Service Plays Sunday 10/04/09

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JEFF BENTON

Sunday's 20 Dime NFL winner ...
20 Dime: STEELERS (minus the points vs. Chargers) ... NOTE: If this number is still sitting at 6 1/2, play it smart and buy the half-point and lay 6 with the Steelers. Do NOT get beat by the hook in this game!





Steelers



All this crap being spouted about the Steelers being vulnerable is just that: CRAP! The fact is, while the defending Super Bowl champs COULD be 0-3 right now, they also could very easily be 3-0. After getting that 13-10 overtime win over the Titans in the opener, Pittsburgh was two missed field goals away from defeating the Bears on the road in Week 2 (Chicago won on a last-second field goal). Then last Sunday, the Steelers outplayed the Bengals for three quarters, building a 20-9 lead, only to squander that advantage, giving up the winning TD with 18 seconds to play. Despite that bad beat, Pittsburgh outgained Cincinnati 373-273.



The overall point: There’s nothing wrong with the Steelers. They played two very tough, physical teams to begin the season, then faced an improving Bengals squad – a division rival – on the road (and it was their second straight road game).



Tonight, after what you KNOW was an intense week of practice, you’re going to see the REAL Pittsburgh Steelers, who are going to show the world that talk of their demise was greatly premature. And here’s the kicker: They’ve got THE perfect opponent to get healthy against.



Just as you shouldn’t be fooled by Pittsburgh’s 1-2 record, don’t be fooled by San Diego’s 2-1 mark. The Chargers have been thoroughly outplayed in all three of their games against the Raiders (road), Ravens (home) and Dolphins (home). Most disturbing to Chargers fans, their team was pushed around big-time in all three contests – in part because of a ton of injuries on both the offensive and defensive lines, and in part because, well, San Diego just flat-out lacks toughness (and I’m 100 percent convinced that lack of toughness is directly attributable to their soft coach, Norv Turner). Well, one thing we’ve learned over the years is if you lack toughness against the Pittsburgh Steelers, you’re going to get your brains beat in.



Of course, San Diego is fully aware of this fact. The Bolts have played 13 regular-season games in Pittsburgh all-time and they’re still searching for their first win – that’s right, 0-13! Last year, the Chargers made two trips to Heinz Field two months apart, losing 11-10 in the regular season (and the final SHOULD’VE been 18-10 if the refs hadn’t erroneously overturned a Steelers defensive touchdown on the final play of the game) and 35-24 in the divisional playoffs (Pittsburgh led 35-17 with four minutes to play). The Steelers outgained San Diego in both games, combining for 752 total yards (289 rushing) while holding Philip Rivers and the finesse Chargers to 503 total yards, including just 81 rushing yards – again, that’s 81 rushing yards in both games combined!



Speaking of rushing, I know much has been made about Pittsburgh’s lack of a ground attack, and that criticism is valid as the Steelers are averaging just 81 rushing yards per game (3.3 per carry). But that was against the Titans, Bears and Bengals (whose defense is very much improved). This is the Chargers, who have surrendered 130-plus rushing yards in each of their games so far and are permitting an average of 150 yards per game on the ground and 4.5 per carry. Even though Steelers RB Willie Parker likely won’t play, I have zero doubt that whomever runs the ball for Pittsburgh tonight will have plenty of success.



On the other hand, even if LaDainian Tomlinson returns to action, San Diego shouldn’t even bother trying to run the football tonight. The Steelers, who stoned the Chargers twice last year, are allowing just 76.3 ypg on the ground this season. Even worse, the Chargers’ offense is mustering just 2.8 rushing yards per carry and 66.3 rushing yards per game. That means, once again, San Diego’s fortunes tonight rest of the right shoulder of Rivers, and while he’s been terrific this year, you cannot beat the Steelers, in their house, on a Sunday night by being one-dimensional – and I say that fully aware that Troy Polamalu won’t be on the field.



Finally, check out these numbers: The Steelers, in addition to winning all 13 regular-season games against the Chargers in Pittsburgh, are 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings regardless of venue (and the favorite also cashed in six of those eight games), going 4-1 ATS in the last five at Heinz Field. The champs are also 5-1 ATS in their last five home games (laying chalk in each), 19-7 ATS in their last 26 when favored by 3½ to 10 points and 24-9-1 ATS in their last 35 October games. Meanwhile, San Diego – which barely beat Oakland 24-20 as a 10-point road chalk in Week 1 – has failed to cover in six of their last eight road games.



