Service Plays Sunday 11/15/09

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Nov 12, 2009

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Can'tPickaWinner2 · Nov 12, 2009

NFL DUNKEL

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 15

Game 215-216: Jacksonville at NY Jets
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 122.702; NY Jets 136.917
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 14; 37
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 6 1/2; 40
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (-6 1/2); Under

Game 217-218: Denver at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 129.088; Washington 128.181
Dunkel Line: Denver by 1; 34
Vegas Line: Denver by 4; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+4); Under

Game 219-220: Cincinnati at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 136.644; Pittsburgh 138.566
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 2; 44
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 7; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+7); Over

Game 221-222: Buffalo at Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 127.137; Tennessee 134.014
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 7; 36
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 6 1/2; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-6 1/2); Under

Game 223-224: Detroit at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 119.157; Minnesota 137.314
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 18; 44
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 16 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-16 1/2); Under

Game 225-226: New Orleans at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 146.020; St. Louis 120.261
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 25 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 13 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-13 1/2); Over

Game 227-228: Atlanta at Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 135.138; Carolina 128.428
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 6 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Atlanta by 1; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-1); Under

Game 229-230: Tampa Bay at Miami
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 127.335; Miami 135.643
Dunkel Line: Miami by 8 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: Miami by 10 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+10 1/2); Over

Game 231-232: Kansas City at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 127.034; Oakland 120.232
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 7; 33
Vegas Line: Oakland by 2; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+2); Under

Game 233-234: Seattle at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 125.105; Arizona 141.376
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 16 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: Arizona by 8 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick Arizona (-8 1/2); Under

Game 235-236: Philadelphia at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 137.920; San Diego 136.307
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: San Diego by 2 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+2 1/2); Over

Game 237-238: Dallas at Green Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 138.548; Green Bay 139.700
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 1; 44
Vegas Line: Dallas by 3; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (+3); Under

Game 239-240: New England at Indianapolis
Dunkel Ratings: New England 140.861; Indianapolis 146.460
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 5 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 3; 50
Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (-3); Over

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Nov 12, 2009

NFL LONG SHEET

Week 10

Sunday, November 15

JACKSONVILLE (4 - 4) at NY JETS (4 - 4) - 11/15/2009, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DENVER (6 - 1) at WASHINGTON (2 - 6) - 11/15/2009, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CINCINNATI (6 - 2) at PITTSBURGH (5 - 2) - 11/15/2009, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 4-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 4-1 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BUFFALO (3 - 5) at TENNESSEE (2 - 6) - 11/15/2009, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DETROIT (1 - 7) at MINNESOTA (7 - 1) - 11/15/2009, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 4-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (8 - 0) at ST LOUIS (1 - 7) - 11/15/2009, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 37-21 ATS (+13.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 73-105 ATS (-42.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games in dome games over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 20-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) in November games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 36-59 ATS (-28.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 1-0 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (5 - 3) at CAROLINA (3 - 5) - 11/15/2009, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 76-52 ATS (+18.8 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-2 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 3-2 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TAMPA BAY (1 - 7) at MIAMI (3 - 5) - 11/15/2009, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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KANSAS CITY (1 - 7) at OAKLAND (2 - 6) - 11/15/2009, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 27-53 ATS (-31.3 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
OAKLAND is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in a home game where the total is between 35.5 and 38 points since 1992.
OAKLAND is 17-34 ATS (-20.4 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
OAKLAND is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
OAKLAND is 23-52 ATS (-34.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
OAKLAND is 11-29 ATS (-20.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND is 3-2 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SEATTLE (3 - 5) at ARIZONA (5 - 3) - 11/15/2009, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 4-1 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 4-1 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (5 - 3) at SAN DIEGO (5 - 3) - 11/15/2009, 4:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DALLAS (6 - 2) at GREEN BAY (4 - 4) - 11/15/2009, 4:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 2-0 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 2-0 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ENGLAND (6 - 2) at INDIANAPOLIS (8 - 0) - 11/15/2009, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 71-44 ATS (+22.6 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 66-44 ATS (+17.6 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 55-33 ATS (+18.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-1 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-1 straight up against NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Nov 12, 2009

