Larry's Weekend Wipeout Winner-NFL (won 5 of L6 NFL weeks)
My Weekend Wipeout Winner is on the NY Giants at 1:00 ET. Weekend Wipeout Winner 15* NY Giants.
Good Luck...Larry
Larry Ness' Oddsmaker's Error-NFL Week 11 (4-1 or 80% run L6 weeks)
My Oddsmaker's Error is on the Bal Ravens at 1:00 ET. Oddsmaker's Error 15* Bal Ravens.
My Weekend Wipeout Winner is on the NY Giants at 1:00 ET. Weekend Wipeout Winner 15* NY Giants.
Good Luck...Larry
Larry Ness' Oddsmaker's Error-NFL Week 11 (4-1 or 80% run L6 weeks)
My Oddsmaker's Error is on the Bal Ravens at 1:00 ET. Oddsmaker's Error 15* Bal Ravens.
Last edited by a moderator:
Kelso
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15 UnitsColts (-1½) over Ravens
1:00 PM -- M&T Bank Stadium
Indianapolis Colts (9-0) -1 ½ over BALTIMORE RAVENS (5-4) Prediction: Indianapolis by 9-10 Starting Time: 1:00 TV: CBS, DirecTV 704 Comments: The Baltimore Ravens have one major weakness—the inability of its defense to stop the long passes thrown down the field and now it faces the master of this element of NFL football. Colts quarterback Peyton Manning has the ability to pick the Ravens to pieces and will nail the defense on every mistake it makes.
Mostly cloudy. Winds blowing from the Northeast at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 55.
5 UnitsNy Giants (-7) over Falcons
1:00 PM -- Giants Stadium
NEW YORK GIANTS (5-4) -7 over Atlanta Falcons (5-4) Prediction: New York by 13-14 Starting Time: 1:00 TV: FOX, DirecTV 711 Comments: The Giants come off a bye week, have almost everyone healthy for the first time in a month and have had excellent practices this week. Atlanta quarterback Matt Ryan is struggling and will find it tough sledding against a defensive that will bring it just as it did when the Giants opened 5-0. The figures and the circumstances say the real Giants will show up today. It will not help Atlanta that it will most likely be without running back Michael Turner (injury) who has averaged 9.1 yards per carry in his last three games. The absence of Turner will put even more pressure on Ryan—and that certainly is not a helpful situation.
Mostly cloudy. Winds blowing from the Northeast at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 55.
200 UnitsPatriots (-10½) over Ny Jets
4:15 PM -- Gillette Stadium
NFL Blowout Game Of The Year II 200 Units NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (6-3) -10 ½ over New York Jets (4-5) Prediction: New England by 27-28 Starting Time: 4:15 TV: CBS, DirecTV 715 Comments: The New England Patriots have everything working for them in this one. First of all, the stubbed their toe in that embarrassing 35-34 loss at Indianapolis last week and have a long history of bouncing back off losses such as that, raining fire and brimstone on their next opponent. Now factor into the equation, the fact the Jets beat the Patriots 16-9 in the second game of the season and the revenge factor is in play and New England Coach Bill Belichik has a long history of getting even. It also is important to note the Jets are really struggling with rookie quarterback Mark Sanchez. They opened the season 3-0 and have since gone 1-5. It all adds up to a long afternoon for New York as it takes on a New England team with better talent and a bad attitude.
Mostly cloudy. Winds blowing from the Northeast at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 50.
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15 UnitsColts (-1½) over Ravens
1:00 PM -- M&T Bank Stadium
Indianapolis Colts (9-0) -1 ½ over BALTIMORE RAVENS (5-4) Prediction: Indianapolis by 9-10 Starting Time: 1:00 TV: CBS, DirecTV 704 Comments: The Baltimore Ravens have one major weakness—the inability of its defense to stop the long passes thrown down the field and now it faces the master of this element of NFL football. Colts quarterback Peyton Manning has the ability to pick the Ravens to pieces and will nail the defense on every mistake it makes.
