[FONT="]Week #11 Selections[/FONT]
[FONT="]Top 10 Consensus Picks
Last week's Top 5 Consensus went 0-5[/FONT]
[FONT="]Team....# times picked[/FONT]
[FONT="]Baltimore (+7) 596[/FONT]
[FONT="]Miami (-2.5) 516[/FONT]
[FONT="]Tennessee (+3) 509[/FONT]
[FONT="]Minnesota (Pick) 499[/FONT]
[FONT="]Tampa Bay (+7.5) 434[/FONT]
[FONT="]Oakland (-5.5) 430[/FONT]
[FONT="]Seattle (-6.5) 412[/FONT]
[FONT="]Washington (-2.5) 405[/FONT]
[FONT="]Buffalo (+2.5) 394[/FONT]
[FONT="]Pittsburg (-8) 392[/FONT]
[FONT="]Top 10 Leaders...Picks.....Last week.....YTD.....%.....Points[/FONT]
[FONT="]1 1 [/FONT][FONT="]UNDERDOBS[/FONT][FONT="] IND JAC BAL LA PHI 3-2 33-16-1 67.3% 33.5[/FONT]
[FONT="]2 1 [/FONT][FONT="]RIPSAW[/FONT][FONT="] Loss CAR BUF LA GB HOU 2-3 32-15-3 68.1% 33.5[/FONT]
[FONT="]3 1 [/FONT][FONT="]MARK DAVIS[/FONT][FONT="] MIN BUF CLE LA WAS 4-1 32-15-3 68.1% 33.5[/FONT]
[FONT="]4 1 [/FONT][FONT="]JOHNNY VEGAS[/FONT][FONT="] IND MIN CIN BAL GB 4-1 33-16-1 67.3% 33.5[/FONT]
[FONT="]5 1 [/FONT][FONT="]JANKNATION[/FONT][FONT="] MIN BUF CLE LA WAS 4-1 32-15-3 68.1% 33.5[/FONT]
[FONT="]6 6 [/FONT][FONT="]skinknee.com[/FONT][FONT="] JAC DAL NE SEA OAK 2-3 32-16-2 66.7% 33[/FONT]
[FONT="]7 6 [/FONT][FONT="]morley the 15th[/FONT][FONT="] IND KC MIA GB OAK 4-1 32-16-2 66.7% 33[/FONT]
[FONT="]8 6 [/FONT][FONT="]Just Cover Baby![/FONT][FONT="] TEN TB BUF BAL OAK 4-1 32-16-2 66.7% 33[/FONT]
[FONT="]9 9 [/FONT][FONT="]WINNING ANGLE[/FONT][FONT="] Win NO IND JAC BAL LA 3-2 32-17-1 65.3% 32.5[/FONT]
[FONT="]10 9 [/FONT][FONT="]REDWINE[/FONT][FONT="] KC BUF DAL MIA SEA 1-4 32-17-1 65.3% 32.5[/FONT]
[FONT="]Top 10 Consensus Picks
Last week's Top 5 Consensus went 0-5[/FONT]
[FONT="]Team....# times picked[/FONT]
[FONT="]Baltimore (+7) 596[/FONT]
[FONT="]Miami (-2.5) 516[/FONT]
[FONT="]Tennessee (+3) 509[/FONT]
[FONT="]Minnesota (Pick) 499[/FONT]
[FONT="]Tampa Bay (+7.5) 434[/FONT]
[FONT="]Oakland (-5.5) 430[/FONT]
[FONT="]Seattle (-6.5) 412[/FONT]
[FONT="]Washington (-2.5) 405[/FONT]
[FONT="]Buffalo (+2.5) 394[/FONT]
[FONT="]Pittsburg (-8) 392[/FONT]
[FONT="]Top 10 Leaders...Picks.....Last week.....YTD.....%.....Points[/FONT]
[FONT="]1 1 [/FONT][FONT="]UNDERDOBS[/FONT][FONT="] IND JAC BAL LA PHI 3-2 33-16-1 67.3% 33.5[/FONT]
[FONT="]2 1 [/FONT][FONT="]RIPSAW[/FONT][FONT="] Loss CAR BUF LA GB HOU 2-3 32-15-3 68.1% 33.5[/FONT]
[FONT="]3 1 [/FONT][FONT="]MARK DAVIS[/FONT][FONT="] MIN BUF CLE LA WAS 4-1 32-15-3 68.1% 33.5[/FONT]
[FONT="]4 1 [/FONT][FONT="]JOHNNY VEGAS[/FONT][FONT="] IND MIN CIN BAL GB 4-1 33-16-1 67.3% 33.5[/FONT]
[FONT="]5 1 [/FONT][FONT="]JANKNATION[/FONT][FONT="] MIN BUF CLE LA WAS 4-1 32-15-3 68.1% 33.5[/FONT]
[FONT="]6 6 [/FONT][FONT="]skinknee.com[/FONT][FONT="] JAC DAL NE SEA OAK 2-3 32-16-2 66.7% 33[/FONT]
[FONT="]7 6 [/FONT][FONT="]morley the 15th[/FONT][FONT="] IND KC MIA GB OAK 4-1 32-16-2 66.7% 33[/FONT]