NFL SHORT SHEET

Week 10

Sunday, November 15

Byes: Houston, NY Giants

JACKSONVILLE at NY JETS, 1:00 PM ET
JACKSONVILLE: 11-0 Over after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games
NY JETS: 13-2 ATS at home off home loss

DENVER at WASHINGTON, 1:00 PM ET
DENVER: n/a
WASHINGTON: 0-8 ATS in non-conference games

CINCINNATI at PITTSBURGH, 1:00 PM ET
CINCINNATI: 1-6 ATS off 2 straight home wins
PITTSBURGH: n/a

BUFFALO at TENNESSEE, 1:00 PM ET
BUFFALO: 34-17 Under after allowing 30+ points
TENNESSEE: 11-24 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points

DETROIT at MINNESOTA, 1:00 PM ET
DETROIT: 15-5 Over in road games
MINNESOTA: 5-1 Over as a favorite

NEW ORLEANS at ST LOUIS, 1:00 PM ET
NEW ORLEANS: 8-1 ATS as road favorite
ST LOUIS: 5-14 ATS in home games

ATLANTA at CAROLINA, 1:00 PM ET
ATLANTA: 12-2 Under at Carolina
CAROLINA: 6-0 Under at home off road loss

TAMPA BAY at MIAMI, 1:00 PM ET
TAMPA BAY: 47-22 Under off double digit win
MIAMI: 0-6 ATS vs. NFC

KANSAS CITY at OAKLAND, 4:05 PM ET
KANSAS CITY: 13-4 ATS at Oakland
OAKLAND: 6-0 Under in November games

SEATTLE at ARIZONA, 4:15 PM ET
SEATTLE: 12-2 Over revenging loss by 21+ points
ARIZONA: 0-9 ATS as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points

PHILADELPHIA at SAN DIEGO, 4:15 PM ET
PHILADELPHIA: 7-1 ATS off division loss
SAN DIEGO: 1-6 ATS off BB Unders

DALLAS at GREEN BAY, 4:15 PM ET
DALLAS: 6-1 ATS vs. NFC
GREEN BAY: 22-8 Over vs. NFC

NEW ENGLAND at INDIANAPOLIS, 8:20 PM ET NBC
NEW ENGLAND: 71-44 ATS as an underdog
INDIANAPOLIS: 3-11 ATS at home vs. New England

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Nov 12, 2009

NFL ADDITIONAL

Week 10

Trend Report

Sunday, November 15

1:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. CAROLINA
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
Carolina is 7-14-4 ATS in its last 25 games when playing Atlanta
Carolina is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games when playing Atlanta

1:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. TENNESSEE
Buffalo is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 7 games on the road
Tennessee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Tennessee is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo

1:00 PM
CINCINNATI vs. PITTSBURGH
Cincinnati is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
Cincinnati is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Pittsburgh is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

1:00 PM
DENVER vs. WASHINGTON
Denver is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Denver is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Denver
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Denver

1:00 PM
DETROIT vs. MINNESOTA
Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Minnesota's last 15 games when playing at home against Detroit

1:00 PM
JACKSONVILLE vs. NY JETS
Jacksonville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Jacksonville is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
NY Jets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
NY Jets are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing Jacksonville

1:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. ST. LOUIS
New Orleans is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
New Orleans is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
St. Louis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

1:00 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. MIAMI
Tampa Bay is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing Miami
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Miami is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games

4:00 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. OAKLAND
Kansas City is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
Kansas City is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games on the road
Oakland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Oakland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City

4:05 PM
SEATTLE vs. ARIZONA
Seattle is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Seattle is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
Arizona is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Seattle

