Statsystems report 10/21
STAN THE MAN'S STAT/SYSTEMS REPORT 10/31
NATIONAL FOOTBALL LEAGUE
INFO WORTH BETTING ON ONE PAGE EACH DAY
________________________________________________
***** STAT/SYSTEMS SPORTS POWER SEARCH - NFL *****
• AWESOME ANGLE OF THE WEEK
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The Dolphins face a Bengal team who struggles in the role of the favorite as Cincinnati is just 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games laying points. In fact, the Bengals have been one of the NFL’s most overrated teams in the past year, going just 3-11 ATS and they are just 1-5 ATS in their last six home games.
Miami was robbed last week, denying them a hard-earned home win over the Steelers, while the Bengals, on the other hand, coughed up season-high yards for the second straight encounter. With a gaudy 0-9-1 ATS mark as favorites in games off a double-digit loss, we’re not about to buy into its undisciplined act!
On the other side of the coin, the Dolphins take to the road where they’ve made a living under HC Tony Sparano 9-6 SU and 12-3 ATS when taking points, including a spotless 7-0 ATS mark off a spread victory. “Tuff Tony is also 7-3 straight-up and an 'AWESOME' 10-0 ATS as a road underdog from Game Four on out!”
• NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK
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Can the Rams actually win their fourth home game after winning their past three against San Diego, Seattle and Washington; “we’ll take this many points to find out!” St Louis nearly upset Tampa Bay on the road last weekend, losing right at the end. That loss had to hurt the young Rams, who have injuries and lack of depth. John Fox used the bye to shake up his offensive line and reinsert Matt Moore at quarterback. The results help produce a confidence building first win of the season against San Francisco. These 'stray cats' put up more points against a respected 49ers defense than they had in their last two games combined!
The last time St. Louis was chalk (6-14 ATS in its last 20 tries) was Week 10 of the 2007 season when Scott Linehan was the head coach. Fox has cashed in 11 of the last 12 tickets in this series, and has always been at his finest in an underdog role, covering eight of his last 11 during the past two years when taking points.
Turning to our huge database it dialed-up several tidbits of its own: Carolina checks in 9-0 ATS the week after a straight up win at home in which their completion percentage was at least ten points higher than their season-to-date average. In addition, the Panthers are 8-0 ATS on the road the week after they had at least three times as many passing yards as rushing yards at home, covering by an average of 12.6 ppg.
Carolina is 8-1 ATS in franchise history when they are an underdog off a win as a home dog, with their only ATS loss coming in 1995, their first season in the league, when they lost 31-10 to the 49ers... and this highly-rated NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK is another reason to pick Carolina: PLAY AGAINST - Home teams - poor passing team (5.3-5.9 PYA) against a horrible passing team (<=5.3 PYA). The system is 62-22, 73.8% (+37.8 units) since 1983.
THIS WEEK'S PLAY: CAROLINA +3
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• INCREDIBLE STATS OF THE WEEK
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--GREEN BAY: Is 18-0 ATS (12.8 ppg) since December 15, 2002 after a game which they were tied or trailing at half and weren’t 9+ point dogs, if they punted three or fewer times in the game. They are also 11-2 SU and 11-1-1 ATS in games off a win against rested opposition during the regular season... 9-7 SU and 13-3 ATS as road dogs of less than seven points under HC Mike McCarthy.
--CINCINNATI: Is 0-16 (-9.6 ppg) OU since November 2006 when they are off a game in which they had at least 30 minutes of possession time, at least 20 first downs and punted fewer than six times... 0-12 OU after any game in which they had more than 22 first downs, staying under by an average of 11.1 ppg.
• AMAZING SITUATIONAL TRENDS
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--DENVER: Is 13-0-1 ATS (15.1 ppg) since October 8, 2005 when they scored at least 10 points less than expected in a divisional game.
--ARIZONA: Is 11-0 ATS (10.2 ppg) since December 24, 2005 at home versus any team with more wins, after a straight up loss.
--HOUSTON: Is 0-11-2 ATS (-7.5 ppg) since January 2006 after a game where they scored more than expected and the game went over the total by at least 10 points.
--SAN FRANCISCO: Is 9-0 ATS in games off a SU favorite loss, including 6-0 ATS under Mike Singletary.
--DALLAS: QB Jon Kitna hasn’t started a game in over two years and is 2-12 ATS in his career in games against teams off
back-to-back losses, including 0-6 ATS at home.
--SAN DIEGO: QB Philip Rivers is 22-4 SU and 20-5-1 ATS at home against sub .750 opponents as a starter in this league.
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
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--KANSAS CITY is 9-0 ATS (+9 Units) vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 64% or worse over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 25.3, OPPONENT 24.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--SEATTLE is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) after playing a game at home over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SEATTLE 11.2, OPPONENT 31.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--CINCINNATI is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CINCINNATI 17.7, OPPONENT 17.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--KANSAS CITY is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in home games after gaining 200 or more rushing yards last game since 1992.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 33.6, OPPONENT 19 - (Rating = 3*)
--ARIZONA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing <= 7.5 yards per return over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ARIZONA 28.8, OPPONENT 20.9 - (Rating = 2*)
--TAMPA BAY is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) vs. awful passing teams averaging 5.2 or less passing yards/att. since 1992.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 19.9, OPPONENT 18.4 - (Rating = 2*)
--CINCINNATI is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CINCINNATI 16.4, OPPONENT 16.9 - (Rating = 2*)
--MIAMI is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 22.8, OPPONENT 20.2 - (Rating = 2*)
--MIAMI is 7-0 ATS (+7 Units) in road games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 21.1, OPPONENT 17.6 - (Rating = 2*)
--MIAMI is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games after the first month of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 22.6, OPPONENT 20.5 - (Rating = 2*)
--JACKSONVILLE is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was JACKSONVILLE 17.6, OPPONENT 23.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--JACKSONVILLE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after allowing 30 points or more last game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was JACKSONVILLE 15.9, OPPONENT 27.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--JACKSONVILLE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after the first month of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was JACKSONVILLE 16.8, OPPONENT 26.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--WASHINGTON is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) after 3 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better since 1992.
The average score was WASHINGTON 23.5, OPPONENT 17.9 - (Rating = 2*)
--WASHINGTON is 32-12 ATS (+18.8 Units) versus poor rushing teams - averaging <=90 rushing yards/game since 1992.
The average score was WASHINGTON 24.2, OPPONENT 16.3 - (Rating = 2*)
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• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--ARIZONA is 11-2 OVER (+8.8 Units) after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ARIZONA 30.9, OPPONENT 28.8 - (Rating = 2*)
--ARIZONA is 10-1 OVER (+8.9 Units) in home games after a terrible performance - <26 minutes TOP, <13 First downs since 1992.
The average score was ARIZONA 30.8, OPPONENT 24.5 - (Rating = 2*)
--CINCINNATI is 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) vs. mistake free teams - 42 or less penalty yards per game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CINCINNATI 14.4, OPPONENT 19.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--DALLAS is 28-10 OVER (+17 Units) in home games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better since 1992.
The average score was DALLAS 25.9, OPPONENT 23.9 - (Rating = 2*)
--JACKSONVILLE is 14-3 UNDER (+10.7 Units) after allowing 175 or more rushing yards last game since 1992.
The average score was JACKSONVILLE 17.1, OPPONENT 14.9 - (Rating = 2*)
--MINNESOTA is 44-18 OVER (+24.2 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread since 1992.
The average score was MINNESOTA 21.7, OPPONENT 26.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--MINNESOTA is 27-10 OVER (+16 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 235 or more passing yards/game since 1992.
The average score was MINNESOTA 27.1, OPPONENT 23.6 - (Rating = 2*)
--MINNESOTA is 22-6 OVER (+15.4 Units) in road games vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 6+ PPG on the season since 1992.
The average score was MINNESOTA 23.3, OPPONENT 30.6 - (Rating = 2*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 12-2 OVER (+9.8 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 30.9, OPPONENT 27.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--DENVER is 36-14 OVER (+20.6 Units) off 3 or more consecutive overs since 1992.
The average score was DENVER 25.6, OPPONENT 23.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--DENVER is 29-10 OVER (+18 Units) after having lost 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games since 1992.
The average score was DENVER 25.7, OPPONENT 22.9 - (Rating = 2*)
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• TOP RATED TEAM MONEY LINE TRENDS
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--CINCINNATI is 8-29 (-29.9 Units) against the money line against AFC East division opponents since 1992.
The average score was CINCINNATI 18.2, OPPONENT 25.4 - (Rating = 6*)
--KANSAS CITY is 18-3 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in home games after gaining 175 or more rushing yards last game since 1992.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 29, OPPONENT 18.5 - (Rating = 5*)
--NEW ENGLAND is 16-4 (+19 Units) against the money line after being outgained by 150+ total yards in their previous game since 1992.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 24.6, OPPONENT 20.5 - (Rating = 5*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 6-15 (-23.1 Units) against the money line against AFC North division opponents since 1992.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 19.3, OPPONENT 25.8 - (Rating = 5*)
--DENVER is 0-5 (-12.8 Units) against the money line after being outgained by opp by 100 or more total yards last game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 20, OPPONENT 32 - (Rating = 5*)
--TAMPA BAY is 1-11 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in road games off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite since 1992.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 12.1, OPPONENT 19.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--MIAMI is 1-10 (-12.2 Units) against the money line off an extremely close home loss by 3 points or less since 1992.
The average score was MIAMI 16.9, OPPONENT 22.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--DALLAS is 5-10 (-20.3 Units) against the money line after being outgained by 150+ total yards in their previous game since 1992.