[FONT="]8 6 [/FONT][FONT="]Just Cover Baby![/FONT][FONT="] TEN TB BUF BAL OAK 4-1 32-16-2 66.7% 33[/FONT]
[FONT="]9 9 [/FONT][FONT="]WINNING ANGLE[/FONT][FONT="] Win NO IND JAC BAL LA 3-2 32-17-1 65.3% 32.5[/FONT]
[FONT="]10 9 [/FONT][FONT="]REDWINE[/FONT][FONT="] KC BUF DAL MIA SEA 1-4 32-17-1 65.3% 32.5[/FONT]
Joe Gavazzi
NFL STEAMROLLER OF THE WEEK
Buffalo Bills at Cincinnati Bengals (-2-) 1:00 ET
Seldom do I use an underdog in the role of STEAMROLLER. This one, however, is clearly warranted. The Bills thought highly of themselves following their 16-0 upset of New England and ensuing romps over outmanned LA and San Fran, when they totaled 505 overland yards in 2 games. But, what goes up in the NFL must come down! That is the position the Bills find themselves in today. When they were first on the wrong side of the revamped Miami ground game, returned home to be avenged by the Patriots, then flew to Seattle for a primetime game in which, despite outrushing Seattle 38/162 to 12/33, they were unable to secure the victory. With a 3-game losing streak and a 4-5 SU record, look for a rebirth by Buffalo today. It comes in the form of their overland dominance against a Cincinnati team, who got outrushed by the lowly Giants’ ground attack 122-78 in their 21-20 MNF loss. That drops the Bengals, a perennial playoff participant, to 3-5-1 SU, 2-7 ATS. In fact, since their 8-0 SU ATS start of last year, the Jungle Cats are 7-10-1 SU and 8-10 ATS. With a rushing defense that is allowing 117/4.4, it is grist for the running mill that is the Buffalo Bills, who will STEAMROLL them into submission at the line of scrimmage today.
NFL STEAMROLLER OF THE WEEK
Buffalo Bills at Cincinnati Bengals (-2-) 1:00 ET
Seldom do I use an underdog in the role of STEAMROLLER. This one, however, is clearly warranted. The Bills thought highly of themselves following their 16-0 upset of New England and ensuing romps over outmanned LA and San Fran, when they totaled 505 overland yards in 2 games. But, what goes up in the NFL must come down! That is the position the Bills find themselves in today. When they were first on the wrong side of the revamped Miami ground game, returned home to be avenged by the Patriots, then flew to Seattle for a primetime game in which, despite outrushing Seattle 38/162 to 12/33, they were unable to secure the victory. With a 3-game losing streak and a 4-5 SU record, look for a rebirth by Buffalo today. It comes in the form of their overland dominance against a Cincinnati team, who got outrushed by the lowly Giants’ ground attack 122-78 in their 21-20 MNF loss. That drops the Bengals, a perennial playoff participant, to 3-5-1 SU, 2-7 ATS. In fact, since their 8-0 SU ATS start of last year, the Jungle Cats are 7-10-1 SU and 8-10 ATS. With a rushing defense that is allowing 117/4.4, it is grist for the running mill that is the Buffalo Bills, who will STEAMROLL them into submission at the line of scrimmage today.