4:15 PM
DALLAS vs. GREEN BAY
Dallas is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Dallas is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games on the road
Green Bay is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Dallas
Green Bay is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games when playing Dallas

4:15 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. SAN DIEGO
Philadelphia is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 games on the road
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
San Diego is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
San Diego is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games

8:20 PM
NEW ENGLAND vs. INDIANAPOLIS
New England is 15-2-1 ATS in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 6 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
Indianapolis is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games at home
Indianapolis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

WINNERS_ONLY · Nov 12, 2009

REPORT FROM VIC MONTE SPORTS
TOP 15 NFL HANDICAPPERS
AS OF 11/12/09
#1 MILLIONAIRE CLUB (NFL 8-2~ 80%)
#2 LATE INFO (NFL 7-2 ~ 78% - 49-26 Since start of '06)
#3 TRU-LINE (NFL 12-5 ~ 71%)
#4 LVSS (NFL 19-8 ~ 70%)
#5 MVP POWERLOCKS (NFL 6-3 ~ 67%)
#6 SPORTS UNLIMITED (NFL 17-9 ~ 65%)
#7 THE UNKNOWN (NFL 26-15 ~ 63%)
#8 COBRA (NFL 12-7 ~ 63%)
#9 VEGAS CONNECTION (NFL 13-8 ~ 62%)
#10 WORLD WAGER (NFL 10-6 ~ 62%)
#11 THE SPORTS GURU (NFL 15-7 ~ 62%)
#12 STAN SHARP (NFL 17-11 ~ 61%)
#13 POINTWISE (NFL 36-24 ~ 60%)
#14 SCORE (NFL 19-13 ~ 59%)
#15 WINDY CITY SPORTS (NFL 15-11 ~ 58%)

KINGOFNEWYORK · Nov 13, 2009

IC Football

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8 Unit Play. #228. NFL Game of the Year. Take the Carolina Panthers +1 over the Atlanta Falcons (Sunday @ 1pm est). Well, this game has everything we are looking for. For starters, I was on the Panthers last week when they covered the spread against the New Orleans Saints. Heck, they nearly won that game Outright. Yes, they lost by double-digits but they easily covered the spread and this team once again was winning outright at half. These two teams have met earlier this year. And, the Falcons defeated Carolina by a score of 20-28. It was interesting when that line was originally set back on 9/20/09 as Atlanta was favored by six points and they barely covered winning by eight. Now, that over 75% of the public is on the Falcons on the road here, Carolina is placed as +1 dog. In fact, the line opened up at Carolina as a +2.5 dog and it has slowly come down despite 75% of the public riding the Falcons. Let me phrase it another way. With over three-fourths of the public on the visiting Falcons, the line has gone 1.5 points the other way for the Panthers who are at home and only 25% of the public is on them. That's a lot of smart money folks. The Panthers have revenge. The Panthers are at home. The Panthers are playing better. This is a division game and a must win game for Carolina. Note, the Panthers come off a loss and the Falcons come off a nice win at Carolina. Carolina will absolutely be rocking for this game as the Panthers are playing much better defeating the likes of Arizona on the road outright as a double-digit dog - heck, they won that game by double-digits as they covered that game by a ridiculous 23 points. Now, I am a Falcons fan. But, I am more interesting in making my clients money. I have not lost an NFL Game of the Year in my life and I don't plan on losing it today. Let's roll with the Panthers who are playing much better right now as they face my Falcons at home. The Falcons are just 1-3 on the road although they are a highly talented team, as I believe this is just a bad spot for them. Remember, all we need is Carolina to win here as even a field goal gets the job done for us. Panthers have covered back to back games and the last three of four, they likely cover three straight and four of five after this contest........................
4 Unit Play. #222. Take Tennessee Titans-6.5 over the Buffalo Bills (Sunday @ 1pm est). In Vince I trust. This team is playing with confidence once again as they are 2-6. It seems with Kerry they were going through the motions. Now, with Vince, they come off a huge win over the Niners on the road. It truly showed that this team was is coming back and their win last week was legit. With the Bills getting back Edwards and it will likely take him some time to get back in form, plus with the fact they are banged up quite a bit, and the Titans beginning to get on a roll here, I like the Titans here to cover the touchdown spread. The Titans could very well go 3-6 if they can pull this game off and who knows, as the season progresses on, they very well could finish 8-8 or possibly even 9-7 if the season works out how they need it to work out. I'm not the one to ride with the public here but I don't mind doing it as I think this team is about to get on a run and I want to be on the bandwagon for it. The Titans are indeed 2-0 ATS with Vince as the quarterback this year and I believe they have a good shot at going 3-0 ATS with Vince behind the wheel after this week. The Titans have put up 64 points in the last two weeks and they have a decent shot at covering the -6.5 here. ...................................................4 Unit Play. #233. Take Seattle Seahawks +9 over the Arizona Cardinals (Sunday @ 4:15pm est). I talked about this on my video a bit but long story short, the Seahawks have revenge in this divisional game today. This team was embarrassed by Arizona at home earlier this year in front of their fans. Arizona comes off a big win over the Bears and I think it will be tough for them to get up for this game. More than likely, they will get up for the second half and lollygag a bit in the first half. The Seahawks are still a prideful team and they come off a nice second half against the Lions and I can see Matt H. leading his troops here to play well in Arizona. The line has been coming down steadily in favor of Seattle despite the public being on Arizona as well. Again, division game and revenge can go along way similar to the Panthers game which is our NFL Goy this week. The Cardinals are 4-9 ATS as a favorite by this margin and 7-15 ATS ATS as a home favorite by this margin in their last 22 games.
Good luck,