The average score was DALLAS 22.1, OPPONENT 23.7 - (Rating = 4*)
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Experience is what this business is all about, and good money can be made if one has the right connections. Stan 'The Man' prides himself on uncovering the edge that gives his customers the ability to beat the sports books on a consistent basis. Stan is a full time Expert Handicapper that can help you consistently beat the books. With any package that you purchase it is fully guaranteed that you show a profit, or he'll extend your service at no charge. If you have any questions about our services call 1-800 -351-4640, “You’ll be real glad you did!” -Stan
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• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
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--NEW ORLEANS is 10-32 (-25.2 Units) against the 1rst half line in home games after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 9.3, OPPONENT 11.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 5-21 (-18.1 Units) against the 1rst half line after the first month of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 8.8, OPPONENT 14.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--MIAMI is 7-0 (+7 Units) against the 1rst half line in road games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 13, OPPONENT 9.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 9-27 (-20.7 Units) against the 1rst half line in home games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse since 1992.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 10.1, OPPONENT 13.6 - (Rating = 2*)
--SAN DIEGO is 5-18 (-14.8 Units) against the 1rst half line in home games after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse since 1992.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 7.8, OPPONENT 11.2 - (Rating = 2*)
--DENVER is 1-9 (-8.9 Units) against the 1rst half line off 1 or more straight overs over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 5.7, OPPONENT 15.8 - (Rating = 2*)
--JACKSONVILLE is 12-27 (-17.7 Units) against the 1rst half line versus the first half line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was JACKSONVILLE 9.3, OPPONENT 13.6 - (Rating = 1*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 38-61 (-29.1 Units) against the 1rst half line as a home favorite vs. the 1rst half line since 1992.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 11.6, OPPONENT 10.7 - (Rating = 1*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 58-91 (-42.1 Units) against the 1rst half line versus the 1rst half line in home games since 1992.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 11.1, OPPONENT 12 - (Rating = 1*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 11-27 (-18.7 Units) against the 1rst half line in home games after a loss by 10 or more points since 1992.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 10.4, OPPONENT 12.4 - (Rating = 1*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 13-30 (-20 Units) against the 1rst half line in home games after playing a game at home since 1992.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 9.9, OPPONENT 12.7 - (Rating = 1*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 24-44 (-24.4 Units) against the 1rst half line in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread since 1992.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 10.3, OPPONENT 11.3 - (Rating = 1*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 42-69 (-33.9 Units) against the 1rst half line in home games after the first month of the season since 1992.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 10.9, OPPONENT 12.7 - (Rating = 1*)
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• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER UNDER TRENDS
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--NEW ENGLAND is 16-1 OVER (+14.9 Units) the 1rst half total in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) since 1992.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 16, OPPONENT 8.1 - (Rating = 5*)
--WASHINGTON is 10-0 OVER (+10 Units) the 1rst half total after 4 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better since 1992.
The average score was WASHINGTON 16.2, OPPONENT 11.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW ENGLAND is 9-0 OVER (+9 Units) the 1rst half total after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 19.8, OPPONENT 11.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--JACKSONVILLE is 15-2 UNDER (+12.8 Units) the 1rst half total after allowing 175 or more rushing yards last game since 1992.
The average score was JACKSONVILLE 6.6, OPPONENT 6.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW ENGLAND is 17-3 OVER (+13.7 Units) the 1rst half total off an extremely close road win by 3 points or less since 1992.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 16.5, OPPONENT 10.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 17-3 OVER (+13.7 Units) the 1rst half total in home games vs. mistake free teams - 42 or less penalty yards per game since 1992.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 12.4, OPPONENT 15.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--ST LOUIS is 36-12 OVER (+22.8 Units) the 1rst half total after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread since 1992.
The average score was ST LOUIS 14.2, OPPONENT 12.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--ARIZONA is 14-3 OVER (+10.7 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ARIZONA 13.1, OPPONENT 15.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--ARIZONA is 12-2 OVER (+9.8 Units) the 1rst half total after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ARIZONA 16.9, OPPONENT 12.9 - (Rating = 2*)
--CINCINNATI is 52-25 OVER (+24.5 Units) the 1rst half total after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread since 1992.
The average score was CINCINNATI 9.5, OPPONENT 13.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--JACKSONVILLE is 9-1 OVER (+7.9 Units) the 1rst half total as an underdog of 2.5 to 6 points vs. the first half line over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was JACKSONVILLE 10.7, OPPONENT 15.9 - (Rating = 2*)
--JACKSONVILLE is 8-0 UNDER (+8 Units) the 1rst half total after allowing 200 or more rushing yards last game since 1992.
The average score was JACKSONVILLE 5.2, OPPONENT 5.2 - (Rating = 2*)
--DETROIT is 6-0 OVER (+6 Units) the 1rst half total versus the first half line in all games this season.
The average score was DETROIT 14.8, OPPONENT 14.8 - (Rating = 2*)
--DETROIT is 6-0 OVER (+6 Units) the 1rst half total against conference opponents this season.
The average score was DETROIT 14.8, OPPONENT 14.8 - (Rating = 2*)
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• TOP RATED COACHING TRENDS - ATS
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--Mike McCarthy is 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) in a road game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points as the coach of GREEN BAY.
The average score was McCarthy 26.2, OPPONENT 18.7 - (Rating = 5*)
--Tom Cable is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games as the coach of OAKLAND.
The average score was Cable 8.6, OPPONENT 25.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--Bill Belichick is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) after gaining 150 or less passing yards in last game as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was Belichick 27, OPPONENT 16.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--Bill Belichick is 28-9 ATS (+18.1 Units) after having won 4 out of their last 5 games as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was Belichick 24.8, OPPONENT 16.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--Mike McCarthy is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points as the coach of GREEN BAY.
The average score was McCarthy 25.9, OPPONENT 19.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--Ken Whisenhunt is 7-0 ATS (+7 Units) in home games after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game as the coach of ARIZONA.
The average score was Whisenhunt 33.7, OPPONENT 22.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--Ken Whisenhunt is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses as the coach of ARIZONA.
The average score was Whisenhunt 31.1, OPPONENT 21.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--Ken Whisenhunt is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing <= 7.5 yards per return as the coach of ARIZONA.
The average score was Whisenhunt 27.9, OPPONENT 21.5 - (Rating = 2*)
--Ken Whisenhunt is 7-0 ATS (+7 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing >=5.65 yards/play as the coach of ARIZONA.
The average score was Whisenhunt 30.6, OPPONENT 18.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--Tony Sparano is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was Sparano 22.8, OPPONENT 20.2 - (Rating = 2*)
--Tony Sparano is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was Sparano 22.1, OPPONENT 19.5 - (Rating = 2*)
--Tony Sparano is 7-0 ATS (+7 Units) in road games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was Sparano 21.1, OPPONENT 17.6 - (Rating = 2*)
--Tony Sparano is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games after the first month of the season as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was Sparano 22.6, OPPONENT 20.5 - (Rating = 2*)
--Jack Del Rio is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games as the coach of JACKSONVILLE.
The average score was Del Rio 18, OPPONENT 23.6 - (Rating = 2*)
--Bill Belichick is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was Belichick 26.3, OPPONENT 17.6 - (Rating = 2*)
STAN THE MAN'S STAT/SYSTEMS REPORT 10/31
NATIONAL FOOTBALL LEAGUE
INFO WORTH BETTING ON ONE PAGE EACH DAY
________________________________________________
***** STAT/SYSTEMS SPORTS POWER SEARCH - NFL *****
• AWESOME ANGLE OF THE WEEK
------------------------------------------
The Dolphins face a Bengal team who struggles in the role of the favorite as Cincinnati is just 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games laying points. In fact, the Bengals have been one of the NFL’s most overrated teams in the past year, going just 3-11 ATS and they are just 1-5 ATS in their last six home games.
Miami was robbed last week, denying them a hard-earned home win over the Steelers, while the Bengals, on the other hand, coughed up season-high yards for the second straight encounter. With a gaudy 0-9-1 ATS mark as favorites in games off a double-digit loss, we’re not about to buy into its undisciplined act!
On the other side of the coin, the Dolphins take to the road where they’ve made a living under HC Tony Sparano 9-6 SU and 12-3 ATS when taking points, including a spotless 7-0 ATS mark off a spread victory. “Tuff Tony is also 7-3 straight-up and an 'AWESOME' 10-0 ATS as a road underdog from Game Four on out!”
• NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK
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Can the Rams actually win their fourth home game after winning their past three against San Diego, Seattle and Washington; “we’ll take this many points to find out!” St Louis nearly upset Tampa Bay on the road last weekend, losing right at the end. That loss had to hurt the young Rams, who have injuries and lack of depth. John Fox used the bye to shake up his offensive line and reinsert Matt Moore at quarterback. The results help produce a confidence building first win of the season against San Francisco. These 'stray cats' put up more points against a respected 49ers defense than they had in their last two games combined!
The last time St. Louis was chalk (6-14 ATS in its last 20 tries) was Week 10 of the 2007 season when Scott Linehan was the head coach. Fox has cashed in 11 of the last 12 tickets in this series, and has always been at his finest in an underdog role, covering eight of his last 11 during the past two years when taking points.
Turning to our huge database it dialed-up several tidbits of its own: Carolina checks in 9-0 ATS the week after a straight up win at home in which their completion percentage was at least ten points higher than their season-to-date average. In addition, the Panthers are 8-0 ATS on the road the week after they had at least three times as many passing yards as rushing yards at home, covering by an average of 12.6 ppg.
Carolina is 8-1 ATS in franchise history when they are an underdog off a win as a home dog, with their only ATS loss coming in 1995, their first season in the league, when they lost 31-10 to the 49ers... and this highly-rated NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK is another reason to pick Carolina: PLAY AGAINST - Home teams - poor passing team (5.3-5.9 PYA) against a horrible passing team (<=5.3 PYA). The system is 62-22, 73.8% (+37.8 units) since 1983.
THIS WEEK'S PLAY: CAROLINA +3
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• INCREDIBLE STATS OF THE WEEK
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--GREEN BAY: Is 18-0 ATS (12.8 ppg) since December 15, 2002 after a game which they were tied or trailing at half and weren’t 9+ point dogs, if they punted three or fewer times in the game. They are also 11-2 SU and 11-1-1 ATS in games off a win against rested opposition during the regular season... 9-7 SU and 13-3 ATS as road dogs of less than seven points under HC Mike McCarthy.
