Steve Duemig
Sunday sweep
30 Dime Dolphins
What we have here is the lines maker making you pay a premium if you want to play on the Saints..Their beating of the Giants in easy fashion has everyone and their uncle on the Saints. No Thanks, I'm going with the undervalued home dog Dolphins who can control the clock with the best run game in the game. I know we have been down this route before with the Colts game but not even the Colts were laying this number at Miami. The line opened at 7 and was quickly taken out when the wiseguys noticed the over valuing in the line. It probably won't touch 7 again but 6.5 should be available by game time because of the huge public support expected on the Saints come game day. Take the points.
10 Dime Raiders
Oakland is a very live dog here in this game. They woke up after being called out by the Giants who claimed that playing them was like being in a scrimmage. When your manhood is called out, hopefully you respond. The Raiders responded in a big way by out righting the Eagles as a two TD dog. That usually never happens in the NFL, but it did. The Raiders did it with defense against one of the leagues best offenses and they even kept them out of the end zone! Public is still believing in the Jets who have lost 3 straight games. Both QB's should struggle in this game, with Russel going against Ryan's all outs and Sanchez throwing into a really good ball hawking Oakland secondary. The Jets will really start to miss their anchor on the defensive line Jenkins who they had to put on IR. I don't see where the Jets should be going on the road these days and laying almost a TD. Even if it is the Raiders.
5 Dime Cowboys
Even though the public is all over the Falcons betting on them in 76% of wagers, the line has moved the other way. It opened at Dallas - 3 and has moved to an even larger spread with the Cowboys. So if the public money is going on the Falcons how can the line be moving the wrong way, or as we call it "reverse line action"? It means that the real money is heading on the Cowboys as they come of the bye and get Felix Jones back as well. We need to follow the real money here in this one. Romo has had some time to work in his new stud receiver Miles Austin and the Dallas rush game is back full force.
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