Service Plays Sunday 03/29/09

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Michigan State (+7) vs. Louisville, at Indianapolis By Bobby Maxwell, Featured Handicapper
Here's an Elite FREE winner for you today as we're on the college hardwood with Michigan State getting way too many points against Louisville.

Yeah, I know how shaky Michigan State looked against Kansas on Friday night while Louisville was off destroying Arizona. But I saw something I didn't like from Louisville, a bunch of cocky players celebrating a route. They think they're cruising through this round too, but they've got a big surprise waiting for them in the Spartans.

Michigan State was in a dogfight with Kansas, winning 67-62 as a one-point favorite. They fell behind by 13 in the first half and showed their mettle, rallying back and playing just like coach Tom Izzo wants, rebounding and hitting open shots.

The Spartans also had a fight in the second round, edging USC 74-69 as a four-point favorite. They know how to handle themselves in tough fights, does Louisville?

Michigan State is 9-1 SU (7-3 ATS) in its last 10 games, and remember that this team is so well-balanced, they could have any of four players lead the team in scoring and they've got Goran Suton in the middle who controls the pace with his ability to shoot, rebound and defend. He had 20 points and nine boards against the Jayhawks.

Did Louisville do any work against an Arizona team that was as shocked they were there as the rest of the country? The Cardinals led by 21 at the half and they shot 57.6 percent from the floor.

Louisville is 0-5 ATS against Big Ten teams while Michigan State is on ATS runs of 5-1 overall, 5-0 in non-conference action, 11-4-1 on neutral courts, 20-8-1 in the Big Dance and 8-3-1 as a 'dog.

This is just way too many points to pass up. This one will be a fight to the finish, there is no quit in the Spartans and they won't get blown out. Play Michigan State.

2? MICHIGAN STATE

Michigan State vs. LOUISVILLE - at Indianapolis, IN By Sports Gambling Hotline, Featured Handicapper
For Sunday in the Big Dance, take the OVER in your Michigan State-Louisville contest.

Michigan State has been OVER the total in 2 of their 3 Big Dance games, and 3 of their last 4 dating back to the Big 10 tournament. We get the feeling that for the Spartans to hang with the Cardinals, they are going to be forced into showing some offensive fire power, and we feel that even if they get blown out, there will be enough points coming from the Louisville side for us to get this game in the OVER column.

Lousville sailed way OVER the price in their Sweet 16 laugher against Arizona, and they have now played HIGH in 3 of their last 4 dating back to the Big East tourney, and are on a 9-4 OVER clip their last 13 games when installed as the favorite.

We expect another high-scoring game involving the 'Ville before this one is all said and done.

Play the OVER.


5? OVER

Oklahoma vs. North Carolina (-7), at Memphis, TN By Michael Cannon, Featured Handicapper
Take the over in the South Regional final between <?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" /><st1:State><st1:place>Oklahoma</st1:place></st1:State> and <st1:State><st1:place>North Carolina</st1:place></st1:State>.<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
Both teams like to get out and run when the opportunity presents itself, and in the case of North Carolina even when it doesn’t. <o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
The Sooners have arguably the best player in the nation in Blake Griffin and he also runs the floor exceptionally well for a big man, so the tempo that the Tarheels are going to bring here shouldn’t bother him at all.<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
On the other side, <st1:State><st1:place>North Carolina</st1:place></st1:State> has been pouring in the points, scoring a whopping 283 points in its three tournament victories so far. Of course the Tarheels are also known for their lack of defense, so that should play right into this game soaring over the posted total.<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
The over is on runs of 13-5 for North Carolina on Sunday, 6-1 when the Tarheels are favored by less than seven points, 13-6-1 for North Carolina after a spread-cover, 5-1-1 for Oklahoma in the Tournament, 13-5-1 for the Sooners in non-conference play and 10-3 for Oklahoma after an ATS win.<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
Take the over as this game soars past the posted total.