Joe Gavazzi
NFL UNDERDOG GAME OF THE WEEK
Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts (-3) 1:00 ET
There is nothing more important in sports betting than getting to the party on time. With the linemaker adjusting more quickly than ever, it is vital, that as a handicapper, we react quickly to changes in the fortunes of a team. When that happens to opposing teams in the same game, it is imperative that we take advantage. We are bucking a lot of history in making this underdog call. But, the reality of the performance of these teams is a long way from the public’s continued perception. The linemaker and public continue to perceive the Colts as being a team that looks to enjoy the same success as they did in the waning years of QB Manning and the outset of the career of QB Luck. It is so easy to fall into the trap that the Colts’ earlier victory of 34-26 at Tennessee is a sign that not much has changed between these teams. Nothing could be further from the truth. The history book says that, under QB Luck, the Colts are 18-4 SU in divisional play and have won 10 straight games against these Titans. They are also 9-2 ATS coming off their BYE week. That was at a time when the Colts had among the best line play in the league. Now, an aging roster has grown long in the tooth with a DL unable to provide much pressure on opposing QBs and an OL that is in shambles allowing Luck to be sacked 34 times this season. On the other sideline is a Tennessee team, whose past transgressions are etched in the mind of the public. There are bad historical numbers everywhere you look, including a run of 1-12 ATS when coming off a victory. That is their role this week, as they enter following a trouncing of a fading Green Bay team in which they outrushed the Packers 30/162 to 13/69 and profited from a (+3) net TO margin. But, if you think there is going to be a letdown off that win, then you underestimate the hunger of this team in this division rivalry as well as their great improvement. The Titans haven’t been to the playoff party in 7 years. At last, however, the defense has improved. Credit DC LeBeau (Pittsburgh), who brings the Titans in with a defense that is better across the board than the Colts, including 42 YPG. They also feature the superior offense across the board. Most particularly, consider their 30/146/4.9 running numbers as compared to the Colts’ 24/98/4.1. That running offense for the Titans is No. 3 in the league, trailing only Buffalo and Dallas. Each of these teams comes off an upset of Green Bay (the Colts prior to their BYE week) and each of these teams trails Houston for the division lead by 2 losses. Today, however, we know who the better team will be as they take the field. And, it is not the one perceived in the eyes of the linemaker and public. Reborn Titans’ offense has averaged 33 PPG L6G behind Mariota, who has a 17/3 ratio. Along with the better running game and defense, we will take the superior team as dog to break the stranglehold of the Colts in this series. Let’s hope we got to the party on time!
NFL UNDERDOG GAME OF THE WEEK
Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts (-3) 1:00 ET
There is nothing more important in sports betting than getting to the party on time. With the linemaker adjusting more quickly than ever, it is vital, that as a handicapper, we react quickly to changes in the fortunes of a team. When that happens to opposing teams in the same game, it is imperative that we take advantage. We are bucking a lot of history in making this underdog call. But, the reality of the performance of these teams is a long way from the public’s continued perception. The linemaker and public continue to perceive the Colts as being a team that looks to enjoy the same success as they did in the waning years of QB Manning and the outset of the career of QB Luck. It is so easy to fall into the trap that the Colts’ earlier victory of 34-26 at Tennessee is a sign that not much has changed between these teams. Nothing could be further from the truth. The history book says that, under QB Luck, the Colts are 18-4 SU in divisional play and have won 10 straight games against these Titans. They are also 9-2 ATS coming off their BYE week. That was at a time when the Colts had among the best line play in the league. Now, an aging roster has grown long in the tooth with a DL unable to provide much pressure on opposing QBs and an OL that is in shambles allowing Luck to be sacked 34 times this season. On the other sideline is a Tennessee team, whose past transgressions are etched in the mind of the public. There are bad historical numbers everywhere you look, including a run of 1-12 ATS when coming off a victory. That is their role this week, as they enter following a trouncing of a fading Green Bay team in which they outrushed the Packers 30/162 to 13/69 and profited from a (+3) net TO margin. But, if you think there is going to be a letdown off that win, then you underestimate the hunger of this team in this division rivalry as well as their great improvement. The Titans haven’t been to the playoff party in 7 years. At last, however, the defense has improved. Credit DC LeBeau (Pittsburgh), who brings the Titans in with a defense that is better across the board than the Colts, including 42 YPG. They also feature the superior offense across the board. Most particularly, consider their 30/146/4.9 running numbers as compared to the Colts’ 24/98/4.1. That running offense for the Titans is No. 3 in the league, trailing only Buffalo and Dallas. Each of these teams comes off an upset of Green Bay (the Colts prior to their BYE week) and each of these teams trails Houston for the division lead by 2 losses. Today, however, we know who the better team will be as they take the field. And, it is not the one perceived in the eyes of the linemaker and public. Reborn Titans’ offense has averaged 33 PPG L6G behind Mariota, who has a 17/3 ratio. Along with the better running game and defense, we will take the superior team as dog to break the stranglehold of the Colts in this series. Let’s hope we got to the party on time!
