Service Plays Sunday 10/3/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Indian Cowboy


6-Unit Play. Take #220. Take San Diego Chargers -9 over the Arizona Cardinals (Sunday, October 3rd @ 4:15pm est).

This is a game that San Diego should definitely be up to play. Keep in mind the Chargers are 1-2 this year after losing a tough game to the Chiefs on the road - who by the way are 3-0 this year - and they face a Arizona team at home coming off a loss to Seattle on the road. In the Seattle game, this Charger team actually played very well, but the special teams cost them 14 points and consequently the win. I don't foresee that happening this week against Arizona an the if the Cardinals had their troubles last week by barely skirting past the Raiders at home, they will certainly have their hands full against a Chargers team that is looking to take their frustrations out from a tough loss at Seattle. San Diego defeated the likes of Jacksonville when they came off a loss by a score of 38-13 and I can see them bouncing back and doing very well at home against an Arizona team that has shown its troubles on the road such as losing to Atlanta 7-41. I look for the Chargers to win this ballgame big this evening.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ny sports advisors

Sunday October 3rd 2010

1:00 pm est.

Tennessee Titans -6.5 / 3 units

Pittsburg Steelers -2 / 5 units

New York Jets -5.5 / 3 units


4:00 pm est.

Indianapolis Colts -7 / 3


8:20 pm est.

Chicago Bears +3.5 / 3 units


MNF October 4, 2010

8:35 pm est

Miami Dolphins +1.5 / 3 units

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports
525 - 381 run 58 %

Bonus Play 8-1 run SUN: Houst Texans -3

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

JOE WIZ DAILY FREE PICK

Under 46 between the Colts and Jaguars

 

[mowerfixer1]

Bobby Maxwell
Sunday's winners...
700-Unit NFL Game of the Year - ATLANTA FALCONS

The Falcons made big strides for their season by coming back to beat the defending Super Bowl champion Saints last week in New Orleans and now they will use that momentum to deliver a beating to the collapsing 49ers.

Atlanta’s only loss came in OT in Pittsburgh or we’d be talking about this team and its Super Bowl chances this season. They destroyed a punchless Arizona team 41-7 at home in Week 2 and today looks to be very similar to that one.

QB Matt Ryan is clearly the leader of the Falcons and he had his second straight game with a passer rating above 100. When he reaches that number the Falcons are 11-0. He’s also got some amazing offensive weapons with RBs Michael Turner and Jason Snelling (202 yards combined rushing against the Saints) and TE Tony Gonzalez who had his first 100-yard receiving day against New Orleans.

Last year, Ryan and Turner led the Falcons to a 45-10 win over the Niners in San Francisco with Ryan throwing for a career-high 329 yards and two TDs and Turner rushing for three TDs.

San Francisco looked horrible last week in a 31-10 loss in Kansas City and the Niners are last in the NFL in scoring defense, allowing 29 points a game and they are 31st in scoring offense, averaging just 12.7 points a game. They have already fired offensive coordinator Jimmy Raye and it’s clear to see that coach Mike Singletary is on the hot seat. QB Alex Smith is also in jeopardy of being benched with five INTs this season and a third-down conversion rate of 24.4 percent.

Ryan is 14-1 as a starter at home since entering the NFL in 2008 and the Falcons come in on ATS runs of 7-2 at home, 8-3 in October, 6-1 overall, 4-0 against the NFC, 7-3 as a favorite and 7-3 against losing teams. On the other side, the 49ers are on ATS slides of 1-4-1 on the road, 1-6 in Week 4, 1-7-1 in October games and 0-3-1 when they face a team with a winning home record.

Atlanta has taken three straight from the Niners (2-1 ATS) and five of the last eight. Play the Falcons to come out and deliver a beatdown to San Francisco, winning this one by about 17.



200-Unit NFl Sunday Night Smart Play - CHICAGO BEARS

Why is nobody believing in the Chicago Bears? They are more than a FG underdog against a New York Giants team that has been torched this season, picking right up where they left off last year. I’m loving Chicago in this one to not only cover but I won’t be surprised when they win it outright.

Chicago is the only undefeated team in the NFC and their last two wins have been impressive, going into Dallas and scoring a 27-20 win as seven-point ‘dogs and then getting a 20-17 home win on Monday night as three-point underdogs. The defense is playing very consistent and QB Jay Cutler isn’t costing his team. He’s playing well with 870 passing yards, six TDs and two INTs this season and a QB rating of 109.7.

