Service Plays Sunday 09/27/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Evan Altemus

Atlanta vs. New England

New England has heard all week about how their offense has struggled. Tom Brady has obviously been out of rhythm since coming back, and he has been without Wes Welker in both games. However, Welker will be back in this game, which should be a huge help for Brady. I expect the Patriots offense to come out and make a big statement. New England has played two quality defenses though in the first two games. Atlanta’s defense is the weakest that the Patriots have faced so far this year, and I expect them to put up around 30 points. Meanwhile, New England’s defense is their weak point, but the Jets and Bills offenses didn’t fully exploit them. However, Atlanta has one of the better offenses in the league, as they can move the ball through the air and on the ground very well this season. The addition of Tony Gonzalez is a major help to the offense. His addition has given Matt Ryan a reliable target, especially inside the 20 yard line. Look for this game to feature matching scores throughout, as it will come down to the wire.

3 UNIT SELECTION OVER.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ron Raymond

Pittsburgh vs. Cincinnati
Play: Pittsburgh

Here’s another letdown situation for the inconsistent Bengals, they went into a tough venue last week at Lambeau Field, snuck out with a win and must now face a very tough division rival in the Steelers. Pittsburgh is one of the best coached football teams I’ve seen in years and with Big Ben losing last week, my money is on them this week.

Steelers system on this game: When Pittsburgh team played as a -3.5 to -6.5 Road Favorite - Playing on grass surface - Scored more than 10 points in back to back games; The Steelers are 11-5-2 ATS in this spot.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Marc Lawrence

Indianapolis vs. Arizona

The Colts take their act to Arizona to meet the Cardinals in Glendale Sunday night with both teams entering off road wins last week. We recommend a 3-unit play on Indianapolis.

 

[Rivergold]

Can someone post VR.. he just finalized his package.

jets
wash
buff UNDER
st l

 

[Bluemyboy]

here you guys go..... way too much whining and complaining in this thread. And how can you guys tell who the shills are, these threads are unbelievable. Pm me if you ever need a pick and I'll try and get it.

Vegas Runner

Jets - triple dime
Redskins - 2* personal play
UNDER Bills 51 - 2* late steam
Rams - 3* underdog of the week
2* teaser - Tampa Bay +13, Minnesota pick

Wayne Root

Leg -Ariz
Mill - Bills
Bill St L
No L Sea
Perf P - Tenn

 

[stuckforever]

Al DeMarco

Al DeMarco

Sunday's Play
15 Dime - Minnesota



San Francisco might be 2-0, but consider this important factor: In beating Arizona and Seattle, the Niners took advantage of defenses that were ranked 19th and 30th in the league a year ago. Today's opponent offers a much stiffer challenge as Minnesota fielded the NFL's No. 6 stop unit last season.



Also, consider how the Niners won those first two games. In their opener at Arizona, it was more a case of the Cardinals losing than the Niners winning as Kurt Warner's offense was out of synch practically the entire game. Plus, Frank Gore was pretty much ineffective with only 30 yards gained. Now last week against Seattle, Gore returned to the forefront of the San Francisco attack, taking advantage of pourous Seahawks defense, shredding it for 207 of his team's 256 rushing yards.



Earlier I noted Minnesota was ranked No. 6 in the league last season in total defense, but in terms of stopping the run, the Vikings are # 1 in the NFL from 2006 through 2008. Gore, who is bothered by a sprained ankle suffered late in last week's action, is not going to find the big holes he plowed through versus the Seahawks.



Of course the big story in this contest is the Minnesota home debut of Brett Favre. Has the future Hall of Famer done much this year? Well, other than complete 77% of his passes, most of the short and medium length variety (none longer than 21 yards), the answer would be "No." But Favre hasn't had to resort to his gunslinger ways since he has Adrian Peterson (league-leading 272 yards rushing) in the backfield powering one of the league's most feared ground games.



Many will point toward Minnesota's slow start last week at Detroit as a problem in this contest. And perhaps that is the reason we're getting exceptional line value. It is true the Vikings trailed early 10-0 as the Lions held an 11-2 advantage in first downs and a 165-37 edge in total yards. But from that point forward, Minny dominated, outscoring Detroit 27-3 while outgaining the Lions 228-100 in total yards. And all Favre did was go 23-for-27 for 155 yards and two TDs.