Mostly cloudy. Winds blowing from the Northeast at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 55.
5 UnitsNy Giants (-7) over Falcons
1:00 PM -- Giants Stadium
NEW YORK GIANTS (5-4) -7 over Atlanta Falcons (5-4) Prediction: New York by 13-14 Starting Time: 1:00 TV: FOX, DirecTV 711 Comments: The Giants come off a bye week, have almost everyone healthy for the first time in a month and have had excellent practices this week. Atlanta quarterback Matt Ryan is struggling and will find it tough sledding against a defensive that will bring it just as it did when the Giants opened 5-0. The figures and the circumstances say the real Giants will show up today. It will not help Atlanta that it will most likely be without running back Michael Turner (injury) who has averaged 9.1 yards per carry in his last three games. The absence of Turner will put even more pressure on Ryan—and that certainly is not a helpful situation.
Mostly cloudy. Winds blowing from the Northeast at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 55.
200 UnitsPatriots (-10½) over Ny Jets
4:15 PM -- Gillette Stadium
NFL Blowout Game Of The Year II 200 Units NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (6-3) -10 ½ over New York Jets (4-5) Prediction: New England by 27-28 Starting Time: 4:15 TV: CBS, DirecTV 715 Comments: The New England Patriots have everything working for them in this one. First of all, the stubbed their toe in that embarrassing 35-34 loss at Indianapolis last week and have a long history of bouncing back off losses such as that, raining fire and brimstone on their next opponent. Now factor into the equation, the fact the Jets beat the Patriots 16-9 in the second game of the season and the revenge factor is in play and New England Coach Bill Belichik has a long history of getting even. It also is important to note the Jets are really struggling with rookie quarterback Mark Sanchez. They opened the season 3-0 and have since gone 1-5. It all adds up to a long afternoon for New York as it takes on a New England team with better talent and a bad attitude.
Mostly cloudy. Winds blowing from the Northeast at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 50.
Deano's agent play
i'm going huge on this shit today.... got a good feeling. I dont know about you guys, but these lines this week are pretty fucked up
HRC Smart Choice* Your Best Bets Agent-November 22nd
Thank You for your Purchase!
Capper: Deano (Handicappers Paradise)
-=HIGH ROLLER CLUB AGENT ALERT=-
••DEANO'S SHARP ALERT••
(If Indicated)
*Figure In Juice*
=============================
(♦) = % of bankroll and/or Units Recomended
=============================
*******************************
Pick: GIANTS (PK) || BRONCOS (+12)-------------
Class: -=Methodical=-
B. Type: 7pt. Teaser
Amount: 30♦
Pick: LIONS (-2.5) || ----------------
Class: -=Methodical=-
B. Type: Straight
Amount: 10♦
*******************************
Estimate: +46♦
i'm going huge on this shit today.... got a good feeling. I dont know about you guys, but these lines this week are pretty fucked up
HRC Smart Choice* Your Best Bets Agent-November 22nd
Thank You for your Purchase!
Capper: Deano (Handicappers Paradise)
-=HIGH ROLLER CLUB AGENT ALERT=-
••DEANO'S SHARP ALERT••
(If Indicated)
*Figure In Juice*
=============================
(♦) = % of bankroll and/or Units Recomended
=============================
*******************************
Pick: GIANTS (PK) || BRONCOS (+12)-------------
Class: -=Methodical=-
B. Type: 7pt. Teaser
Amount: 30♦
Pick: LIONS (-2.5) || ----------------
Class: -=Methodical=-
B. Type: Straight
Amount: 10♦
*******************************
Estimate: +46♦
Kavitch aka Gamebreakers
Site says he had 2 winners last week but I didn't see anything posted. May have missed them.
1:00 PM
Tampa Bay
New Orleans
Spread Pick
Picked Tampa Bay with spread of +11 (-120)
100 units were wagered.