StatFox Super Situations
NBA*|*UTAH*at*DENVER
Play Under - Any team in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG differential.), after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games
67-31*over the last 5 seasons.**(*68.4%*|*32.9 units*)
0-1*this year.**(*0.0%*|*-1.1 units*)
NBA*|*PORTLAND*at*BROOKLYN
Play Against - Road teams vs. the money line (PORTLAND) after allowing 110 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games
52-22*over the last 5 seasons.**(*70.3%*|*28.1 units*)
5-3*this year.**(*62.5%*|*2.7 units*)
NBA*|*UTAH*at*DENVER
Play Against - Underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (UTAH) off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite
70-33*over the last 5 seasons.**(*68.0%*|*33.7 units*)
NBA*|*UTAH*at*DENVER
Play Under - Any team in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG differential.), after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games
67-31*over the last 5 seasons.**(*68.4%*|*32.9 units*)
0-1*this year.**(*0.0%*|*-1.1 units*)
NBA*|*PORTLAND*at*BROOKLYN
Play Against - Road teams vs. the money line (PORTLAND) after allowing 110 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games
52-22*over the last 5 seasons.**(*70.3%*|*28.1 units*)
5-3*this year.**(*62.5%*|*2.7 units*)
NBA*|*UTAH*at*DENVER
Play Against - Underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (UTAH) off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite
70-33*over the last 5 seasons.**(*68.0%*|*33.7 units*)
StatFox Super Situations
CBB*|*DAVIDSON*at*ARIZONA ST
Play Under - Neutral court teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 in November games
78-38*since 1997.**(*67.2%*|*36.2 units*)
2-0*this year.**(*100.0%*|*2.0 units*)
CBB*|*WAKE FOREST*at*COLL OF CHARLESTON
Play Against - A road team vs. the money line (WAKE FOREST) a very good team (>=+8 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3.5 PPG differential), after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games
114-109*since 1997.**(*51.1%*|*52.1 units*)
CBB*|*WAKE FOREST*at*COLL OF CHARLESTON
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 60.5 to 65.5 playing their 2nd game in 3 days, team that had a winning record last season playing a team that had a losing season
116-63*since 1997.**(*64.8%*|*46.7 units*)
1-0*this year.**(*100.0%*|*1.0 units*)
CBB*|*DAVIDSON*at*ARIZONA ST
Play Under - Neutral court teams where the total is greater than or equal to 160 in November games
78-38*since 1997.**(*67.2%*|*36.2 units*)
2-0*this year.**(*100.0%*|*2.0 units*)
CBB*|*WAKE FOREST*at*COLL OF CHARLESTON
Play Against - A road team vs. the money line (WAKE FOREST) a very good team (>=+8 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3.5 PPG differential), after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games
114-109*since 1997.**(*51.1%*|*52.1 units*)
CBB*|*WAKE FOREST*at*COLL OF CHARLESTON
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 60.5 to 65.5 playing their 2nd game in 3 days, team that had a winning record last season playing a team that had a losing season
116-63*since 1997.**(*64.8%*|*46.7 units*)
1-0*this year.**(*100.0%*|*1.0 units*)
StatFox Super Situations
CFL*|*EDMONTON*at*OTTAWA
Play Under - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 56 with a good rushing D - allowing 90 or less rushing yards/game
40-12*since 1997.**(*76.9%*|*26.8 units*)
7-2*this year.**(*77.8%*|*4.8 units*)
CFL*|*BRITISH COLUMBIA*at*CALGARY
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (CALGARY) after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread, a top-level team (>=75%) playing a team with a winning record
44-25*since 1997.**(*63.8%*|*0.0 units*)
1-0*this year.**(*100.0%*|*0.0 units*)
CFL*|*BRITISH COLUMBIA*at*CALGARY
Play On - Home favorites of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (CALGARY) after having won 3 out of their last 4 games, with a winning record on the season
36-12*over the last 5 seasons.**(*75.0%*|*22.8 units*)
3-3*this year.**(*50.0%*|*-0.3 units*)
