing three in row by FG each; its been seven weeks since Buffalo lost a game by more than 7 points- they’re 4-1-1 vs. spread in last six games as underdog. Bills ran ball for 151-141 yards last two weeks, after averaging 108 ypg in first eight; they’re 2-2 if they don’t lose turnover battle (losses by 5-10 points). Steelers averaging 24.8 ppg since Big Ben came back, after scoring less than 20 in three of four games he missed- they converted 18 of 40 (45%) of 3rd downs in last three games. Only teams to beat Steelers are Pats-Ravens-Saints; NFL’s elite. Pitt is 4-3 as a favorite this season.
• #219 TITANS (5-5) @ #220 TEXANS (4-6) - Tennessee drafted Houston native Vince Young in part to tweak Houstonians, figuring he would haunt division rivals for 10+ years; now Young isn’t even welcome in Titans’ practice facility, and Titans have 3rd-stringer Rusty Smith (played at Florida Atlantic) under center, with awful Chris Simms in reserve, vs. Texans squad that is 0-4 since its bye, allowing 30 ppg with consecutive heartbreaking, last-second losses. Houston hasn’t held anyone under 24 points all season; they’re 1-3-1 as favorite this year. Tennessee lost its last three games, getting outscored 47-19 in second half. Home teams are 4-1 vs spread in AFC South divisional games. Over is 5-2 in Titans’ last seven games, 4-1 in Texans’ last five.
• #221 JAGUARS (6-4) @ #222 GIANTS (6-4) - Jaguars scored 35-31-24 points in winning last three games, last two in dramatic fashion at home, but when they lose, they lose big; all four of their losses are by 22+ points. Front-running nitwits in Big Apple media doubt that Tom Coughlin can coach? Dude was Jaguars’ first head coach; after going 4-12 the first year, Jags went 45-19 in Years 2-5. He’s won Super Bowl with Giants, but naysayers point out his teams have been sagging in second half of recent years. Giants are -6 in turnovers this year (-10 in losses, +4 in wins); they allowed 27+ points in all four losses. Big Blue is 2-3 as home favorite, with wins by 13-14-8 points. Over is 6-1 in Jags’ last seven games, 4-1 in Giants’ last five. AFC South road dogs are 7-3 vs. spread.
• #223 PANTHERS (1-9) @ #224 BROWNS (3-7) - Not often a team loses when +5 in turnovers (something like 42-2 this year) but Browns pulled it off last week. Carolina’s greatest moment was when Jake Delhomme led them to NFC title; now Delhomme will start against his old team if gimpy rookie McCoy (ankle) can’t go. Panthers are terrible, covering only one of their nine losses; bad teams have almost no home field advantage (1-3 as home underdog). Browns lost only time they were favored this year (16-14 to Chiefs in Week 2); they lost last two games in gut-wrenching fashion, after beating Saints/Patriots before that. Carolina won all three series games by 14-7-8 points, winning two visits here, 31-17/17-6. Last five Cleveland games went over the total.
• #225 BUCCANEERS (7-3) @ #226 RAVENS (7-3) - Fourth road game in five weeks for Tampa team that won four of last five games (4-0 vs spread last four), and is 5-2 vs. spread as dog this year; their 2010 losses are by 25-25-6 points. Bucs are 4-0 in games decided by less than six points. Ravens won six of last eight games, are 4-0 at home (2-2 as home fave) winning by 7-14-3-16 points. AFC North favorites are 6-7 vs. spread, 3-6 at home; NFC South underdogs are 4-6, 3-3 on road. Bucs won two of three series games, winning 25-0 in last visit here; average series total is 28.0. Three of last four games for both teams went over total. Ravens host arch-rival Steelers last week, making this trap game for them. Bucs allowed one TD on 22 drives (seven 3/outs) over last two games.
• #227 EAGLES (7-3) @ #228 BEARS (7-3) - Both teams are 3-0 since their bye, with Eagles scoring 37.3 ppg (11 TDs on 33 drives), while Bears allowed just 10.7 ppg (gave up one TD on 21 drives in last two games). Eagles are 4-1 on road, and led in 4th quarter of only loss (@ Titans); they’ve run ball for 201 ypg over last three games. Bears allowed total of 155 yards on 54 rushes in last three games, a stat that will be sorely tested with elusive Vick on other side of ball. Philly is 6-2 in last eight series games, winning five of last six played here (former QB McNabb is from Chicago). Average total in last six series games is 30.5. Five of last six Philly games went over total; under is 6-1-1 in last eight Chicago games. Bears are 4-1 against spread as an underdog this year.
• #229 PACKERS (7-3) @ #230 FALCONS (8-2) - To me, these are two best teams in NFC. Road team won four of last five series games; Pack lost four of last five visits to Atlanta, but this is just their second visit here in last 18 years. Well-coached Falcons won eight of last nine games (lost 31-17 @ Philly), scoring 31.5 ppg during 4-game win streak, during which they’ve converted on 36 of 64 (56.3%) of 3rd down plays. Packers allowed only one TD on 31 drives in last three games, outscoring foes 85-10; they’re 3-2 on road. All three Pack losses this year are by 3 points. Atlanta is 5-0 at home, with last four home wins all by 7 or less points; they’re 5-3 vs spread as favorite. Eagles have 12 takeaways (+10) in last four games. Last five Falcon games all went over the total.
• #231 DOLPHINS (5-5) @ #232 RAIDERS (5-5) - Thigpen’s first ’10 start didn’t go well, as Fish gained just 187 yards and never got inside Chicago red zone in 16-0 loss, but they had three extra days to prep for this, which could help (Falcons/ Ravens both covered last week, after playing Thursday game week before). Dolphins are 4-1 if they allow 17 or less points, 1-4 if they don’t. Raiders are 4-1 at home (2-1 as home fave), scoring 30.3 ppg in last three home games. Fish are 4-1 on road, losing only at Miami. Dolphins are 9-3 in last dozen series games, winning four of last five played here, but their last visit here was in ’05. AFC West home favorites are 7-3 vs. spread; AFC East road underdogs are 8-2. All five Miami road games stayed under total.
• #233 CHIEFS (6-4) @ #234 SEAHAWKS (5-5) - Chiefs are 1-4 on road, losing last four while allowing 31.5 ppg; they’re 6-1 if they allow 20 or less points. Seattle lost three of last four games, allowing 15 TDs on 45 drives; with five losses by 15+ points, only time they look like 1st-place squad is when you look at NFL standings. Hawks have only four TDs on last 21 trips to red zone (12 FGs, 3.05 ppp). Home side won six of last seven series games, with Chiefs losing four of last five visits here, but this is their first visit since 2002. AFC West teams are 5-9 vs. spread in non-division road games. NFC West home teams are 7-6, with underdogs 9-4 vs spread in those games. Last three Kansas City games, five of last six Seahawks games went over the total.
• #235 RAMS (4-6) @ #236 BRONCOS (3-7) - Denver got crushed in San Diego Monday night, has now lost 15 of last 20 games for first time since 1972. Home side won last seven series games; Rams lost last three visits here by 11-21-7 points, with last Mile High win back in ’79. Broncos are 2-3 at home, with average total in those games 56.0- they’re 1-1 as favorite. Rams are 0-4 on road, but three of those losses are by 3 or less points; this is first of three straight road games for Rams, so they better figure out how to win on road, or they’ll fall out of contention, even in awful NFC West. In two games since their bye, Rams are just 3-24 on 3rd down, as teams are clamping down on Amendola, and no other receiver has stepped up to make plays. Over is 7-3 in Denver games this season.
• #237 CHARGERS (5-5) @ #238 COLTS (6-4) - Surging San Diego won four of last five in series, beating Indy in both ‘07/’08 playoffs; Chargers won six of last eight visits here. Bolts won last three games overall, scoring 33-29-35 points (13 TDs on 31 drives); their +10 advantage in field position Monday was only second time this year they had edge there, so they must’ve worked on special teams during bye week. Colts are 4-0 at home, scoring 27.5 ppg; they’re -7 in turnovers in their four losses, +10 in wins. San Diego has only two takeaways in its last six games (-10). Colts lack balance on offense, running for just 62-76-71 yards in last three games. Chargers are underdog for first time this season. Last three Indy home games stayed under total.
_______________
Experience is what this business is all about, and good money can be made if one has the right connections. Stan 'The Man' prides himself on uncovering the edge that gives his customers the ability to beat the sports books on a consistent basis. Stan is a full time Expert Handicapper that can help you consistently beat the books. With any package that you purchase it is fully guaranteed that you show a profit, or he'll extend your service at no charge. If you have any questions about our services call 1-800 -351-4640, “You’ll be real glad you did!” -Stan
___________________________________________
• AWESOME ANGLE OF THE WEEK
-------------------------------------------
The Chargers are making their annual second-half run, and it’s going to take a lot more than these banged-up Ponies to slow them down. As it is, the Colts haven’t exactly been thoroughbreds at home in this series, posting a head-turning 1-12 ATS mark. Their 3-9 ATS November mark as a home favorite versus a foe off a division game doesn’t find them closing well, either. And if you expect the ‘bounce’ back from their top stud, be advised that Peyton Manning is just 16-26 ATS in his NFL career off a straight up loss.
That does not bode well against a Chargers squad that is an 'AWESOME' 7-0 ATS after dueling Denver and 16-4 SU and 17-3 ATS versus the AFC South, including 11-1 ATS off a SU win. Surprisingly, even Norv Turner has a positive impact on this one as his 32-11 SU and 28-14-1 ATS record from Game Six out with Chargers should extend their current 3-0 SU and ATS run.
_________
• NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK
------------------------------------
This weeks NFL System is very interesting to say the least, it is a league-wide system that has been perfect for about fifteen seasons now. It states that NFL teams are a combined 9-0 OU when they are off a game in which they scored at least 42 points and trailed by at least a TD at the half. The Buffalo Bills more than qualify here, as they were down 31-14 at the half last week against Cincinnati, but won 49-31. Since 2003, this system is a perfect 5-0 with at least 50 points being scored in each one of the five games.
