Jack Jones
20* No-Brainer on Atlanta Braves -120
Take the Braves over the Dodgers with Chad Billingsley struggling. Billingsley is no just 1-2 in his last 3 starts with a 9.45 ERA and a 2.02 WHIP. Meanwhile, Braves' starter, Jair Jurrjens has been incredible over his last 3 starts, going 2-0 with a 1.37 ERA and a 0.81 WHIP. The Dodgers might have the best record in the National League, but they are also just 2-5 over their past 7 games. The Braves play much better ball at home and should take game 3 of this series.
20* No-Brainer on Atlanta Braves -120
Take the Braves over the Dodgers with Chad Billingsley struggling. Billingsley is no just 1-2 in his last 3 starts with a 9.45 ERA and a 2.02 WHIP. Meanwhile, Braves' starter, Jair Jurrjens has been incredible over his last 3 starts, going 2-0 with a 1.37 ERA and a 0.81 WHIP. The Dodgers might have the best record in the National League, but they are also just 2-5 over their past 7 games. The Braves play much better ball at home and should take game 3 of this series.
Freddy Wills
Bottom Line:
Take Marlins -125 4DIME POD
I look for the Marlins to remain hot at home here today and will try to stop this slide we've been on as of late with the POD's as we have lost 3 in a row after winning 11 in a row.
Marlins send Nolasco to the mound which on paper looks like the advantage points to the
Cubs and Ryan Dempster, but Dempster is making just his second start coming off the DL in his first start he gave up 9H in 5 innings and 5ER to the Astros so it's the perfect time to take advantage of him still gaining his strength back. Nolasco is no slouch either as he posts a 2.09 ERA in his last 6 home starts. Marlins are now 10-2 in their last 12 as home favorites and 4-0 in Nolascos last 4 times as a favorite. They are also 9-3 vs. RH starters which they will face in Dempster.
I mentioned for Dempster his second start, but the thing is he'll be making the start on a mound he's not used to which is a factor here especially when a pitcher is coming off a toe injury. He says he's 100% but who knows I'm sure he has to still build up his arm strength a bit. Either way the Cubs are just 2-12 in their last 14 games as a road dog. They are 1-11 in Dempsters last 12 road starts as the Cubbies bat just .243avg and score 4.03 runs per 9 innings vs. RHP on the road.
Cubs won't get much help from home plate umpire Wally Bell as they are 6-19 in their last 25 games with him back there
Bottom Line:
Take Marlins -125 4DIME POD
I look for the Marlins to remain hot at home here today and will try to stop this slide we've been on as of late with the POD's as we have lost 3 in a row after winning 11 in a row.
Marlins send Nolasco to the mound which on paper looks like the advantage points to the
Cubs and Ryan Dempster, but Dempster is making just his second start coming off the DL in his first start he gave up 9H in 5 innings and 5ER to the Astros so it's the perfect time to take advantage of him still gaining his strength back. Nolasco is no slouch either as he posts a 2.09 ERA in his last 6 home starts. Marlins are now 10-2 in their last 12 as home favorites and 4-0 in Nolascos last 4 times as a favorite. They are also 9-3 vs. RH starters which they will face in Dempster.
I mentioned for Dempster his second start, but the thing is he'll be making the start on a mound he's not used to which is a factor here especially when a pitcher is coming off a toe injury. He says he's 100% but who knows I'm sure he has to still build up his arm strength a bit. Either way the Cubs are just 2-12 in their last 14 games as a road dog. They are 1-11 in Dempsters last 12 road starts as the Cubbies bat just .243avg and score 4.03 runs per 9 innings vs. RHP on the road.
Cubs won't get much help from home plate umpire Wally Bell as they are 6-19 in their last 25 games with him back there
The Duke's Sports
Complimentary MLB Premium for Sunday
LA Angels (-113) [Weaver over Perkins] for 1.5 Units *'
Angels/Twins 2:10: The Angels' bats are steaming hot carrying them on a 12-2 run since
the break. They should extend their winning run here with Weaver. Weaver did not
have a good July but he has shown a tendency to pitch well during the day (2.94 ERA);
moreover, in team starts , he is 5-1 on the road. And he controls a respectable 3.12
ERA in 5 starts vs Minnesota. On the other hand, Glen Perkins has been dominant vs
the Angels (1 ER in 16 innings); however, he sports a bloated 4.75 ERA in daytime
action and has not been in his best form. He faces an Angels team batting .363 during
their 4 game run. The Angels are also comfortable on the road vs lefty starters at 13-3.