--CINCINNATI: Is 0-16 (-9.6 ppg) OU since November 2006 when they are off a game in which they had at least 30 minutes of possession time, at least 20 first downs and punted fewer than six times... 0-12 OU after any game in which they had more than 22 first downs, staying under by an average of 11.1 ppg.
• AMAZING SITUATIONAL TRENDS
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--DENVER: Is 13-0-1 ATS (15.1 ppg) since October 8, 2005 when they scored at least 10 points less than expected in a divisional game.
--ARIZONA: Is 11-0 ATS (10.2 ppg) since December 24, 2005 at home versus any team with more wins, after a straight up loss.
--HOUSTON: Is 0-11-2 ATS (-7.5 ppg) since January 2006 after a game where they scored more than expected and the game went over the total by at least 10 points.
--SAN FRANCISCO: Is 9-0 ATS in games off a SU favorite loss, including 6-0 ATS under Mike Singletary.
--DALLAS: QB Jon Kitna hasn’t started a game in over two years and is 2-12 ATS in his career in games against teams off
back-to-back losses, including 0-6 ATS at home.
--SAN DIEGO: QB Philip Rivers is 22-4 SU and 20-5-1 ATS at home against sub .750 opponents as a starter in this league.
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
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--KANSAS CITY is 9-0 ATS (+9 Units) vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 64% or worse over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 25.3, OPPONENT 24.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--SEATTLE is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) after playing a game at home over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SEATTLE 11.2, OPPONENT 31.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--CINCINNATI is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CINCINNATI 17.7, OPPONENT 17.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--KANSAS CITY is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in home games after gaining 200 or more rushing yards last game since 1992.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 33.6, OPPONENT 19 - (Rating = 3*)
--ARIZONA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing <= 7.5 yards per return over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ARIZONA 28.8, OPPONENT 20.9 - (Rating = 2*)
--TAMPA BAY is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) vs. awful passing teams averaging 5.2 or less passing yards/att. since 1992.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 19.9, OPPONENT 18.4 - (Rating = 2*)
--CINCINNATI is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CINCINNATI 16.4, OPPONENT 16.9 - (Rating = 2*)
--MIAMI is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 22.8, OPPONENT 20.2 - (Rating = 2*)
--MIAMI is 7-0 ATS (+7 Units) in road games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 21.1, OPPONENT 17.6 - (Rating = 2*)
--MIAMI is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games after the first month of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 22.6, OPPONENT 20.5 - (Rating = 2*)
--JACKSONVILLE is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was JACKSONVILLE 17.6, OPPONENT 23.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--JACKSONVILLE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after allowing 30 points or more last game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was JACKSONVILLE 15.9, OPPONENT 27.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--JACKSONVILLE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after the first month of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was JACKSONVILLE 16.8, OPPONENT 26.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--WASHINGTON is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) after 3 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better since 1992.
The average score was WASHINGTON 23.5, OPPONENT 17.9 - (Rating = 2*)
--WASHINGTON is 32-12 ATS (+18.8 Units) versus poor rushing teams - averaging <=90 rushing yards/game since 1992.
The average score was WASHINGTON 24.2, OPPONENT 16.3 - (Rating = 2*)
__________________________________________________ _____________
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--ARIZONA is 11-2 OVER (+8.8 Units) after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ARIZONA 30.9, OPPONENT 28.8 - (Rating = 2*)
--ARIZONA is 10-1 OVER (+8.9 Units) in home games after a terrible performance - <26 minutes TOP, <13 First downs since 1992.
The average score was ARIZONA 30.8, OPPONENT 24.5 - (Rating = 2*)
--CINCINNATI is 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) vs. mistake free teams - 42 or less penalty yards per game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CINCINNATI 14.4, OPPONENT 19.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--DALLAS is 28-10 OVER (+17 Units) in home games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better since 1992.
The average score was DALLAS 25.9, OPPONENT 23.9 - (Rating = 2*)
--JACKSONVILLE is 14-3 UNDER (+10.7 Units) after allowing 175 or more rushing yards last game since 1992.
The average score was JACKSONVILLE 17.1, OPPONENT 14.9 - (Rating = 2*)
--MINNESOTA is 44-18 OVER (+24.2 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread since 1992.
The average score was MINNESOTA 21.7, OPPONENT 26.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--MINNESOTA is 27-10 OVER (+16 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 235 or more passing yards/game since 1992.
The average score was MINNESOTA 27.1, OPPONENT 23.6 - (Rating = 2*)
--MINNESOTA is 22-6 OVER (+15.4 Units) in road games vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 6+ PPG on the season since 1992.
The average score was MINNESOTA 23.3, OPPONENT 30.6 - (Rating = 2*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 12-2 OVER (+9.8 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 30.9, OPPONENT 27.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--DENVER is 36-14 OVER (+20.6 Units) off 3 or more consecutive overs since 1992.
The average score was DENVER 25.6, OPPONENT 23.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--DENVER is 29-10 OVER (+18 Units) after having lost 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games since 1992.
The average score was DENVER 25.7, OPPONENT 22.9 - (Rating = 2*)
__________________________________________________ _______
• TOP RATED TEAM MONEY LINE TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--CINCINNATI is 8-29 (-29.9 Units) against the money line against AFC East division opponents since 1992.
The average score was CINCINNATI 18.2, OPPONENT 25.4 - (Rating = 6*)
--KANSAS CITY is 18-3 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in home games after gaining 175 or more rushing yards last game since 1992.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 29, OPPONENT 18.5 - (Rating = 5*)
--NEW ENGLAND is 16-4 (+19 Units) against the money line after being outgained by 150+ total yards in their previous game since 1992.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 24.6, OPPONENT 20.5 - (Rating = 5*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 6-15 (-23.1 Units) against the money line against AFC North division opponents since 1992.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 19.3, OPPONENT 25.8 - (Rating = 5*)
--DENVER is 0-5 (-12.8 Units) against the money line after being outgained by opp by 100 or more total yards last game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 20, OPPONENT 32 - (Rating = 5*)
--TAMPA BAY is 1-11 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in road games off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite since 1992.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 12.1, OPPONENT 19.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--MIAMI is 1-10 (-12.2 Units) against the money line off an extremely close home loss by 3 points or less since 1992.
The average score was MIAMI 16.9, OPPONENT 22.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--DALLAS is 5-10 (-20.3 Units) against the money line after being outgained by 150+ total yards in their previous game since 1992.
The average score was DALLAS 22.1, OPPONENT 23.7 - (Rating = 4*)
__________________________________________________ _______
Experience is what this business is all about, and good money can be made if one has the right connections. Stan 'The Man' prides himself on uncovering the edge that gives his customers the ability to beat the sports books on a consistent basis. Stan is a full time Expert Handicapper that can help you consistently beat the books. With any package that you purchase it is fully guaranteed that you show a profit, or he'll extend your service at no charge. If you have any questions about our services call 1-800 -351-4640, “You’ll be real glad you did!” -Stan
____________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 10-32 (-25.2 Units) against the 1rst half line in home games after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 9.3, OPPONENT 11.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 5-21 (-18.1 Units) against the 1rst half line after the first month of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 8.8, OPPONENT 14.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--MIAMI is 7-0 (+7 Units) against the 1rst half line in road games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 13, OPPONENT 9.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 9-27 (-20.7 Units) against the 1rst half line in home games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse since 1992.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 10.1, OPPONENT 13.6 - (Rating = 2*)
--SAN DIEGO is 5-18 (-14.8 Units) against the 1rst half line in home games after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse since 1992.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 7.8, OPPONENT 11.2 - (Rating = 2*)
--DENVER is 1-9 (-8.9 Units) against the 1rst half line off 1 or more straight overs over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 5.7, OPPONENT 15.8 - (Rating = 2*)
--JACKSONVILLE is 12-27 (-17.7 Units) against the 1rst half line versus the first half line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was JACKSONVILLE 9.3, OPPONENT 13.6 - (Rating = 1*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 38-61 (-29.1 Units) against the 1rst half line as a home favorite vs. the 1rst half line since 1992.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 11.6, OPPONENT 10.7 - (Rating = 1*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 58-91 (-42.1 Units) against the 1rst half line versus the 1rst half line in home games since 1992.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 11.1, OPPONENT 12 - (Rating = 1*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 11-27 (-18.7 Units) against the 1rst half line in home games after a loss by 10 or more points since 1992.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 10.4, OPPONENT 12.4 - (Rating = 1*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 13-30 (-20 Units) against the 1rst half line in home games after playing a game at home since 1992.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 9.9, OPPONENT 12.7 - (Rating = 1*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 24-44 (-24.4 Units) against the 1rst half line in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread since 1992.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 10.3, OPPONENT 11.3 - (Rating = 1*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 42-69 (-33.9 Units) against the 1rst half line in home games after the first month of the season since 1992.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 10.9, OPPONENT 12.7 - (Rating = 1*)
__________________________________________________ _____________
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER UNDER TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------------------------
--NEW ENGLAND is 16-1 OVER (+14.9 Units) the 1rst half total in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) since 1992.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 16, OPPONENT 8.1 - (Rating = 5*)
--WASHINGTON is 10-0 OVER (+10 Units) the 1rst half total after 4 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better since 1992.
The average score was WASHINGTON 16.2, OPPONENT 11.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW ENGLAND is 9-0 OVER (+9 Units) the 1rst half total after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 19.8, OPPONENT 11.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--JACKSONVILLE is 15-2 UNDER (+12.8 Units) the 1rst half total after allowing 175 or more rushing yards last game since 1992.
The average score was JACKSONVILLE 6.6, OPPONENT 6.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW ENGLAND is 17-3 OVER (+13.7 Units) the 1rst half total off an extremely close road win by 3 points or less since 1992.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 16.5, OPPONENT 10.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 17-3 OVER (+13.7 Units) the 1rst half total in home games vs. mistake free teams - 42 or less penalty yards per game since 1992.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 12.4, OPPONENT 15.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--ST LOUIS is 36-12 OVER (+22.8 Units) the 1rst half total after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread since 1992.