CFL*|*EDMONTON*at*OTTAWA
Play Under - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 56 with a good rushing D - allowing 90 or less rushing yards/game
40-12*since 1997.**(*76.9%*|*26.8 units*)
7-2*this year.**(*77.8%*|*4.8 units*)
CFL*|*BRITISH COLUMBIA*at*CALGARY
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (CALGARY) after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread, a top-level team (>=75%) playing a team with a winning record
44-25*since 1997.**(*63.8%*|*0.0 units*)
1-0*this year.**(*100.0%*|*0.0 units*)
CFL*|*BRITISH COLUMBIA*at*CALGARY
Play On - Home favorites of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (CALGARY) after having won 3 out of their last 4 games, with a winning record on the season
36-12*over the last 5 seasons.**(*75.0%*|*22.8 units*)
3-3*this year.**(*50.0%*|*-0.3 units*)
StatFox Super Situations
NFL*|*GREEN BAY*at*WASHINGTON
Play Against - All teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WASHINGTON) off 2 or more consecutive overs, a good offensive team (23-27 PPG) against a poor defensive team (23-27 PPG)
46-18*since 1997.**(*71.9%*|*26.2 units*)
1-2*this year.**(*33.3%*|*-1.2 units*)
NFL*|*TENNESSEE*at*INDIANAPOLIS
Play Against - Any team vs the the 1rst half line (TENNESSEE) revenging a loss where opponent scored 28 or more points, off an upset win as a home underdog
29-8*over the last 10 seasons.**(*78.4%*|*20.2 units*)
NFL*|*NEW ENGLAND*at*SAN FRANCISCO
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (SAN FRANCISCO) after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games against opponent after covering the spread in 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games
197-90*since 1997.**(*68.6%*|*0.0 units*)
1-1*this year.**(*50.0%*|*0.0 units*)
NFL*|*BUFFALO*at*CINCINNATI
Play Against - All teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BUFFALO) off 2 or more consecutive overs, a good offensive team (23-27 PPG) against a poor defensive team (23-27 PPG)
46-18*since 1997.**(*71.9%*|*26.2 units*)
1-2*this year.**(*33.3%*|*-1.2 units*)
NFL*|*JACKSONVILLE*at*DETROIT
Play Against - Favorites of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (DETROIT) after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a terrible team (<=25%) after 8+ games
29-8*since 1997.**(*78.4%*|*20.2 units*)
NFL*|*GREEN BAY*at*WASHINGTON
Play Against - All teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WASHINGTON) off 2 or more consecutive overs, a good offensive team (23-27 PPG) against a poor defensive team (23-27 PPG)
46-18*since 1997.**(*71.9%*|*26.2 units*)
1-2*this year.**(*33.3%*|*-1.2 units*)
NFL*|*TENNESSEE*at*INDIANAPOLIS
Play Against - Any team vs the the 1rst half line (TENNESSEE) revenging a loss where opponent scored 28 or more points, off an upset win as a home underdog
29-8*over the last 10 seasons.**(*78.4%*|*20.2 units*)
NFL*|*NEW ENGLAND*at*SAN FRANCISCO
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (SAN FRANCISCO) after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games against opponent after covering the spread in 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games
197-90*since 1997.**(*68.6%*|*0.0 units*)
1-1*this year.**(*50.0%*|*0.0 units*)
NFL*|*BUFFALO*at*CINCINNATI
Play Against - All teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BUFFALO) off 2 or more consecutive overs, a good offensive team (23-27 PPG) against a poor defensive team (23-27 PPG)
46-18*since 1997.**(*71.9%*|*26.2 units*)
1-2*this year.**(*33.3%*|*-1.2 units*)
NFL*|*JACKSONVILLE*at*DETROIT
Play Against - Favorites of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (DETROIT) after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a terrible team (<=25%) after 8+ games
29-8*since 1997.**(*78.4%*|*20.2 units*)
Hondo
Fourth & long for Hondo
Hondo moved up a couple of rungs on the Bettor’s Guide ladder on the strength of his 7-6-1 record in Week 10, which put him in a fourth-place tie, 16 games behind whoever that guy is off in the horizon.
