Service Plays Sunday 10/4/15

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Top NFL Public Bets

#1 257 Carolina Panthers 83%
#2 274 Arizona Cardinals 83%
#3 269 Green Bay Packers 81%
#4 263 Philadelphia Eagles 74%
#5 261 Oakland Raiders 73%
#6 256 Atlanta Falcons 70%
#7 278 Seattle Seahawks 70%
#8 251 New York Jets 68%
#9 254 Indianapolis Colts 63%
#10 272 Denver Broncos 63%
 

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NFL

Norm Hitxges DOUBLE PLAYS:

  • NY Giants + 5 1/2 Buffalo

SINGLE PLAYS:

  • Miami +1 1/2 NY Jets
  • Denver -6 1/2 Minnesota
  • Arizona - 7 St. Louis
  • Washington +3 Philly
  • Carolina--Tampa Bay UNDER 40
 

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Scott Spreitzer Knockout Shocker of the Month


I’m taking the points with the Houston Texans on Sunday. We played the Falcons in week one and cashed when they held on against the Eagles. I like the hiring of Dan Quinn. But I’m not sold on the Falcons just yet, especially as a favorite of this many points after playing as an underdog in their first three games. ATL held on by the skin of their teeth against the Eagles. They escaped in week two, thanks to idiotic mistakes made by the NY Giants. And last weekend, the Falcons had the luxury of playing a Dallas Cowboys’ team with Brandon Weeden at QB. So yes, give them credit for their 3-0 start, but let’s keep it in perspective…it’s a precarious 3-0. Julio Jones is expected to play, but he isn’t 100%, suffering from a hamstring injury. Meanwhile, the Falcons defense is still in the bottom-third in total yards allowed per game and in yards allowed passing per contest. The Texans aren’t elite in their offensive numbers, but they’re solid, ranked in the upper half in the league in both running the football and the passing game. And while we aren’t counting on it, RB Arian Foster may get a shot this week, listed as questionable at the time of this post. Again, this is a play whether Foster plays or not. We should note the Texans are also in the top half in the league in yards passing allowed. Atlanta enters on a 1-14 ATS slide at home following three straight covers and I’ll go against them again. I’m taking the points with the Houston Texans, my Knockout release. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
 

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Scott Spreitzer Knockout Shocker of the Month


I’m taking the points with the Houston Texans on Sunday. We played the Falcons in week one and cashed when they held on against the Eagles. I like the hiring of Dan Quinn. But I’m not sold on the Falcons just yet, especially as a favorite of this many points after playing as an underdog in their first three games. ATL held on by the skin of their teeth against the Eagles. They escaped in week two, thanks to idiotic mistakes made by the NY Giants. And last weekend, the Falcons had the luxury of playing a Dallas Cowboys’ team with Brandon Weeden at QB. So yes, give them credit for their 3-0 start, but let’s keep it in perspective…it’s a precarious 3-0. Julio Jones is expected to play, but he isn’t 100%, suffering from a hamstring injury. Meanwhile, the Falcons defense is still in the bottom-third in total yards allowed per game and in yards allowed passing per contest. The Texans aren’t elite in their offensive numbers, but they’re solid, ranked in the upper half in the league in both running the football and the passing game. And while we aren’t counting on it, RB Arian Foster may get a shot this week, listed as questionable at the time of this post. Again, this is a play whether Foster plays or not. We should note the Texans are also in the top half in the league in yards passing allowed. Atlanta enters on a 1-14 ATS slide at home following three straight covers and I’ll go against them again. I’m taking the points with the Houston Texans, my Knockout release. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
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NY Football Giants
 
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StatFox Super Situations

WNBA | INDIANA at MINNESOTA
Play Under - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 off a road win against a division rival, well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days
53-23 since 1997. ( 69.7% | 27.7 units )
6-4 this year. ( 60.0% | 1.6 units )

WNBA | INDIANA at MINNESOTA
Play Against - Underdogs vs the money line (INDIANA) poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of >=44% on the season, hot shooting team - 3 straight games making >=42% of their shots
106-25 since 1997. ( 80.9% | 0.0 units )
7-3 this year. ( 70.0% | 0.0 units )

WNBA | INDIANA at MINNESOTA
Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is between 65.5 and 70.5 points after having covered 2 of their last 3 against the spread
320-201 since 1997. ( 61.4% | 98.9 units )
18-17 this year. ( 51.4% | -0.7 units )
 
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StatFox Super Situations

NFL | GREEN BAY at SAN FRANCISCO
Play On - Home underdogs or pick (SAN FRANCISCO) poor offensive team - scoring 17 or less points/game, after allowing 40 points or more last game
49-20 since 1997. ( 71.0% | 27.0 units )

NFL | KANSAS CITY at CINCINNATI
Play On - Home favorites of -160 to -475 vs. the money line (CINCINNATI) after allowing 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent after a loss by 10 or more points
43-6 over the last 10 seasons. ( 87.8% | 0.0 units )

NFL | GREEN BAY at SAN FRANCISCO
Play On - Favorites of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (GREEN BAY) after allowing 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored
139-78 since 1997. ( 64.1% | 53.2 units )

NFL | KANSAS CITY at CINCINNATI
Play On - Favorites of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (CINCINNATI) after allowing 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored
139-78 since 1997. ( 64.1% | 53.2 units )
 
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StatFox Super Situations

MLB | NY YANKEES at BALTIMORE
Play On - Any team (NY YANKEES) average offensive team (4.7 to 5.2 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA=4.70 to 5.70)-AL, cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games
173-101 since 1997. ( 63.1% | 61.9 units )
3-2 this year. ( 60.0% | 0.0 units )


StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | LA ANGELS at TEXAS
TEXAS is 84-69 (+29.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
The average score was: TEXAS (4.7) , OPPONENT (4.5)
 

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