The average score was ST LOUIS 14.2, OPPONENT 12.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--ARIZONA is 14-3 OVER (+10.7 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ARIZONA 13.1, OPPONENT 15.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--ARIZONA is 12-2 OVER (+9.8 Units) the 1rst half total after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ARIZONA 16.9, OPPONENT 12.9 - (Rating = 2*)
--CINCINNATI is 52-25 OVER (+24.5 Units) the 1rst half total after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread since 1992.
The average score was CINCINNATI 9.5, OPPONENT 13.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--JACKSONVILLE is 9-1 OVER (+7.9 Units) the 1rst half total as an underdog of 2.5 to 6 points vs. the first half line over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was JACKSONVILLE 10.7, OPPONENT 15.9 - (Rating = 2*)
--JACKSONVILLE is 8-0 UNDER (+8 Units) the 1rst half total after allowing 200 or more rushing yards last game since 1992.
The average score was JACKSONVILLE 5.2, OPPONENT 5.2 - (Rating = 2*)
--DETROIT is 6-0 OVER (+6 Units) the 1rst half total versus the first half line in all games this season.
The average score was DETROIT 14.8, OPPONENT 14.8 - (Rating = 2*)
--DETROIT is 6-0 OVER (+6 Units) the 1rst half total against conference opponents this season.
The average score was DETROIT 14.8, OPPONENT 14.8 - (Rating = 2*)
__________________________________________________ _______
• TOP RATED COACHING TRENDS - ATS
------------------------------------------------
--Mike McCarthy is 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) in a road game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points as the coach of GREEN BAY.
The average score was McCarthy 26.2, OPPONENT 18.7 - (Rating = 5*)
--Tom Cable is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games as the coach of OAKLAND.
The average score was Cable 8.6, OPPONENT 25.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--Bill Belichick is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) after gaining 150 or less passing yards in last game as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was Belichick 27, OPPONENT 16.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--Bill Belichick is 28-9 ATS (+18.1 Units) after having won 4 out of their last 5 games as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was Belichick 24.8, OPPONENT 16.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--Mike McCarthy is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points as the coach of GREEN BAY.
The average score was McCarthy 25.9, OPPONENT 19.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--Ken Whisenhunt is 7-0 ATS (+7 Units) in home games after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game as the coach of ARIZONA.
The average score was Whisenhunt 33.7, OPPONENT 22.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--Ken Whisenhunt is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses as the coach of ARIZONA.
The average score was Whisenhunt 31.1, OPPONENT 21.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--Ken Whisenhunt is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing <= 7.5 yards per return as the coach of ARIZONA.
The average score was Whisenhunt 27.9, OPPONENT 21.5 - (Rating = 2*)
--Ken Whisenhunt is 7-0 ATS (+7 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing >=5.65 yards/play as the coach of ARIZONA.
The average score was Whisenhunt 30.6, OPPONENT 18.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--Tony Sparano is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was Sparano 22.8, OPPONENT 20.2 - (Rating = 2*)
--Tony Sparano is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was Sparano 22.1, OPPONENT 19.5 - (Rating = 2*)
--Tony Sparano is 7-0 ATS (+7 Units) in road games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was Sparano 21.1, OPPONENT 17.6 - (Rating = 2*)
--Tony Sparano is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games after the first month of the season as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was Sparano 22.6, OPPONENT 20.5 - (Rating = 2*)
--Jack Del Rio is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games as the coach of JACKSONVILLE.
The average score was Del Rio 18, OPPONENT 23.6 - (Rating = 2*)
--Bill Belichick is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was Belichick 26.3, OPPONENT 17.6 - (Rating = 2*)
STATSYSTEMS REPORT 10/31 cont.
• TOP RATED COACHING TRENDS - ATS
------------------------------------------------
--Mike McCarthy is 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) in a road game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points as the coach of GREEN BAY.
The average score was McCarthy 26.2, OPPONENT 18.7 - (Rating = 5*)
--Tom Cable is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games as the coach of OAKLAND.
The average score was Cable 8.6, OPPONENT 25.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--Bill Belichick is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) after gaining 150 or less passing yards in last game as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was Belichick 27, OPPONENT 16.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--Bill Belichick is 28-9 ATS (+18.1 Units) after having won 4 out of their last 5 games as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was Belichick 24.8, OPPONENT 16.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--Mike McCarthy is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points as the coach of GREEN BAY.
The average score was McCarthy 25.9, OPPONENT 19.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--Ken Whisenhunt is 7-0 ATS (+7 Units) in home games after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game as the coach of ARIZONA.
The average score was Whisenhunt 33.7, OPPONENT 22.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--Ken Whisenhunt is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses as the coach of ARIZONA.
The average score was Whisenhunt 31.1, OPPONENT 21.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--Ken Whisenhunt is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing <= 7.5 yards per return as the coach of ARIZONA.
The average score was Whisenhunt 27.9, OPPONENT 21.5 - (Rating = 2*)
--Ken Whisenhunt is 7-0 ATS (+7 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing >=5.65 yards/play as the coach of ARIZONA.
The average score was Whisenhunt 30.6, OPPONENT 18.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--Tony Sparano is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was Sparano 22.8, OPPONENT 20.2 - (Rating = 2*)
--Tony Sparano is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was Sparano 22.1, OPPONENT 19.5 - (Rating = 2*)
--Tony Sparano is 7-0 ATS (+7 Units) in road games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was Sparano 21.1, OPPONENT 17.6 - (Rating = 2*)
--Tony Sparano is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games after the first month of the season as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was Sparano 22.6, OPPONENT 20.5 - (Rating = 2*)
--Jack Del Rio is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games as the coach of JACKSONVILLE.
The average score was Del Rio 18, OPPONENT 23.6 - (Rating = 2*)
--Bill Belichick is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was Belichick 26.3, OPPONENT 17.6 - (Rating = 2*)
__________________________________________________ ______
• TOP RATED COACHING TRENDS - OVER/UNDER
------------------------------------------------------------
--Pete Carroll is 10-0 UNDER (+10 Units) versus poor rushing defenses - allowing >=130 rushing yards/game in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was Carroll 17, OPPONENT 14.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--Jeff Fisher is 11-1 OVER (+9.9 Units) against teams with a turnover margin of -1 per game or worse as the coach of TENNESSEE.
The average score was Fisher 26.1, OPPONENT 24 - (Rating = 4*)
--John Fox is 20-4 UNDER (+15.6 Units) vs. poor kickoff coverage teams, allowing >= 24 yards per return as the coach of CAROLINA.
The average score was Fox 17.1, OPPONENT 18.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--Mike Shanahan is 33-10 OVER (+22 Units) after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was Shanahan 26, OPPONENT 23 - (Rating = 3*)
--Ken Whisenhunt is 32-15 OVER (+15.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest as the coach of ARIZONA.
The average score was Whisenhunt 25.9, OPPONENT 26.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--Ken Whisenhunt is 14-4 OVER (+9.6 Units) after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse as the coach of ARIZONA.
The average score was Whisenhunt 28.5, OPPONENT 26.9 - (Rating = 2*)
--Marvin Lewis is 11-2 UNDER (+8.8 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points as the coach of CINCINNATI.
The average score was Lewis 20.2, OPPONENT 17.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--Wade Phillips is 25-9 OVER (+15.1 Units) in October games in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was Phillips 23.3, OPPONENT 22.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--Wade Phillips is 13-3 OVER (+9.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 as the coach of DALLAS.
The average score was Phillips 25.9, OPPONENT 25.4 - (Rating = 2*)
--Brad Childress is 14-4 OVER (+9.6 Units) off a road loss as the coach of MINNESOTA.
The average score was Childress 25, OPPONENT 21.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--Brad Childress is 15-4 OVER (+10.6 Units) after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games as the coach of MINNESOTA.
The average score was Childress 22.7, OPPONENT 22.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--Brad Childress is 12-3 OVER (+8.7 Units) vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better as the coach of MINNESOTA.
The average score was Childress 26.2, OPPONENT 23.8 - (Rating = 2*)
--Bill Belichick is 17-6 UNDER (+10.4 Units) in home games off 2 or more consecutive unders as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was Belichick 21, OPPONENT 16.7 - (Rating = 2*)
--Bill Belichick is 26-11 UNDER (+13.9 Units) after having won 4 out of their last 5 games as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was Belichick 24.8, OPPONENT 16.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--Sean Payton is 21-7 OVER (+13.3 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of NEW ORLEANS.
The average score was Payton 27.4, OPPONENT 25.5 - (Rating = 2*)
__________________________________________________ _____
• TOP RATED TEAM TEASER LINE TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--SAN DIEGO is 65-12 (+27 Units) against a teaser line vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse since 1992.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 23.8, OPPONENT 20.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--KANSAS CITY is 37-3 (+27.5 Units) against a teaser line after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better since 1992.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 24.1, OPPONENT 19.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--KANSAS CITY is 69-12 (+31 Units) against a teaser line after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better since 1992.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 23.2, OPPONENT 18.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW ENGLAND is 21-1 (+17.8 Units) against a teaser line after being outgained by 150+ total yards in their previous game since 1992.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 24.6, OPPONENT 20.5 - (Rating = 2*)
--OAKLAND is 17-0 (+17 Units) against a teaser line after a dominating performance - 34+ minutes TOP, 24+ First downs since 1992.
The average score was OAKLAND 28.9, OPPONENT 17.8 - (Rating = 2*)
--SAN DIEGO is 17-0 (+17 Units) against a teaser line against AFC South division opponents since 1992.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 28.2, OPPONENT 17.7 - (Rating = 2*)
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Stan ‘The Man’ opened the NBA season Tuesday, dishing-out an easy *5-Star selection with the Celtics taking down LeBron and his Heat in Boston. He didn't "Rest on his Laurels" Wednesday, winning both the side and total in World Series action! The 33-year vet took the night off Thursday in the NBA but scored once again as Matt Cain silenced the Rangers for 7 2/3 innings and Edgar Renteria went 2-for-4 with a homer and three RBI, as the San Francisco Giants took control of the World Series by shutting out Texas, 9-0, in Game 2 at AT&T Park.