Bottom line: The fact that people are questioning Pittsburgh’s legitimacy makes me love the Steelers even more in this game. They’re going to come out with a fire and intensity like they haven’t all season, and they’re going to punch the Chargers in the mouth from start to finish. If history is any indication, the Chargers will not punch back. It’s just not in their nature.



The Steelers will quiet their critics tonight and do so emphatically. Pittsburgh 34, San Diego 14.
 

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gspwins

does anyone have their play? gspwins dot com

i dont wanna pay the 25bux, i had the season package last year but am broke this year lol... they have on their site 10-1 last two days and 4-0 so far today... please post or pm me the play..
 

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sportsbetsnow - final card

NFL

KC +10 1 unit
CHI/DET OVER 42 1 unit
Dolphins -1 1 unit
Pitt -6 1 unit
PITT/SD OVER 43 1 unit
 

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WOW what a fukn suprise... BUDIN and his fake ass "crews" are on a favorite yet again.. BUDIN = PREDICTABLE

You must not like making money? Don't understand the hate. Fade him, and I'll be your book please.
 

Even DONKS win sometimes... Right?
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You must not like making money? Don't understand the hate. Fade him, and I'll be your book please.

Amen. It's amazing. Absolutely amazing, the hate some people give this guy. Guys like AC2008 n stuff, I just don't get it. It boggles the mind. Scammers all over then we find the most legit site out there with this guy who is by far the best football "capper" out there over the long run, and some people just hate on him, and for what? Picking chalk that covers? It's like working a 60 hour week then when your paycheck comes, ripping it up n saying "Don't insult me".
 

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thanks jack and small



and for what it is worth,,,,budin has been grrreat with his plays
again over the last year,,,,,, maybe not so far this yr but
like small said to me ,,,,and it is important,,,over the long run

u will win

but that is why part of this site is here to interact and help make good decisions
and WIN WIN

IMHO BOL TO ALL
:toast:
 

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though i am a small bettor,,, man nice to hit the double
pitt and over,,, thanks again small
 

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that was a tough one at the end in da pitt game! glad the over cashed for over backers!!
 

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theres no thread for monday but i went ahead and got al demarcos 30 dimer for tomorrow night

Al DeMarco

Monday's Play
30 Dime - Minnesota Vikings



Note - As I expected, the public has made its move on Minnesota, pushing this line up slightly by 1/2 point, up to 4 most places with a few 4 1/2's floating around. Obviously the key is shopping for the best price, but no matter the case, buy down the 1/2 point whether you get this game at 4, 4 1/2 (or 3 1/2 if you're lucky). My regular followers know I'm a firm believer in buying down on or around 4 because of the number of games that end 31-27, 28-24, 24-20, 17-13, 14-10, etc. And that's a trend that has only escalated over the years since the advant of the two-point conversion and its successful deployment.





Returning by 2 A.M. Eastern with my analysis.



Please return to the site and login anytime thereafter to retrieve it.
 

Even DONKS win sometimes... Right?
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theres no thread for monday but i went ahead and got al demarcos 30 dimer for tomorrow night

Al DeMarco

Monday's Play
30 Dime - Minnesota Vikings



Note - As I expected, the public has made its move on Minnesota, pushing this line up slightly by 1/2 point, up to 4 most places with a few 4 1/2's floating around. Obviously the key is shopping for the best price, but no matter the case, buy down the 1/2 point whether you get this game at 4, 4 1/2 (or 3 1/2 if you're lucky). My regular followers know I'm a firm believer in buying down on or around 4 because of the number of games that end 31-27, 28-24, 24-20, 17-13, 14-10, etc. And that's a trend that has only escalated over the years since the advant of the two-point conversion and its successful deployment.





Returning by 2 A.M. Eastern with my analysis.



Please return to the site and login anytime thereafter to retrieve it.

Awesome can't wait for the write up, thanks.
 

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well it was a happy b-day for him, me, and anyone else who had his plays!

5-3 +4.8 units!!!:)<< Hope you had em like I did. Sooner or later you guys will pick up the units this guy brings month after month!!

I don't know why nobody else has plays from this site today. No Bonus Plays no paid plays.

lillefty said that it honor of it being his Birthday he will give the presents and and offer up his whole card for free today.

