SB Professor Original NFL Picks 10/30
System plays:
Arizona +3
Green Bay +3
Other plays:
Denver -4
(All plays tracked at released points, assuming -110 line)
3-Game Chase System Follow: 7-0, +5.9 units (next play: B, risk 2.31 to win 2.1 units)
All-Out Chase (Bankroll Buster) Follow: 7-5, +5.9 units (next play: risk 2.31 to win 2.1 units)
Simple Follow: 7-5-3, +1.5 units (always risk 1.1 to win 1 unit)
3-Game Chase System Fade: 5-1, -3.26 units (next play: A, risk 1.1 to win 1 units)
All-Out Chase (Bankroll Buster) Fade: 5-7, +5 units (next play: risk 1.1 to win 1 units)
Simple Fade: 5-7-3, -2.7 units (always risk 1.1 to win 1 unit)
Additional Plays Overall Record: 2-3, -1.3 units (always risk 1.1 to win 1 unit)
Streaks (does not include pushes): L3; lost 3 of 5
A bets: 4W-4L, Win%: 50.0%
B bets: 2W-1L, Win%: 66.7%
C bets: 1W-0L-3P, Win%: 100.0%
System plays:
Arizona +3
Green Bay +3
Other plays:
Denver -4
(All plays tracked at released points, assuming -110 line)
3-Game Chase System Follow: 7-0, +5.9 units (next play: B, risk 2.31 to win 2.1 units)
All-Out Chase (Bankroll Buster) Follow: 7-5, +5.9 units (next play: risk 2.31 to win 2.1 units)
Simple Follow: 7-5-3, +1.5 units (always risk 1.1 to win 1 unit)
3-Game Chase System Fade: 5-1, -3.26 units (next play: A, risk 1.1 to win 1 units)
All-Out Chase (Bankroll Buster) Fade: 5-7, +5 units (next play: risk 1.1 to win 1 units)
Simple Fade: 5-7-3, -2.7 units (always risk 1.1 to win 1 unit)
Additional Plays Overall Record: 2-3, -1.3 units (always risk 1.1 to win 1 unit)
Streaks (does not include pushes): L3; lost 3 of 5
A bets: 4W-4L, Win%: 50.0%
B bets: 2W-1L, Win%: 66.7%
C bets: 1W-0L-3P, Win%: 100.0%
Hondo- NFL Bonus Plays
Wk1: 7-9 (-2.9 units) (1-2 Best Bets, -1.2 units)
Wk2: 9-7 (+1.3 units) (2-1 Best Bets, +0.9 units)
Wk3: 8-8 (-0.8 units) (1-2 Best Bets, -1.2 units)
Wk4: 6-9 (-3.9 units) (2-1 Best Bets, +0.9 units)
Wk5: 8-5-1 (+2.5 units) (2-1 Best Bets, +0.9 units)
Wk6: 5-8-2 (-3.8 units) (1-1-1 Best Bets, -0.1 units)
Wk7: 8-7 (+0.3 units) (2-0-1 Best Bets, +2 units)
Total: 51-53-3 (-7.3 units) (11-8-2 Best Bets, +2.2 units)
Wk8:
(W) TEN
CLE +3
CIN -2.5
ATL -3
HOU -2.5
SEA -2.5
NE -5 (BB)
OAK pk
IND +2.5
DEN -4.5 (BB)
ARZ +3
DAL -4
MIN -4 (BB)
Wk1: 7-9 (-2.9 units) (1-2 Best Bets, -1.2 units)
Wk2: 9-7 (+1.3 units) (2-1 Best Bets, +0.9 units)
Wk3: 8-8 (-0.8 units) (1-2 Best Bets, -1.2 units)
Wk4: 6-9 (-3.9 units) (2-1 Best Bets, +0.9 units)
Wk5: 8-5-1 (+2.5 units) (2-1 Best Bets, +0.9 units)
Wk6: 5-8-2 (-3.8 units) (1-1-1 Best Bets, -0.1 units)
Wk7: 8-7 (+0.3 units) (2-0-1 Best Bets, +2 units)
Total: 51-53-3 (-7.3 units) (11-8-2 Best Bets, +2.2 units)
Wk8:
(W) TEN
CLE +3
CIN -2.5
ATL -3
HOU -2.5
SEA -2.5
NE -5 (BB)
OAK pk
IND +2.5
DEN -4.5 (BB)
ARZ +3
DAL -4
MIN -4 (BB)
StatFox Super Situations
NFL*|*SEATTLE*at*NEW ORLEANS
Play On - Underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (NEW ORLEANS) after having lost 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games against opponent after having won 3 out of their last 4 games
67-31*over the last 5 seasons.**(*68.4%*|*32.9 units*)
0-1*this year.**(*0.0%*|*-1.1 units*)
