Pro Cappers
Orlando Magic at Los Angeles Lakers
Game Date: 6/7/2009
Game Time: 8:00 PM
Picking: Full Game
Spread
Result: Open
NBA Spread Pick
Orlando Magic +7
San Francisco Giants at Florida Marlins
Game Date: 6/7/2009
Game Time: 5:05 PM
Picking: Full Game
MoneyLine
Result: Open
MLB MoneyLine Pick
San Francisco Giants -125
Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners
Game Date: 6/7/2009
Game Time: 4:10 PM
Picking: Full Game
MoneyLine
Result: Open
MLB MoneyLine Pick
Seattle Mariners -140
Orlando Magic at Los Angeles Lakers
Game Date: 6/7/2009
Game Time: 8:00 PM
Picking: Full Game
Spread
Result: Open
NBA Spread Pick
Orlando Magic +7
San Francisco Giants at Florida Marlins
Game Date: 6/7/2009
Game Time: 5:05 PM
Picking: Full Game
MoneyLine
Result: Open
MLB MoneyLine Pick
San Francisco Giants -125
Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners
Game Date: 6/7/2009
Game Time: 4:10 PM
Picking: Full Game
MoneyLine
Result: Open
MLB MoneyLine Pick
Seattle Mariners -140
Craig Davis
Craig Davis Sunday's Lineup
25 Dime ---- Magic - Lakers OVER
10 Dime ---- BLUE JAYS -1 1/2 RUN LINE (With Halladay as listed pitcher)
MAGIC-LAKERS OVER --- Forget what you saw in Game 1 (a 100-75 Lakers win), this game is going over the total as I expect the Orlando Magic to push the Lakers all the way through the fourth quarter. Two things happened in the last game that caused it to stay under the number. First, the Magic shot like they hadn't ever seen a basket before in their lives. 23 of 77 is less than 30% from the field. Yeah, did you realize that?? The Magic shot less than 30% from the field for the entire game and I guarantee you that won't happen again tonight. Second, the Lakers took their foot off the gas in the fourth quarter or they could have easily posted between 110 and 115 points. They cruised into the final stanza with a comfortable lead and only scored 18 in the final 12 minutes. And like I said, with tonight's game expected to be a little more competitive, look for the Lakers to top the century mark again.
Back to Orlando. How quickly we forget what this team did to the Cleveland Cavs in the Eastern Conference Finals. Do you not remember them scoring over 100 points in 4 of the 6 games vs. Cleveland (and one of those games was a 99-point output)? Don't you remember what got the Cavs the best record in the NBA? DEFENSE. This was supposed to be the best defensive team in the NBA, but Orlando showed us that Cleveland's defense could be exploited with the right combo on offense. Tonight, the Magic put together the right combo again vs. the Lakers and score in triple digits.
As for the Lakers, I have no doubts they get to the century mark again themselves, having done it 7 straight post-season games dating back to the Denver series. And if you look at Orlando's defense, they play much better at home than they do on the road, so I'm not really worried about them slowing this Lakers' machine down much. It's business as usual for both offenses and I see the final score somewhere in the neighborhood of 111-105. Play the OVER.
TORONTO (-1 1/2 run line) (must list Halladay) --- Is there a better pitcher in the American League right now than Roy Halladay? The guy is 9-1 on the season with a 2.77 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP in 12 starts, and simply hasn't had any games where his control is a problem. He isn't walking batters and isn't really allowing opponents to put a string of base hits together, which continually puts his Blue Jays in a position to win. The Jays are 20-10 when playing at home this year and Halladay has a better career ERA and WHIP when pitching in front of the home crowd. Okay, sure, his last outing was definitely not his best, but you can't expect him to go out and pitch a shutout every outing, can you?
Halladay's career numbers vs. the Royals look like this: 13 starts, 93 innings, 2.90 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, .234 opponent's batting average against. Folks, those are solid numbers and I see nothing that tells me he won't repeat another dominating performance this afternoon.
Kansas City counters with Kyle Davies, who has been roughed up in his last two outings. 9 ER in his last 11 innings of work, and let's not forget he's suffered four straight losse. His season ERA is over 5 and his walk total is absolutely absurd, including 6 free passes in over 5 innings of work vs. Tampa Bay in his last start. Davies is simply overmatched in this game and it's probably only going to take 5 runs for the Jays to get the cash vs. the run line. Play Toronto -1 1/2 as your best bet on the diamond today.
BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED--------GL GUYS
Craig Davis Sunday's Lineup
25 Dime ---- Magic - Lakers OVER
10 Dime ---- BLUE JAYS -1 1/2 RUN LINE (With Halladay as listed pitcher)
MAGIC-LAKERS OVER --- Forget what you saw in Game 1 (a 100-75 Lakers win), this game is going over the total as I expect the Orlando Magic to push the Lakers all the way through the fourth quarter. Two things happened in the last game that caused it to stay under the number. First, the Magic shot like they hadn't ever seen a basket before in their lives. 23 of 77 is less than 30% from the field. Yeah, did you realize that?? The Magic shot less than 30% from the field for the entire game and I guarantee you that won't happen again tonight. Second, the Lakers took their foot off the gas in the fourth quarter or they could have easily posted between 110 and 115 points. They cruised into the final stanza with a comfortable lead and only scored 18 in the final 12 minutes. And like I said, with tonight's game expected to be a little more competitive, look for the Lakers to top the century mark again.
Back to Orlando. How quickly we forget what this team did to the Cleveland Cavs in the Eastern Conference Finals. Do you not remember them scoring over 100 points in 4 of the 6 games vs. Cleveland (and one of those games was a 99-point output)? Don't you remember what got the Cavs the best record in the NBA? DEFENSE. This was supposed to be the best defensive team in the NBA, but Orlando showed us that Cleveland's defense could be exploited with the right combo on offense. Tonight, the Magic put together the right combo again vs. the Lakers and score in triple digits.
As for the Lakers, I have no doubts they get to the century mark again themselves, having done it 7 straight post-season games dating back to the Denver series. And if you look at Orlando's defense, they play much better at home than they do on the road, so I'm not really worried about them slowing this Lakers' machine down much. It's business as usual for both offenses and I see the final score somewhere in the neighborhood of 111-105. Play the OVER.
TORONTO (-1 1/2 run line) (must list Halladay) --- Is there a better pitcher in the American League right now than Roy Halladay? The guy is 9-1 on the season with a 2.77 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP in 12 starts, and simply hasn't had any games where his control is a problem. He isn't walking batters and isn't really allowing opponents to put a string of base hits together, which continually puts his Blue Jays in a position to win. The Jays are 20-10 when playing at home this year and Halladay has a better career ERA and WHIP when pitching in front of the home crowd. Okay, sure, his last outing was definitely not his best, but you can't expect him to go out and pitch a shutout every outing, can you?
Halladay's career numbers vs. the Royals look like this: 13 starts, 93 innings, 2.90 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, .234 opponent's batting average against. Folks, those are solid numbers and I see nothing that tells me he won't repeat another dominating performance this afternoon.
Kansas City counters with Kyle Davies, who has been roughed up in his last two outings. 9 ER in his last 11 innings of work, and let's not forget he's suffered four straight losse. His season ERA is over 5 and his walk total is absolutely absurd, including 6 free passes in over 5 innings of work vs. Tampa Bay in his last start. Davies is simply overmatched in this game and it's probably only going to take 5 runs for the Jays to get the cash vs. the run line. Play Toronto -1 1/2 as your best bet on the diamond today.
BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED--------GL GUYS
Street Rosenthal of HandicappingTrends
*200 Houston Astros -120
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 1-22 in an away game when their starter allowed 4+ earned runs in back to back games and it is not the first game of a series.
The Pirates are 5-28 since 2005 season as a road dog after a win in which the left 18+ men on base.
The Astros are 19-7 since 2007 season as a favorite when they are off a loss in which they held they held the lead
*200 St Louis Cardinals -127
The Cardinals are 27-2 since 2004 season as a home favorite after a loss in which they drew 1 or fewer walks.
The Cardinals are 14-3 since 2007 season when they are off two losses in which they never lead.
*200 Florida Marlins +112
*200 Los Angeles Lakers under the total of 202.5
*200 Houston Astros -120
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 1-22 in an away game when their starter allowed 4+ earned runs in back to back games and it is not the first game of a series.
The Pirates are 5-28 since 2005 season as a road dog after a win in which the left 18+ men on base.
The Astros are 19-7 since 2007 season as a favorite when they are off a loss in which they held they held the lead
*200 St Louis Cardinals -127
The Cardinals are 27-2 since 2004 season as a home favorite after a loss in which they drew 1 or fewer walks.
The Cardinals are 14-3 since 2007 season when they are off two losses in which they never lead.
*200 Florida Marlins +112
*200 Los Angeles Lakers under the total of 202.5
MTi Sports
Orlando at LA Lakers
Play: Orlando +6.5
The Magic were a bit over-whelmed and distracted in game one of the NBA Finals. They were out-shot 46.1% to 29.1%. Jameer Nelson was playing his first game in months and should be much better today.