If you enjoyed Stan's 18-0 Awesome Angle Most Valuable Play winner last Sunday with Buffalo you'll love this Sunday's Most Valuable Play in the NFL. It's supported with another Awesome Angle inside the game that is 100% ATS since 1980 and it's yours - if you act now. Call me toll-free in the office @ 1-800-351-4640 and win once again with Stan today!
________________________________________________
• HIGHEST RATED ATS SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------------
5* OAKLAND -2.5 - (84.6%)
4* MIAMI +1 - (78.6%)
3* JACKSONVILLE +6.5 - (78%)
3* BUFFALO +7.5 - (78%)
3* JACKSONVILLE +6.5 - (75.5%)
3* CAROLINA +3 - (73.8%)
3* DENVER +2.5 - (72.5%)
--PLAY ON - Home teams (OAKLAND) - a good offensive team (23-27 PPG) against a good defensive team (14-18 PPG), after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game.
(22-4 since 1983.) (84.6%, +17.6 units. Rating = 5*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (23-3)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 3.6
The average score in these games was: Team 29.4, Opponent 15.1 (Average point differential = +14.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 14 (56% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (0-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (0-1).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (2-2).
--PLAY AGAINST - Home favorites (CINCINNATI) - excellent passing team (>=265 PY/game) against an average passing defense (185-230 PY/game), after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt last game.
(33-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.6%, +23.1 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (16-27 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 8.9
The average score in these games was: Team 20.8, Opponent 24.1 (Average point differential = -3.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 20 (46.5% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (3-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (17-4).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (44-20).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (75-51).
--PLAY ON - Road teams (JACKSONVILLE) - with a horrible scoring defense - allowing 27 or more points/game, after allowing 25 points or more in 2 straight games.
(32-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (78%, +22.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (16-26 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 7
The average score in these games was: Team 20.5, Opponent 23.8 (Average point differential = -3.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 18 (43.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (4-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (25-6).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (51-26).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (102-81).
--PLAY ON - Road teams (BUFFALO) - with a horrible scoring defense - allowing 27 or more points/game, after allowing 25 points or more in 2 straight games.
(32-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (78%, +22.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (16-26 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 7
The average score in these games was: Team 20.5, Opponent 23.8 (Average point differential = -3.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 18 (43.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (4-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (25-6).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (51-26).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (102-81).
--PLAY AGAINST - Home favorites (DALLAS) - average rushing team (3.5 to 4.5 YPR) against a team with a poor rushing defense (>=4.5 YPR), after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game.
(37-12 over the last 10 seasons.) (75.5%, +23.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (23-27 over the last 10 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 5.8
The average score in these games was: Team 21.3, Opponent 20.5 (Average point differential = +0.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 21 (44.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (13-6).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (16-6).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (59-28).
--PLAY AGAINST - Home teams (ST LOUIS) - poor passing team (5.3-5.9 PYA) against a horrible passing team (<=5.3 PYA).
(62-22 since 1983.) (73.8%, +37.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (41-45)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 4.9
The average score in these games was: Team 19.6, Opponent 19.1 (Average point differential = +0.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 36 (42.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (4-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (7-3).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (16-9).
--PLAY ON - Any team (DENVER) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 28 points in their previous game, after the first month of the season.
(50-19 over the last 10 seasons.) (72.5%, +29.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (40-31 over the last 10 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.9
The average score in these games was: Team 24, Opponent 22.4 (Average point differential = +1.6)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 24 (35.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (12-6).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (26-11).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (70-43).
___________________________________________
• HIGHEST RATED OVER/UNDER SUPER SITUATIONS
---------------------------------------------------------------
5* ARIZONA/TAMPA BAY UNDER 39.5 - (88.9%)
4* OAKLAND/SEATTLE UNDER 42 - (84.4%)
3* NY JETS/GREEN BAY OVER 41.5 - (73.7%)
3* ST LOUIS/CAROLINA OVER 37 - (73.6%)
3* SAN DIEGO/TENNESSEE OVER 44.5 - (73.1%)
3* KANSAS CITY/BUFFALO UNDER 46.5 - (72.2%)
3* SAN FRANCISCO/DENVER OVER 41.5 - (72.9%)
4* SAN DIEGO/TENNESSEE OVER 44.5 - (71.4%)
--PLAY UNDER - Road teams against the total (TAMPA BAY) - average rushing team (95 to 125 RY/game) against a poor rushing team (70-95 RY/game), after allowing 150 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games.
(24-3 since 1983.) (88.9%, +20.7 units. Rating = 5*)
The average total posted in these games was: 41.1
The average score in these games was: Team 16, Opponent 16.2 (Total points scored = 32.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 16 (59.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (4-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (7-0).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (14-2).
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams against the total (OAKLAND) - off a double digit win as a road underdog of 6 more, after the first month of the season.
(27-5 over the last 10 seasons.) (84.4%, +21.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 41.2
The average score in these games was: Team 18.8, Opponent 15.8 (Total points scored = 34.6)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 15 (45.5% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (15-2).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (42-24).
--PLAY OVER - Road teams where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (GREEN BAY) - off 1 or more straight overs against opponent off 2 or more consecutive overs.
(42-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.7%, +25.5 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 39.2
The average score in these games was: Team 21.7, Opponent 23.5 (Total points scored = 45.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 26 (45.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-5).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (65-37).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (176-134).
--PLAY OVER - Any team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (ST LOUIS) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (295 to 335 YPG).
(78-28 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.6%, +47.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 39.2
The average score in these games was: Team 23, Opponent 23 (Total points scored = 46)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 54 (50% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (10-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (32-8).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (200-120).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (590-470).
--PLAY OVER - Any team against the total (SAN DIEGO) - after gaining 50 or less rushing yards last game against opponent after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game.
(57-21 over the last 10 seasons.) (73.1%, +33.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 40.6
The average score in these games was: Team 23.4, Opponent 22.8 (Total points scored = 46.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 31 (40.8% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-8).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (33-11).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (140-106).
--PLAY UNDER - Any team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (BUFFALO) - after allowing 30 points or more last game against opponent after 2 straight games where 50 total points or more were scored.
(83-32 since 1983.) (72.2%, +45.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 45.3
The average score in these games was: Team 20.7, Opponent 19.9 (Total points scored = 40.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 52 (45.2% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (15-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (21-11).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (33-17).
--PLAY OVER - Any team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (DENVER) - terrible rushing team (<=70 RY/game) against a team with an average rushing defense (95-125 RY/game).
(43-16 since 1983.) (72.9%, +25.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 38.5
The average score in these games was: Team 21, Opponent 24.2 (Total points scored = 45.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 28 (50% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (1-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (3-1).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (9-5).
--PLAY OVER - Road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (TENNESSEE) - good passing team - with a completion pct of 60% or better, after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games.
(50-20 since 1983.) (71.4%, +28 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 44.9
The average score in these games was: Team 24.9, Opponent 25.4 (Total points scored = 50.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 29 (40.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (11-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (19-3).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (31-11).
___________________________________________
• HIGHEST RATED FIRST HALF SUPER SITUATIONS
--------------------------------------------------------------
5* NEW ENGLAND -2.5 - (85.7%)
5* NY JETS -3 - (85.7%)
3* SAN DIEGO -2 - (76.7%)
3* SEATTLE +1.5 - (74.1%)
--PLAY ON - Home favorites of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (NEW ENGLAND) - after beating the spread by 21 or more points total in their last three games, in non-conference games.
(36-6 over the last 10 seasons.) (85.7%, +29.4 units. Rating = 5*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 3.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 15, Opponent 4.8 (Average first half point differential = +10.2)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (14-3).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (67-53).
--PLAY ON - Home favorites of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (NY JETS) - after beating the spread by 21 or more points total in their last three games, in non-conference games.
(36-6 over the last 10 seasons.) (85.7%, +29.4 units. Rating = 5*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 3.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 15, Opponent 4.8 (Average first half point differential = +10.2)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (14-3).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (67-53).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (TENNESSEE) - after beating the spread by 35 or more points total in their last five games, in weeks 5 through 9.
(33-10 since 1983.) (76.7%, +22 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 2.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 13.5, Opponent 8 (Average first half point differential = +5.5)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (6-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (7-3).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (17-7).
--PLAY AGAINST - Favorites vs. the 1rst half line (OAKLAND) - good offensive team - scoring 24 or more points/game, after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game.
(40-14 over the last 5 seasons.) (74.1%, +24.6 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 4.5
The average first half score in these games was: Team 12.3, Opponent 11.7 (Average first half point differential = +0.6)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (23-10).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (68-36).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (153-136).
____________________________________________
• HIGHEST RATED FIRST HALF TOTAL SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
4* NEW ORLEANS/PITTSBURGH OVER 22 - (78%)
3* NY JETS/GREEN BAY OVER 21 - (76.4%)
3* SAN DIEGO/TENNESSEE OVER 22.5 - (74.6%)
3* SAN FRANCISCO/DENVER OVER 21 - (72.9%)
3* OAKLAND/SEATTLE OVER 21.5 - (70.8%)
3* DALLAS/JACKSONVILLE OVER 22 - (68.3%)
--PLAY OVER - Any team vs the 1rst half total (NEW ORLEANS) - excellent passing team - averaging 255 or more passing yards/game, after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in 3 straight games.
(32-9 since 1983.) (78%, +22.1 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 22.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 14.7, Opponent 13.6 (Total first half points scored = 28.3)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (7-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (10-2).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (14-6).
--PLAY OVER - Road teams where the first half total is between 18 and 21 (GREEN BAY) - off 1 or more straight overs against opponent off 2 or more consecutive overs.
(42-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.4%, +27.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 19.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 10.3, Opponent 13.8 (Total first half points scored = 24.1)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (11-2).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (64-37).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (163-149).