The Steelers had 431 yards of offense vs the Raiders last week and won 35-3. Roethlisberger was 18-of-29 passing for three TDs and no INTs, but they committed a whopping 14 penalties and were forced to punt seven times. We see no reason why the Steelers should be able to put up points on this Bills’ defense, and we think the Bills will be very aggressive on offense in order to keep up.
The Steelers are 8-0 OU when they are off a game in which they committed fewer than two turnovers and punted at least seven times. Pittsburgh has gone over the total by an average of 14.4 ppg in this situation. In their lone active date this season, they beat the Bucs 38-13 in Tampa with the OU line at 33.
Buffalo scored 35 unanswered points in the second half last week to erase an early three touchdown deficit to beat the Bengals. This is relevant here because Buffalo is 9-0 OU when they are off a road win in which they trailed at the end of the third quarter, as long as it is not the last week of the season, going over the total by an average of 11.8 ppg.
Sealing the deal this just in straight from our database: The Steelers are 10-0 OU as a road favorite the week after a home game in which they had at least 100 more yards of offense than their season-to-date average, going over by an average of 13.4 ppg... and 7-0 OU following a home encounter in which they scored at least 10 points more than their season-to-date average.
__________
• INCREDIBLE STATS OF THE WEEK
-------------------------------------------
Now, was it a case of a coach gone bad in Brad Childress or was it a team that didn’t play up to its potential? One thing’s for sure, there will be no more hints or innuendos emanating from the Vikings locker room. It’s time to put up or shut up. And speaking of coaches gone bad, Washington’s Mike Shanahan has been living on borrowed time the last three-plus seasons during his tenure on the sidelines where his teams are 29-29 SU and 19-36-3 ATS. Those numbers pale in comparison to those Shanahan posted throughout his previous 13 years as an NFL head coach when he was 130-78 SU and 107-94-7 ATS.
Meanwhile, Defensive coordinator Leslie Frazier assumes the reins as the new Field General for the Vikes, and our best educated guess is an upturn in production is about to happen. Remember, this is a team that won 13 games last season and was a last second interception away from making it to the Super Bowl. Sure they’ve lost nine straight road games but that was under Brad Childress’ watch.
The resurgence starts in the nation’s capitol where Minny takes its 'INCREDIBLE' 10-1 ATS record in games off back-to-back losses when facing a .500 or greater foe. "With Washington still celebrating its first stat win of the season, and bringing an 0-12 ATS log in home games off a win when taking on sub .500 opposition into this fray, we’ll be the first to welcome Frazier into the NFL!"
____________
• AMAZING SITUATIONAL TRENDS
-------------------------------------------
Early frontrunners to represent the NFC in this year’s Super Bowl game, the Eagles are flying high these days. Off three important wins after the Bye Week, they land in the Windy City to take on the Bears, a team that has given them fits over the years. That’s confirmed by Philly’s 7-9 SU and 6-10 ATS mark in this series, including 1-6 ATS when favored off a win.
Making matters worse is Chicago’s 'AMAZING' 12-0 ATS mark in November when seeking revenge against a non-division opponent off a win. Like the Green Birds, the Bears are also riding a three-game win streak since their Bye Week, which should serve them well considering that non-division home dogs off three wins in a row are 24-9 ATS when facing an opponent off a win. "With that look for Lovie Smith to improve on his 10-2 SU and 11-1 ATS career mark when seeking revenge against an opponent off a division game!"
STATSYSTEMS REPORT 11/28 cont.
*** MINNESOTA @ WASHINGTON (-1, O/U 43) ***
-------------------------------------------------------------
GAME BREAKDOWN: The Vikings have quietly put together a string of futility on the road, losing nine in a row SU and going 2-7 ATS away since last December. Washington presents a good chance to break that streak, though, as the Redskins defense stops neither the run nor the pass effectively. If the Minnesota front four can create any pressure (they rarely have this season) to keep the ‘Skins offense in check, the Vikes will snap their road losing streak. Series History – last 5 seasons: Washington is 1-1 ATS (1-1 SU) vs. Minnesota (0-1 ATS, 0-1 SU at home.)
• TOP RATED TEAM TRENDS
----------------------------------
--WASH is 7-0 ATS vs. teams allowing >= 24 yards per kickoff return over the L2 seasons.
--WASH is 4-15 ATS at home when playing a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) since 1992.
--WASH is 128-98 UNDER against conference opponents since 1992.
--MINN is 3-14 ATS vs. teams averaging 12+ yds/punt ret in the 2nd half of year since 1992.
--MINN is 28-10 OVER vs. teams allowing 235+ passing yards/game since 1992.
--MINN is 24-9 OVER away after 2+ consecutive losses ATS since 1992.
• BETTING SYSTEM: Play Against - Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 - after allowing 7 or more passing yards/attempt last game against opponent after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in their last game.
(40-17 over the last 10 seasons.) (70.2%, +21.3 units. Rating = 3*)
__________________________________________________ __
*** PITTSBURGH (-6.5, O/U 43.5) @ BUFFALO ***
-----------------------------------------------------------
GAME BREAKDOWN: Pittsburgh has Buffalo overmatched on paper, and they continue to play well away from home (five SU wins and four ATS in their last six road games). Buffalo’s inability to stop the run on defense, and to pass protect on
offense will be glaring weaknesses. However, so will their feeble pass rush, which may not be able to create pressure even against Pittsburgh’s injury-plagued offensive line. Series History – last 5 seasons: Buffalo is 0-1 ATS (0-1 SU) vs. Pittsburgh (0-0 ATS, 0-0 SU at home.)
• TOP RATED TEAM TRENDS
----------------------------------
--BUFFALO is 15-3 OVER at home after 3+ consecutive wins against the spread since 1992.
--BUFFALO is 22-9 OVER after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread since 1992.
--BUFFALO is 25-12 UNDER versus teams allowing <=3.5 rushing yards/carry since 1992.
--PITTSBURGH is 82-53 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
--PITTSBURGH is 15-3 OVER after having won 2 out of last 3 games over the L3 seasons.
--PITTSBURGH is 76-51 OVER after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game since 1992.
• BETTING SYSTEM: Play On - Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points - after going over the total by more than 28 points in their previous game, after the first month of the season.
(43-17 since 1983.) (71.7%, +24.3 units. Rating = 3*)
___________________________________________
*** TENNESSEE @ HOUSTON (-6.5, O/U 45.5) ***
-----------------------------------------------------------
GAME BREAKDOWN: The Titans and Texans have been playing barnburners lately, with each of the last three games being decided by three points or less. However, Tennessee may have trouble keeping pace with their train-wreck situation under center (rookie Rusty Smith might get the call with Kerry Collins out and Vince Young maybe on his way out). Last November in Houston, the Titans rode a big day from Chris Johnson and two long field goal misses by then-Texan Kris Brown to a 20-17 win. Series History – Last 5 seasons: Houston is 3-7 ATS (2-8 SU) vs. Tennessee (1-4 ATS, 1-4 SU at home.)
• TOP RATED TEAM TRENDS
----------------------------------
--HOUSTON is 23-10 ATS after having lost 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games since 1992.
--HOUSTON is 29-14 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
--HOUSTON is 12-3 ATS after allowing 400+ total yds/gm in their last 3 games since 1992.
--TENN is 17-5 OVER after gaining 6.5+ yards/play in their previous game since 1992.
--TENN is 32-14 OVER vs. teams allowing 7+ passing yards/att. since 1992.
--TENN is 14-3 OVER against teams who force 1 or less TO/game on the season since 1992.
• BETTING SYSTEM: Play Against - Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points - average team (+/- 40 YPG) against a poor team (outgained by 40-100 YPG) after 8+ games.
(50-20 over the last 10 seasons.) (71.4%, +28 units. Rating = 3*)
__________________________________________________ _
*** JACKSONVILLE @ NY GIANTS (-7, O/U 44.5) ***
---------------------------------------------------------------
GAME BREAKDOWN: The Jags continue to find a way, pulling out two straight wins on miracle plays (a hailmary against the Texans and a 75-yard screen pass to set up the winning score against Cleveland). More impressively, their defensive line was able to create pressure against a good Browns o-line despite being without star DE Aaron Kampman. For the Giants, it continues to come down to turnovers. They have an NFL-worst 30 giveaways this year, and their defense hasn’t always been able to overcome their mistakes. Series History – Last 5 seasons: NY Giants is 0-1 ATS (0-1 SU) vs. Jacksonville (0-0 ATS, 0-0 SU at home.)
• TOP RATED TEAM TRENDS
----------------------------------
--NY GIANTS are 27-47 ATS in November games since 1992.
--NY GIANTS are 24-43 ATS in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
--NY GIANTS are 3-15 ATS at home against a team w/ Win Pct. 51%-60% since 1992.
--JACKSONVILLE is 10-25 ATS in games played on a grass field over the L3 seasons.
--JACKSONVILLE is 26-9 OVER away after winning 4 or 5 out of last 6 games since 1992.
--JACKSONVILLE is 27-13 OVER after covering in 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992.
• BETTING SYSTEM: Play Under - Home teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points - off a road loss, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season.
(59-24 since 1983.) (71.1%, +32.6 units. Rating = 3*)
___________________________________________
*** CAROLINA @ CLEVELAND (9.5, O/U 37.5) ***
-----------------------------------------------------------
GAME BREAKDOWN: Cleveland continues to play good football, while Carolina seems to be playing out the string. The Panthers have struggled to stop the run all season, which will be an issue against Peyton Hillis and Cleveland’s run-based offense (the potential loss of Colt McCoy shouldn’t be devastating). As for the other side of the ball, the Panthers are still shuffling quarterbacks (rookie Jimmy Clausen could be under center again), and they’ll likely have more trouble moving the ball against the Cleveland defense on the road. Series History – Last 5 seasons: Cleveland is 0-0 ATS (0-1 SU) vs. Carolina (0-0 ATS, 0-0 SU at home.)
• TOP RATED TEAM TRENDS
----------------------------------
--Eric Mangini is 8-1 ATS vs. teams scoring 17 or less pts/gm in the 2nd half of the season.
--CLEVELAND is 10-1 UNDER against NFC South division opponents since 1992.
--Eric Mangini is 13-4 OVER at home vs. teams allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse.