NFL*|*SEATTLE*at*NEW ORLEANS
Play On - Road teams with a money line of +130 to -150 (SEATTLE) after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game
115-71*over the last 10 seasons.**(*61.8%*|*0.0 units*)
2-3*this year.**(*40.0%*|*0.0 units*)
NFL*|*NY JETS*at*CLEVELAND
Play Under - Any team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points after having lost 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing against a terrible team (<=25%)
46-18*since 1997.**(*71.9%*|*26.2 units*)
0-1*this year.**(*0.0%*|*-1.1 units*)
NFL*|*SEATTLE*at*NEW ORLEANS
Play On - Underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (NEW ORLEANS) after having lost 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games against opponent after having won 3 out of their last 4 games
67-31*over the last 5 seasons.**(*68.4%*|*32.9 units*)
0-1*this year.**(*0.0%*|*-1.1 units*)
NFL*|*SEATTLE*at*NEW ORLEANS
Play On - Road teams with a money line of +130 to -150 (SEATTLE) after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game
115-71*over the last 10 seasons.**(*61.8%*|*0.0 units*)
2-3*this year.**(*40.0%*|*0.0 units*)
NFL*|*NY JETS*at*CLEVELAND
Play Under - Any team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points after having lost 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing against a terrible team (<=25%)
46-18*since 1997.**(*71.9%*|*26.2 units*)
0-1*this year.**(*0.0%*|*-1.1 units*)
Hondo
Hondo bucks with Broncos
Baylor flopped in the fourth quarter on Saturday, which opened the door for a Texas victory and a Hondo loss that trimmed the earnings to 3,282 alzados.
Sunday: Mr. Aitch expects Rivers to come up dry against the big bad Broncos “D” — 20 units on Denver to smoke the chokin’ Chargers.
Hondo bucks with Broncos
Baylor flopped in the fourth quarter on Saturday, which opened the door for a Texas victory and a Hondo loss that trimmed the earnings to 3,282 alzados.
Sunday: Mr. Aitch expects Rivers to come up dry against the big bad Broncos “D” — 20 units on Denver to smoke the chokin’ Chargers.
Marc Lawrence
NFL
Game 264 - Buccaneers (pick/+1)
Play- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Game 264)
Edges - Buccaneers: 8-1-1 ATS versus winning AFC West opponents if not off a division game; and Raiders: head coach Jack Del Rio is 0-6 ATS in his career off a double-digit win when facing a losing opponent; Oakland 0-9 ATS Game Eight versus losing opponent; and 4-11 SU and 5-10 ATS all-time versus NFC South opponents, including 0-4 SUATS versus foe off SU underdog win with every loss by double-digit - average loss 17.25 points; and 3-17 SUATS versus sub .500 NFC opponents, including 0-8 SUATS when not getting 2 or more points; and 5-20 SU away with no rest versus .250 or greater opponent. Our database seals the deal as it notes that 3-3 NFL teams in Game Seven, off a SUATS win facing an opponent also off a SUATS win are 0-15 ATS since 1980 as either a favorite or a dog of less than 7 points when they are off a spread win of 9 or more points when facing a foe with at least one loss on the season that beat the spread by 5 or more points in its last game.