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Nov 13, 2009

dover picks

saints -13 5 units

denver -3 2 units

atl -1 1 unit

nyj - 6 1 unit

det/min over 47 1 unit

cin/pitt under 42 1 unit

ne/indy under 50 2 units

ats ytd 19-11 plus 11 units

totals ytd 10-7 plus 6 units

saminsocal · Nov 13, 2009

norm hitzges 1310 DFW The Ticket

Norm might be staging a comeback...

He went 10-5 and 6-3 in football last week (16-8 college/pro combined). Unfortunately we's still one game under .500 in pro and so far down in college it's laughable.

Double Plays

Dallas -3 vs Green Bay
Minnesota -10 vs Tampa Bay
New England +3 vs Indianapolis
NY Jets -7 vs Jacksonville
KC/Oakland Under 36.5
Baltimore -10.5 vs Cleveland

Single Plays

Kansas City +1.5 vs Oakland
Tennessee +6.5 vs Buffalo
Detroit +17 vs Minnesota
Carolina +1.5 vs Atlanta
Denver/Washington Under 37
Cincinnati/Pittsburgh Over 41.5
Dallas/Green Bay Over 47.5

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Nov 13, 2009

Wunderdog

Game: New Orleans at St. Louis (Sunday 11/15 1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 50 -110

The Cardinals have won just three football games in their last 28 tries. For that they can primarily blame their offense which is amongst the worst in NFL history over that period. The Rams offense has accounted for seven touchdowns in eight games on the season, and they have one INT returned for a TD. They rank dead last in the NFL, scoring just one of those seven offensive TDs from inside the 10-yard line. Overall the Rams average less than 10 points per game. It is very rare to see a total set in a game at or around the 50-point mark with just one offensive team in the game. The Saints offense is certainly powerful, but to put this one over the total it is likely they will have to push the 40-point mark. The Rams have played in just seven games in the last three years where a game total exceeded 50 points, discounting week 17 when mostly reserves play. The Rams defense isn't great, but they have only allowed 40 points or more in a game six times in their last 66 games (9% of the time). If and when the Saints open a big lead, they will eventually turn to the running game to milk the clock, and they may even rest starters late in this one. Yes, the Saints have put up 30+ points in each of their last four games. But, under Sean Payton, they are a perfect 6-0 UNDER follwoing 3+ straight games scoring 25 or more. I like this one to go UNDER the total.