--CAROLINA is 22-8 ATS away after scoring 3 points or less in the 1st half last game since 1992.
--CAROLINA is 15-4 UNDER away vs. teams averaging 12+ yards per punt return since 1992.
--CAROLINA is 33-14 UNDER vs. teams allowing >=350 yards/game since 1992.
• BETTING SYSTEM: Play On - Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points - a horrible offensive team (<=14 PPG) against an average defensive team (18-23 PPG), after scoring 17 points or less in 3 straight games.
(56-24 since 1983.) (70%, +29.6 units. Rating = 3*)
_________________________________________
*** TAMPA BAY @ BALTIMORE (-7.5, O/U 41) ***
-----------------------------------------------------------
GAME BREAKDOWN: Josh Freeman and Tampa’s young offense gets a major test in Baltimore, where the Ravens have forced seven turnovers in their past two games. Freeman has been able to limit his turnovers this year, which should allow the Bucs to stay in the game with a Ravens defense that has relied more on turnovers than dominance. The Bucs defense is susceptible to the run; the Ravens could wear them down with Ray Rice and Willis McGahee, making this a low-scoring affair. Series History – last 5 seasons: Baltimore is 1-0 ATS (1-0 SU) vs. Tampa Bay (0-0 ATS, 0-0 SU at home.)
• TOP RATED TEAM TRENDS
----------------------------------
--BALTIMORE is 23-9 ATS at home off a non-conference game since 1992.
--BALTIMORE is 9-1 ATS at home after a win by 21 or more points since 1992.
--BALTIMORE is 50-30 ATS as a home favorite since 1992.
--TAMPA BAY is 48-22 UNDER after having won 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992.
--TAMPA BAY is 55-30 UNDER after gaining 150 or less pass yards in last game since 1992.
--TAMPA BAY is 36-15 UNDER after a win by 14 or more points since 1992.
• BETTING SYSTEM: Play Under - Any team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points - after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%).
(52-24 over the last 10 seasons.) (68.4%, +25.6 units. Rating = 3*)
__________________________________________________ __
*** PHILADELPHIA (-3, O/U 42) @ CHICAGO ***
----------------------------------------------------------
GAME BREAKDOWN: Chicago has gained momentum by beating up on the walking wounded, beating the Vikes while they were shorthanded at receiver and the Dolphins and their third-string quarterback. However, their defense is playing well enough to keep them in the game with anyone, and their new commitment to the run has covered up their awful pass protection. For Philly, Michael Vick has emerged as the NFL’s most dangerous weapon, and the Eagles are 4-1 SU on the road this year. His big-play ability should give Philly an edge. Series History – last 5 seasons: Chicago is 2-1 ATS (2-1 SU) vs. Philadelphia (1-1 ATS, 1-1 SU at home.)
• TOP RATED TEAM TRENDS
----------------------------------
--CHICAGO is 15-5 UNDER in games played on a grass field over the L2 seasons.
--CHICAGO is 59-33 UNDER after gaining 150 or less passing yards in last game since 1992.
--CHICAGO is 8-1 UNDER vs. teams averaging >=5.65 yards/play over the L2 seasons.
--PHILLY is 13-3 ATS away vs. teams allowing <= 7.5 yards/punt ret in year’s 2nd half since 1992.
--PHILLY is 140-97 ATS against conference opponents since 1992.
--PHILLY is 31-15 UNDER off in 2 straight division games since 1992.
• BETTING SYSTEM: Play Under - Any team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points - a good defensive team (14-18 PPG) against an average defensive team (18 to 23 PPG), after 2 straight wins by 14 or more points.
(25-6 since 1983.) (80.6%, +18.4 units. Rating = 4*)
__________________________________________
*** GREEN BAY @ ATLANTA (-2, O/U 47.5) ***
--------------------------------------------------------
GAME BREAKDOWN: Two of the NFC’s elite do battle, and this one has major implications as far as postseason homefield advantage goes. The Falcons have won six in a row SU at home (4-2 ATS in that span), but they don’t match up well with the Packers offense. Atlanta’s secondary could be torn apart by Aaron Rodgers. Atlanta has an explosive offense as well, so this could come down to how much the Packers can get away with penalty-wise. Green Bay is 1-3 when flagged for 45-plus penalty yards, and 6-0 when they have 35 or less. Series History – Last 5 seasons: Atlanta is 1-1 ATS (1-1 SU) vs. Green Bay (0-1 ATS, 0-1 SU at home.)
• TOP RATED TEAM TRENDS
----------------------------------
--ATLANTA is 8-23 ATS at home after scoring 30 points or more last game since 1992.
--ATLANTA is 12-4 ATS in dome games over the L2 seasons.
--ATLANTA is 9-1 OVER after having won 4 out of their last 5 games over the L3 seasons.
--GREEN BAY is 9-1 ATS in the second half of the season over the L2 seasons.
--GREEN BAY is 16-2 OVER after 4 or more consecutive wins against the spread since 1992.
--GREEN BAY is 27-6 OVER vs. teams averaging 42 or less penalty yds/game since 1992.
• BETTING SYSTEM: Play Under - Any team against the total - after beating the spread by more than 14 points in two consecutive games, in November games.
(27-8 since 1983.) (77.1%, +18.2 units. Rating = 3*)
__________________________________________
*** MIAMI @ OAKLAND (NL) ***
-----------------------------------------
GAME BREAKDOWN: The Dolphins were a trainwreck in third-stringer Tyler Thigpen’s first start of 2010, and there’s no reason to think they’ll be much better this week, even with the extra preparation time. Miami’s best hope is to rediscover their MIA ground game against an Oakland defense that can struggle against the run. The rejuvenated Raiders have been outstanding at home, going 4-1 SU and winning their past three SU and ATS. Series History – Last 5 seasons: Oakland is 2-1 ATS (1-2 SU) vs. Miami (0-1 ATS, 0-1 SU at home.)
• TOP RATED TEAM TRENDS
----------------------------------
--OAKLAND is 13-34 ATS after scoring 7 points or less in 1st half of 2 straight games since 1992.
--OAKLAND is 21-37 ATS at home off a road loss since 1992.
--OAKLAND is 2-10 ATS after covering in 2 out of their last 3 games over the L3 seasons.
--MIAMI is 8-0 ATS away vs. teams averaging >=4.5 rush yards/carry over the L3 seasons.
--MIAMI is 31-13 ATS against AFC West division opponents since 1992.
--Tony Sparano is 12-3 ATS away against conference opponents as coach of MIAMI.
• BETTING SYSTEM: Play Against - Home teams - after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game against opponent after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games.
(38-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.7%, +21.5 units. Rating = 3*)
__________________________________________________ __
*** KANSAS CITY (2.5, O/U 44.5) @ SEATTLE ***
-----------------------------------------------------------
GAME BREAKDOWN: One-time division rivals meet for only the third time since Seattle was realigned into the NFC. The Seahawks have been strong at home as usual, winning three of four SU and ATS this year. Meanwhile, after a strong start to the year, road woes have dragged down Kansas City, who have lost four in a row SU and three of four ATS away from home. Their defense has been particularly weak of late, though it may not matter though, as each team utilizes a conservative offensive attack. Series History – Last 5 seasons: Seattle is 0-1 ATS (0-1 SU) vs. Kansas City (0-0 ATS, 0-0 SU at home.)
• TOP RATED TEAM TRENDS
----------------------------------
--SEATTLE is 2-13 ATS vs. teams scoring 24 or more points/game over the L3 seasons.
--SEATTLE is 9-1 UNDER after allowing 350+ passing yards in their last game since 1992.
--SEATTLE is 20-7 OVER at home after a loss by 14 or more points since 1992.
--KANSAS CITY is 16-6 ATS against NFC West division opponents since 1992.
--KANSAS CITY is 8-1 UNDER after gaining 6+ yds/play in previous game over L3 seasons.
--KANSAS CITY is 4-14 ATS away after gaining 6+ yds/play in 2 straight games since 1992.
• BETTING SYSTEM: Play Against - Underdogs or pick - with a poor defense - allowing 5.4 or more yards/play, after gaining 450 or more total yards/game over their last 2 games.
(28-9 since 1983.) (75.7%, +18.1 units. Rating = 3*)
__________________________________________
*** ST LOUIS @ DENVER (-3.5, O/U 44.5) ***
-----------------------------------------------------
GAME BREAKDOWN: The Rams are once again trying to find their way on the road, where they’ve lost seven in a row and 16 of 17 SU. However, they’re getting closer, going 3-1 ATS as they’ve lost three of those road games by three points or less. Denver hasn’t been particularly strong at home, going 2-5 SU and ATS this year. However, they do have the kind of explosive offense to pull away from teams, as evidenced by their 49-29 win over the Chiefs in their last home game. Series history – Last 5 seasons: Denver is 0-1 ATS (0-1 SU) vs. St Louis (0-0 ATS, 0-0 SU at home.)
• TOP RATED TEAM TRENDS
----------------------------------
--DENVER is 2-12 ATS when playing team with a losing record over the L3 seasons.
--DENVER is 2-12 ATS at home vs. marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) since 1992.
--DENVER is 6-15 ATS at home in games played on a grass field over the L3 seasons.
--ST LOUIS is 23-39 ATS in November games since 1992.
--ST LOUIS is 24-43 ATS after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game since 1992.
--ST LOUIS is 40-23 OVER in non-conference games since 1992.
• BETTING SYSTEM: Play Under - Any team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points - in a game involving two average teams (within +/- 40 YPG of their opponents) after 8+ games, after allowing 375 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games.
(39-16 since 1983.) (70.9%, +21.4 units. Rating = 3*)
___________________________________________
*** SAN DIEGO @ INDIANAPOLIS (2.5, O/U 51.5) ***
---------------------------------------------------------------
GAME BREAKDOWN: The last five meetings between these two high-powered teams have been surprisingly tame, with the total between 40 and 52 points each time, and neither team topping 28. The Chargers have won four of five SU and five of six ATS, and in 2007 they picked Peyton Manning off six times. Lucas Oil has been a tough place for visitors to play, though. Excluding Week 16 of last season, when they laid down against the Jets, the Colts have won 19 in a row SU at home, and have won seven of nine ATS. Series History – Last 5 seasons: Indianapolis is 1-4 ATS (1-4 SU) vs. San Diego (0-2 ATS, 0-2 SU at home.)