Before offering his selections, Mr. Aitch would like to salute Mark Cannizzaro, who showed some true grit by bouncing back from a disastrous 2-10-1 with a sparkling 4-9-1 last week. Hey, there’s no shame in being tied with Ms. Charleen, the perennial Women’s Division champ.
Giants over Bears: Suddenly, some Super Bowl chatter is beginning to emanate from the swamp. If that is to be treated with any degree of legitimacy, bullying the Bears should be no problem, especially with Cutler (two picks, two fumbles Sunday) looking long overdue for the scrap heap. It seems like an obvious give-and-go game — give the points, go to the bank.
Rumor has it the Giants are so confident they’re going to be hoisting the Lombardi Trophy on Feb. 5, they have bought up all the fireworks Hillary Clinton was going to use to celebrate her win over Donald Trump.
Colts over Titans: Trump already is succeeding where Obama failed, having created some shovel-ready jobs. Marked for burial are: Obamacare, all the Obama euphemisms for Islamic terrorism (“work-place violence,” violent extremism, etc.), the Iran nuclear deal, Hillary Clinton’s political career, the value of nuzzling with a devoted and loyal LapDog Media, the polls, and celebrity endorsements.
Lions over Jaguars: Obama made the last trip abroad of his presidency this week, traveling to Athens, Berlin and Lima. As could be expected, it was a sentimental journey, since it marked the last opportunity for him to apologize for America on foreign soil.
Chiefs over Buccaneers: The so-called Beaver Moon, which astronomers say appears 14 percent larger than a regular moon, made an appearance this week. President-elect Trump said it looked so big he felt he could reach up and grab it.
Vikings over Cardinals: Mayor de Blasio received an endorsement from the city’s sanitation workers this week, proving the adage: One man’s trash is another man’s treasure.
Bills over Bengals: The Oxford dictionary editors have named their word of the year, and the winner is … “post-truth,” which is defined as “referring to a time in which truth has become irrelevant.” A huge debt of gratitude is owed to those whose tireless and determined efforts have resulted in “post-truth” being recognized, including Hillary Clinton, Richard “Lyin’ Dick” Blumenthal, “Lyin’ Brian” Williams, “Lyin’ Ryan” Lochte, “Lyin’ Ryan” Braun, Lance Armstrong, Elizabeth Warren, A-Rod and Rachel Dolezal. Apologies to the omitted.
Speaking of words, rumor has it that members of the Russian rock band Pussy Riot are considering changing the name of the group to something far more offensive: Posse Riot.
Cowboys over Ravens: Tony Romo on Tuesday read his concession speech about losing the QB job to Dak Prescott. While he seemed sincere and gracious, sources say he used an old prisoner-of-war trick by blinking in Morse code the words: “This is total B.S. Why should I lose my job just because I got hurt? I hate you, Dak Prescott.”
Steelers over Browns: One point of advice for Steelers coach Mike Tomlin: Stop going for two points. Getting one instead of none, makes covering so much easier.
Dolphins over Rams: The U.S. Naval Women’s Glee Club sang the national anthem at last week’s Jets-Rams game. Still unclear at this point is whether greedy Roger Goodell charged the ladies to perform.
Patriots over 49ers: It sure looked like the Patriots could have used some help from All-Pro linebacker like Jamie Collins in their loss to the Seahawks. Maybe if the Hoodie had dialed back his arrogance just a whisker, instead of concluding it’s his schemes, not good players, that create all the success, they might have not only won, but covered a Mr. Aitch Best Bet.
From emailer BarkingMut, the HondoNation Correspondent from the swinging State of Florida: The biggest difference between the great Tom Brady and the loser Colin Kaepernick is that the latter will take a knee in disrespect during the national anthem before the game begins, while the former will take a knee in victory before the game ends.
Eagles over Seahawks: Some schools in the city are providing therapy dogs in an effort to help students cope with Hillary losing the election. No such special measure has been required at Stuyvesant High School, where the student body remained upbeat because administrators had the good sense to make every day “Slutty Wednesday” for the entire month.