1* = 1% of your bankroll Betting too heavy on games is the best way to a reload!!

yesterday was a + day thanks to the NCAAF Game of the week winner with Arkansas blowing the doors off texas a&m. I love this time of year wher there are so many games to choose from. I will go big today with over 10% of my 401 k BR in play as I offer up 8 games to curb your appetite for action. It is days like this that are the reason I stress proper money management and it is also days like this that drive me to the profits I am used to getting. Good luck to all

today's games
NFL
2* stl/sf under 37.
Everyone on the SF bandwagon. I like em too but I will not lay double digits with a team that has only been saddled withthat type of spread once this decade. SF with Gore out will go time eating short passing route today. Bulger also out so look for a simple 1-2-3 game plan of Jackson, Jackson, and just to mix things up a swing pass to Jackson. Why Cuz it is Kyle Boller doing the QB duties for STL. This could be the quickest game of the day

1* cincy/cleve under 38..
How quickly the "Mangenius" tag has fallen from Eric. His browns have shown no life at all on offense and no turn to Anderson to try the shake up. He shook it up to the tune of 3 picks last week in the 2nd half. Don't look for much more than 10 pts from cleveland today. Why not the Bengals then? They are in a flat spot after the last second win and big comeback over the steelers. The Bengals hadn't won in Pitt in eons so the let down will be natural.

1* saints -7 over jets(released friday)
let down spot and sandwich game for jets. 2 big wins vs expected AFC playoff teams with AFC east Miami on deck. Playing NFC opponent on the road is a natural let down spot, even though much hyped Saints are the opponent. This was going to be a 3 star game but I didn't release the game intime to catch the line below the magic 7 # so I will downgrade it to 1*

1* tb/wash under 37
Another game where everyone seems to be on the side as TB is terrible. Ok I will agree with that but Washington isn't exactly a juggernaut as they seem to be one step away from a free fall themselves. Portis is hurt, Zorn won't let campbell throw the ball downfield, Sonny Jorghensen the Skins hall of fame QB is stirring up the pot by blasting Zorn anywhere he can. One thing is true though is that the skins can play defense. This has led to a 14-4-1 under run in Zorn's time ad HC of the skins. Look for more of the same today.

1* chi/det over 40.5..
Let down spot for detroit who celebrated their 1st superbowl win in their franchise history last week....oh wait they just won a regular season game??? Look for the Lions to go on the road and come out flat defensively vs the bears. The Bears looked better last week offensively and put up 25 vs seattle. With Detroit being a litle worse defensively the bears should get to 30. I look for Stafford to have some success also as they have found some kind of a running game to complement the pass. I can see a 30-20 game here.

MLB
3* over 7 runs and 1* on chicago +175
1* white sox +175
I like the way Ozzie Guillen has the Sox fighting in this series. If the sox played with this much passion all year they might be playing for something today. Danks has been solid this year with 5 of his 6 sept starts being quality.
Verlander showed me something last start that I will use today. He has thrown 3 starts in a row now with 125+ pitches. That is nuts!! Leyland will ride his horse as long as he can today beyond the point of exhuastion if needed. Last start he was tiring in the 7th but Leyland left him in there where he almost coughed up the lead. How did he go from unhittable to ordinary? He was overthrowing and as a result his pitches were 99MPH perfectly straight heaters. Major league hitters can hit that all day. At this price , I will take a chance on Danks holding down a tight Tiger team and the sox getting to Verlander in the 6th and 7th inn when he tires.

1* cleveland/boston under 10
There are many factors that make this a nice play. Buchholz had arguably his worst outing as a MLB pitcher last time out. He gave up 5 HR in a loss last tuesday. Expect a bounceback from him. This is of course the last day of the season and everyone has their bags packed flights booked and like at the day before the all star break, nothing will stop people from being home on time. The indians just want to get this season done and with Buchholz on a bounceback I can see them being held down to 1 or 2 runs. Francona will rest a few starters here as the sox have righted their ship with 3 wins. The big reason for this play is MR UNDER Scott Barry is the ump. He is 24-13 to the under this year with a 8.24 RPG avg.

if anybody posts anything else I will post em

Let's all cash!!
ZAGS!!<!-- / message -->
 

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Handicapper
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WOW what a fukn suprise... BUDIN and his fake ass "crews" are on a favorite yet again.. BUDIN = PREDICTABLE

He should scrap these bs crews. Everyone knows he's full of shit.
 

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