Furthermore, they're 23-9 on Sunday and a dominant 11-1 in game 3 of a series
following a win. Angels the call.
Complimentary MLB Premium for Sunday
LA Angels (-113) [Weaver over Perkins] for 1.5 Units *'
Angels/Twins 2:10: The Angels' bats are steaming hot carrying them on a 12-2 run since
the break. They should extend their winning run here with Weaver. Weaver did not
have a good July but he has shown a tendency to pitch well during the day (2.94 ERA);
moreover, in team starts , he is 5-1 on the road. And he controls a respectable 3.12
ERA in 5 starts vs Minnesota. On the other hand, Glen Perkins has been dominant vs
the Angels (1 ER in 16 innings); however, he sports a bloated 4.75 ERA in daytime
action and has not been in his best form. He faces an Angels team batting .363 during
their 4 game run. The Angels are also comfortable on the road vs lefty starters at 13-3.
Furthermore, they're 23-9 on Sunday and a dominant 11-1 in game 3 of a series
following a win. Angels the call.
Ferringo
2-Unit Play. Take #970 Tampa Bay (-1.5, -125) over Kansas City (1:30 p.m., Sunday, Aug. 2)
1-Unit Play. Take #958 Pittsburgh (-125) over Washington (1 p.m., Sunday, Aug. 2)
1-Unit Play. Take #953 Colorado (-140) over Cincinnati (1 p.m., Sunday, Aug. 2)
1-Unit Play. Take #961 Philadelphia (-165) over San Francisco (4 p.m., Sunday, Aug. 2)
1-Unit Play. Take #977 Toronto (-115) over Oakland (4 p.m., Sunday, Aug. 2)
1-Unit Play. Take #966 Florida (-130) over Chicago Cubs (5 p.m., Sunday, Aug. 2)
1-Unit Play. Take #980 Texas (-1.5, +115) over Seattle (8 p.m., Sunday, Aug. 2)
Today's Totals
1.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 8.5 N.Y. Yankees at Chicago White Sox (2 p.m., Sunday, Aug. 2)
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 9.5 Seattle at Texas (8 p.m., Sunday, Aug. 2)
1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 9.5 Detroit at Cleveland (1 p.m., Sunday, Aug. 2)
1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 8.5 Colorado at Cincinnati (1 p.m., Sunday, Aug. 2)
2-Unit Play. Take #970 Tampa Bay (-1.5, -125) over Kansas City (1:30 p.m., Sunday, Aug. 2)
1-Unit Play. Take #958 Pittsburgh (-125) over Washington (1 p.m., Sunday, Aug. 2)
1-Unit Play. Take #953 Colorado (-140) over Cincinnati (1 p.m., Sunday, Aug. 2)
1-Unit Play. Take #961 Philadelphia (-165) over San Francisco (4 p.m., Sunday, Aug. 2)
1-Unit Play. Take #977 Toronto (-115) over Oakland (4 p.m., Sunday, Aug. 2)
1-Unit Play. Take #966 Florida (-130) over Chicago Cubs (5 p.m., Sunday, Aug. 2)
1-Unit Play. Take #980 Texas (-1.5, +115) over Seattle (8 p.m., Sunday, Aug. 2)
Today's Totals
1.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 8.5 N.Y. Yankees at Chicago White Sox (2 p.m., Sunday, Aug. 2)
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 9.5 Seattle at Texas (8 p.m., Sunday, Aug. 2)
1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 9.5 Detroit at Cleveland (1 p.m., Sunday, Aug. 2)
1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 8.5 Colorado at Cincinnati (1 p.m., Sunday, Aug. 2)
Analyst: Eddie Roman
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=420 align=center background=/pix/g_bkg_title_blue.gif border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=center width=420 height=30>$10,000 MLB Run Line Lock #2 in a Row</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=420 align=center border=0><TBODY><TR vAlign=top><TD width=420>
$10,000 MLB Run Line Lock #2 in a Row
BOSTON RED SOX -1.5 RUNS -105 W/ BUCHHOLZ
over BALTIMORE W/ BERKEN
$4000 Double Play
FLORIDA MARLINS -125 W/ NOLASCO
over CHICAGO W/ DEMPSTER
MILWAUKEE BREWERS +110 W/ VILLANUEVA
over S.D. W/ CORREIA
$2000 Three Team Parlay
RED SOX RUN LINE, FLORIDA AND MILWAUKEE
There's no sense to ruin a good thing. Great pitching match-up today, great team against a last place team and a lineup that is showing signs of breaking out. Yeah, I'll lay the run and a half with the Red Sox once again.