2? OVER

Oklahoma (+7) vs. North Carolina, at Memphis By Chris Jordan, Featured Handicapper
Did you get the feeling after Blake Griffin showed Syracuse how to actually the slam the basketball, since one of its own missed at the Orange end of the court, that the rest of the world is also missing something? Maybe Oklahoma is more than Griffin, who bullied Syracuse around for 30 points and 14 rebounds, while Tony Crocker contributed with a career-high 28 points.
<o:p> </o:p>
And let’s be real, the Sooners were pulling away from the pride of northern New York midway through the first half, while Griffin punctuated the win with the now infamous noggin-knocking slam dunk.
<o:p> </o:p>
Bring on the Tar Heels!
<o:p> </o:p>
I don’t know if the Sooners are going to be dancing with Villanova and U Conn next week, not to mention today’s early winner – which is my 400? Line Mistake Winner #3 in a Row – but I do know this is going to be one helluva basketball game. One that I wouldn’t be surprised goes down to the wire.
<o:p> </o:p>
North Carolina isn’t known for playing defense, mainly because it can score enough to compete better offensively than Carolina’s Bobcats, and that might bite them against a Sooners team that has plenty of mettle to combine with Griffin’s potency, such as guards Willie Warren and Austin Johnson, who will be spot on for this regional final.
<o:p> </o:p>
Fact is, Oklahoma has solved issues that caused a late-season slide, and is on a 4-1 ATS run in its last five tournament games – a perfect 3-0 this year. As for the Heels, well, they’re mired in ATS slides of 2-7 laying wood in this range, 2-8 off an ATS win and a putrid 0-5 on their last five Sundays.


1? OKLAHOMA

Oklahoma vs. North Carolina (-7) By Jeff Benton, Featured Handicapper
For Sunday’s Bonus Play, we’ll head to the Elite Eight and play the North Carolina-Oklahoma contest UNDER the total.<o:p></o:p>
<o:p></o:p>
I admit right off the bat that this is a total contrarian play. I know that all the money is going to come pouring in on the “over” in this matchup, and it’s easy to see why. First off, the public always plays these marquee games “over” the total. Secondly, the “over” hit in both of yesterday’s Elite Eight games and the “over” is 5-1 in the Tournament since Friday. Thirdly, both the Sooners and Tar Heels have been scoring at will in the Big Dance, and both topped the total in their victories on Friday.<o:p></o:p>
<o:p></o:p>
But you see, this is the exact reason why the “under” is so attractive today. We all know that when the public lines up on one side of a particular play that the other side is almost always the way to go. And because the “over” is going to take so much action today, the oddsmakers had to inflate this line.<o:p></o:p>
<o:p></o:p>
When you get down to it, it’s extremely difficult for a 40-minute college game to be played in the mid-160s or higher. That means, in essence, that both teams have to score well into the 80s. That ain’t easy. In fact, when you consider that only two of Oklahoma’s last 14 games have gone over 160 points and that North Carolina hadn’t exceeded 160 in five straight games before Friday’s win over Gonzaga, this basically is a very strong “value” play. Take this one UNDER the total.


5? UNC-Oklahoma UNDER the total
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Johnny Guild

Sunday, March 29, 2009 8:00 PM EST.
San Antonio Spurs (48-24) at New Orleans Hornets (44-27)
The home team has dominated this series, winning 10 of the last 11 contests both straight-up and against thee spread. However, the Spurs offense has suddenly awakened and are playing tough defense, while the Hornets offense has gone limp. Go with the Spurs! San Antonio is 3-1 both straight-up and against thee spread in the last four clashes versus New Orleans.

San Antonio Spurs -1

Louisville Cardinals -7
Mich St/Louisville Under -138
North Carolina Tar Heels -7
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with UConn (-5-1/2) Saturday.

Sunday it's North Carolina (-6-1/2) and Louisville (-6-1/2). The surplus is 345 sirignanos.
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Another big day at theerodfather of sports as he gets the 2-0 sweep in the tourney!!!!!!!!

Sundays action

michigan state+6.5 15 unit hitt play !!!!!!!
North carolina-7 15 unit hitt play !!!!!!!