Redskins over Packers: Robert De Niro, who said he wanted to punch Donald Trump in the face and now, post-election, said he is “depressed,” will be given the Presidential Medal of Freedom on Tuesday. Nothing exemplifies freedom quite like violent urges and acting all hurt when you don’t get what you want. Congrats, Bob!
Writes emailer John Colbert of Nevada: “All these anti-Trump demonstrators are a bunch of Soros-losers.”
Raiders over Texans: Monday night in Mexico City! Sing along if you know the words: Take me out to Trump’s wall game, take me to Mexico, buy me some nachos with pepper jack, I don’t care if I never get back, for it’s root, root, root for the Raiders, if they don’t cover it’s a shame, win by one, two, three TDs to cash, at the Trump wall game.
Best Bets: Giants, Steelers, Raiders
Thursday: Saints (W)
Fourth & long for Hondo
Hondo moved up a couple of rungs on the Bettor’s Guide ladder on the strength of his 7-6-1 record in Week 10, which put him in a fourth-place tie, 16 games behind whoever that guy is off in the horizon.
Before offering his selections, Mr. Aitch would like to salute Mark Cannizzaro, who showed some true grit by bouncing back from a disastrous 2-10-1 with a sparkling 4-9-1 last week. Hey, there’s no shame in being tied with Ms. Charleen, the perennial Women’s Division champ.
Giants over Bears: Suddenly, some Super Bowl chatter is beginning to emanate from the swamp. If that is to be treated with any degree of legitimacy, bullying the Bears should be no problem, especially with Cutler (two picks, two fumbles Sunday) looking long overdue for the scrap heap. It seems like an obvious give-and-go game — give the points, go to the bank.
Rumor has it the Giants are so confident they’re going to be hoisting the Lombardi Trophy on Feb. 5, they have bought up all the fireworks Hillary Clinton was going to use to celebrate her win over Donald Trump.
Colts over Titans: Trump already is succeeding where Obama failed, having created some shovel-ready jobs. Marked for burial are: Obamacare, all the Obama euphemisms for Islamic terrorism (“work-place violence,” violent extremism, etc.), the Iran nuclear deal, Hillary Clinton’s political career, the value of nuzzling with a devoted and loyal LapDog Media, the polls, and celebrity endorsements.
Lions over Jaguars: Obama made the last trip abroad of his presidency this week, traveling to Athens, Berlin and Lima. As could be expected, it was a sentimental journey, since it marked the last opportunity for him to apologize for America on foreign soil.
Chiefs over Buccaneers: The so-called Beaver Moon, which astronomers say appears 14 percent larger than a regular moon, made an appearance this week. President-elect Trump said it looked so big he felt he could reach up and grab it.
Vikings over Cardinals: Mayor de Blasio received an endorsement from the city’s sanitation workers this week, proving the adage: One man’s trash is another man’s treasure.
Bills over Bengals: The Oxford dictionary editors have named their word of the year, and the winner is … “post-truth,” which is defined as “referring to a time in which truth has become irrelevant.” A huge debt of gratitude is owed to those whose tireless and determined efforts have resulted in “post-truth” being recognized, including Hillary Clinton, Richard “Lyin’ Dick” Blumenthal, “Lyin’ Brian” Williams, “Lyin’ Ryan” Lochte, “Lyin’ Ryan” Braun, Lance Armstrong, Elizabeth Warren, A-Rod and Rachel Dolezal. Apologies to the omitted.
Speaking of words, rumor has it that members of the Russian rock band Pussy Riot are considering changing the name of the group to something far more offensive: Posse Riot.
Cowboys over Ravens: Tony Romo on Tuesday read his concession speech about losing the QB job to Dak Prescott. While he seemed sincere and gracious, sources say he used an old prisoner-of-war trick by blinking in Morse code the words: “This is total B.S. Why should I lose my job just because I got hurt? I hate you, Dak Prescott.”
Steelers over Browns: One point of advice for Steelers coach Mike Tomlin: Stop going for two points. Getting one instead of none, makes covering so much easier.
Dolphins over Rams: The U.S. Naval Women’s Glee Club sang the national anthem at last week’s Jets-Rams game. Still unclear at this point is whether greedy Roger Goodell charged the ladies to perform.
Patriots over 49ers: It sure looked like the Patriots could have used some help from All-Pro linebacker like Jamie Collins in their loss to the Seahawks. Maybe if the Hoodie had dialed back his arrogance just a whisker, instead of concluding it’s his schemes, not good players, that create all the success, they might have not only won, but covered a Mr. Aitch Best Bet.