Game 266 - Colts (+2.5)
Play - Indianapolis Colts (Game 266)
Edges - Colts: QB Andrew Luck is 8-1 SU and 9-0 ATS in his NFL career as a home dog; and Indianapolis is 7-1 ATS last eight game versus AFC West opponents. Chiefs: 1-6 SU and 2-5 ATS as a visitor in this series; and 1-4 ATS away between home games. Our Perfect System Club cements the call as it tells us to: PLAY AGAINST any .600 or greater NFL non-division road favorite from Game Seven out who is off a non-shutout win of 6 or more points and allows 4.3 or more Yards Per Rush if they have won 21 or fewer of their last 32 games and the Over/Under total in this game is set at 45 or more points. That' s because these teams are 0-15 ATS in this role since 1980.
MISTER SOFTIE
PLAY AGAINST any .600 or greater NFL non-division road favorite from Game Seven out who is off a non-shutout win of 6 or more points and allows 4.3 or more Yards Per Rush if they have won 21 or fewer of their last 32 games and the Over/Under total in this game is set at 45 or more points.
ATS W-L Record Since 1980: 15-0
Play Against: Kansas City Chiefs
NFL
Game 264 - Buccaneers (pick/+1)
Play- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Game 264)
Edges - Buccaneers: 8-1-1 ATS versus winning AFC West opponents if not off a division game; and Raiders: head coach Jack Del Rio is 0-6 ATS in his career off a double-digit win when facing a losing opponent; Oakland 0-9 ATS Game Eight versus losing opponent; and 4-11 SU and 5-10 ATS all-time versus NFC South opponents, including 0-4 SUATS versus foe off SU underdog win with every loss by double-digit - average loss 17.25 points; and 3-17 SUATS versus sub .500 NFC opponents, including 0-8 SUATS when not getting 2 or more points; and 5-20 SU away with no rest versus .250 or greater opponent. Our database seals the deal as it notes that 3-3 NFL teams in Game Seven, off a SUATS win facing an opponent also off a SUATS win are 0-15 ATS since 1980 as either a favorite or a dog of less than 7 points when they are off a spread win of 9 or more points when facing a foe with at least one loss on the season that beat the spread by 5 or more points in its last game.
Game 266 - Colts (+2.5)
Play - Indianapolis Colts (Game 266)
Edges - Colts: QB Andrew Luck is 8-1 SU and 9-0 ATS in his NFL career as a home dog; and Indianapolis is 7-1 ATS last eight game versus AFC West opponents. Chiefs: 1-6 SU and 2-5 ATS as a visitor in this series; and 1-4 ATS away between home games. Our Perfect System Club cements the call as it tells us to: PLAY AGAINST any .600 or greater NFL non-division road favorite from Game Seven out who is off a non-shutout win of 6 or more points and allows 4.3 or more Yards Per Rush if they have won 21 or fewer of their last 32 games and the Over/Under total in this game is set at 45 or more points. That' s because these teams are 0-15 ATS in this role since 1980.
MISTER SOFTIE
PLAY AGAINST any .600 or greater NFL non-division road favorite from Game Seven out who is off a non-shutout win of 6 or more points and allows 4.3 or more Yards Per Rush if they have won 21 or fewer of their last 32 games and the Over/Under total in this game is set at 45 or more points.