As I said yesterday, Boston has beaten Baltimore in 10 of their 12 meetings this season and one of the loss was one Boston blew a 10-1 lead. 7 of those wins have come by at least 2 runs.
Buchholz hasn't been spectacular since he has been back but he has been good. He's worked into the 6th inning twice out of his 3 starts and I do expect this to easily be his best start since being called up.
Berken, on the other hand is a disaster. Baltimore is 0-7 in his last 7 starts, 6 of which came by 2 runs. The only loss that didn't come by two runs was his lats one, against the Royals but losing a 1 run game to the Royals is like losing a 5 run game to anyone else. Out of his 12 starts this season, Berken has worked into the 6th inning just 4 times so don't expect him to last too long against a great Red Sox lineup. Also, the Baltimore bullpen , which sucks to begin with, is fried as their starting pitchers have only given them 31 innings in their last 6 starts. That's barely over 5 innings a start.
Boston is cruising now after the come from behind victory against the A's and with the addition of Martinez it's all systems go for their lineup. This should be an easy 5 run winner today which is why I'm laying the run and a half.
As for the Florida Marlins, I like this spot at home, at this price. They have a favorable pitching match-up, with Nolasco, who has been great in 5 of his last 7 starts against Dempster, who has been bombed in 2 of his last 3 outings. The Marlins are a scrappy little team, as they showed last night despite losing and I feel they will bounce back with an easy win today. The Cubs have lost Dempster's last 8 road starts and they are 1-9 in his 10 road starts this season. Florida has won 4 of Nolasco's last 5 home starts witht he one loss coming to then streaking Phillies. Good spot to play Florida here.
I'll finish up with Milwaukee and I know they have lost the first two games of this 3 game set but this is a game they need to win and I feel by hook or crook they will. The NL Central Division is starting to run away from them and with a series in LA starting tomorrow against the Dodgers, they can find themselves in a bunch of trouble by mid next week if they don't win a couple games here. They are a better team then San Diego and even though Villanueva is nothing special, nither is Correia. Could be a high scoring game but I feel the Brewers will find a way to pull it out.
BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED----------GL GUYS
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=420 align=center background=/pix/g_bkg_title_blue.gif border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=center width=420 height=30>$10,000 MLB Run Line Lock #2 in a Row</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=420 align=center border=0><TBODY><TR vAlign=top><TD width=420>
$10,000 MLB Run Line Lock #2 in a Row
BOSTON RED SOX -1.5 RUNS -105 W/ BUCHHOLZ
over BALTIMORE W/ BERKEN
$4000 Double Play
FLORIDA MARLINS -125 W/ NOLASCO
over CHICAGO W/ DEMPSTER
MILWAUKEE BREWERS +110 W/ VILLANUEVA
over S.D. W/ CORREIA
$2000 Three Team Parlay
RED SOX RUN LINE, FLORIDA AND MILWAUKEE
There's no sense to ruin a good thing. Great pitching match-up today, great team against a last place team and a lineup that is showing signs of breaking out. Yeah, I'll lay the run and a half with the Red Sox once again.
As I said yesterday, Boston has beaten Baltimore in 10 of their 12 meetings this season and one of the loss was one Boston blew a 10-1 lead. 7 of those wins have come by at least 2 runs.
Buchholz hasn't been spectacular since he has been back but he has been good. He's worked into the 6th inning twice out of his 3 starts and I do expect this to easily be his best start since being called up.
Berken, on the other hand is a disaster. Baltimore is 0-7 in his last 7 starts, 6 of which came by 2 runs. The only loss that didn't come by two runs was his lats one, against the Royals but losing a 1 run game to the Royals is like losing a 5 run game to anyone else. Out of his 12 starts this season, Berken has worked into the 6th inning just 4 times so don't expect him to last too long against a great Red Sox lineup. Also, the Baltimore bullpen , which sucks to begin with, is fried as their starting pitchers have only given them 31 innings in their last 6 starts. That's barely over 5 innings a start.
Boston is cruising now after the come from behind victory against the A's and with the addition of Martinez it's all systems go for their lineup. This should be an easy 5 run winner today which is why I'm laying the run and a half.