Mike Martz arrival as offensive coordinator has been working for Cutler, but it’s been the Chicago defense that paces the team. They are allowing just 39.7 yards per game on the ground to lead the NFL and they are taking on a Giants’ running game that has topped 100 yards in each game. The Giants will likely be without center Shaun O’Hara and they are also without defensive end Mathias Kiwanuka.

Chicago’s defense got after Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers last week and they’ll be coming after Eli Manning today with Julius Peppers who has been the biggest acquisition for them in a while. He beat up the Giants last year as a member of the Panthers and I expect him to wreak havoc with Eli today.

New York has lost its last five regular season home games against the Bears, in fact, the road team has won the last seven meetings between these two. It was 2006 when the Bears went into New York and scored a 38-20 win as one-point underdogs.

Chicago is on ATS surges of 4-1 overall, 4-1 against the NFC and 4-1 on the road against teams with losing home records. New York is on ATS skids of 3-7 against the NFC, 2-6 at home, 2-7 as a favorite, 1-4 overall and 1-8 against winning teams.

I’m going to grab the points with the Bears to play it safe tonight, but don’t be surprised if they win it outright by a touchdown.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Supercolt sports

Sunday's plays 10/3

3 UNIT PLAYS.

PACKERS
RAVENS
TEXANS


2 UNIT PLAYS

OVER -COLTS /JAC
OVER -TENN/DENVER

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

R.A.W. FOOTBALL

5* Atlanta
4* Pittsburgh
4* Chicago
3* Cincinnati
3* Carolina

 

[steliocantos]

bookiemonsters on a 8-1 run now had utep yesterday. i will post when their site updates also im going to purchase a paid play week next week and will post them all here for you guys. goodluck

 

[1drmain]

jeff benton sunday 50 dime play

1-2 YESTERDAY MINUS 15 DIMES MINUS $180.overall, 131-155-7 minus 550

he continues his inconsistent play....still #1 handicapper on america FOR PICKING LOSERS. he comes today with his largest play a 50 dimer.

SUNDAY'S ACTION

40 DIME NFL selection on the CHARGERS minus the points over the Cardinals in a late-afteanoon contest from Qualcomm Stadium. San Diego is a solid 8- to 8½-point favorite both here in Vegas and offshore. Obviouisly, you need to shop the market and do whatever it takes to get the Chargers at the lowest pointspread that’s available.








15 DIME NFL selection on the RAIDERS plus the points over the Texans in a late-afternoon contest from the Coliseum in Oakland. The Raiders are a 3- to 3½-point home underdog depending on where you shop. Again, make sure you get Oakland at the highest number avallable, and when you do, I want you to buy the hook – meaning you’ll take Oakland up from 3 to 3½ or from 3½ to 4, depending on the odds available to you. Too many NFL games land on 3 and 4, so it’s a wise move to maximize your chances of winning.











CHARGERS





Stop me if you’ve heard this before: The Chargers stumbled out of the blocks in September, losing two of their first three games despite being favored in all three. Gee, what a shock! It’s only haapened every year since Norv Turner became the head coach, and here’s the script: San Diego enters the season with high expectations only to trip all over itself in September before righting the ship, dominating in December, getting to the playoffs, and then flaming out once they get there.





Well, we’ve flipped the calendar to October, which means San Diego should be getting its sea legs right about now. And the best news for Bolts fans is the fact the Cardinals are coming to town. Yes, Arizona’s record says 2-1, but I can’t remember the last time I saw a more fraudulent 2-1 NFL team. Follow me here:





In Week 1, the Cardinals barely got past the Rams 17-13 even though St. Louis was starting a rookie quarterback in Sam Bradford (who went 32-for-55 for 253 yards and a TD, but also threw three picks that proved to be the difference). Then Arizona went back on the road to Atlanta and got destroyed 41-7 as a seven-point underdog, with Matt Ryan and the Falcons rolling up 444 yards (Arizona had just 267, most of which came after the outcome was decided). Finally, last week, the Cardinals returned home and thoroughly outplayed by the Raiders (check out my analysis on the Raiders below for details), yet escaped with a 24-23 win because Oakland’s place-kicker chunked three field goals, including a gimme 32-yarder as time expired.





