Cleveland Cavaliers at Orlando Magic May 24 2009 8:30PM
PICK: under
Your pick will be graded at: 190.5 betED
EXPERT: Stephen Nover
REASON FOR PICK: From 184 all the way up into the 190 range the total has gone. That's what two overs during the first two games of this series can do.
This is just too much of an adjustment. The pace hasn't been anything special. The over has come in because the Cavaliers and Magic are shooting above 49 percent from the floor. That is not going to continue.
These teams play too good of defense. The Cavaliers finished in the top three in scoring defense, defensive field goal percentage and 3-point defensive field goal percentage. The Magic is a top-six defense.
The under has cashed 16 of the past 23 times when the Cavaliers have been an underdog.
Orlando is 22-10 to the under in its last 32 games, including going under six of the past seven times when favored.
This is a three-unit play for me.
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