DON WALLACE SPORTS
NCAAFB
Rotation - 267# - 3UNIT* - Selection - BOSTON COLLEGE +7.5
NBA
Rotation - 805# - 5UNIT* - Selection - MINNESOTA +11.5
Rotation - 801# - 3UNIT* - Selection - SACRAMENTO +4.5
Rotation - 809# - 3UNIT* - Selection - MIAMI -5
NFL
Rotation - 106# - 3UNIT* - Selection - KANSAS CITY +3
Rotation - 108# - 3UNIT* - Selection - PHILADELPHIA -2.5
NCAAFB
Rotation - 267# - 3UNIT* - Selection - BOSTON COLLEGE +7.5
NBA
Rotation - 805# - 5UNIT* - Selection - MINNESOTA +11.5
Rotation - 801# - 3UNIT* - Selection - SACRAMENTO +4.5
Rotation - 809# - 3UNIT* - Selection - MIAMI -5
NFL
Rotation - 106# - 3UNIT* - Selection - KANSAS CITY +3
Rotation - 108# - 3UNIT* - Selection - PHILADELPHIA -2.5
Nelly
Baltimore (-3) KANSAS CITY (41) 12:00 PM
The Chiefs were blown out in their home finale against the Raiders but that was
the first loss at home for the Chiefs all season long. Getting that lackluster effort
may actually be a positive heading into this playoff game and the Chiefs are
historically formidable home underdogs. Baltimore is a serious threat in the
playoffs with wins over the Jets, Steelers, and Saints on the season as well as
an OT loss at New England. The Ravens won six of the final seven games and
did not lose a game by more than five points all season long. Kansas City’s only
win over a playoff team came against 7-9 Seattle so there is good reason to be
suspect of the Chiefs but Kansas City could have a big edge on the ground in
this game with a per game average of 164 yards per game on 4.7 yards per
carry. Baltimore’s defense was not as strong this season as its reputation and
the Ravens were rather erratic on offense this season, six times failing to reach
20 points on the year. Of Baltimore’s five wins on the road this season two came
by three points or less and another came by six points in OT so this is a team to
be weary of on the road, even though last season the Ravens stunned the
Patriots in the playoffs. Kansas City’s team may lack playoff experience but the
coaching staff has plenty and will be ready off a loss.
CHIEFS BY 3 (Rating 1)
PHILADELPHIA (-2½) Green Bay (46) 3:30 PM
The Packers pulled out a narrow win at home in the game they had to have last
week against the Bears but it was hardly an impressive showing with just ten
points. Six times this season Green Bay scored 20 or fewer points this season
and The Packers have lost each of the last three road games, finishing 3-5 for
the season away from home. Philadelphia was surprisingly just 4-4 at home this
season including a loss to Green Bay to open the season but that game, like
last week’s home loss featured Kevin Kolb as the starting QB. The Eagles
ended up as the highest scoring team in the NFC but the Packers featured the
best point differential in the conference. Either of these teams will be a threat to
win in the next round but this will be an early elimination game. Michael Vick has
been banged up and his play declined late in the year but he also has won in
the playoffs against the Packers, as has Andy Reid. Andy Reid is 10-8 in the
playoffs all time but last year was the only time in his career that his team lost in
the first round and he has never lost a home playoff game in the first round.
Green Bay should have success in the air in this match-up as the Eagles allow
217 yards per game passing but the Packers will have a hard time stopping the
Eagles on the ground even with added efforts to stop scrambles. Philadelphia
averaged 5.5 yards per carry this season and Green Bay allowed 4.6 yards per
carry, which should give the Eagles opportunities.
EAGLES BY 7 (Rating 1)
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK
Playoff Hosts off Losses
PLAY ON: Any NFL home team in the playoffs having lost the
final regular season game S/U.
43-26-1, 62.3% since 1981
PLAY ON: Kansas City, Philadelphia
Tighten It: If home team is off back-to-back S/U losses
13-4, 76.0% since 1981 Fits: Philadelphia
Baltimore (-3) KANSAS CITY (41) 12:00 PM
The Chiefs were blown out in their home finale against the Raiders but that was
the first loss at home for the Chiefs all season long. Getting that lackluster effort
may actually be a positive heading into this playoff game and the Chiefs are
historically formidable home underdogs. Baltimore is a serious threat in the
playoffs with wins over the Jets, Steelers, and Saints on the season as well as
an OT loss at New England. The Ravens won six of the final seven games and
did not lose a game by more than five points all season long. Kansas City’s only
win over a playoff team came against 7-9 Seattle so there is good reason to be
suspect of the Chiefs but Kansas City could have a big edge on the ground in
this game with a per game average of 164 yards per game on 4.7 yards per
carry. Baltimore’s defense was not as strong this season as its reputation and
the Ravens were rather erratic on offense this season, six times failing to reach
20 points on the year. Of Baltimore’s five wins on the road this season two came
by three points or less and another came by six points in OT so this is a team to
be weary of on the road, even though last season the Ravens stunned the
Patriots in the playoffs. Kansas City’s team may lack playoff experience but the
coaching staff has plenty and will be ready off a loss.
CHIEFS BY 3 (Rating 1)
PHILADELPHIA (-2½) Green Bay (46) 3:30 PM
The Packers pulled out a narrow win at home in the game they had to have last
week against the Bears but it was hardly an impressive showing with just ten
points. Six times this season Green Bay scored 20 or fewer points this season
and The Packers have lost each of the last three road games, finishing 3-5 for
the season away from home. Philadelphia was surprisingly just 4-4 at home this
season including a loss to Green Bay to open the season but that game, like
last week’s home loss featured Kevin Kolb as the starting QB. The Eagles
ended up as the highest scoring team in the NFC but the Packers featured the
best point differential in the conference. Either of these teams will be a threat to
win in the next round but this will be an early elimination game. Michael Vick has
been banged up and his play declined late in the year but he also has won in
the playoffs against the Packers, as has Andy Reid. Andy Reid is 10-8 in the
playoffs all time but last year was the only time in his career that his team lost in
the first round and he has never lost a home playoff game in the first round.