• TOP RATED TEAM TRENDS
----------------------------------
--INDY is 11-27 ATS at home after gaining 99 or less rush yards in 2 straight games since 1992.
--INDY is 14-31 ATS at home when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
--INDY is 7-20 ATS vs. marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) since 1992.
--SAN DIEGO is 17-3 ATS against AFC South division opponents since 1992.
--SAN DIEGO is 22-8 ATS in dome games since 1992.
--SAN DIEGO is 37-19 ATS in games played on turf since 1992.
• BETTING SYSTEM: Play Against - Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 - off 1 or more consecutive unders, an excellent offensive team (>=27 PPG) against an average defensive team (18-23 PPG).
(32-11 since 1983.) (74.4%, +19.9 units. Rating = 3*)
*** MINNESOTA @ WASHINGTON (-1, O/U 43) ***
-------------------------------------------------------------
GAME BREAKDOWN: The Vikings have quietly put together a string of futility on the road, losing nine in a row SU and going 2-7 ATS away since last December. Washington presents a good chance to break that streak, though, as the Redskins defense stops neither the run nor the pass effectively. If the Minnesota front four can create any pressure (they rarely have this season) to keep the ‘Skins offense in check, the Vikes will snap their road losing streak. Series History – last 5 seasons: Washington is 1-1 ATS (1-1 SU) vs. Minnesota (0-1 ATS, 0-1 SU at home.)
• TOP RATED TEAM TRENDS
----------------------------------
--WASH is 7-0 ATS vs. teams allowing >= 24 yards per kickoff return over the L2 seasons.
--WASH is 4-15 ATS at home when playing a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) since 1992.
--WASH is 128-98 UNDER against conference opponents since 1992.
--MINN is 3-14 ATS vs. teams averaging 12+ yds/punt ret in the 2nd half of year since 1992.
--MINN is 28-10 OVER vs. teams allowing 235+ passing yards/game since 1992.
--MINN is 24-9 OVER away after 2+ consecutive losses ATS since 1992.
• BETTING SYSTEM: Play Against - Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 - after allowing 7 or more passing yards/attempt last game against opponent after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in their last game.
(40-17 over the last 10 seasons.) (70.2%, +21.3 units. Rating = 3*)
__________________________________________________ __
*** PITTSBURGH (-6.5, O/U 43.5) @ BUFFALO ***
-----------------------------------------------------------
GAME BREAKDOWN: Pittsburgh has Buffalo overmatched on paper, and they continue to play well away from home (five SU wins and four ATS in their last six road games). Buffalo’s inability to stop the run on defense, and to pass protect on
offense will be glaring weaknesses. However, so will their feeble pass rush, which may not be able to create pressure even against Pittsburgh’s injury-plagued offensive line. Series History – last 5 seasons: Buffalo is 0-1 ATS (0-1 SU) vs. Pittsburgh (0-0 ATS, 0-0 SU at home.)
• TOP RATED TEAM TRENDS
----------------------------------
--BUFFALO is 15-3 OVER at home after 3+ consecutive wins against the spread since 1992.
--BUFFALO is 22-9 OVER after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread since 1992.
--BUFFALO is 25-12 UNDER versus teams allowing <=3.5 rushing yards/carry since 1992.
--PITTSBURGH is 82-53 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
--PITTSBURGH is 15-3 OVER after having won 2 out of last 3 games over the L3 seasons.
--PITTSBURGH is 76-51 OVER after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game since 1992.
• BETTING SYSTEM: Play On - Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points - after going over the total by more than 28 points in their previous game, after the first month of the season.
(43-17 since 1983.) (71.7%, +24.3 units. Rating = 3*)
___________________________________________
*** TENNESSEE @ HOUSTON (-6.5, O/U 45.5) ***
-----------------------------------------------------------
GAME BREAKDOWN: The Titans and Texans have been playing barnburners lately, with each of the last three games being decided by three points or less. However, Tennessee may have trouble keeping pace with their train-wreck situation under center (rookie Rusty Smith might get the call with Kerry Collins out and Vince Young maybe on his way out). Last November in Houston, the Titans rode a big day from Chris Johnson and two long field goal misses by then-Texan Kris Brown to a 20-17 win. Series History – Last 5 seasons: Houston is 3-7 ATS (2-8 SU) vs. Tennessee (1-4 ATS, 1-4 SU at home.)
• TOP RATED TEAM TRENDS
----------------------------------
--HOUSTON is 23-10 ATS after having lost 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games since 1992.
--HOUSTON is 29-14 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
--HOUSTON is 12-3 ATS after allowing 400+ total yds/gm in their last 3 games since 1992.
--TENN is 17-5 OVER after gaining 6.5+ yards/play in their previous game since 1992.
--TENN is 32-14 OVER vs. teams allowing 7+ passing yards/att. since 1992.
--TENN is 14-3 OVER against teams who force 1 or less TO/game on the season since 1992.
• BETTING SYSTEM: Play Against - Home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points - average team (+/- 40 YPG) against a poor team (outgained by 40-100 YPG) after 8+ games.
(50-20 over the last 10 seasons.) (71.4%, +28 units. Rating = 3*)
__________________________________________________ _
*** JACKSONVILLE @ NY GIANTS (-7, O/U 44.5) ***
---------------------------------------------------------------
GAME BREAKDOWN: The Jags continue to find a way, pulling out two straight wins on miracle plays (a hailmary against the Texans and a 75-yard screen pass to set up the winning score against Cleveland). More impressively, their defensive line was able to create pressure against a good Browns o-line despite being without star DE Aaron Kampman. For the Giants, it continues to come down to turnovers. They have an NFL-worst 30 giveaways this year, and their defense hasn’t always been able to overcome their mistakes. Series History – Last 5 seasons: NY Giants is 0-1 ATS (0-1 SU) vs. Jacksonville (0-0 ATS, 0-0 SU at home.)
• TOP RATED TEAM TRENDS
----------------------------------
--NY GIANTS are 27-47 ATS in November games since 1992.
--NY GIANTS are 24-43 ATS in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
--NY GIANTS are 3-15 ATS at home against a team w/ Win Pct. 51%-60% since 1992.
--JACKSONVILLE is 10-25 ATS in games played on a grass field over the L3 seasons.
--JACKSONVILLE is 26-9 OVER away after winning 4 or 5 out of last 6 games since 1992.
--JACKSONVILLE is 27-13 OVER after covering in 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992.
• BETTING SYSTEM: Play Under - Home teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points - off a road loss, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season.
(59-24 since 1983.) (71.1%, +32.6 units. Rating = 3*)
___________________________________________
*** CAROLINA @ CLEVELAND (9.5, O/U 37.5) ***
-----------------------------------------------------------
GAME BREAKDOWN: Cleveland continues to play good football, while Carolina seems to be playing out the string. The Panthers have struggled to stop the run all season, which will be an issue against Peyton Hillis and Cleveland’s run-based offense (the potential loss of Colt McCoy shouldn’t be devastating). As for the other side of the ball, the Panthers are still shuffling quarterbacks (rookie Jimmy Clausen could be under center again), and they’ll likely have more trouble moving the ball against the Cleveland defense on the road. Series History – Last 5 seasons: Cleveland is 0-0 ATS (0-1 SU) vs. Carolina (0-0 ATS, 0-0 SU at home.)
• TOP RATED TEAM TRENDS
----------------------------------
--Eric Mangini is 8-1 ATS vs. teams scoring 17 or less pts/gm in the 2nd half of the season.
--CLEVELAND is 10-1 UNDER against NFC South division opponents since 1992.
--Eric Mangini is 13-4 OVER at home vs. teams allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse.
--CAROLINA is 22-8 ATS away after scoring 3 points or less in the 1st half last game since 1992.
--CAROLINA is 15-4 UNDER away vs. teams averaging 12+ yards per punt return since 1992.
--CAROLINA is 33-14 UNDER vs. teams allowing >=350 yards/game since 1992.
• BETTING SYSTEM: Play On - Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points - a horrible offensive team (<=14 PPG) against an average defensive team (18-23 PPG), after scoring 17 points or less in 3 straight games.
(56-24 since 1983.) (70%, +29.6 units. Rating = 3*)
_________________________________________
*** TAMPA BAY @ BALTIMORE (-7.5, O/U 41) ***
-----------------------------------------------------------
GAME BREAKDOWN: Josh Freeman and Tampa’s young offense gets a major test in Baltimore, where the Ravens have forced seven turnovers in their past two games. Freeman has been able to limit his turnovers this year, which should allow the Bucs to stay in the game with a Ravens defense that has relied more on turnovers than dominance. The Bucs defense is susceptible to the run; the Ravens could wear them down with Ray Rice and Willis McGahee, making this a low-scoring affair. Series History – last 5 seasons: Baltimore is 1-0 ATS (1-0 SU) vs. Tampa Bay (0-0 ATS, 0-0 SU at home.)
• TOP RATED TEAM TRENDS
----------------------------------
--BALTIMORE is 23-9 ATS at home off a non-conference game since 1992.
--BALTIMORE is 9-1 ATS at home after a win by 21 or more points since 1992.
--BALTIMORE is 50-30 ATS as a home favorite since 1992.
--TAMPA BAY is 48-22 UNDER after having won 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992.
--TAMPA BAY is 55-30 UNDER after gaining 150 or less pass yards in last game since 1992.
--TAMPA BAY is 36-15 UNDER after a win by 14 or more points since 1992.
• BETTING SYSTEM: Play Under - Any team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points - after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%).
(52-24 over the last 10 seasons.) (68.4%, +25.6 units. Rating = 3*)
__________________________________________________ __
*** PHILADELPHIA (-3, O/U 42) @ CHICAGO ***
----------------------------------------------------------
GAME BREAKDOWN: Chicago has gained momentum by beating up on the walking wounded, beating the Vikes while they were shorthanded at receiver and the Dolphins and their third-string quarterback. However, their defense is playing well enough to keep them in the game with anyone, and their new commitment to the run has covered up their awful pass protection. For Philly, Michael Vick has emerged as the NFL’s most dangerous weapon, and the Eagles are 4-1 SU on the road this year. His big-play ability should give Philly an edge. Series History – last 5 seasons: Chicago is 2-1 ATS (2-1 SU) vs. Philadelphia (1-1 ATS, 1-1 SU at home.)