Dwight Howard scored 12 points and had 15 boards and this is a very good sign for the Magic. Orlando is a perfect 20-0 ATS with rest on the road off a loss in which Dwight Howard had a double-dozen (12+ points and 12+ rebounds). The last four times the Magic were a dog in this spot, they won straight up. Also, the Magic are 7-0 ATS as a dog when seeking revenge for a loss in which Dwight Howard shot worse than 33% from the field and 7-0 ATS after a road loss in which Rashard Lewis shot worse than 33% from the field, covering by an average of 12.8 ppg.
As a team, the Magic are 7-0 ATS as a dog after a rod game in which they scored more than 30% of their points from the three-point line -- winning each of the last five straight up. Also, Orlando is 6-0 ATS (+11.2 ppg) when facing a team they lost to as a road dog in their previous same-season match-up and 5-0 ATS (+10.4 ppg) after a double-digit loss in which they were outshot by at least 10 percent.
The Lakers do not have the killer instinct in this situation. LA is a terrible 0-10 ATS (-12.6 ppg) since late November as a favorite after a home game in which they out-shot their opponent by at least 10 percent, including 0-3 in these playoffs. The Lakers only won two of the ten games straight up, despite being favored by an average of 7.3 ppg.
In the first game of the Finals, Lamar Odom had 14 rebounds, eleven points and no assists. Looking at the Lakers’ player-based trends, we find that LA is 0-8 ATS IN THE PLAYOFFS after a win in which Lamar Odom had more turnovers than assists. LA has failed to cover by an average of 14.6 ppg in this spot. The last three qualifying games are all from these playoffs. They include; LA’s 88-86 loss as a 1’ point road favorite in Utah, their 99-87 loss laying 6’ in Houston and their 99-85 loss laying 8’ in Houston.
LA made a statement in the opener vs a star-struck Magic team that is not used to the hoopla of the Finals. Here, they should be more focused on basketball. Grab the points and maybe consider a small investment on the money-line.
Orlando at LA Lakers
Play: Orlando +6.5
The Magic were a bit over-whelmed and distracted in game one of the NBA Finals. They were out-shot 46.1% to 29.1%. Jameer Nelson was playing his first game in months and should be much better today.
Dwight Howard scored 12 points and had 15 boards and this is a very good sign for the Magic. Orlando is a perfect 20-0 ATS with rest on the road off a loss in which Dwight Howard had a double-dozen (12+ points and 12+ rebounds). The last four times the Magic were a dog in this spot, they won straight up. Also, the Magic are 7-0 ATS as a dog when seeking revenge for a loss in which Dwight Howard shot worse than 33% from the field and 7-0 ATS after a road loss in which Rashard Lewis shot worse than 33% from the field, covering by an average of 12.8 ppg.
As a team, the Magic are 7-0 ATS as a dog after a rod game in which they scored more than 30% of their points from the three-point line -- winning each of the last five straight up. Also, Orlando is 6-0 ATS (+11.2 ppg) when facing a team they lost to as a road dog in their previous same-season match-up and 5-0 ATS (+10.4 ppg) after a double-digit loss in which they were outshot by at least 10 percent.
The Lakers do not have the killer instinct in this situation. LA is a terrible 0-10 ATS (-12.6 ppg) since late November as a favorite after a home game in which they out-shot their opponent by at least 10 percent, including 0-3 in these playoffs. The Lakers only won two of the ten games straight up, despite being favored by an average of 7.3 ppg.
In the first game of the Finals, Lamar Odom had 14 rebounds, eleven points and no assists. Looking at the Lakers’ player-based trends, we find that LA is 0-8 ATS IN THE PLAYOFFS after a win in which Lamar Odom had more turnovers than assists. LA has failed to cover by an average of 14.6 ppg in this spot. The last three qualifying games are all from these playoffs. They include; LA’s 88-86 loss as a 1’ point road favorite in Utah, their 99-87 loss laying 6’ in Houston and their 99-85 loss laying 8’ in Houston.
LA made a statement in the opener vs a star-struck Magic team that is not used to the hoopla of the Finals. Here, they should be more focused on basketball. Grab the points and maybe consider a small investment on the money-line.
Jamie Tursini
Orlando at LA Lakers
Play: Over 202
I'm betting the over here where the value seems to really stand out.
Game 1 had the total at 206, and now we get a 4.5 point difference as it has been bet down from 203.
The one thing that I've noticed throughout these playoffs is that when a team was blown out the game before. They come back and put points on the board.