By the way, Favre is 8-1 SU lifetime against San Francisco, and he won four of his final five Metrodome starts as a member of the Packers.





Note: This line has been a steady -7 for days as I post this play Saturday around 2:00 P.M. Eastern.



If it stays at -7, or moves to -7 1/2, in either case I would buy down the 1/2 point. Thus, in the Vikings only win by a touchdown, you either get the win or the push

 

[saminsocal]

from other forum - not me

Sunday's Play 15 Dime - Minnesota

DUP

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Lenny Del Genio

Cleveland vs. Baltimore

We love double-digit underdogs in the NFL, but even we have to admit that taking a Cleveland Browns team that has scored just ONE offensive touchdown since Week 11 of last year is a bit scary. Particularly because that touchdown came in garbage time against Minnesota in Week One. However, HC Eric Mangini does have his defense playing hard. This is an AFC North game and Cleveland does not want to lose its season just three weeks in with another bad performance. QB Brady Quinn knows he has to play well here. The Browns are 7-2 ATS off a road loss. This is a sandwich spot for the Ravens, who come off a big outright win as a road dog on the West Coast vs. San Diego, and have New England on deck. Trust us on this one. Take Cleveland.

 

[fly73]

Sports Unlimited
7 Minnesota
5 Seattle
5 Denver

 

[wattt]

Bookiebill does well with slcik bets
under bills

 

[Cardiff]

<TABLE border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%"><TBODY><TR bgColor=#dddddd><TD vAlign=top>Wizard of Odds</TD><TD vAlign=top align=right>Guaranteed Selections</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top>Date: Sunday, September 27, 2009
$35.00 Guaranteed: We are currently on a 139-67 run with all selections including 37-6 our last Forty-Three plays! Are you looking for a "Sure Thing" today in NFL? Get our NFL WIZARD WIPEOUT WINNER and POUND your book into submission! Get it NOW $35 and it is GUARANTEED!</TD><TD vAlign=top noWrap align=right>9/27/2009</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2> </TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2>NFL WIZARD WIPEOUT WINNER
418 New England -4.5 1:00 EST</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sportsbank

400 NE

 

[shortnick]

to all the posters

thanks big time

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Score

500 giants
300 colts
300 chargers

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

gold sheet

1' den
1 tb over
1 hou

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

1. Asa 4-tenn, 3-oak, ariz
2. Ats 6-sd, 5-mn, pitt, 4-chi
3. Ben burns 10-ariz, 9-ariz under, tb, 7-mia under, mn under
4. Big money buff
5. Blazer 4-tn
6. Carolina sports 5-nyg, 3-cin
7. Doc enterprises 8t 5-cin, 4-sf, stl, wash under
8. Dr. Bob op: Ne, buff, cin
9. Gameday 4 2-tenn, minn
10. Inside info 2t 3-tenn
11. Joe d 2t 25-hou, 20-mia
12. Lt profits 5-mia, 3-atl, cin
13. Nationwide (goldst) top: Den, reg: Hou, nyg over
14. Neri 8t 4-ne, 3-tn, cin
15. Northcoast 5 4-oak, 3-phil, gb
16. Pointwise 7 4-tenn, 3-gb, ne, den, jax, 2-buff
17. Preferred picks 4-tenn, 3-ne
18. Private players 6 3-tenn, tenn under, cleve under, sf under, ne, den, nyg over
19. Score 500-nyg, 300-sd, indy
20. Underdog oak
21. Wildcat
22. Kelso 25-gb, balt, nyg, 15-det, 10-den under
23. Ness 26-tenn, 20-ne, wash over, 15-ariz
24. Millionaire club 1 2-mia under
25. Rt. Angle
26. Pure lock gb
27. Patron 20k-jets

 

[BigDaddy99]

underdog????

Oakland

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

underdog (winless on the year)

raiders

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ben Burns

Play Title ***TOP EARLY PLAY*** Burns #1 Conf. GAME OF WEEK!
Play Selected Point Spread: 6.5/-105
I'm taking the points with TAMPA BAY. Like the Bengals did in Week 3 last year, I expect them to give the Giants all they can handle. 9* NFC GOW

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Cokin

3 bills

hat- titans
window- steelers
big gun- colts
total- bills over