FGators · Nov 13, 2009

Al DeMarco on NY Daily News Live

New York Jets (-7) over Jacksonville Jaguars
Cincinnati Bengals (+7) over Pittsburgh
Atlanta Falcons (-1.5) over Carolina Panthers
Dallas Cowboys (-3) over Green Bay Packers
Miami Dolphins (-10) over Tampa Bay Buccaneers

dice711 · Nov 14, 2009

Sharp Football Analysis

Det/Min Under 47.5
Atl/Car Under 44.5
Sea/Ari Under 47

mikejersey25 · Nov 14, 2009

Re: Ace-Ace (Exbookie) thread week 10
$300.00 Take #216 New York Jets (-7) over Jacksonville (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 15)
The Jets are reinvigorated after a bye week. And Jacksonville is 4-4 but I don’t think that they are as good as their record would indicate. The Jags are just 1-3 on the road this year and they lost their last two road games by a combined score of 71-13. I think Mark Sanchez will come out sharp after a bye week. And this Jets defense is going to be the best one that Jacksonville has seen since mid-September when they went to Arizona. Jets win big.

$400.00 Take #220 Pittsburgh (-7) over Cincinnati (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 15)
The Steelers have revenge in this one. Cincinnati won a big game over Baltimore last weekend and I think that this might be a bit of a letdown spot. Everyone is quickly flocking to their bandwagon. But even though the Bengals are getting a lot of respect in the media this week this line is still a touchdown. That says something to me. The public is on Cincinnati with about 62 percent of the action even though Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings and they were up big in the first game. I like the Steelers to keep rolling.

$2000.00 Take #217 Denver (-3.5) over Washington (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 15)
Washington is a team that is a mess right now. They keep getting blown out and Jason Campbell is not the answer at quarterback. If it weren’t for close wins over Tampa Bay and St. Louis the Redskins wouldn’t have a win so far this year. I will continue to bet against them until Dan Snyder finally makes a good move and fires Jim Zorn!

$400.00 Take #235 Philadelphia (+2) over San Diego (4 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 15)
This is a really close matchup but I think that Philadelphia is going to win outright. The Chargers have not been good when laying points and are just 4-9 ATS as a favorite. San Diego has won three straight games but they barely beat the Giants and other than that they only beat Oakland and Kansas City. Against other good teams like Denver, Pittsburgh and Baltimore the Chargers are 0-3 SU and ATS. I think that the Eagles are in the same class as those other teams and that they get a much-needed victory after a poor effort last Sunday night.

$2400.00 Take #239 New England (+3) over Indianapolis (8 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 15)
This is my Game of the Week and it is part of the “99 System”. I love the Patriots here to continue to dominate Peyton Manning. The Colts are undefeated but they have been getting some wins by the skin of their teeth. I think that they are running out of steam. And I think that we have a big edge here in coaching with Bill Belichick going up against Jim Caldwell. I think that the Patriots will have some new wrinkles that Caldwell isn’t expecting. New England is 5-2 ATS as an underdog and the Colts are just 4-10 ATS at home. The Patriots are also 8-3 ATS when going to Indy. Look for yet another one of our dogs to win straight up here!