• TOP RATED TEAM TRENDS
----------------------------------
--CHICAGO is 15-5 UNDER in games played on a grass field over the L2 seasons.
--CHICAGO is 59-33 UNDER after gaining 150 or less passing yards in last game since 1992.
--CHICAGO is 8-1 UNDER vs. teams averaging >=5.65 yards/play over the L2 seasons.
--PHILLY is 13-3 ATS away vs. teams allowing <= 7.5 yards/punt ret in year’s 2nd half since 1992.
--PHILLY is 140-97 ATS against conference opponents since 1992.
--PHILLY is 31-15 UNDER off in 2 straight division games since 1992.
• BETTING SYSTEM: Play Under - Any team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points - a good defensive team (14-18 PPG) against an average defensive team (18 to 23 PPG), after 2 straight wins by 14 or more points.
(25-6 since 1983.) (80.6%, +18.4 units. Rating = 4*)
__________________________________________
*** GREEN BAY @ ATLANTA (-2, O/U 47.5) ***
--------------------------------------------------------
GAME BREAKDOWN: Two of the NFC’s elite do battle, and this one has major implications as far as postseason homefield advantage goes. The Falcons have won six in a row SU at home (4-2 ATS in that span), but they don’t match up well with the Packers offense. Atlanta’s secondary could be torn apart by Aaron Rodgers. Atlanta has an explosive offense as well, so this could come down to how much the Packers can get away with penalty-wise. Green Bay is 1-3 when flagged for 45-plus penalty yards, and 6-0 when they have 35 or less. Series History – Last 5 seasons: Atlanta is 1-1 ATS (1-1 SU) vs. Green Bay (0-1 ATS, 0-1 SU at home.)
• TOP RATED TEAM TRENDS
----------------------------------
--ATLANTA is 8-23 ATS at home after scoring 30 points or more last game since 1992.
--ATLANTA is 12-4 ATS in dome games over the L2 seasons.
--ATLANTA is 9-1 OVER after having won 4 out of their last 5 games over the L3 seasons.
--GREEN BAY is 9-1 ATS in the second half of the season over the L2 seasons.
--GREEN BAY is 16-2 OVER after 4 or more consecutive wins against the spread since 1992.
--GREEN BAY is 27-6 OVER vs. teams averaging 42 or less penalty yds/game since 1992.
• BETTING SYSTEM: Play Under - Any team against the total - after beating the spread by more than 14 points in two consecutive games, in November games.
(27-8 since 1983.) (77.1%, +18.2 units. Rating = 3*)
__________________________________________
*** MIAMI @ OAKLAND (NL) ***
-----------------------------------------
GAME BREAKDOWN: The Dolphins were a trainwreck in third-stringer Tyler Thigpen’s first start of 2010, and there’s no reason to think they’ll be much better this week, even with the extra preparation time. Miami’s best hope is to rediscover their MIA ground game against an Oakland defense that can struggle against the run. The rejuvenated Raiders have been outstanding at home, going 4-1 SU and winning their past three SU and ATS. Series History – Last 5 seasons: Oakland is 2-1 ATS (1-2 SU) vs. Miami (0-1 ATS, 0-1 SU at home.)
• TOP RATED TEAM TRENDS
----------------------------------
--OAKLAND is 13-34 ATS after scoring 7 points or less in 1st half of 2 straight games since 1992.
--OAKLAND is 21-37 ATS at home off a road loss since 1992.
--OAKLAND is 2-10 ATS after covering in 2 out of their last 3 games over the L3 seasons.
--MIAMI is 8-0 ATS away vs. teams averaging >=4.5 rush yards/carry over the L3 seasons.
--MIAMI is 31-13 ATS against AFC West division opponents since 1992.
--Tony Sparano is 12-3 ATS away against conference opponents as coach of MIAMI.
• BETTING SYSTEM: Play Against - Home teams - after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game against opponent after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games.
(38-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.7%, +21.5 units. Rating = 3*)
__________________________________________________ __
*** KANSAS CITY (2.5, O/U 44.5) @ SEATTLE ***
-----------------------------------------------------------
GAME BREAKDOWN: One-time division rivals meet for only the third time since Seattle was realigned into the NFC. The Seahawks have been strong at home as usual, winning three of four SU and ATS this year. Meanwhile, after a strong start to the year, road woes have dragged down Kansas City, who have lost four in a row SU and three of four ATS away from home. Their defense has been particularly weak of late, though it may not matter though, as each team utilizes a conservative offensive attack. Series History – Last 5 seasons: Seattle is 0-1 ATS (0-1 SU) vs. Kansas City (0-0 ATS, 0-0 SU at home.)
• TOP RATED TEAM TRENDS
----------------------------------
--SEATTLE is 2-13 ATS vs. teams scoring 24 or more points/game over the L3 seasons.
--SEATTLE is 9-1 UNDER after allowing 350+ passing yards in their last game since 1992.
--SEATTLE is 20-7 OVER at home after a loss by 14 or more points since 1992.
--KANSAS CITY is 16-6 ATS against NFC West division opponents since 1992.
--KANSAS CITY is 8-1 UNDER after gaining 6+ yds/play in previous game over L3 seasons.
--KANSAS CITY is 4-14 ATS away after gaining 6+ yds/play in 2 straight games since 1992.
• BETTING SYSTEM: Play Against - Underdogs or pick - with a poor defense - allowing 5.4 or more yards/play, after gaining 450 or more total yards/game over their last 2 games.
(28-9 since 1983.) (75.7%, +18.1 units. Rating = 3*)
__________________________________________
*** ST LOUIS @ DENVER (-3.5, O/U 44.5) ***
-----------------------------------------------------
GAME BREAKDOWN: The Rams are once again trying to find their way on the road, where they’ve lost seven in a row and 16 of 17 SU. However, they’re getting closer, going 3-1 ATS as they’ve lost three of those road games by three points or less. Denver hasn’t been particularly strong at home, going 2-5 SU and ATS this year. However, they do have the kind of explosive offense to pull away from teams, as evidenced by their 49-29 win over the Chiefs in their last home game. Series history – Last 5 seasons: Denver is 0-1 ATS (0-1 SU) vs. St Louis (0-0 ATS, 0-0 SU at home.)
• TOP RATED TEAM TRENDS
----------------------------------
--DENVER is 2-12 ATS when playing team with a losing record over the L3 seasons.
--DENVER is 2-12 ATS at home vs. marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) since 1992.
--DENVER is 6-15 ATS at home in games played on a grass field over the L3 seasons.
--ST LOUIS is 23-39 ATS in November games since 1992.
--ST LOUIS is 24-43 ATS after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game since 1992.
--ST LOUIS is 40-23 OVER in non-conference games since 1992.
• BETTING SYSTEM: Play Under - Any team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points - in a game involving two average teams (within +/- 40 YPG of their opponents) after 8+ games, after allowing 375 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games.
(39-16 since 1983.) (70.9%, +21.4 units. Rating = 3*)
___________________________________________
*** SAN DIEGO @ INDIANAPOLIS (2.5, O/U 51.5) ***
---------------------------------------------------------------
GAME BREAKDOWN: The last five meetings between these two high-powered teams have been surprisingly tame, with the total between 40 and 52 points each time, and neither team topping 28. The Chargers have won four of five SU and five of six ATS, and in 2007 they picked Peyton Manning off six times. Lucas Oil has been a tough place for visitors to play, though. Excluding Week 16 of last season, when they laid down against the Jets, the Colts have won 19 in a row SU at home, and have won seven of nine ATS. Series History – Last 5 seasons: Indianapolis is 1-4 ATS (1-4 SU) vs. San Diego (0-2 ATS, 0-2 SU at home.)
• TOP RATED TEAM TRENDS
----------------------------------
--INDY is 11-27 ATS at home after gaining 99 or less rush yards in 2 straight games since 1992.
--INDY is 14-31 ATS at home when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
--INDY is 7-20 ATS vs. marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) since 1992.
--SAN DIEGO is 17-3 ATS against AFC South division opponents since 1992.
--SAN DIEGO is 22-8 ATS in dome games since 1992.
--SAN DIEGO is 37-19 ATS in games played on turf since 1992.
• BETTING SYSTEM: Play Against - Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 - off 1 or more consecutive unders, an excellent offensive team (>=27 PPG) against an average defensive team (18-23 PPG).
(32-11 since 1983.) (74.4%, +19.9 units. Rating = 3*)
STATSYSTEMS REPORT 11/28 cont.
• HIGHEST RATED ATS SUPER SITUATIONS NFL - Display the Highest Rated Active NFL - Against the Spread Super Situations for Upcoming Games.
Situational analysis uncovers conditions and patterns where teams have consistently outperformed or underperformed their normal levels. These systems are not team specific - the principle is that teams fall into patterns regardless of personnel (i.e. good passing teams, teams seeking revenge, cold teams on a losing streak, etc.).
__________________________________________________ ___
4* BUFFALO +6.5 - (78.1%)
3* HOUSTON -6.5 - (77.8%)
3* INDIANAPOLIS -2.5 - (77.4%)
3* NY GIANTS -7 - (76.3%)
3* CAROLINA +10 - (76.3%)
3* GREEN BAY +2 - (73.0%)
3* BALTIMORE -7.5 - (72.9%)
--PLAY ON - Underdogs or pick (BUFFALO) - after a road game where both teams scored 24 or more points, in the second half of the season.
(25-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.1%, +17.3 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (18-14 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 4.9
The average score in these games was: Team 24.7, Opponent 22.8 (Average point differential = +1.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 16 (51.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (16-3).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (48-38).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (91-64).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road underdogs or pick (TENNESSEE) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% in the second half of the season.