While Arizona has looked shaky in all three of its games (only to be rewarded with two wins), the Chargers are the exact opposite. They have completely dominated all three of their opponents – outgaining the Chiefs by 192 yards, the Jags by 127 yards and the Seahawks by 247 yards – and yet they lost to K.C. and Seattle. Why? Special teams breakdowns (San Diego has allowed three returns for TDs!) and untimely turnovers. But it should be noted that Kansas City and Seattle easily rank in the Top 3 when it comes to toughest places to pay in the League (and the crowd absolutely contributed to the outcome of both games).





Now the Chargers come home, where they blasted the Jaguars 38-13 as a 7-point chalk in Week 2. San Diego has won six straight regular-season home games (including a meianingless season-finale against Washington last year). And they’re facing a Cardinals team playing its third road game in the first four weeks (I know the trip from Arizona to San Diego is a short jaunt, but three roadies in four weeks is NOT easy in the NFL, especially when that third game is against an immensely talented and very desperate club).





I already pointed out that the Chargers have played much better than their 1-2 record, while Arizona is a paper 2-1 squad, but to understand just how much of a difference there is between these two teams, look at the comparative stats:





San Diego is averaging 24 points and 461.3 total yards per game (with QB Philip Rivers netting 345 passing ypg and 9 yards per pass attempt)





Arizona is averaging 16 points and 290.7 yards per game (with QB Derek Anderson averaging just 174.3 passing ypg and 5.9 yards per pass attempt … and Anderson won’t have his #2 WR in this game, as Steve Breaston is out with an injury)





Defensively, the Chargers are giving up just 20.3 points and 272.7 total yards per game (181.3 passing ypg; 91.3 rushing ypg).





The Cardinals are surrendering 25.7 points and 377.7 total yards per contest (231.3 passing ypg; 146.3 rushing ypg).





And now you know why San Diego is laying more than a TD in this game … and why I’m riding the Chargers big today and calling for at least a 17-point win. (A parting shot: San Diego is 22-8 ATS in its last 30 games as a home chalk of 3½ to 10 points; it is 20-9-3 ATS in its last 32 games following a SU loss; it has covered in five straight games following a non-cover, going 15 straight games without consecutive ATS setbacks).








RAIDERS








The Raiders should be riding a two-game winning streak right now, and the only reason they’re not is normally reliable place-kicker Sebastian Janikowski missed three kicks last week at Arizona, including a 41-yarder in the first half and a chip-shot 32-yarder on the final play of the game that turned a 26-24 win into a 23-22 loss.





While I don’t think much of Oakland’s last two opponents (Cardinals and Rams), you have to be impressed with the way it dominated both foes, outgaining the two by a combined 331 yards. Since coming on in relief of Jason Campbell to start the second half of the St. Louis game – and Oakland was trailing 7-3 – QB Bruce Gradkowski has been solid in guiding the team to 36 points in six quarters (and should’ve been more if not for Janikowski’s flubs).





In addition, RB Darrin McFadden (345 rushing yards, 4.7 yards per carry; 10 catches for 80 yards) is finally performing like the stud the Raiders thought they were getting when they made him a Top 5 pick. And since getting shredded by Chris Johnson and the Titans in Week 1, Oakland’s defense has been phenomenal, holding the Rams to 210 total yards and the Cardinals to 227.





Again, I realize the Rams and Cardinals are offensively challenged, and going up against Matt Schaub and the Texans is a completely different animal. That said, Schaub’s most important weapon – WR Andre Johnson – has a bad ankle injury. Even if he plays, he won’t be anywhere near 100 percent, which is huge because as it is, Johnson is going to be matched up against All-Pro shutdown cornerback Nnamdi Asomugha. Plus, we saw how badly Houston’s offense sputlered last week with a gimpy Johnson, as the Texans managed just 13 points and 340 yards at home against Dallas (many of those yards came in garbage time when the Cowboys had a comfortable 24-6 fourth-quarter lead en route to a 27-13 win).





Finally, the Texans are in the rare situation of being a road favorite here – it’s happened only six times in franchise history, and the team is 1-4-1 ATS, including a lucky push at Washington two weeks ago. Even more important to note is the fact Houston has been a road chalk when coming off a loss just twice and both times it lost outright by 7 and 10 points. Meanwhile, the Raiders (who got the money as a four-point ‘dog at Arizona last week) have cashed in four of their last five when coming off a SU loss, the only exception coming two weeks ago when they beat the Rams 16-14 but missed as a 3½-point favorite.