From emailer BarkingMut, the HondoNation Correspondent from the swinging State of Florida: The biggest difference between the great Tom Brady and the loser Colin Kaepernick is that the latter will take a knee in disrespect during the national anthem before the game begins, while the former will take a knee in victory before the game ends.
Eagles over Seahawks: Some schools in the city are providing therapy dogs in an effort to help students cope with Hillary losing the election. No such special measure has been required at Stuyvesant High School, where the student body remained upbeat because administrators had the good sense to make every day “Slutty Wednesday” for the entire month.
Redskins over Packers: Robert De Niro, who said he wanted to punch Donald Trump in the face and now, post-election, said he is “depressed,” will be given the Presidential Medal of Freedom on Tuesday. Nothing exemplifies freedom quite like violent urges and acting all hurt when you don’t get what you want. Congrats, Bob!
Writes emailer John Colbert of Nevada: “All these anti-Trump demonstrators are a bunch of Soros-losers.”
Raiders over Texans: Monday night in Mexico City! Sing along if you know the words: Take me out to Trump’s wall game, take me to Mexico, buy me some nachos with pepper jack, I don’t care if I never get back, for it’s root, root, root for the Raiders, if they don’t cover it’s a shame, win by one, two, three TDs to cash, at the Trump wall game.
Best Bets: Giants, Steelers, Raiders
Thursday: Saints (W)
Las Vegas Pipeline
11/20/16
33-16 top play run, #1 CFB 36-12
NFL
20* PACKERS / REDSKINS OVER
Over is 5-1 in Packers last 6 games following a straight up loss.
Over is 4-1 in Packers last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 42-19-1 in Packers last 62 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 26-12 in Packers last 38 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Over is 7-0 in Redskins last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 7-0 in Redskins last 7 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 7-0 in Redskins last 7 home games.
Over is 10-1 in Redskins last 11 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 8-1 in Redskins last 9 vs. NFC.
Over is 13-3 in Redskins last 16 games on grass.
Over is 7-2 in Redskins last 9 games following a straight up win.
Over is 16-5 in Redskins last 21 games overall.
11/20/16
33-16 top play run, #1 CFB 36-12
NFL
20* PACKERS / REDSKINS OVER
Over is 5-1 in Packers last 6 games following a straight up loss.
Over is 4-1 in Packers last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 42-19-1 in Packers last 62 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 26-12 in Packers last 38 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Over is 7-0 in Redskins last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 7-0 in Redskins last 7 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 7-0 in Redskins last 7 home games.
Over is 10-1 in Redskins last 11 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 8-1 in Redskins last 9 vs. NFC.
Over is 13-3 in Redskins last 16 games on grass.
Over is 7-2 in Redskins last 9 games following a straight up win.
Over is 16-5 in Redskins last 21 games overall.
Hondo- NFL Bonus Plays
Wk1: 7-9 (-2.9 units) (1-2 Best Bets, -1.2 units)
Wk2: 9-7 (+1.3 units) (2-1 Best Bets, +0.9 units)
Wk3: 8-8 (-0.8 units) (1-2 Best Bets, -1.2 units)
Wk4: 6-9 (-3.9 units) (2-1 Best Bets, +0.9 units)
Wk5: 8-5-1 (+2.5 units) (2-1 Best Bets, +0.9 units)
Wk6: 5-8-2 (-3.8 units) (1-1-1 Best Bets, -0.1 units)
Wk7: 8-7 (+0.3 units) (2-0-1 Best Bets, +2 units)
Wk8: 6-6-1 (-0.6 units) (2-1 Best Bets, +0.9 units)
Wk9: 7-5-1 (+1.5 units) (1-1-1 Best Bets, -0.1 units)
Wk10: 7-6-1 (+0.4 units) (1-2 Best Bets, -1.2 units)
Total: 71-70-6 (-6.0 units) (15-12-3 Best Bets, +1.8 units)
Wk11:
(W) NO
NYG -7.5 (BB)
IND -3
DET -6.5
KC -7.5
MIN -2.5
BUF +2.5
DAL -7.5
PIT -7.5 (BB)
MIA -1
NE -13
PHI +6.5
WAS -3
OAK -6 (BB)