An ugly pick but the Saints are a double-digit favorite and qualify as a go-against under the strongest ATS system I track. The Saints will put up 24+ but with their injuries on defense I don't think it will be enough to cover. Freeman is giving the Tampa offense life and he has the advantage of home field. This is also a reverse line move spot, with 67% of all bets on the Saints (public money) but the line has gone DOWN from -11.5 to -10.5. Seen this movie before. To cap it off, the Saints have won their last 3 as double digit favorites as in the case here but are 0-3 vs the spread. With a game vs the Patriots next week, I'll hold my nose and back the Bucs for a 4* Play.
1:00 PM
Green Bay
San Francisco
Spread Pick
Picked San Francisco with spread of +6.5 (-108)
100 units were wagered.
I think SF is in a good spot to fight hard. They've played hard on the road (3-0-1 ATS) including a recent tight loss vs Indy. I think they have enough D to take advantage of GB's O-line issues and have the potential to pull an outright upset. GB beat the Cowboys but I'm not convinced, especially laying the big number. Take the 49ers for a 3* Play.
1:00 PM
Minnesota
Seattle
Spread Pick
Picked Seattle with spread of +10.5 (-113)
100 units were wagered.
A reverse line-move game with the public squarely on the Vikings. I like Seattle's potential to put up the cover with Hasselbeck playing very well recently. Seattle for a 3* play.
Site says he had 2 winners last week but I didn't see anything posted. May have missed them.
1:00 PM
Tampa Bay
New Orleans
Spread Pick
Picked Tampa Bay with spread of +11 (-120)
100 units were wagered.
An ugly pick but the Saints are a double-digit favorite and qualify as a go-against under the strongest ATS system I track. The Saints will put up 24+ but with their injuries on defense I don't think it will be enough to cover. Freeman is giving the Tampa offense life and he has the advantage of home field. This is also a reverse line move spot, with 67% of all bets on the Saints (public money) but the line has gone DOWN from -11.5 to -10.5. Seen this movie before. To cap it off, the Saints have won their last 3 as double digit favorites as in the case here but are 0-3 vs the spread. With a game vs the Patriots next week, I'll hold my nose and back the Bucs for a 4* Play.
1:00 PM
Green Bay
San Francisco
Spread Pick
Picked San Francisco with spread of +6.5 (-108)
100 units were wagered.
I think SF is in a good spot to fight hard. They've played hard on the road (3-0-1 ATS) including a recent tight loss vs Indy. I think they have enough D to take advantage of GB's O-line issues and have the potential to pull an outright upset. GB beat the Cowboys but I'm not convinced, especially laying the big number. Take the 49ers for a 3* Play.
1:00 PM
Minnesota
Seattle
Spread Pick
Picked Seattle with spread of +10.5 (-113)
100 units were wagered.
A reverse line-move game with the public squarely on the Vikings. I like Seattle's potential to put up the cover with Hasselbeck playing very well recently. Seattle for a 3* play.
KingMaker 11/22
411 PIT -10.0 (-110) BetUS vs 412 KAN
Analysis: The Pittsburgh Steelers -10 (-110) at BetUs, BookMaker, BetJam for 10-Stars
Top Play Material.
Aside from the loss of Troy P. at the Safety spot, the Steelers look pretty good going into this contest. I can assure you that the -10 on this game is based on a lot of bad luck on the Steelers end. The loss of Dwayne Bowe is the real killer for KC, and when you're looking to Chris Chambers to be your field stretcher, then you're playing with a weak hand.
When I say that the -10 is based on a lot of bad luck on the Steeler's end, just consider what Adam Schefter (at ESPN) mentions in this article:
He writes:
"Steelers coach Mike Tomlin must be seething over this: Pittsburgh has gone seven straight games allowing at least one type of return for a touchdown. Three have come off kickoff returns, such as the one Sunday against Cincinnati. Two have come off interceptions. Another has come off a fumbled punt. And another has come off a fumble return. It all is very un-Pittsburgh-like."