--PLAY OVER - Home teams against the 1rst half total (SAN DIEGO) - outgaining opponent by 70 or more passing yards/game on the season, after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game.
(47-16 over the last 10 seasons.) (74.6%, +29.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 22.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 15.3, Opponent 10.4 (Total first half points scored = 25.7)
The situation's record this season is: (4-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (20-5).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (30-13).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (79-62).
--PLAY OVER - Any team where the first half total is between 18 and 21 (SAN FRANCISCO) - off 1 or more straight overs against opponent off 2 or more consecutive overs.
(78-29 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.9%, +46.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 19.8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 11.5, Opponent 12.1 (Total first half points scored = 23.6)
The situation's record this season is: (4-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (20-10).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (128-72).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (330-297).
--PLAY OVER - Road teams vs. the 1rst half total (SEATTLE) - a good defensive team (14-18 PPG) against a poor defensive team (23-27 PPG).
(68-28 over the last 10 seasons.) (70.8%, +37.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 20.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 12.5, Opponent 11 (Total first half points scored = 23.5)
The situation's record this season is: (1-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (13-8).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (30-16).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (140-101).
--PLAY OVER - Any team where the first half total is between 21.5 and 24.5 (DALLAS) - outgaining opponent by 70 or more passing yards/game on the season.
(86-40 over the last 5 seasons.) (68.3%, +42 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 22.9
The average first half score in these games was: Team 13.9, Opponent 12 (Total first half points scored = 25.8)
The situation's record this season is: (13-8).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (55-26).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (126-63).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (193-141).
• TOP RATED COACHING TRENDS - ATS
------------------------------------------------
--Mike McCarthy is 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) in a road game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points as the coach of GREEN BAY.
The average score was McCarthy 26.2, OPPONENT 18.7 - (Rating = 5*)
--Tom Cable is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games as the coach of OAKLAND.
The average score was Cable 8.6, OPPONENT 25.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--Bill Belichick is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) after gaining 150 or less passing yards in last game as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was Belichick 27, OPPONENT 16.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--Bill Belichick is 28-9 ATS (+18.1 Units) after having won 4 out of their last 5 games as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was Belichick 24.8, OPPONENT 16.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--Mike McCarthy is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points as the coach of GREEN BAY.
The average score was McCarthy 25.9, OPPONENT 19.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--Ken Whisenhunt is 7-0 ATS (+7 Units) in home games after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game as the coach of ARIZONA.
The average score was Whisenhunt 33.7, OPPONENT 22.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--Ken Whisenhunt is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive losses as the coach of ARIZONA.
The average score was Whisenhunt 31.1, OPPONENT 21.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--Ken Whisenhunt is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing <= 7.5 yards per return as the coach of ARIZONA.
The average score was Whisenhunt 27.9, OPPONENT 21.5 - (Rating = 2*)
--Ken Whisenhunt is 7-0 ATS (+7 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing >=5.65 yards/play as the coach of ARIZONA.
The average score was Whisenhunt 30.6, OPPONENT 18.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--Tony Sparano is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was Sparano 22.8, OPPONENT 20.2 - (Rating = 2*)
--Tony Sparano is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was Sparano 22.1, OPPONENT 19.5 - (Rating = 2*)
--Tony Sparano is 7-0 ATS (+7 Units) in road games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was Sparano 21.1, OPPONENT 17.6 - (Rating = 2*)
--Tony Sparano is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games after the first month of the season as the coach of MIAMI.
The average score was Sparano 22.6, OPPONENT 20.5 - (Rating = 2*)
--Jack Del Rio is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games as the coach of JACKSONVILLE.
The average score was Del Rio 18, OPPONENT 23.6 - (Rating = 2*)
--Bill Belichick is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was Belichick 26.3, OPPONENT 17.6 - (Rating = 2*)
__________________________________________________ ______
• TOP RATED COACHING TRENDS - OVER/UNDER
------------------------------------------------------------
--Pete Carroll is 10-0 UNDER (+10 Units) versus poor rushing defenses - allowing >=130 rushing yards/game in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was Carroll 17, OPPONENT 14.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--Jeff Fisher is 11-1 OVER (+9.9 Units) against teams with a turnover margin of -1 per game or worse as the coach of TENNESSEE.
The average score was Fisher 26.1, OPPONENT 24 - (Rating = 4*)
--John Fox is 20-4 UNDER (+15.6 Units) vs. poor kickoff coverage teams, allowing >= 24 yards per return as the coach of CAROLINA.
The average score was Fox 17.1, OPPONENT 18.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--Mike Shanahan is 33-10 OVER (+22 Units) after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was Shanahan 26, OPPONENT 23 - (Rating = 3*)
--Ken Whisenhunt is 32-15 OVER (+15.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest as the coach of ARIZONA.
The average score was Whisenhunt 25.9, OPPONENT 26.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--Ken Whisenhunt is 14-4 OVER (+9.6 Units) after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse as the coach of ARIZONA.
The average score was Whisenhunt 28.5, OPPONENT 26.9 - (Rating = 2*)
--Marvin Lewis is 11-2 UNDER (+8.8 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points as the coach of CINCINNATI.
The average score was Lewis 20.2, OPPONENT 17.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--Wade Phillips is 25-9 OVER (+15.1 Units) in October games in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was Phillips 23.3, OPPONENT 22.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--Wade Phillips is 13-3 OVER (+9.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 as the coach of DALLAS.
The average score was Phillips 25.9, OPPONENT 25.4 - (Rating = 2*)
--Brad Childress is 14-4 OVER (+9.6 Units) off a road loss as the coach of MINNESOTA.
The average score was Childress 25, OPPONENT 21.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--Brad Childress is 15-4 OVER (+10.6 Units) after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games as the coach of MINNESOTA.
The average score was Childress 22.7, OPPONENT 22.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--Brad Childress is 12-3 OVER (+8.7 Units) vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better as the coach of MINNESOTA.
The average score was Childress 26.2, OPPONENT 23.8 - (Rating = 2*)
--Bill Belichick is 17-6 UNDER (+10.4 Units) in home games off 2 or more consecutive unders as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was Belichick 21, OPPONENT 16.7 - (Rating = 2*)
--Bill Belichick is 26-11 UNDER (+13.9 Units) after having won 4 out of their last 5 games as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was Belichick 24.8, OPPONENT 16.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--Sean Payton is 21-7 OVER (+13.3 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 as the coach of NEW ORLEANS.
The average score was Payton 27.4, OPPONENT 25.5 - (Rating = 2*)
__________________________________________________ _____
• TOP RATED TEAM TEASER LINE TRENDS
---------------------------------------------------
--SAN DIEGO is 65-12 (+27 Units) against a teaser line vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse since 1992.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 23.8, OPPONENT 20.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--KANSAS CITY is 37-3 (+27.5 Units) against a teaser line after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better since 1992.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 24.1, OPPONENT 19.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--KANSAS CITY is 69-12 (+31 Units) against a teaser line after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better since 1992.
The average score was KANSAS CITY 23.2, OPPONENT 18.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW ENGLAND is 21-1 (+17.8 Units) against a teaser line after being outgained by 150+ total yards in their previous game since 1992.
The average score was NEW ENGLAND 24.6, OPPONENT 20.5 - (Rating = 2*)
--OAKLAND is 17-0 (+17 Units) against a teaser line after a dominating performance - 34+ minutes TOP, 24+ First downs since 1992.
The average score was OAKLAND 28.9, OPPONENT 17.8 - (Rating = 2*)
--SAN DIEGO is 17-0 (+17 Units) against a teaser line against AFC South division opponents since 1992.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 28.2, OPPONENT 17.7 - (Rating = 2*)
__________________________________________________ __________
Stan ‘The Man’ opened the NBA season Tuesday, dishing-out an easy *5-Star selection with the Celtics taking down LeBron and his Heat in Boston. He didn't "Rest on his Laurels" Wednesday, winning both the side and total in World Series action! The 33-year vet took the night off Thursday in the NBA but scored once again as Matt Cain silenced the Rangers for 7 2/3 innings and Edgar Renteria went 2-for-4 with a homer and three RBI, as the San Francisco Giants took control of the World Series by shutting out Texas, 9-0, in Game 2 at AT&T Park.
If you enjoyed Stan's 18-0 Awesome Angle Most Valuable Play winner last Sunday with Buffalo you'll love this Sunday's Most Valuable Play in the NFL. It's supported with another Awesome Angle inside the game that is 100% ATS since 1980 and it's yours - if you act now. Call me toll-free in the office @ 1-800-351-4640 and win once again with Stan today!
________________________________________________
• HIGHEST RATED ATS SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------------
5* OAKLAND -2.5 - (84.6%)
4* MIAMI +1 - (78.6%)
3* JACKSONVILLE +6.5 - (78%)
3* BUFFALO +7.5 - (78%)
3* JACKSONVILLE +6.5 - (75.5%)
3* CAROLINA +3 - (73.8%)
3* DENVER +2.5 - (72.5%)
--PLAY ON - Home teams (OAKLAND) - a good offensive team (23-27 PPG) against a good defensive team (14-18 PPG), after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game.
(22-4 since 1983.) (84.6%, +17.6 units. Rating = 5*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (23-3)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 3.6
The average score in these games was: Team 29.4, Opponent 15.1 (Average point differential = +14.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 14 (56% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (0-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (0-1).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (2-2).
--PLAY AGAINST - Home favorites (CINCINNATI) - excellent passing team (>=265 PY/game) against an average passing defense (185-230 PY/game), after gaining 7 or more passing yards/attempt last game.
(33-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.6%, +23.1 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (16-27 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 8.9
The average score in these games was: Team 20.8, Opponent 24.1 (Average point differential = -3.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 20 (46.5% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (3-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (17-4).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (44-20).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (75-51).
--PLAY ON - Road teams (JACKSONVILLE) - with a horrible scoring defense - allowing 27 or more points/game, after allowing 25 points or more in 2 straight games.