Green Bay should have success in the air in this match-up as the Eagles allow
217 yards per game passing but the Packers will have a hard time stopping the
Eagles on the ground even with added efforts to stop scrambles. Philadelphia
averaged 5.5 yards per carry this season and Green Bay allowed 4.6 yards per
carry, which should give the Eagles opportunities.
EAGLES BY 7 (Rating 1)
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK
Playoff Hosts off Losses
PLAY ON: Any NFL home team in the playoffs having lost the
final regular season game S/U.
43-26-1, 62.3% since 1981
PLAY ON: Kansas City, Philadelphia
Tighten It: If home team is off back-to-back S/U losses
13-4, 76.0% since 1981 Fits: Philadelphia
DCI NCAA CBB
Season
Straight Up: 1861-517 (.783)
ATS: 707-734 (.491)
ATS Vary Units: 2362-2329 (.504)
Over/Under: 691-683 (.503)
Over/Under Vary Units: 1045-1122 (.482)
America East Conference
HARTFORD 64, Albany 60
Vermont 68, BOSTON U. 65
Atlantic 10 Conference
Dayton 73, MASSACHUSETTS 65
TEMPLE 68, Saint Louis 48
Xavier vs. RHODE ISLAND: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Atlantic Coast Conference
DUKE 87, Maryland 66
Big East Conference
Louisville 72, SOUTH FLORIDA 62
VILLANOVA 71, Cincinnati 67
Big Ten Conference
NORTHWESTERN 76, Indiana 65
OHIO STATE 77, Minnesota 62
PURDUE 73, Iowa 54
Horizon League
BUTLER 82, Youngstown State 51
Cleveland State 71, VALPARAISO 70
Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference
FAIRFIELD 59, Saint Peter's 48
IONA 77, Loyola (Md.) 62
MANHATTAN 66, Marist 62
Rider 72, CANISIUS 68
Siena 76, NIAGARA 65
Mid-American Conference
OHIO 73, Miami (Ohio) 66
WESTERN MICHIGAN 68, Central Michigan 61
Missouri Valley Conference
Creighton 65, EVANSVILLE 62
Indiana State 64, DRAKE 61
NORTHERN IOWA 64, Bradley 49
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS 64, Illinois State 57
WICHITA STATE 68, Missouri State 65
Pacific-10 Conference
ARIZONA 72, Stanford 63
USC 68, Ucla 62
Non-Conference
Kansas 74, MICHIGAN 61
NORTH DAKOTA 78, Longwood 75
Season
Straight Up: 1861-517 (.783)
ATS: 707-734 (.491)
ATS Vary Units: 2362-2329 (.504)
Over/Under: 691-683 (.503)
Over/Under Vary Units: 1045-1122 (.482)
America East Conference
HARTFORD 64, Albany 60
Vermont 68, BOSTON U. 65
Atlantic 10 Conference
Dayton 73, MASSACHUSETTS 65
TEMPLE 68, Saint Louis 48
Xavier vs. RHODE ISLAND: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Atlantic Coast Conference
DUKE 87, Maryland 66
Big East Conference
Louisville 72, SOUTH FLORIDA 62
VILLANOVA 71, Cincinnati 67
Big Ten Conference
NORTHWESTERN 76, Indiana 65
OHIO STATE 77, Minnesota 62
PURDUE 73, Iowa 54
Horizon League
BUTLER 82, Youngstown State 51
Cleveland State 71, VALPARAISO 70
Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference
FAIRFIELD 59, Saint Peter's 48
IONA 77, Loyola (Md.) 62
MANHATTAN 66, Marist 62
Rider 72, CANISIUS 68
Siena 76, NIAGARA 65
Mid-American Conference
OHIO 73, Miami (Ohio) 66
WESTERN MICHIGAN 68, Central Michigan 61
Missouri Valley Conference
Creighton 65, EVANSVILLE 62
Indiana State 64, DRAKE 61
NORTHERN IOWA 64, Bradley 49
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS 64, Illinois State 57
WICHITA STATE 68, Missouri State 65
Pacific-10 Conference
ARIZONA 72, Stanford 63
USC 68, Ucla 62
Non-Conference
Kansas 74, MICHIGAN 61
NORTH DAKOTA 78, Longwood 75
DCI NBA
Season
Straight Up: 352-160 (.688)
ATS: 252-272 (.481)
ATS Vary Units: 705-756 (.483)
Over/Under: 268-269 (.499)
Over/Under Vary Units: 338-328 (.508)
TORONTO 107, Sacramento 99
Golden State vs. L.A. CLIPPERS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
SAN ANTONIO 114, Minnesota 95
PHOENIX 111, Cleveland 100
DENVER 104, New Orleans 98
Miami 92, PORTLAND 91
L.A. LAKERS 109, New York 101
Season
Straight Up: 352-160 (.688)
ATS: 252-272 (.481)
ATS Vary Units: 705-756 (.483)
Over/Under: 268-269 (.499)
Over/Under Vary Units: 338-328 (.508)
TORONTO 107, Sacramento 99
Golden State vs. L.A. CLIPPERS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
SAN ANTONIO 114, Minnesota 95
PHOENIX 111, Cleveland 100
DENVER 104, New Orleans 98
Miami 92, PORTLAND 91
L.A. LAKERS 109, New York 101