As for the Florida Marlins, I like this spot at home, at this price. They have a favorable pitching match-up, with Nolasco, who has been great in 5 of his last 7 starts against Dempster, who has been bombed in 2 of his last 3 outings. The Marlins are a scrappy little team, as they showed last night despite losing and I feel they will bounce back with an easy win today. The Cubs have lost Dempster's last 8 road starts and they are 1-9 in his 10 road starts this season. Florida has won 4 of Nolasco's last 5 home starts witht he one loss coming to then streaking Phillies. Good spot to play Florida here.
I'll finish up with Milwaukee and I know they have lost the first two games of this 3 game set but this is a game they need to win and I feel by hook or crook they will. The NL Central Division is starting to run away from them and with a series in LA starting tomorrow against the Dodgers, they can find themselves in a bunch of trouble by mid next week if they don't win a couple games here. They are a better team then San Diego and even though Villanueva is nothing special, nither is Correia. Could be a high scoring game but I feel the Brewers will find a way to pull it out.
BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED----------GL GUYS
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Power Play Wins
New York Mets -113
Detroit Tigers -120
Colorado Rockies -136
Royals / Rays Under 8.5
Boston Red Sox -155
Pittsburgh Pirates -129
St. Louis Cardinals -1.5
Los Angeles Angels -112
New York Yankees -140
Milwaukee Brewers +110
Toronto Blue Jays -112
Philadelphia Phillies -162
Florida Marlins -126
Los Angeles Dodgers +118
Texas Rangers -167
New York Mets -113
Detroit Tigers -120
Colorado Rockies -136
Royals / Rays Under 8.5
Boston Red Sox -155
Pittsburgh Pirates -129
St. Louis Cardinals -1.5
Los Angeles Angels -112
New York Yankees -140
Milwaukee Brewers +110
Toronto Blue Jays -112
Philadelphia Phillies -162
Florida Marlins -126
Los Angeles Dodgers +118
Texas Rangers -167
Thank you for your Purchase
Street Rosenthal of HandicappingTrends
FREE PICK
*200 Atlanta Braves -135
I look for the Braves to take another game from the Dodgers today. I have found a nice starter trend in favor of the Braves starter. Jair Jurrjens is 12-0 SU at Home and his opponent starter Lost his last start. I also have the Braves as 34-14 SU since 2004 as a home favorite after a win in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits. Take the Braves for a nice win today.
Good Luck!!
Street Rosenthal of HandicappingTrends
FREE PICK
*200 Atlanta Braves -135
I look for the Braves to take another game from the Dodgers today. I have found a nice starter trend in favor of the Braves starter. Jair Jurrjens is 12-0 SU at Home and his opponent starter Lost his last start. I also have the Braves as 34-14 SU since 2004 as a home favorite after a win in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits. Take the Braves for a nice win today.
Good Luck!!
Thank you for your Purchase
Street Rosenthal of HandicappingTrends
*200 New York Mets -117
Write-up will be posted shortly
I am taking the Mets for the Win today. The Mets have looked strong lately and I think they have another good outing today. Here are severeal nice trends in our favor today. First, we have D-backs as 9-30 SU since 2004 on the road within 20 cents of pickem when they scored two or fewer runs for their starter in his last start. I also, have the Mets as 20-8 SU since 2004 at home withing 20 cents of pickem after scoing 6+ runs. Take the Mets for the Win.
Good Luck!! <!-- / message -->
ONTHEMONEYLINE
2:05 EST
NYY vs. CWS (Sabathia v Buerhle)
Pick: New York Yankees -135
Believe it or not after yesterday's dismal performance from the NYY we go right back with them today. Yes, Mark Buerhle has had an unbelievable couple of games, but that wont continue today. After recording the MLB record 45 consecutive outs, he went to let up three runs the next inning. Buerhle also boasts a lifetime 6.11 ERA vs the Bronx and has a record of 1-5, certainly not confidence enhancing statistics. Yankees pitching has let up 24 runs over the last two games and that will not happen when C.C. takes the mound. Sabathia is 14-4 lifetime vs CWS with a 3.65 ERA and will look to dominate the White Sox batters. With the Redsox picking up another game on the Yanks, they cannot afford to be swept by Chicago and lose control over their divionsal lead over Boston. Yankees pitching turns it around today as they bounce back with a 6-2 victory to close the series.
2:10 EST
LAA vs. MIN (Weaver v Perkins)
Pick: Minnesota Twins + 100
All we have to say is that in 16 innings of work lifetime vs LAA bats Perkins has a ERA of 0.56, enough said. Minnesota has been a different ballclub at home opposed to the road, when they play inside the dome they have 31-22 record. With the race in the AL Central tightening up the Twins cannot afford to lose a lot of more home games as their schedule becomes more difficult towards the end of August. Last time Weaver faced the Twins he let up 4 ER in 7 innings of work and that game was at LAA. We forsee a far worse game for Weaver today as the Twins put up atleast four runs on him in the early stages of the game and hold on for the win. Twins bounce back from yesterday’s throttling 5-3.