Orlando missed a lot of easy open shots in the first game. I think we can assume they'll hit their's now, and they should be able to get inside more. As D.Howard only made 6 attempts, which is totally unacceptable.
The Lakers will get their's as well, and I think we can expect this one to hit the 200's easily. Orlando will go all out knowing they can't go down 0-2 so I expect them to run when they're at their best.
Orlando at LA Lakers
Play: Over 202
I'm betting the over here where the value seems to really stand out.
Game 1 had the total at 206, and now we get a 4.5 point difference as it has been bet down from 203.
The one thing that I've noticed throughout these playoffs is that when a team was blown out the game before. They come back and put points on the board.
Orlando missed a lot of easy open shots in the first game. I think we can assume they'll hit their's now, and they should be able to get inside more. As D.Howard only made 6 attempts, which is totally unacceptable.
The Lakers will get their's as well, and I think we can expect this one to hit the 200's easily. Orlando will go all out knowing they can't go down 0-2 so I expect them to run when they're at their best.
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JUNE 5, 2009 9:00 ET
BECAUSE OF THE FORMAT ON THE NBA CHAMPIONSHIP 2, 3, 2 THE LAKERS ARE IN A CRITICAL MUST WIN IN GAME 1. THEY LOST THE FIRST GAME TO THE ROCKETS AND GOT AWAY WITH IT. THEY LOST GAME TWO TO THE NUGGETS AND GOT AWAY WITH IT. THEY WILL NOT GET AWAY WITH LOSING TONIGHT. THE LAKERS ARE THE BEST DEFENSIVE TEAM ORLANDO HAS FACED. THEY WILL BE ABLE TO DEFEND THE THREE AND IN REALITY LEE WILL NOT BE ABLE TO STOP KOBE. LAMAR ODOM OFF THE BENCH WILL BE AN IMPOSSIBLE MATCH UP FOR ORLANDO. LAKERS CAN TASTE THE 2009 CHAMPIONSHIP. THEY ARE POISED AND BATTLE TESTED FROM THE NUGGET AND ROCKET SERIES. THEY WANT TO TAKE ANY LIFE OR HOPE OUT OF ORLANDO'S GAME QUICKLY. A FAST START, GREAT DEFENSE SPELLS A LAKER BLOW OUT.
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[SIZE=+1]Stu Feiner
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ONE AND ONLY 10,000 DIME
NBA CHAMPIONSHIP
GAME OF THE YEAR!
THE STRONGEST GAME I
RELEASE ON THE NET
L.A. LAKERS VS ORLANDO MAGIC
I MUST WIN TONIGHT OR YOU WILL GET
ALL MY BASEBALL FOR JUNE & JULY
ABSOLUTELY FREE!
I WON GAME ONE
5000 DIME HIGH ROLLER WINS
LAKERS 100 MAGIC 75
HERE'S MY ANALYSIS
LOS ANGELES LAKERS OVER ORLANDO MAGICNBA CHAMPIONSHIP
GAME OF THE YEAR!
THE STRONGEST GAME I
RELEASE ON THE NET
L.A. LAKERS VS ORLANDO MAGIC
I MUST WIN TONIGHT OR YOU WILL GET
ALL MY BASEBALL FOR JUNE & JULY
ABSOLUTELY FREE!
I WON GAME ONE
5000 DIME HIGH ROLLER WINS
LAKERS 100 MAGIC 75
HERE'S MY ANALYSIS
JUNE 5, 2009 9:00 ET
BECAUSE OF THE FORMAT ON THE NBA CHAMPIONSHIP 2, 3, 2 THE LAKERS ARE IN A CRITICAL MUST WIN IN GAME 1. THEY LOST THE FIRST GAME TO THE ROCKETS AND GOT AWAY WITH IT. THEY LOST GAME TWO TO THE NUGGETS AND GOT AWAY WITH IT. THEY WILL NOT GET AWAY WITH LOSING TONIGHT. THE LAKERS ARE THE BEST DEFENSIVE TEAM ORLANDO HAS FACED. THEY WILL BE ABLE TO DEFEND THE THREE AND IN REALITY LEE WILL NOT BE ABLE TO STOP KOBE. LAMAR ODOM OFF THE BENCH WILL BE AN IMPOSSIBLE MATCH UP FOR ORLANDO. LAKERS CAN TASTE THE 2009 CHAMPIONSHIP. THEY ARE POISED AND BATTLE TESTED FROM THE NUGGET AND ROCKET SERIES. THEY WANT TO TAKE ANY LIFE OR HOPE OUT OF ORLANDO'S GAME QUICKLY. A FAST START, GREAT DEFENSE SPELLS A LAKER BLOW OUT.
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