$200.00 Take #237 Dallas (-3) over Green Bay (4 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 15)
The Cowboys have blown out the Packers in each of the past two seasons and now the Packers are playing some of their worst football in that time. Green Bay lost to Tampa Bay last week! They are not a good team and the public is still slow to believe it. But Aaron Rodgers is no Brett Favre and this defense is wearing down. The Cowboys only have close losses to the Giants and Broncos this season and they might be better than people think. The favorite is 7-1 ATS in the last eight matchups and the Cowboys are 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings.

best to all

Ace-Ace

newty81 · Nov 14, 2009

Larry Ness' 26* (2ND TY!) is NY Jets - 7

Reason: <link rel="File-List" href="file:///C:%5CUsers%5CSCOTT%7E1.SCO%5CAppData%5CLocal%5CTemp%5Cmsohtmlclip1%5C01%5Cclip_filelist.xml"><link rel="themeData" href="file:///C:%5CUsers%5CSCOTT%7E1.SCO%5CAppData%5CLocal%5CTemp%5Cmsohtmlclip1%5C01%5Cclip_themedata.thmx"><link rel="colorSchemeMapping" href="file:///C:%5CUsers%5CSCOTT%7E1.SCO%5CAppData%5CLocal%5CTemp%5Cmsohtmlclip1%5C01%5Cclip_colorschememapping.xml"><!--[if gte mso 9]><xml> <w:WordDocument> <w:View>Normal</w:View> <w:Zoom>0</w:Zoom> <w:TrackMoves/> <w:TrackFormatting/> <w

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oNotPromoteQF/> <w:LidThemeOther>EN-US</w:LidThemeOther> <w:LidThemeAsian>X-NONE</w:LidThemeAsian> <w:LidThemeComplexScript>X-NONE</w:LidThemeComplexScript> <w:Compatibility> <w:BreakWrappedTables/> <w:SnapToGridInCell/> <w:WrapTextWithPunct/> <w:UseAsianBreakRules/> <w

ontGrowAutofit/> <w:SplitPgBreakAndParaMark/> <w

ontVertAlignCellWithSp/> <w

ontBreakConstrainedForcedTables/> <w

ontVertAlignInTxbx/> <w:Word11KerningPairs/> <w:CachedColBalance/> </w:Compatibility> <m:mathPr> <m:mathFont m:val="Cambria Math"/> <m:brkBin m:val="before"/> <m:brkBinSub m:val="--"/> <m:smallFrac m:val="off"/> <m:dispDef/> <m:lMargin m:val="0"/> <m:rMargin m:val="0"/> <m:defJc m:val="centerGroup"/> <m:wrapIndent m:val="1440"/> <m:intLim m:val="subSup"/> <m:naryLim m:val="undOvr"/> </m:mathPr></w:WordDocument> </xml><![endif]--><style>  </style>[FONT=&quot]The Jags and Jets are both 4-4. They both run the ball well and neither team is sure what to expect from their respective QBs. Jones-Drew has 737 yards rushing (5.1 YPC) and a league-high 11 TDs, despite rushing for only 48 yards in Weeks 4 and 5. While he's impressive, he'll face a Jets rush D which is solid, allowing 108.1 YPG (4.0 YPC). While€ Jones-Drew is a 'force,' the Jets own the NFL's top rushing offense, averaging 177.6 YPG (4.8 YPC), which is almost 40 YPG more than the Jags rush for. Also, Jones and now Greene (with Washington out) will run against a Jacksonville rush D which has allowed 119.8 YPG (4.3) but more importantly, was "blown away" in its last two road games (more on that later). Getting to the pass defenses, the Jags are awful defending the pass, allowing 68.6 percent completions 15 TDs and have just five INTs (100.2 opposing QB rating is third-worst in the NFL). Jax head coach Jack Del Rio switched to a 4-3 defense against the Chiefs after the 3-4 proved to be ineffective (an MAJOR understaement). The unit, which was called "insulting, ugly and embarrassing" by Del Rio after a 30-13 loss at Tennessee on November 1, turned in its best performance of the season against Kansas City, allowing 301 yards (only 60 on the ground) while recording three sacks. Bottom line is this, Jacksonville's eight sacks are the fewest in the NFL and I'll get to this defense's performance in its last two road games, shortly. As for the Jets, they are allowing only 54.1 percent completions (2nd-best in the league) and 165 YPG (also No. 2) with only five TDs and seven INTs. Let's look at Sanchez, who had a 4-1 ratio and became the first QB to ever win his first three starts. He had awful games vs the Saints (138 yards and three INTs) and Bills (119 yards and five INTs) but has bounced back with two solid efforts, since. He was a modest 9-of-16 with 143 yards (one TD / 0 INTs) in New York's 38-0 win pover the Raiders and then 20-of-35 for 265 yards (2 TDs / 0 INTs) in that Week 8 loss to Miami (107.0 QB rating vs Oak and 100.3 vs Mia). Garrard has just six TD passes all season (three vs Tenn in Week 4) and five INTs but in his last four games, has one TD pass and four INTs. Let's look at those last four games. The Jags have lost 41-0 at Seattle and 30-13 at Tennessee, while beating the Rams 23-20 in OT and the Chiefs 24-21 (both at home). The Rams and Chiefs are both 1-7, so should we make a big deal out of three-point wins? Seattle and Tennessee are a combined 5-11 and look what the Jax D allowed. Hasselbeck and Young completed 33-of-48 passes (68.8%), while the Seahawks and Titans ran for 448 yards (5.0 YPC). Think the Jets No. 1 rushing attack will like what they see on film? Why can't Sanchez, with Cotchery finally healthy and Edwards seemingly happy (he's talking about staying with the Jets), do to the Jags' pass D what Hasslebeck and Young did? Go back again and take a close look at the Jags' last four games. Two, three-point wins over the Rams and Chiefs (at home!) plus just AWFUL efforts at Seattle and Tennessee. The last time we saw the Jets, they outgained the Dolphins 378-to-104 in yards but lost 30-25 because Ginn returned kicks of 100 and 101 for TDs while Taylor returned a fumble 48 yards for another. The Jets got last week off and a quick look at the NFL record book shows that the Jets are 7-2 SU and ATS off their bye week this decade. Both teams may be 4-4 but there is MUCH more than a TD difference between these two teams this Sunday.