4:05 EST
LAA vs. MIN (Hamels v Zito)
Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -165
After getting shutout all night by ace Lincecum we feel the Phillies will be ready for aging Barry Zito. Squaring against Zito comes last year’s World Series MVP. Although Cole Hamels hasn’t been as dominant as he was last year this guy still throws extremely hard. He is currently on a roll and hasn’t lost a decision in over a month. The Giants struggle vs Lefties as they bat .246 as a team versus a .261 vs Righties. All angles in this equation point towards a Philadelphia Phillies win as they even the series 2-2 with a 8-2 thromp over San Francisco.
2:05 EST
NYY vs. CWS (Sabathia v Buerhle)
Pick: New York Yankees -135
Believe it or not after yesterday's dismal performance from the NYY we go right back with them today. Yes, Mark Buerhle has had an unbelievable couple of games, but that wont continue today. After recording the MLB record 45 consecutive outs, he went to let up three runs the next inning. Buerhle also boasts a lifetime 6.11 ERA vs the Bronx and has a record of 1-5, certainly not confidence enhancing statistics. Yankees pitching has let up 24 runs over the last two games and that will not happen when C.C. takes the mound. Sabathia is 14-4 lifetime vs CWS with a 3.65 ERA and will look to dominate the White Sox batters. With the Redsox picking up another game on the Yanks, they cannot afford to be swept by Chicago and lose control over their divionsal lead over Boston. Yankees pitching turns it around today as they bounce back with a 6-2 victory to close the series.
2:10 EST
LAA vs. MIN (Weaver v Perkins)
Pick: Minnesota Twins + 100
All we have to say is that in 16 innings of work lifetime vs LAA bats Perkins has a ERA of 0.56, enough said. Minnesota has been a different ballclub at home opposed to the road, when they play inside the dome they have 31-22 record. With the race in the AL Central tightening up the Twins cannot afford to lose a lot of more home games as their schedule becomes more difficult towards the end of August. Last time Weaver faced the Twins he let up 4 ER in 7 innings of work and that game was at LAA. We forsee a far worse game for Weaver today as the Twins put up atleast four runs on him in the early stages of the game and hold on for the win. Twins bounce back from yesterday’s throttling 5-3.
4:05 EST
LAA vs. MIN (Hamels v Zito)
Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -165
After getting shutout all night by ace Lincecum we feel the Phillies will be ready for aging Barry Zito. Squaring against Zito comes last year’s World Series MVP. Although Cole Hamels hasn’t been as dominant as he was last year this guy still throws extremely hard. He is currently on a roll and hasn’t lost a decision in over a month. The Giants struggle vs Lefties as they bat .246 as a team versus a .261 vs Righties. All angles in this equation point towards a Philadelphia Phillies win as they even the series 2-2 with a 8-2 thromp over San Francisco.
Craig Trapp
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles
Play: 5* Boston Red Sox -1.5
BOS seems to have fixed there issues that were plaguing them a week ago. It helps to play a very average BAL team. They have dominated this Orioles team winning 10 out of 11 this year. Bucholtz goes for BOS today and he is 1-1 this year with a 3.5 ERA. Clay can be just a dominating young pitcher and today he will dominate the O's. On the other side Berken goes to the mound for the O's and he has been horrible going 1-8 with a 6.22 ERA. Not good news for the O's that Bergen can really get banged around and now BOS is hitting. Not a close one play the R/L and feel confident. BOS must win now to keep up with the NYY and a surging TB team. SCORE BOS 7 - BAL 3
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles
Play: 5* Boston Red Sox -1.5
BOS seems to have fixed there issues that were plaguing them a week ago. It helps to play a very average BAL team. They have dominated this Orioles team winning 10 out of 11 this year. Bucholtz goes for BOS today and he is 1-1 this year with a 3.5 ERA. Clay can be just a dominating young pitcher and today he will dominate the O's. On the other side Berken goes to the mound for the O's and he has been horrible going 1-8 with a 6.22 ERA. Not good news for the O's that Bergen can really get banged around and now BOS is hitting. Not a close one play the R/L and feel confident. BOS must win now to keep up with the NYY and a surging TB team. SCORE BOS 7 - BAL 3