(28-8 over the last 10 seasons.) (77.8%, +19.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (33-6 over the last 10 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 5.1
The average score in these games was: Team 27.7, Opponent 16 (Average point differential = +11.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 17 (43.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-6).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (14-6).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (65-55).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road teams (SAN DIEGO) - off 1 or more consecutive unders, an excellent offensive team (>=27 PPG) against an average defensive team (18-23 PPG).
(24-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (77.4%, +16.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (21-11 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 2.7
The average score in these games was: Team 25.2, Opponent 22.1 (Average point differential = +3.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 12 (44.4% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (16-4).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (32-18).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (68-38).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road underdogs or pick (JACKSONVILLE) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) after 8+ games.
(29-9 since 1983.) (76.3%, +19.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (33-7)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 3.9
The average score in these games was: Team 26.1, Opponent 18 (Average point differential = +8)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 12 (30.8% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (1-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (1-4).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (6-4).
--PLAY ON - Any team (CAROLINA) - after failing to cover the spread in 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games, in the second half of the season.
(29-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.3%, +19.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (18-21 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 6.2
The average score in these games was: Team 21.1, Opponent 22.2 (Average point differential = -1.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 16 (43.2% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (4-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (14-3).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (47-24).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (129-97).
--PLAY AGAINST - Home favorites (ATLANTA) - after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, in November games.
(54-20 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.0%, +32 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (29-46 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 7.1
The average score in these games was: Team 22.3, Opponent 24.3 (Average point differential = -2)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 31 (43.1% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (6-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (36-10).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (71-54).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (129-110).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road teams (TAMPA BAY) - off an upset win by 14 points or more as an underdog, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season.
(43-16 since 1983.) (72.9%, +25.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (45-16)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 1.6
The average score in these games was: Team 24.3, Opponent 18.7 (Average point differential = +5.6)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 23 (39.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (3-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (6-3).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (14-5).
____________________________________________
• HIGHEST RATED OVER/UNDER SUPER SITUATIONS NFL - Display the Highest Rated Active NFL - Over/Under Super Situations for Upcoming Games.
Situational analysis uncovers conditions and patterns where teams have consistently outperformed or underperformed their normal levels. These systems are not team specific - the principle is that teams fall into patterns regardless of personnel (i.e. good passing teams, teams seeking revenge, cold teams on a losing streak, etc.).
__________________________________________________ ___
4* PHILADELPHIA/CHICAGO UNDER 42 - (83.3%)
4* ST LOUIS/DENVER UNDER 44.5 - (79.4%)
4* TAMPA BAY/BALTIMORE UNDER 41 - (78.4%)
3* CAROLINA/CLEVELAND OVER 37.5 - (75.6%)
3* TENNESSEE/HOUSTON UNDER 45.5 - (73.9)
--PLAY UNDER - Any team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (CHICAGO) - after allowing 250 or less total yards in 2 consecutive games against opponent after outgaining opp by 150 or more total yards in their previous game.
(25-5 since 1983.) (83.3%, +19.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 39.4
The average score in these games was: Team 17.5, Opponent 15.4 (Total points scored = 32.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 15 (50% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (1-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (3-0).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (8-0).
--PLAY UNDER - Any team against the total (DENVER) - off a loss against a division rival, in a game involving two bad teams (25% to 40%) in the second half of the season.
(27-7 over the last 10 seasons.) (79.4%, +19.3 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 39.8
The average score in these games was: Team 18, Opponent 16.9 (Total points scored = 34.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 17 (48.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (4-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (7-1).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (64-28).
--PLAY UNDER - Any team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (TAMPA BAY) - off a road win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%).
(29-8 over the last 10 seasons.) (78.4%, +20.2 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 38.8
The average score in these games was: Team 17.8, Opponent 17.5 (Total points scored = 35.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 17 (45.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (7-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (13-5).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (80-56).
--PLAY OVER - Any team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (CAROLINA) - off 2 or more consecutive overs against opponent off 3 or more consecutive overs.
(34-11 over the last 10 seasons.) (75.6%, +21.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 39.2
The average score in these games was: Team 24.2, Opponent 22.7 (Total points scored = 46.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 22 (47.8% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (1-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (23-6).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (80-61).
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams against the total (HOUSTON) - off an extremely close road loss by 3 points or less, in November games.
(34-12 over the last 10 seasons.) (73.9%, +20.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 42
The average score in these games was: Team 20.8, Opponent 19.4 (Total points scored = 40.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 15 (32.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (12-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (17-4).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (65-32).
__________________________________
• HIGHEST RATED FIRST HALF ATS SUPER SITUATIONS NFL - Display the Highest Rated Active NFL - First Half Line Super Situations for Upcoming Games.
Situational analysis uncovers conditions and patterns where teams have consistently outperformed or underperformed their normal levels. These systems are not team specific - the principle is that teams fall into patterns regardless of personnel (i.e. good passing teams, teams seeking revenge, cold teams on a losing streak, etc.).
__________________________________________________ ___
4* ATLANTA -1 - (85.2%)
4* MINNESOTA +0.5 - (81.8%)
4* CLEVELAND - 5 - (80.6%)
4* NY GIANTS -3.5 - (80.5%)
4* DENVER -2 - (80.0%)
3* BALTIMORE -4 - (78.4%)
3* BUFFALO +3.5 - (75.6%)
3* INDIANAPOLIS -1.5 - (75.6%)
--PLAY AGAINST - Road underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (GREEN BAY) - after beating the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games.
(23-4 since 1983.) (85.2%, +18.6 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 2.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 13.5, Opponent 5 (Average first half point differential = +8.5)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (2-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (5-1).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (9-1).
--PLAY ON - All teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (MINNESOTA) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 21 points in their previous game against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 21 or more points total in their last three games.
(27-6 since 1983.) (81.8%, +20.4 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 0
The average first half score in these games was: Team 12, Opponent 8 (Average first half point differential = +4)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (6-2).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (10-4).
--PLAY ON - Home favorites of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (CLEVELAND) - after beating the spread by 35 or more points total in their last five games, in non-conference games.
(25-6 over the last 10 seasons.) (80.6%, +18.4 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 3.5
The average first half score in these games was: Team 12.9, Opponent 4.7 (Average first half point differential = +8.1)
The situation's record this season is: (0-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (3-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (7-3).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (42-35).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road underdogs of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (JACKSONVILLE) - off 4 or more consecutive overs against opponent off 1 or more consecutive unders.
(33-8 since 1983.) (80.5%, +24.2 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 3.5
The average first half score in these games was: Team 14.2, Opponent 5.3 (Average first half point differential = +8.9)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (2-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (3-1).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (9-2).
--PLAY AGAINST - Underdogs of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (ST LOUIS) - after 2 or more consecutive losses, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% in the second half of the season.
(24-6 over the last 10 seasons.) (80.0%, +17.4 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 3.9
The average first half score in these games was: Team 16.9, Opponent 7.7 (Average first half point differential = +9.1)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (3-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (11-3).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (54-28).
--PLAY AGAINST - Underdogs of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (TAMPA BAY) - after 4 or more consecutive wins against the spread, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team.
(40-11 since 1983.) (78.4%, +27.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 3.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 13.3, Opponent 6.5 (Average first half point differential = +6.8)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (3-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (6-2).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (14-5).
--PLAY ON - Home teams vs. the 1rst half line (BUFFALO) - after allowing 30 points or more last game against opponent after a win by 14 or more points.
(34-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.6%, +21.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 13, Opponent 10 (Average first half point differential = +3)
The situation's record this season is: (2-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (19-5).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (55-35).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (156-131).
--PLAY ON - Home teams vs. the 1rst half line (INDIANAPOLIS) - after allowing 30 points or more last game against opponent after a win by 14 or more points.
(34-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.6%, +21.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 13, Opponent 10 (Average first half point differential = +3)
The situation's record this season is: (2-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (19-5).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (55-35).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (156-131).
____________________________________
• HIGHEST RATED FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER SUPER SITUATIONS NFL - Display the Highest Rated Active NFL - First Half Line Super Situations for Upcoming Games.
Situational analysis uncovers conditions and patterns where teams have consistently outperformed or underperformed their normal levels. These systems are not team specific - the principle is that teams fall into patterns regardless of personnel (i.e. good passing teams, teams seeking revenge, cold teams on a losing streak, etc.).
__________________________________________________ ___
4* PITTSBURGH/BUFFALO OVER 21.5 - (92.0%)
4* CAROLINA/CLEVELAND OVER 19 - (86.7%)
4* TAMPA BAY/BALTIMORE OVER 20.5 - (82.8%)
4* TENNESSEE/HOUSTON OVER 23 - (82.4)
4* GREEN BAY/ATLANTA OVER 24 - (82.4%)
4* ST LOUIS/DENVER UNDER 22.5 - (80.0%)
3* KANSAS CITY/SEATTLE OVER 22.5 - (76.0%)
3* JACKSONVILLE/NY GIANTS UNDER 22.5 - (75.0%)
3* PHILADELPHIA/CHICAGO UNDER 21 - (74.1%)
--PLAY OVER - Any team vs the 1rst half total (PITTSBURGH) - a very good team (>=+7 PPG diff.) against a poor team (-3 to -7 PPG diff.) after 8 or more games, after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game.
(23-2 over the last 10 seasons.) (92.0%, +20.8 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 20.8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 16.3, Opponent 11.2 (Total first half points scored = 27.5)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (4-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (12-1).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (42-24).
--PLAY OVER - Any team where the first half total is between 18 and 21 (CAROLINA) - off 2 or more consecutive overs against opponent off 3 or more consecutive overs.
(26-4 over the last 5 seasons.) (86.7%, +21.6 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 19.8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 15, Opponent 12.5 (Total first half points scored = 27.5)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (2-0).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (36-10).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (82-60).
--PLAY OVER - Home teams against the 1rst half total (BALTIMORE) - after a cover as a double digit favorite.
(24-5 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.8%, +18.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 22
The average first half score in these games was: Team 14.9, Opponent 11.4 (Total first half points scored = 26.3)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (15-2).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (40-13).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (103-59).
--PLAY OVER - Any team where the first half total is between 21.5 and 24.5 (HOUSTON) - good passing team (230-265 PY/G) against a poor passing defense (230-265 PY/G) after 8+ games, after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games.