Play is paid and confirmed by me. GL!
[/FONT]

liger420 · Nov 14, 2009

Budin

25 DIME NFL SELECTION

AFC South Lock of the Year

Cincinnati

dice711 · Nov 14, 2009

dice711 said:
Sharp Football Analysis

Det/Min Under 47.5
Atl/Car Under 44.5
Sea/Ari Under 47

added...

NE/IND Under 50

Den -3
NO -13.5

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Nov 14, 2009

Tuley the Tout

NFL FOOTBALL (42-28 this season for a net profit of 11.3 units)
Jaguars +7 vs. Jets...both teams 4-4, 7-point difference? I don't think so, grab before 7 disappears
*Bengals +7 vs. Steelers...we got the +7, the M is still 7.5 but think others won't go there
Lions +17 vs. Vikings...line too inflated, just have to decide if Lions have the heart not to fold in 2nd half again, grab 17 ASAP
*Buccaneers +10 vs. Dolphins...we also got the number we wanted here so don't get stuck with 9.5
Chiefs +2 vs. Raiders...Oakland won first meeting in KC...not sure if I'll keep this as official play
Packers +3 vs. Cowboys...GB caught napping by TB, bounce back here, though leery of improving Cowboys
*Patriots +3 -120 vs. Colts...not sure we'll get better price, certainly prefer to +2.5

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Nov 14, 2009

Teddy Covers

11/15/09 NFL 20* Big Ticket: Buffalo +7.5 (221)

11/15/09 NFL Denver -3.5 (217)
11/15/09 NFL Cincinnati +7 (219)
11/15/09 NFL Carolina Over 43.5 -110 (228

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Nov 14, 2009

pointwise phones

3* jets, new orleans, detroit, kc

2* miami, cincy, under in kc/oak (36 1/2)

1* clev (monday)

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Nov 14, 2009

Against the Spread Radio Show

Victor King - Colts/Patriots UNDER
Dave Tuley - Bengals +7
Tom Freese - Miami Dolphins

Service Plays Sunday 11/15/09

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