 

[VEGASBABY+]

Any body got Jason sharps game of the month ?

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jimmy Masterlock Duggans

2-2 Last Week
6-6 Year

Carolina +12
Jets -5
S.D -10
S.F +7

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Slim Jim

5-2 Last Week

9-5 Year

Cincy
Bears
Pitt
N.E

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Great lakes sports

4* denver

3* cleveland

3* n y giants

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

YourProLocks
NFL

BUFFALO +6 (-110)

Colts -7 (-110)
Arizona + 9.5 (-110)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MoneyLineKing

Packers-14

SF/Atlanta Under 42.5

Jax +7

Patriots -1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Brandon Lang - Sunday - 10-3-10

40 Dime Baltimore Ravens +2.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Blezow

The 1-2 Giants are favored by four points over the 3-0 Bears, above and beyond the normal three for the home team. That suggests one of two things: 1. The linemaker is giving the Giants extra credit for having pride after their embarrassment vs. the Titans or, 2. Giants games are not shown in Las Vegas.

The Bears aren’t great, and the undefeated mark includes a lucky home win against the Lions. But they allow fewer than 40 yards per game on the ground and will be sending Julius Peppers, Brian Urlacher and Lance Briggs after Eli Manning, who could be operating again behind inexperienced center Adam Koets.

LOCK OF THE WEEK: (1-2 in 2010, 29-11-1 last 41) Bears.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ROCKETMAN

3* DOUBLE DIME* Cleveland Browns +3 (-110)
3* DOUBLE DIME* San Diego Chargers -9 (-110)
3* DOUBLE DIME* New York Giants -3 (-100)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

KIKI SPORTS

Sunday October 3rd

1 unit Baltimore +2.5
1 unit Cleveland +3
1 unit Atlanta -6.5
3 units Washington +5.5
2 units NY Giants -4

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB DUNKEL

Washington at NY Mets
The Nationals look to take advantage of a Mets team that is 1-5 in Michael Pelfrey's last 6 starts against Washington. Washington is the pick (+140) according to Dunkel, which has the Nats favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Washington (+140). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 3

Game 901-902: Milwaukee at Cincinnati (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Wolf) 15.834; Cincinnati (Harang) 16.634
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-120); Under

Game 903-904: Pittsburgh at Florida (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Burres) 14.609; Florida (Sanchez) 14.173
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida (-185); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+165); Over

Game 905-906: Washington at NY Mets (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Hernandez) 14.743; NY Mets (Pelfrey) 14.395
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-160); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+140); Under

Game 907-908: Philadelphia at Atlanta (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hamels) 15.463; Atlanta (Hudson) 15.573
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 909-910: Chicago Cubs at Houston (2:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Dempster) 14.197; Houston (Figueroa) 14.258
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Houston (-140); 7
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-140); Under

Game 911-912: Colorado at St. Louis (2:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Rogers) 14.735; St. Louis (Suppan) 14.206
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+100); Over

Game 913-914: San Diego at San Francisco (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Latos) 15.436; San Francisco (Sanchez) 16.401
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 6
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 915-916: Arizona at LA Dodgers (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Lopez) 15.871; LA Dodgers (Lilly) 14.765
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 9
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-180); 8
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+160); Over

Game 917-918: Detroit at Baltimore (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Coke) 15.021; Baltimore (Bergesen) 15.929
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-110); 8
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-110); Under

Game 919-920: NY Yankees at Boston (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Moseley) 15.893; Boston (Lackey) 14.970
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 921-922: Cleveland at Chicago White Sox (2:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Germano) 16.303; White Sox (Jackson) 17.479
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-130); Under

Game 923-924: Tampa Bay at Kansas City (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Davis) 14.223; Kansas City (O'Sullivan) 15.557
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 925-926: Toronto at Minnesota (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Rzepczinski) 14.599; Minnesota (Blackburn) 15.543
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-145); Over

Game 927-928: LA Angels at Texas (3:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Haren) 15.979; Texas (Lewis) 14.877
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Texas (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+125); Under

Game 929-930: Oakland at Seattle (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Braden) 15.943; Seattle (Rowland-Smith) 14.331
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Oakland (-160); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-160); Over