Good luck
theerodfather
 
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Dunkel

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Game 701-702: Dallas at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 118.471; Cleveland 128.283
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 10; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 8 1/2; 191 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-8 1/2); Over
Game 703-704: LA Lakers at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 124.950; Atlanta 120.234
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 4 1/2; 195 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 3 1/2; 199 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-3 1/2); Under
Game 705-706: Chicago at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 117.357; Toronto 120.373
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 3; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 2; 209
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-2); Under
Game 707-708: New Jersey at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 116.854; Minnesota 115.324
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1 1/2; 197
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey by 3; 199 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+3); Under
Game 709-710: Philadelphia at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 117.810; Detroit 119.257
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 2 1/2; 184 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+2 1/2); Over
Game 711-712: Washington at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 107.916; Indiana 119.933
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 12; 209 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 8 1/2; 209
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-8 1/2); Over
Game 713-714: Oklahoma City at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 114.240; Boston 124.604
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 10 1/2; 191
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 11 1/2; 190 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+11 1/2); Over
Game 715-716: San Antonio at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 121.809; New Orleans 118.383
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 3 1/2; 182 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 1; 178 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-1); Over
Game 717-718: Phoenix at Sacramento
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 121.528; Sacramento 116.499
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 5; 239
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 6; 238
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+6); Over
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Dunkel

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Today's NHL Picks
Boston at Philadelphia
The Bruins are just 1-5 in their last 6 road games, while the Flyers are 4-1 in their last 5 on the back end of back-to-back games. Philadelphia is the pick (-130) according to Dunkel, which has the Flyers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-130). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, MARCH 29
Time Posted: 10:30 a.m. EST
Game 1-2: Nashville at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 11.036; Detroit 12.233
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-320); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-320); Over
Game 3-4: St. Louis at Columbus
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 11.346; Columbus 11.699
Dunkel Line & Total: Columbus by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Columbus (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Columbus (-160); Over
Game 5-6: Ottawa at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 11.086; Tampa Bay 11.726
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+140); Over
Game 7-8: Boston at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 11.555; Philadelphia 12.590
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-130); Over
Game 9-10: Vancouver at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 11.354; Chicago 11.520
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-145); Under
Game 11-12: Minnesota at Edmonton
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 11.402; Edmonton 11.605
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Edmonton (-155); 5
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (-155); Under
Game 13-14: Colorado at Anaheim
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 9.550; Anaheim 11.918
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 2 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-260); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-260); Over
<!-- / message -->
 

I don't like it a lot
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adam meyer

[ NCAA ]​

<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=615 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=style24 width=100 height=100>
AdamMeyer.jpg

Adam Meyer​
</TD><TD width=10> </TD><TD vAlign=center align=middle width=505 rowSpan=2>
[Sunday, March 29, 2009 at 2:20 PM]
Louisville (-6.5 Points) vs. Michigan State
Today's play is information based and not analysis-driven.
Play: Louisville (-6.5 Point)
5.5Unit(s).jpg


[Sunday, March 29, 2009 at 5:05 PM]
Oklahoma (-6.5 Points) vs. UNC
Today's play is information based and not analysis-driven.
Play: Oklahoma (-6.5 Point)
5.5Unit(s).jpg
</TD></TR><TR><TD height=19>
</TD><TD> </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>



[ NBA ]​

<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=615 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=style24 width=100 height=100>
AdamMeyer.jpg

Adam Meyer​
</TD><TD width=10> </TD><TD vAlign=center align=middle width=505 rowSpan=2>
[Sunday, March 29, 2009 at 3:30 PM]
Los Angeles Lakers (-3 Points) vs. Atlanta Hawks
Today's play is information based and not analysis-driven.
Play: Los Angeles Lakers (-3 Point)
5.5Unit(s).jpg
</TD></TR><TR><TD height=19>
</TD><TD> </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>



[ International Soccer: World Cup Qualifier ]​

<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=615 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=style24 align=middle width=100 rowSpan=2>
JulioBianchi.jpg

Julio Bianchi
World Cup Qualifier​

</TD><TD width=10 height=100> </TD><TD vAlign=center align=middle width=505 rowSpan=2>
[Sunday, March 29, 2009 at 5:00 PM]
<TABLE width=450 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD width=210>
Brazil
</TD><TD width=19> </TD><TD width=207>
Ecuador
</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle> </TD><TD>vs</TD><TD align=middle> </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Third place is not customary for Brazil. In danger of getting to 4th place with a loss. This is the healthiest Brazil has been in 6 months. Expect a Brazilian win, if not an absolute blowout in Quito.
PLAY: Brazil (-1/2, -110)
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
 

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