22-February
3* Arizona/Arizona St. Over 131
Trends:
- Az St - 14-11 o/u overall
- 8-2 o/u when total is 130-139.5
- 5-2 o/u off a win against a conference rival
- 6-1 o/u after scoring 80 points or more
- 7-1 o/u when playing a team with winning record after 15 games
- Arizona - 10-11 o/u overall
- 5-3 o/u when total is is 130-139.5
- 4-5 o/u at home
- 8-6 o/u when playing a team with a winning record
last meeting between these 2 went for 100 points. Both teams shot under 30% from the field and both teams shot under 20% from the 3pt. Since this meeting between the two, Az St. has NOT shot under 40% from the field nor under 30% from the 3pt.(includes 7 games with 6 of those going OVER the total). Az St. is averaging 45.5% from the field since this past meeting and allowing 43.8% FG. When Arizona shoots >=43% the OVER is 8-3 in conference. Az St. is scoring 63.3 ppg and allowing 60.7 ppg since the last meeting. But, Arizona has scored >80ppg in 5 of the last 7 games and is averaging 82.6ppg in those 7 while allowing >70ppg in 5 of the last 7 games with an average of 74.4 ppg giving up. When Arizona St. scores >70ppg the OVER is 4-1 in conference with that 1 loss being OVER 131 and 9-1 overall with the 1 loss being OVER 131. Az St. is 5-8 o/u in conference, 5 of those 8 under were away games and the other 3 were at home where they shot below 65% from the FT line. I believe in this rival game they will make them when they count as they know this is a big game for them. When they shoot >70% from the FT line the OVER is 8-5 overall. Also, in 4 of those 5 OVER games they did shoot >75% from the FT line. I would like to mentio I did buy the hook down to 130.5 like I usually do.