(32-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (78%, +22.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (16-26 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 7
The average score in these games was: Team 20.5, Opponent 23.8 (Average point differential = -3.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 18 (43.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (4-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (25-6).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (51-26).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (102-81).
--PLAY ON - Road teams (BUFFALO) - with a horrible scoring defense - allowing 27 or more points/game, after allowing 25 points or more in 2 straight games.
(32-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (78%, +22.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (16-26 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 7
The average score in these games was: Team 20.5, Opponent 23.8 (Average point differential = -3.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 18 (43.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (4-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (25-6).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (51-26).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (102-81).
--PLAY AGAINST - Home favorites (DALLAS) - average rushing team (3.5 to 4.5 YPR) against a team with a poor rushing defense (>=4.5 YPR), after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game.
(37-12 over the last 10 seasons.) (75.5%, +23.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (23-27 over the last 10 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 5.8
The average score in these games was: Team 21.3, Opponent 20.5 (Average point differential = +0.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 21 (44.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (13-6).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (16-6).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (59-28).
--PLAY AGAINST - Home teams (ST LOUIS) - poor passing team (5.3-5.9 PYA) against a horrible passing team (<=5.3 PYA).
(62-22 since 1983.) (73.8%, +37.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (41-45)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 4.9
The average score in these games was: Team 19.6, Opponent 19.1 (Average point differential = +0.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 36 (42.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (4-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (7-3).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (16-9).
--PLAY ON - Any team (DENVER) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 28 points in their previous game, after the first month of the season.
(50-19 over the last 10 seasons.) (72.5%, +29.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (40-31 over the last 10 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.9
The average score in these games was: Team 24, Opponent 22.4 (Average point differential = +1.6)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 24 (35.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (12-6).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (26-11).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (70-43).
___________________________________________
• HIGHEST RATED OVER/UNDER SUPER SITUATIONS
---------------------------------------------------------------
5* ARIZONA/TAMPA BAY UNDER 39.5 - (88.9%)
4* OAKLAND/SEATTLE UNDER 42 - (84.4%)
3* NY JETS/GREEN BAY OVER 41.5 - (73.7%)
3* ST LOUIS/CAROLINA OVER 37 - (73.6%)
3* SAN DIEGO/TENNESSEE OVER 44.5 - (73.1%)
3* KANSAS CITY/BUFFALO UNDER 46.5 - (72.2%)
3* SAN FRANCISCO/DENVER OVER 41.5 - (72.9%)
4* SAN DIEGO/TENNESSEE OVER 44.5 - (71.4%)
--PLAY UNDER - Road teams against the total (TAMPA BAY) - average rushing team (95 to 125 RY/game) against a poor rushing team (70-95 RY/game), after allowing 150 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games.
(24-3 since 1983.) (88.9%, +20.7 units. Rating = 5*)
The average total posted in these games was: 41.1
The average score in these games was: Team 16, Opponent 16.2 (Total points scored = 32.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 16 (59.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (4-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (7-0).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (14-2).
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams against the total (OAKLAND) - off a double digit win as a road underdog of 6 more, after the first month of the season.
(27-5 over the last 10 seasons.) (84.4%, +21.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 41.2
The average score in these games was: Team 18.8, Opponent 15.8 (Total points scored = 34.6)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 15 (45.5% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (15-2).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (42-24).
--PLAY OVER - Road teams where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (GREEN BAY) - off 1 or more straight overs against opponent off 2 or more consecutive overs.
(42-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.7%, +25.5 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 39.2
The average score in these games was: Team 21.7, Opponent 23.5 (Total points scored = 45.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 26 (45.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-5).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (65-37).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (176-134).
--PLAY OVER - Any team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (ST LOUIS) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (295 to 335 YPG).
(78-28 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.6%, +47.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 39.2
The average score in these games was: Team 23, Opponent 23 (Total points scored = 46)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 54 (50% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (10-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (32-8).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (200-120).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (590-470).
--PLAY OVER - Any team against the total (SAN DIEGO) - after gaining 50 or less rushing yards last game against opponent after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game.
(57-21 over the last 10 seasons.) (73.1%, +33.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 40.6
The average score in these games was: Team 23.4, Opponent 22.8 (Total points scored = 46.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 31 (40.8% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-8).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (33-11).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (140-106).
--PLAY UNDER - Any team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (BUFFALO) - after allowing 30 points or more last game against opponent after 2 straight games where 50 total points or more were scored.
(83-32 since 1983.) (72.2%, +45.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 45.3
The average score in these games was: Team 20.7, Opponent 19.9 (Total points scored = 40.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 52 (45.2% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (15-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (21-11).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (33-17).
--PLAY OVER - Any team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (DENVER) - terrible rushing team (<=70 RY/game) against a team with an average rushing defense (95-125 RY/game).
(43-16 since 1983.) (72.9%, +25.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 38.5
The average score in these games was: Team 21, Opponent 24.2 (Total points scored = 45.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 28 (50% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (1-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (3-1).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (9-5).
--PLAY OVER - Road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (TENNESSEE) - good passing team - with a completion pct of 60% or better, after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games.
(50-20 since 1983.) (71.4%, +28 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 44.9
The average score in these games was: Team 24.9, Opponent 25.4 (Total points scored = 50.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 29 (40.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (11-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (19-3).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (31-11).
___________________________________________
• HIGHEST RATED FIRST HALF SUPER SITUATIONS
--------------------------------------------------------------
5* NEW ENGLAND -2.5 - (85.7%)
5* NY JETS -3 - (85.7%)
3* SAN DIEGO -2 - (76.7%)
3* SEATTLE +1.5 - (74.1%)
--PLAY ON - Home favorites of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (NEW ENGLAND) - after beating the spread by 21 or more points total in their last three games, in non-conference games.
(36-6 over the last 10 seasons.) (85.7%, +29.4 units. Rating = 5*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 3.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 15, Opponent 4.8 (Average first half point differential = +10.2)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (14-3).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (67-53).
--PLAY ON - Home favorites of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (NY JETS) - after beating the spread by 21 or more points total in their last three games, in non-conference games.
(36-6 over the last 10 seasons.) (85.7%, +29.4 units. Rating = 5*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 3.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 15, Opponent 4.8 (Average first half point differential = +10.2)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (14-3).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (67-53).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (TENNESSEE) - after beating the spread by 35 or more points total in their last five games, in weeks 5 through 9.
(33-10 since 1983.) (76.7%, +22 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 2.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 13.5, Opponent 8 (Average first half point differential = +5.5)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (6-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (7-3).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (17-7).
--PLAY AGAINST - Favorites vs. the 1rst half line (OAKLAND) - good offensive team - scoring 24 or more points/game, after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game.
(40-14 over the last 5 seasons.) (74.1%, +24.6 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 4.5
The average first half score in these games was: Team 12.3, Opponent 11.7 (Average first half point differential = +0.6)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (23-10).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (68-36).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (153-136).
____________________________________________
• HIGHEST RATED FIRST HALF TOTAL SUPER SITUATIONS
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
4* NEW ORLEANS/PITTSBURGH OVER 22 - (78%)
3* NY JETS/GREEN BAY OVER 21 - (76.4%)
3* SAN DIEGO/TENNESSEE OVER 22.5 - (74.6%)
3* SAN FRANCISCO/DENVER OVER 21 - (72.9%)
3* OAKLAND/SEATTLE OVER 21.5 - (70.8%)
3* DALLAS/JACKSONVILLE OVER 22 - (68.3%)
--PLAY OVER - Any team vs the 1rst half total (NEW ORLEANS) - excellent passing team - averaging 255 or more passing yards/game, after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in 3 straight games.
(32-9 since 1983.) (78%, +22.1 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 22.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 14.7, Opponent 13.6 (Total first half points scored = 28.3)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (7-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (10-2).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (14-6).
--PLAY OVER - Road teams where the first half total is between 18 and 21 (GREEN BAY) - off 1 or more straight overs against opponent off 2 or more consecutive overs.
(42-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.4%, +27.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 19.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 10.3, Opponent 13.8 (Total first half points scored = 24.1)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (11-2).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (64-37).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (163-149).
--PLAY OVER - Home teams against the 1rst half total (SAN DIEGO) - outgaining opponent by 70 or more passing yards/game on the season, after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game.
(47-16 over the last 10 seasons.) (74.6%, +29.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 22.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 15.3, Opponent 10.4 (Total first half points scored = 25.7)
The situation's record this season is: (4-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (20-5).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (30-13).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (79-62).
--PLAY OVER - Any team where the first half total is between 18 and 21 (SAN FRANCISCO) - off 1 or more straight overs against opponent off 2 or more consecutive overs.
(78-29 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.9%, +46.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 19.8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 11.5, Opponent 12.1 (Total first half points scored = 23.6)
The situation's record this season is: (4-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (20-10).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (128-72).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (330-297).
--PLAY OVER - Road teams vs. the 1rst half total (SEATTLE) - a good defensive team (14-18 PPG) against a poor defensive team (23-27 PPG).
(68-28 over the last 10 seasons.) (70.8%, +37.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 20.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 12.5, Opponent 11 (Total first half points scored = 23.5)
The situation's record this season is: (1-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (13-8).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (30-16).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (140-101).
--PLAY OVER - Any team where the first half total is between 21.5 and 24.5 (DALLAS) - outgaining opponent by 70 or more passing yards/game on the season.
(86-40 over the last 5 seasons.) (68.3%, +42 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 22.9
The average first half score in these games was: Team 13.9, Opponent 12 (Total first half points scored = 25.8)
The situation's record this season is: (13-8).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (55-26).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (126-63).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (193-141).