(28-6 since 1983.) (82.4%, +21.4 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 23
The average first half score in these games was: Team 17.6, Opponent 11.5 (Total first half points scored = 29.1)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (7-1).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (11-2).
--PLAY OVER - Any team where the first half total is between 21.5 and 24.5 (GREEN BAY) - good passing team (230-265 PY/G) against a poor passing defense (230-265 PY/G) after 8+ games, after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games.
(28-6 since 1983.) (82.4%, +21.4 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 23
The average first half score in these games was: Team 17.6, Opponent 11.5 (Total first half points scored = 29.1)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (7-1).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (11-2).
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the first half total is between 21.5 and 24.5 (DENVER) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers.
(32-8 since 1983.) (80.0%, +23.2 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 23.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 11, Opponent 8.9 (Total first half points scored = 19.9)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (8-2).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (21-4).
--PLAY OVER - Home teams against the 1rst half total (SEATTLE) - poor rushing team (70-95 RY/G) against an average rushing defense (95-125 RY/G) after 8+ games.
(57-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.0%, +37.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 21.5
The average first half score in these games was: Team 13.3, Opponent 12.1 (Total first half points scored = 25.5)
The situation's record this season is: (8-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (28-7).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (92-53).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (199-152).
--PLAY UNDER - Any team vs the 1rst half total (JACKSONVILLE) - in a game involving two teams with poor turnover differentials (-0.75/game or better) after 8+ games, after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers.
(45-15 since 1983.) (75.0%, +28.5 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 20.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 9.2, Opponent 8.7 (Total first half points scored = 17.9)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (0-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (4-0).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (9-7).
--PLAY UNDER - Any team where the first half total is between 18 and 21 (CHICAGO) - average offensive team (4.9 to 5.4 YPP) against a team with an average defense (4.9 to 5.4 YPP), after allowing 250 or less total yards in 2 consecutive games.
(43-15 since 1983.) (74.1%, +26.5 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 19.5
The average first half score in these games was: Team 10.1, Opponent 6.4 (Total first half points scored = 16.5)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (3-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (3-1).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (11-2).
• HIGHEST RATED ATS SUPER SITUATIONS NFL - Display the Highest Rated Active NFL - Against the Spread Super Situations for Upcoming Games.
Situational analysis uncovers conditions and patterns where teams have consistently outperformed or underperformed their normal levels. These systems are not team specific - the principle is that teams fall into patterns regardless of personnel (i.e. good passing teams, teams seeking revenge, cold teams on a losing streak, etc.).
__________________________________________________ ___
4* BUFFALO +6.5 - (78.1%)
3* HOUSTON -6.5 - (77.8%)
3* INDIANAPOLIS -2.5 - (77.4%)
3* NY GIANTS -7 - (76.3%)
3* CAROLINA +10 - (76.3%)
3* GREEN BAY +2 - (73.0%)
3* BALTIMORE -7.5 - (72.9%)
--PLAY ON - Underdogs or pick (BUFFALO) - after a road game where both teams scored 24 or more points, in the second half of the season.
(25-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.1%, +17.3 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (18-14 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 4.9
The average score in these games was: Team 24.7, Opponent 22.8 (Average point differential = +1.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 16 (51.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (16-3).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (48-38).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (91-64).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road underdogs or pick (TENNESSEE) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% in the second half of the season.
(28-8 over the last 10 seasons.) (77.8%, +19.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (33-6 over the last 10 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 5.1
The average score in these games was: Team 27.7, Opponent 16 (Average point differential = +11.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 17 (43.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-6).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (14-6).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (65-55).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road teams (SAN DIEGO) - off 1 or more consecutive unders, an excellent offensive team (>=27 PPG) against an average defensive team (18-23 PPG).
(24-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (77.4%, +16.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (21-11 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 2.7
The average score in these games was: Team 25.2, Opponent 22.1 (Average point differential = +3.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 12 (44.4% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (16-4).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (32-18).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (68-38).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road underdogs or pick (JACKSONVILLE) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) after 8+ games.
(29-9 since 1983.) (76.3%, +19.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (33-7)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 3.9
The average score in these games was: Team 26.1, Opponent 18 (Average point differential = +8)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 12 (30.8% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (1-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (1-4).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (6-4).
--PLAY ON - Any team (CAROLINA) - after failing to cover the spread in 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games, in the second half of the season.
(29-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.3%, +19.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (18-21 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 6.2
The average score in these games was: Team 21.1, Opponent 22.2 (Average point differential = -1.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 16 (43.2% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (4-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (14-3).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (47-24).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (129-97).
--PLAY AGAINST - Home favorites (ATLANTA) - after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, in November games.
(54-20 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.0%, +32 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (29-46 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 7.1
The average score in these games was: Team 22.3, Opponent 24.3 (Average point differential = -2)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 31 (43.1% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (6-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (36-10).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (71-54).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (129-110).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road teams (TAMPA BAY) - off an upset win by 14 points or more as an underdog, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season.
(43-16 since 1983.) (72.9%, +25.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (45-16)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 1.6
The average score in these games was: Team 24.3, Opponent 18.7 (Average point differential = +5.6)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 23 (39.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (3-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (6-3).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (14-5).
____________________________________________
• HIGHEST RATED OVER/UNDER SUPER SITUATIONS NFL - Display the Highest Rated Active NFL - Over/Under Super Situations for Upcoming Games.
Situational analysis uncovers conditions and patterns where teams have consistently outperformed or underperformed their normal levels. These systems are not team specific - the principle is that teams fall into patterns regardless of personnel (i.e. good passing teams, teams seeking revenge, cold teams on a losing streak, etc.).
__________________________________________________ ___
4* PHILADELPHIA/CHICAGO UNDER 42 - (83.3%)
4* ST LOUIS/DENVER UNDER 44.5 - (79.4%)
4* TAMPA BAY/BALTIMORE UNDER 41 - (78.4%)
3* CAROLINA/CLEVELAND OVER 37.5 - (75.6%)
3* TENNESSEE/HOUSTON UNDER 45.5 - (73.9)
--PLAY UNDER - Any team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (CHICAGO) - after allowing 250 or less total yards in 2 consecutive games against opponent after outgaining opp by 150 or more total yards in their previous game.
(25-5 since 1983.) (83.3%, +19.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 39.4
The average score in these games was: Team 17.5, Opponent 15.4 (Total points scored = 32.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 15 (50% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (1-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (3-0).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (8-0).
--PLAY UNDER - Any team against the total (DENVER) - off a loss against a division rival, in a game involving two bad teams (25% to 40%) in the second half of the season.
(27-7 over the last 10 seasons.) (79.4%, +19.3 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 39.8
The average score in these games was: Team 18, Opponent 16.9 (Total points scored = 34.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 17 (48.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (4-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (7-1).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (64-28).
--PLAY UNDER - Any team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (TAMPA BAY) - off a road win, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%).
(29-8 over the last 10 seasons.) (78.4%, +20.2 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 38.8
The average score in these games was: Team 17.8, Opponent 17.5 (Total points scored = 35.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 17 (45.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (7-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (13-5).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (80-56).
--PLAY OVER - Any team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (CAROLINA) - off 2 or more consecutive overs against opponent off 3 or more consecutive overs.
(34-11 over the last 10 seasons.) (75.6%, +21.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 39.2
The average score in these games was: Team 24.2, Opponent 22.7 (Total points scored = 46.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 22 (47.8% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (1-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (23-6).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (80-61).
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams against the total (HOUSTON) - off an extremely close road loss by 3 points or less, in November games.
(34-12 over the last 10 seasons.) (73.9%, +20.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 42
The average score in these games was: Team 20.8, Opponent 19.4 (Total points scored = 40.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 15 (32.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (12-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (17-4).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (65-32).
__________________________________
• HIGHEST RATED FIRST HALF ATS SUPER SITUATIONS NFL - Display the Highest Rated Active NFL - First Half Line Super Situations for Upcoming Games.
Situational analysis uncovers conditions and patterns where teams have consistently outperformed or underperformed their normal levels. These systems are not team specific - the principle is that teams fall into patterns regardless of personnel (i.e. good passing teams, teams seeking revenge, cold teams on a losing streak, etc.).
__________________________________________________ ___
4* ATLANTA -1 - (85.2%)
4* MINNESOTA +0.5 - (81.8%)
4* CLEVELAND - 5 - (80.6%)
4* NY GIANTS -3.5 - (80.5%)
4* DENVER -2 - (80.0%)
3* BALTIMORE -4 - (78.4%)
3* BUFFALO +3.5 - (75.6%)
3* INDIANAPOLIS -1.5 - (75.6%)
--PLAY AGAINST - Road underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (GREEN BAY) - after beating the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games.
(23-4 since 1983.) (85.2%, +18.6 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 2.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 13.5, Opponent 5 (Average first half point differential = +8.5)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (2-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (5-1).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (9-1).
--PLAY ON - All teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (MINNESOTA) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 21 points in their previous game against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 21 or more points total in their last three games.
(27-6 since 1983.) (81.8%, +20.4 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 0
The average first half score in these games was: Team 12, Opponent 8 (Average first half point differential = +4)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (6-2).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (10-4).
--PLAY ON - Home favorites of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (CLEVELAND) - after beating the spread by 35 or more points total in their last five games, in non-conference games.
(25-6 over the last 10 seasons.) (80.6%, +18.4 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 3.5
The average first half score in these games was: Team 12.9, Opponent 4.7 (Average first half point differential = +8.1)
The situation's record this season is: (0-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (3-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (7-3).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (42-35).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road underdogs of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (JACKSONVILLE) - off 4 or more consecutive overs against opponent off 1 or more consecutive unders.
(33-8 since 1983.) (80.5%, +24.2 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 3.5
The average first half score in these games was: Team 14.2, Opponent 5.3 (Average first half point differential = +8.9)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (2-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (3-1).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (9-2).
--PLAY AGAINST - Underdogs of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (ST LOUIS) - after 2 or more consecutive losses, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% in the second half of the season.
(24-6 over the last 10 seasons.) (80.0%, +17.4 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 3.9
The average first half score in these games was: Team 16.9, Opponent 7.7 (Average first half point differential = +9.1)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (3-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (11-3).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (54-28).