"In Pittsburgh's past two games, against Cincinnati and Denver, the‡ Steelers' defense has not allowed a touchdown. But the Steelers had a fumble returned against them for a touchdown and a kickoff returned against them for a touchdown."
Take it for what it's worth, but KC has an anemic pass rush and they have only 12 sacks. On top of this they aren't stellar in pass coverage, and THEY ALLOW 4.56 YARDS PER CARRY ON THE RUSH!
Does this look like a team that can really force fumbles or pick off Ben?
*KC has ZERO TDs on Kickoff Returns for a TD and Rank #15 in that department overall.
*KC has ZERO punt Returns for a TD and Rank #15 in that department overall.
*KC is #30 in Interceptions.
*KC has 12 sacks.
*KC is #16 in Fumble Recoveries (6 total), BUT THEY ONLY FORCED 5 OF THEM!
So does this look like a team that can DISRUPT Pittsburgh? Does it look like a team that Pittsburgh can take Vengeance on? I think does.
Kansas City has earned a lot of collateral in recent weeks, and Pitsburgh has dropped off the radar a bit, so we should expect such a small number (and 10 is small and it's smaller at 9.5). But let's face it. The Steelers are a pretty complete team. It's about time for them to take care of business, and I think we have a Road Favorite that will actually try to dismember the Home Dog.
I think this is 34-17 at the worst and maybe 38-10 in themost common assessments.
Pittsburgh CAN Run on this defense.
Pittsburgh will see less stress on that O-line on Sunday.
Pittsburgh's defense is still VERY dominant withoutTroy, and with Bowe OUT, then the fear of any Big plays is minimized.
We can get this wager, and it all boils down to simple execution.
There's no guessing here. Pittsburgh is 14 points better than KC on a bad day......
By the way: KC will try to stack the box on the Pitt Running game. And you guys know what Ben can do against a poor secondary that has to sacrifice a man to the pass rush.....the play action will KILL The Chiefs....look for a few BIG plays from Ben tomorrow....
Pittsburgh has a statement to make.....
411 PIT -10.0 (-110) BetUS vs 412 KAN
Analysis: The Pittsburgh Steelers -10 (-110) at BetUs, BookMaker, BetJam for 10-Stars
Top Play Material.
Aside from the loss of Troy P. at the Safety spot, the Steelers look pretty good going into this contest. I can assure you that the -10 on this game is based on a lot of bad luck on the Steelers end. The loss of Dwayne Bowe is the real killer for KC, and when you're looking to Chris Chambers to be your field stretcher, then you're playing with a weak hand.
When I say that the -10 is based on a lot of bad luck on the Steeler's end, just consider what Adam Schefter (at ESPN) mentions in this article:
He writes:
"Steelers coach Mike Tomlin must be seething over this: Pittsburgh has gone seven straight games allowing at least one type of return for a touchdown. Three have come off kickoff returns, such as the one Sunday against Cincinnati. Two have come off interceptions. Another has come off a fumbled punt. And another has come off a fumble return. It all is very un-Pittsburgh-like."
"In Pittsburgh's past two games, against Cincinnati and Denver, the‡ Steelers' defense has not allowed a touchdown. But the Steelers had a fumble returned against them for a touchdown and a kickoff returned against them for a touchdown."
Take it for what it's worth, but KC has an anemic pass rush and they have only 12 sacks. On top of this they aren't stellar in pass coverage, and THEY ALLOW 4.56 YARDS PER CARRY ON THE RUSH!
Does this look like a team that can really force fumbles or pick off Ben?
*KC has ZERO TDs on Kickoff Returns for a TD and Rank #15 in that department overall.
*KC has ZERO punt Returns for a TD and Rank #15 in that department overall.
*KC is #30 in Interceptions.
*KC has 12 sacks.
*KC is #16 in Fumble Recoveries (6 total), BUT THEY ONLY FORCED 5 OF THEM!
So does this look like a team that can DISRUPT Pittsburgh? Does it look like a team that Pittsburgh can take Vengeance on? I think does.