ATS W-L Record Since 1980: 15-0
Play Against: Kansas City Chiefs
INTPICKS
[h=3]NFL[/h][h=3][/h][h=3]#259[/h][h=3]2 Stars[/h][h=3]1:00 PM ET[/h][h=3]New England @ Buffalo[/h][h=3]Take New England -6[/h][h=3][/h][h=3][/h][h=3]#256[/h][h=3]1 Star[/h][h=3]1:00 PM ET[/h][h=3]Detroit @ Houston[/h][h=3]Take Houston -1[/h][h=3][/h][h=3][/h][h=3]#258[/h][h=3]1 Star[/h][h=3]1:00 PM ET[/h][h=3]Seattle @ New Orleans[/h][h=3]Take New Orleans +2[/h][h=3][/h][h=3][/h][h=3]#262[/h][h=3]1 Star[/h][h=3]1:00 PM ET[/h][h=3]NY Jets @ Cleveland[/h][h=3]Take Cleveland +3[/h][h=3][/h][h=3][/h][h=3]#267[/h][h=3]2 Stars[/h][h=3]4:05 PM ET[/h][h=3]San Diego @ Denver[/h][h=3]Take San Diego +4.5[/h][h=3][/h][h=3][/h][h=3]#253[/h][h=3]1 Star[/h][h=3]4:25 PM ET[/h][h=3]Green Bay @ Atlanta[/h][h=3]Take Green Bay +3[/h][h=3][/h][h=3][/h][h=3]#271[/h][h=3]2 Stars[/h][h=3]8:30 PM ET[/h][h=3]Philadelphia @ Dallas[/h][h=3]Take Philadelphia +5.5[/h][h=3][/h][h=3][/h][h=3]MLB[/h][h=3][/h][h=3]#906[/h][h=3]2 Stars[/h][h=3]8:05 PM ET[/h][h=3]Cleveland @ Chicago Cubs[/h][h=3]Take Chicago Cubs ML (-220)[/h][h=3][/h][h=3][/h][h=3]NBA[/h][h=3][/h][h=3]#702[/h][h=3]1 Star[/h][h=3]4:30 PM ET[/h][h=3]Utah @ LA Clippers[/h][h=3]Take LA Clippers -8[/h][h=3][/h][h=3][/h][h=3]#713[/h][h=3]1 Star[/h][h=3]8:00 PM ET[/h][h=3]Dallas @ Houston[/h][h=3]Take Dallas +6[/h][h=3][/h][h=3][/h][h=3]Free Pick[/h][h=3][/h][h=3]NFL[/h][h=3]#270[/h][h=3]1 Star[/h][h=3]1:00 PM ET[/h][h=3]Arizona @ Carolina[/h][h=3]Take Carolina -3[/h]
[h=3]NFL[/h][h=3][/h][h=3]#259[/h][h=3]2 Stars[/h][h=3]1:00 PM ET[/h][h=3]New England @ Buffalo[/h][h=3]Take New England -6[/h][h=3][/h][h=3][/h][h=3]#256[/h][h=3]1 Star[/h][h=3]1:00 PM ET[/h][h=3]Detroit @ Houston[/h][h=3]Take Houston -1[/h][h=3][/h][h=3][/h][h=3]#258[/h][h=3]1 Star[/h][h=3]1:00 PM ET[/h][h=3]Seattle @ New Orleans[/h][h=3]Take New Orleans +2[/h][h=3][/h][h=3][/h][h=3]#262[/h][h=3]1 Star[/h][h=3]1:00 PM ET[/h][h=3]NY Jets @ Cleveland[/h][h=3]Take Cleveland +3[/h][h=3][/h][h=3][/h][h=3]#267[/h][h=3]2 Stars[/h][h=3]4:05 PM ET[/h][h=3]San Diego @ Denver[/h][h=3]Take San Diego +4.5[/h][h=3][/h][h=3][/h][h=3]#253[/h][h=3]1 Star[/h][h=3]4:25 PM ET[/h][h=3]Green Bay @ Atlanta[/h][h=3]Take Green Bay +3[/h][h=3][/h][h=3][/h][h=3]#271[/h][h=3]2 Stars[/h][h=3]8:30 PM ET[/h][h=3]Philadelphia @ Dallas[/h][h=3]Take Philadelphia +5.5[/h][h=3][/h][h=3][/h][h=3]MLB[/h][h=3][/h][h=3]#906[/h][h=3]2 Stars[/h][h=3]8:05 PM ET[/h][h=3]Cleveland @ Chicago Cubs[/h][h=3]Take Chicago Cubs ML (-220)[/h][h=3][/h][h=3][/h][h=3]NBA[/h][h=3][/h][h=3]#702[/h][h=3]1 Star[/h][h=3]4:30 PM ET[/h][h=3]Utah @ LA Clippers[/h][h=3]Take LA Clippers -8[/h][h=3][/h][h=3][/h][h=3]#713[/h][h=3]1 Star[/h][h=3]8:00 PM ET[/h][h=3]Dallas @ Houston[/h][h=3]Take Dallas +6[/h][h=3][/h][h=3][/h][h=3]Free Pick[/h][h=3][/h][h=3]NFL[/h][h=3]#270[/h][h=3]1 Star[/h][h=3]1:00 PM ET[/h][h=3]Arizona @ Carolina[/h][h=3]Take Carolina -3[/h]