--PLAY AGAINST - Underdogs of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (TAMPA BAY) - after 4 or more consecutive wins against the spread, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team.
(40-11 since 1983.) (78.4%, +27.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 3.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 13.3, Opponent 6.5 (Average first half point differential = +6.8)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (3-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (6-2).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (14-5).
--PLAY ON - Home teams vs. the 1rst half line (BUFFALO) - after allowing 30 points or more last game against opponent after a win by 14 or more points.
(34-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.6%, +21.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 13, Opponent 10 (Average first half point differential = +3)
The situation's record this season is: (2-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (19-5).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (55-35).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (156-131).
--PLAY ON - Home teams vs. the 1rst half line (INDIANAPOLIS) - after allowing 30 points or more last game against opponent after a win by 14 or more points.
(34-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.6%, +21.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 13, Opponent 10 (Average first half point differential = +3)
The situation's record this season is: (2-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (19-5).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (55-35).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (156-131).
____________________________________
• HIGHEST RATED FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER SUPER SITUATIONS NFL - Display the Highest Rated Active NFL - First Half Line Super Situations for Upcoming Games.
Situational analysis uncovers conditions and patterns where teams have consistently outperformed or underperformed their normal levels. These systems are not team specific - the principle is that teams fall into patterns regardless of personnel (i.e. good passing teams, teams seeking revenge, cold teams on a losing streak, etc.).
__________________________________________________ ___
4* PITTSBURGH/BUFFALO OVER 21.5 - (92.0%)
4* CAROLINA/CLEVELAND OVER 19 - (86.7%)
4* TAMPA BAY/BALTIMORE OVER 20.5 - (82.8%)
4* TENNESSEE/HOUSTON OVER 23 - (82.4)
4* GREEN BAY/ATLANTA OVER 24 - (82.4%)
4* ST LOUIS/DENVER UNDER 22.5 - (80.0%)
3* KANSAS CITY/SEATTLE OVER 22.5 - (76.0%)
3* JACKSONVILLE/NY GIANTS UNDER 22.5 - (75.0%)
3* PHILADELPHIA/CHICAGO UNDER 21 - (74.1%)
--PLAY OVER - Any team vs the 1rst half total (PITTSBURGH) - a very good team (>=+7 PPG diff.) against a poor team (-3 to -7 PPG diff.) after 8 or more games, after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game.
(23-2 over the last 10 seasons.) (92.0%, +20.8 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 20.8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 16.3, Opponent 11.2 (Total first half points scored = 27.5)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (4-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (12-1).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (42-24).
--PLAY OVER - Any team where the first half total is between 18 and 21 (CAROLINA) - off 2 or more consecutive overs against opponent off 3 or more consecutive overs.
(26-4 over the last 5 seasons.) (86.7%, +21.6 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 19.8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 15, Opponent 12.5 (Total first half points scored = 27.5)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (2-0).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (36-10).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (82-60).
--PLAY OVER - Home teams against the 1rst half total (BALTIMORE) - after a cover as a double digit favorite.
(24-5 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.8%, +18.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 22
The average first half score in these games was: Team 14.9, Opponent 11.4 (Total first half points scored = 26.3)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (15-2).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (40-13).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (103-59).
--PLAY OVER - Any team where the first half total is between 21.5 and 24.5 (HOUSTON) - good passing team (230-265 PY/G) against a poor passing defense (230-265 PY/G) after 8+ games, after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games.
(28-6 since 1983.) (82.4%, +21.4 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 23
The average first half score in these games was: Team 17.6, Opponent 11.5 (Total first half points scored = 29.1)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (7-1).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (11-2).
--PLAY OVER - Any team where the first half total is between 21.5 and 24.5 (GREEN BAY) - good passing team (230-265 PY/G) against a poor passing defense (230-265 PY/G) after 8+ games, after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games.
(28-6 since 1983.) (82.4%, +21.4 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 23
The average first half score in these games was: Team 17.6, Opponent 11.5 (Total first half points scored = 29.1)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (7-1).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (11-2).
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the first half total is between 21.5 and 24.5 (DENVER) - after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers against opponent after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers.
(32-8 since 1983.) (80.0%, +23.2 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 23.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 11, Opponent 8.9 (Total first half points scored = 19.9)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (8-2).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (21-4).
--PLAY OVER - Home teams against the 1rst half total (SEATTLE) - poor rushing team (70-95 RY/G) against an average rushing defense (95-125 RY/G) after 8+ games.
(57-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.0%, +37.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 21.5
The average first half score in these games was: Team 13.3, Opponent 12.1 (Total first half points scored = 25.5)
The situation's record this season is: (8-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (28-7).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (92-53).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (199-152).
--PLAY UNDER - Any team vs the 1rst half total (JACKSONVILLE) - in a game involving two teams with poor turnover differentials (-0.75/game or better) after 8+ games, after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers.
(45-15 since 1983.) (75.0%, +28.5 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 20.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 9.2, Opponent 8.7 (Total first half points scored = 17.9)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (0-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (4-0).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (9-7).
--PLAY UNDER - Any team where the first half total is between 18 and 21 (CHICAGO) - average offensive team (4.9 to 5.4 YPP) against a team with an average defense (4.9 to 5.4 YPP), after allowing 250 or less total yards in 2 consecutive games.
(43-15 since 1983.) (74.1%, +26.5 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 19.5
The average first half score in these games was: Team 10.1, Opponent 6.4 (Total first half points scored = 16.5)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (3-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (3-1).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (11-2).
Indian Cowboy:
4-0 Yesterday:
7* Football: Kansas State/North Texas (W) (Now, 8-1 with 7* selections)
4* College Ball: Penn +26.5 over Pitt (W)
4* NBA: Cleveland -1 over Memphis (W)
4* NHL: Calgary/Pittsburgh Under (W)
Football: One of the best runs in America: 20-6 (77%) last 8 Weeks, Winning 7 of 8 Weekends using "IC-3", 1-0 this week (2 to go)
NBA: +$2400 November, 60% (Nov Goal: +$2000), 6 of 8 Winning Days
College Ball: Back to Back Winning Days
NHL: 10-3-1 Last 14 Days
MLB: 7 straight winning months (+$10,050)
We just keep working hard and our hardwork is paying off to great success. Being humble, and our Selective system of doing all sports, but just one play a day in them, as well as using "IC-3" system in Football has helped us have one of the hottest run in America now. We are 16-4-1 over the last 7 days (+$5140) over all sports, and its also why we have done nothing but win for the past 7 months across all sports. Let's keep focused and working hard.
5-Unit Play. #234. Take Over 44.5 Kansas City Chiefs vs. Seattle Seahawks (Sunday @ 4:05pm est).
This will be a similar total for us that we took with the Falcons and Rams over the posted total. Granted, I hope that we hit this one a little easier. The Sehawks come off a tough loss in their last contest and it seems that they are able to put up a bit more points now compared to their recent struggles a few weeks back. I like the fact that the Seahawks are a dog coming into this gae, albeit a small one. The Seahawks put up 19 points in New Orleans and 36 at Arizona as they seem to be taking more chances on offense as most Pete Carroll teams do. Seattle will get up for this game as Kansas City is a very good team that has a dynamic offense of their own. Seattle is in the hunt for the NFC West Crown believe it or not, so the motivation is obviously there for this team. Kansas City has continued to put up points both at home and on the road, but in particular, on the road. Kansas City has not played back to back unders all year long and they have played three straight overs on the road including Denver, Houston and Oakland. I'm not saying the Seahawks have a comparable offense to Houston, but certainly I do believe that Seattle can put up comprable points to Oakland and Denver. Consequently, I look for this game to likely go over the posted total. The Over is 5-1 for the Chiefs as a small road favorite and the Over is 4-0-1 for the Seahawks following a straight up loss.
4-0 Yesterday:
7* Football: Kansas State/North Texas (W) (Now, 8-1 with 7* selections)
4* College Ball: Penn +26.5 over Pitt (W)
4* NBA: Cleveland -1 over Memphis (W)
4* NHL: Calgary/Pittsburgh Under (W)
Football: One of the best runs in America: 20-6 (77%) last 8 Weeks, Winning 7 of 8 Weekends using "IC-3", 1-0 this week (2 to go)
NBA: +$2400 November, 60% (Nov Goal: +$2000), 6 of 8 Winning Days
College Ball: Back to Back Winning Days
NHL: 10-3-1 Last 14 Days
MLB: 7 straight winning months (+$10,050)
We just keep working hard and our hardwork is paying off to great success. Being humble, and our Selective system of doing all sports, but just one play a day in them, as well as using "IC-3" system in Football has helped us have one of the hottest run in America now. We are 16-4-1 over the last 7 days (+$5140) over all sports, and its also why we have done nothing but win for the past 7 months across all sports. Let's keep focused and working hard.
5-Unit Play. #234. Take Over 44.5 Kansas City Chiefs vs. Seattle Seahawks (Sunday @ 4:05pm est).
This will be a similar total for us that we took with the Falcons and Rams over the posted total. Granted, I hope that we hit this one a little easier. The Sehawks come off a tough loss in their last contest and it seems that they are able to put up a bit more points now compared to their recent struggles a few weeks back. I like the fact that the Seahawks are a dog coming into this gae, albeit a small one. The Seahawks put up 19 points in New Orleans and 36 at Arizona as they seem to be taking more chances on offense as most Pete Carroll teams do. Seattle will get up for this game as Kansas City is a very good team that has a dynamic offense of their own. Seattle is in the hunt for the NFC West Crown believe it or not, so the motivation is obviously there for this team. Kansas City has continued to put up points both at home and on the road, but in particular, on the road. Kansas City has not played back to back unders all year long and they have played three straight overs on the road including Denver, Houston and Oakland. I'm not saying the Seahawks have a comparable offense to Houston, but certainly I do believe that Seattle can put up comprable points to Oakland and Denver. Consequently, I look for this game to likely go over the posted total. The Over is 5-1 for the Chiefs as a small road favorite and the Over is 4-0-1 for the Seahawks following a straight up loss.
