King Creole
Dawg Pound guns for FOUR in a ROW with Sunday’s NFL 3*** DOG of the DAY!
2016-10-16 20:35:00
Dawg plays are rated 2**, 3***, and 4*** each
3*** INDIANAPOLIS COLTS plus the points vs Houston Texans
#275 / 8:30pm ET / 5:30pm PT
Speed and his canine companions at the Dawg Pound Hotline are grabbing the points in the SUNDAY NIGHTER… as Indianapolis travels to Houston for an AFC South Division affair. This is a team that’s been very profitable when taking points on the division road was of late. The COLTS are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as division road UNDERDOGS… and that includes 6-1 ATS when playing off a SU win in their last game.
We’ve talked about the value of division road underdogs in each of the last three ‘Against the Spread’ podcasts with yours truly and Marc Lawrence. Since the start of last season, these doggies have been very reliable to our bankrolls. And since there’s only ONE qualifier this week, it’s certainly worthy of a 3*** Play.
Since the start of the 2015 season (last year), NFL division road underdogs playing off a WIN in their last game (INDY) have gone 18-3-1 ATS (86%). That includes 15-1 ATS (94%) when these dogs are getting LESS than (<) 8 points.
Already THIS season, DIVISION road underdogs of < 6 points (COLTS) have hit at a 80% winning percentage (8-2 ATS).
When researching this game for a possible OVER / UNDER play for his master, Speedee looked at the relatively LOW pointspread (-3 pts) and the relatively high OU line (48.5 pts)… 9-18-1 ATS last season / 1-7 ATS in DIVISION play: All short home favorites of -4 or less points (Houston) when the OU line is 48 or more points.
Last week, Houston’s OU line was almost 10 full points LESS than it is this week. It was 39 in their road game versus the Vikings… 1-7 ATS since 2005: All home favorites with an OU line of 47 > points (Texans) AFTER a road game in which the OU line was 39 or less points.
LAST season, AFC teams who lost on the road by 10 or more points… rushed the ball for 15 < times… and had LESS than 60 rushing yards (Houston)… when ta PERFECT 0-5 ATS.