Kansas City has earned a lot of collateral in recent weeks, and Pitsburgh has dropped off the radar a bit, so we should expect such a small number (and 10 is small and it's smaller at 9.5). But let's face it. The Steelers are a pretty complete team. It's about time for them to take care of business, and I think we have a Road Favorite that will actually try to dismember the Home Dog.
I think this is 34-17 at the worst and maybe 38-10 in themost common assessments.
Pittsburgh CAN Run on this defense.
Pittsburgh will see less stress on that O-line on Sunday.
Pittsburgh's defense is still VERY dominant withoutTroy, and with Bowe OUT, then the fear of any Big plays is minimized.
We can get this wager, and it all boils down to simple execution.
There's no guessing here. Pittsburgh is 14 points better than KC on a bad day......
By the way: KC will try to stack the box on the Pitt Running game. And you guys know what Ben can do against a poor secondary that has to sacrifice a man to the pass rush.....the play action will KILL The Chiefs....look for a few BIG plays from Ben tomorrow....
Pittsburgh has a statement to make.....
Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
Cincinnati vs. Oakland
For a number of different reasons I look for the large home dog to do just enough to sneak away with the ATS victory with the large spread its been afforded:
After going 4-11-1 last season, Cincinnati (7-2) is in command atop the AFC North. We were on the Bengals last week when they beat Pittsburgh 18-12 last Sunday, however I look for them to play with a small amount of complacency in this one.
Cinncy will also be dealing with Cedric Benson on the sideline due to injury and the arrival of Larry Johnson to fill in.
Cincinnati has lost four straight and 13 of 14 road matchups with the Raiders (2-7), including two playoff defeats.
Playing on the road is, and always has been the "achilles heel" of this team; longterm the Bengals are 7-15 SU their last 22 away from friendly confines and just 1-4 ATS their last five in Oakland.
On the other side of the field: Good news; Jamarcus Russell will not be starting this game; whether it's Bruce Gradkowski or Charlie Frye manning the helm, I expect to see more production from either of them vs. Russell.
The Raiders have a decent defense which is the only thing keeping them in games at times.
Bottom line: Let's not kid ourselves, the Raiders are a horrible team that have had to deal with many on and off field issues. That being said, they always play tough at home and I look for the QB shakeup to generate some momentum; look for the RAIDERS to improve to 2-0 ATS as a home underdog of 7 1/2 to 10 points and for the Bengals to fall to 0-4 ATS as a favorite of 3 1/2 to 9 1/2 points! 8* RAIDERS.
Cincinnati vs. Oakland
For a number of different reasons I look for the large home dog to do just enough to sneak away with the ATS victory with the large spread its been afforded:
After going 4-11-1 last season, Cincinnati (7-2) is in command atop the AFC North. We were on the Bengals last week when they beat Pittsburgh 18-12 last Sunday, however I look for them to play with a small amount of complacency in this one.
Cinncy will also be dealing with Cedric Benson on the sideline due to injury and the arrival of Larry Johnson to fill in.
Cincinnati has lost four straight and 13 of 14 road matchups with the Raiders (2-7), including two playoff defeats.
Playing on the road is, and always has been the "achilles heel" of this team; longterm the Bengals are 7-15 SU their last 22 away from friendly confines and just 1-4 ATS their last five in Oakland.
On the other side of the field: Good news; Jamarcus Russell will not be starting this game; whether it's Bruce Gradkowski or Charlie Frye manning the helm, I expect to see more production from either of them vs. Russell.
The Raiders have a decent defense which is the only thing keeping them in games at times.
Bottom line: Let's not kid ourselves, the Raiders are a horrible team that have had to deal with many on and off field issues. That being said, they always play tough at home and I look for the QB shakeup to generate some momentum; look for the RAIDERS to improve to 2-0 ATS as a home underdog of 7 1/2 to 10 points and for the Bengals to fall to 0-4 ATS as a favorite of 3 1/2 to 9 1/2 points! 8* RAIDERS.