David Banks
Sunday October 31, 2010
NFL
1:00 Washington +3 vs. Detroit
1:00 Buffalo +7 vs. Kansas City
4:05 San Diego -4 vs. Buffalo
4:15 Arizona -3 vs. Tampa Bay
8:20 New Orleans -1 vs. Pittsburgh
8:20 New Orleans/Pittsburgh OVER 44.5
NBA
7:05 Oklahoma City -6 vs. Utah Jazz
9:35 Golden STate +9.5 vs. LA Lakers
MLB
8:20 Texas -138
Sunday October 31, 2010
NFL
1:00 Washington +3 vs. Detroit
1:00 Buffalo +7 vs. Kansas City
4:05 San Diego -4 vs. Buffalo
4:15 Arizona -3 vs. Tampa Bay
8:20 New Orleans -1 vs. Pittsburgh
8:20 New Orleans/Pittsburgh OVER 44.5
NBA
7:05 Oklahoma City -6 vs. Utah Jazz
9:35 Golden STate +9.5 vs. LA Lakers
MLB
8:20 Texas -138
Hondo
Auburn spared Hondo the quint-essential disaster yesterday, which kept his deficit under the 3,000 barrier after unamusing losses with Funny Moon in the sixth at Belmont, Cincinnati, Michigan State and the Giants.
Today, with the number on the big red deficit tote board at 2,930 grogans, he'll play for paydirt pay days with the Rams, Chargers, Patriots and Steelers -- 10 units apiece.
Auburn spared Hondo the quint-essential disaster yesterday, which kept his deficit under the 3,000 barrier after unamusing losses with Funny Moon in the sixth at Belmont, Cincinnati, Michigan State and the Giants.
Today, with the number on the big red deficit tote board at 2,930 grogans, he'll play for paydirt pay days with the Rams, Chargers, Patriots and Steelers -- 10 units apiece.
DCI NHL
Season: 42-38 (.525)
Chicago vs. N.Y. RANGERS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
PHILADELPHIA 3, Carolina 2
VANCOUVER 3, New Jersey 2
DCI NBA
Season
Straight Up: 25-11 (.694)
ATS: 18-20 (.474)
ATS Vary Units: 62-87 (.416)
Over/Under: 18-21 (.462)
Over/Under Vary Units: 37-26 (.587)
Miami 96, NEW JERSEY 89
Dallas 103, L.A. CLIPPERS 94
OKLAHOMA CITY 106, Utah 102
L.A. LAKERS 118, Golden State 103
Season: 42-38 (.525)
Chicago vs. N.Y. RANGERS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
PHILADELPHIA 3, Carolina 2
VANCOUVER 3, New Jersey 2
DCI NBA
Season
Straight Up: 25-11 (.694)
ATS: 18-20 (.474)
ATS Vary Units: 62-87 (.416)
Over/Under: 18-21 (.462)
Over/Under Vary Units: 37-26 (.587)
Miami 96, NEW JERSEY 89
Dallas 103, L.A. CLIPPERS 94
OKLAHOMA CITY 106, Utah 102
L.A. LAKERS 118, Golden State 103
DCI NFL
Season
Straight Up: 53-47 (.530)
ATS: 40-60 (.400)
ATS Vary Units: 183-328 (.358)
Over/Under: 43-59 (.422)
Over/Under Vary Units: 129-194 (.399)
Sunday, October 31, 2010
Washington 26, DETROIT 16
KANSAS CITY 34, Buffalo 16
Carolina vs. ST. LOUIS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
SAN FRANCISCO 24, Denver 20
N.Y. JETS 29, Green Bay 17
Miami 23, CINCINNATI 20
DALLAS 29, Jacksonville 19
Tennessee 29, SAN DIEGO 20
ARIZONA 22, Tampa Bay 20
NEW ENGLAND 28, Minnesota 21
OAKLAND 22, Seattle 20
Pittsburgh 24, NEW ORLEANS 19
Monday, November 1, 2010
INDIANAPOLIS 31, Houston 22
Season
Straight Up: 53-47 (.530)
ATS: 40-60 (.400)
ATS Vary Units: 183-328 (.358)
Over/Under: 43-59 (.422)
Over/Under Vary Units: 129-194 (.399)
Sunday, October 31, 2010
Washington 26, DETROIT 16
KANSAS CITY 34, Buffalo 16
Carolina vs. ST. LOUIS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
SAN FRANCISCO 24, Denver 20
N.Y. JETS 29, Green Bay 17
Miami 23, CINCINNATI 20
DALLAS 29, Jacksonville 19
Tennessee 29, SAN DIEGO 20
ARIZONA 22, Tampa Bay 20
NEW ENGLAND 28, Minnesota 21
OAKLAND 22, Seattle 20
Pittsburgh 24, NEW ORLEANS 19
Monday, November 1, 2010
INDIANAPOLIS 31, Houston 22
Bobby Maxwell
Sunday's winner...
800-Unit NFL Primetime Game of the Year - PITTSBURGH STEELERS
This game is plain and simple, the Saints have had trouble taking care of the ball and trouble getting it into the end zone and now they have to face the best defense in the NFL. Ouch. That has me grabbing whatever points are out there and taking the Steelers in this matchup. And I expect them to win this thing outright, but will grab whatever points are out there.
Pittsburgh’s defense allows just 13.7 points per game and they are plus-eight in the turnover ratio. Offensively, QB Ben Roethlisberger has won his two starts since coming back from his suspension, leading the Steelers to wins over the Browns and Dolphins. He’s thrown five TD passes and just one INT.
This team without Roethlisberger was damn good, and with him in there, they now have the offense to go along with the defense. This team is 5-1 on the season (4-2 ATS) and narrowly lost to rival Baltimore 17-14 as a two-point favorite.
New Orleans has committed 14 turnovers in the last five games and QB Drew Brees had four interceptions last week in that ugly 30-17 loss to the Browns. Brees has 10 interceptions in the last five games and now he gets this defense that will be coming after him and has safety Troy Palamalu sitting back there waiting for a tipped ball or errant pass.
Pittsburgh is on several ATS streaks, including 27-13-1 in October games, 5-2-1 overall, 19-7 as a ‘dog and 6-0 as a road ‘dog. New Orleans is on ATS skids of 1-4 at home, 2-8 in Week 8, 1-5 as a favorite and 2-8 on field turf.
Look for the Steelers to harass Brees and not let him get comfortable in the pocket. They will get the key turnovers and move the ball on offense and end up winning this game when all is said and done. But I’ll grab the point or two in case something wacky happens in the final minutes. Play Pittsburgh.
Sunday's winner...
800-Unit NFL Primetime Game of the Year - PITTSBURGH STEELERS
This game is plain and simple, the Saints have had trouble taking care of the ball and trouble getting it into the end zone and now they have to face the best defense in the NFL. Ouch. That has me grabbing whatever points are out there and taking the Steelers in this matchup. And I expect them to win this thing outright, but will grab whatever points are out there.
Pittsburgh’s defense allows just 13.7 points per game and they are plus-eight in the turnover ratio. Offensively, QB Ben Roethlisberger has won his two starts since coming back from his suspension, leading the Steelers to wins over the Browns and Dolphins. He’s thrown five TD passes and just one INT.
This team without Roethlisberger was damn good, and with him in there, they now have the offense to go along with the defense. This team is 5-1 on the season (4-2 ATS) and narrowly lost to rival Baltimore 17-14 as a two-point favorite.
New Orleans has committed 14 turnovers in the last five games and QB Drew Brees had four interceptions last week in that ugly 30-17 loss to the Browns. Brees has 10 interceptions in the last five games and now he gets this defense that will be coming after him and has safety Troy Palamalu sitting back there waiting for a tipped ball or errant pass.
Pittsburgh is on several ATS streaks, including 27-13-1 in October games, 5-2-1 overall, 19-7 as a ‘dog and 6-0 as a road ‘dog. New Orleans is on ATS skids of 1-4 at home, 2-8 in Week 8, 1-5 as a favorite and 2-8 on field turf.
Look for the Steelers to harass Brees and not let him get comfortable in the pocket. They will get the key turnovers and move the ball on offense and end up winning this game when all is said and done. But I’ll grab the point or two in case something wacky happens in the final minutes. Play Pittsburgh.
Private Members Area
Psychic (1-5)
2 units Pittsburgh +1
3 units Jacksonville +6.5
5 units Miami +1 (WISEGUY)
Sports Lock (1-25)
5 units Oakland -2.5
10 units Denver +2.5
25 units Pittsburgh +1 (Non Conference Lock of the Year)
Vegas Express (1-50)
10 units Minnesota +5.5
20 units Detroit -2.5
30 units Seattle +2.5
40 units NY Jets -6
Sports Machine (1-20)
5 units St. Louis -2.5
10 units NY Jets -6
SuperLockLine Plus (1-10)
5 units NY Jets -6
MLB
10 units SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS
NFL Guru (1-10)
5 units Tennessee +4
5 units Tennessee over 44.5
10 units Minnesota +5.5 (GAME OF THE MONTH)
Welcome to the Super Betting Club
Sports Lock (rank 1-25)
Vegas Express - (rank 1-50)
NFL Guru - (rank 1-10)
Sports Machine - (rank 1-20)
SuperLockLine Plus - (rank 1-10)
Psychic (rank 1-5) Major = 4, Wiseguy = 5
Psychic (1-5)
2 units Pittsburgh +1
3 units Jacksonville +6.5
5 units Miami +1 (WISEGUY)
Sports Lock (1-25)
5 units Oakland -2.5
10 units Denver +2.5
25 units Pittsburgh +1 (Non Conference Lock of the Year)
Vegas Express (1-50)
10 units Minnesota +5.5
20 units Detroit -2.5
30 units Seattle +2.5
40 units NY Jets -6
Sports Machine (1-20)
5 units St. Louis -2.5
10 units NY Jets -6
SuperLockLine Plus (1-10)
5 units NY Jets -6
MLB
10 units SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS
NFL Guru (1-10)
5 units Tennessee +4
5 units Tennessee over 44.5
10 units Minnesota +5.5 (GAME OF THE MONTH)
Welcome to the Super Betting Club
Sports Lock (rank 1-25)
Vegas Express - (rank 1-50)
NFL Guru - (rank 1-10)
Sports Machine - (rank 1-20)
SuperLockLine Plus - (rank 1-10)
Psychic (rank 1-5) Major = 4, Wiseguy = 5
