Sportswagers
Texas Tech @ UTEP +21
#390 UTEP +21 -109 over Texas Tech
11:00 PM EST. Despite being a 33½-point favorite, Texas Tech struggled to put away Central Arkansas in Week 1. The Red Raiders did not take the lead in that game until late in the second quarter Tech would prevail but not before surrendering 35 points to an FCS team and additional 406 yards of offense. Even more astonishing, Texas Tech gave up the yardage in balanced fashion, surrendering 228 through the air and 178 on the ground. Bad habits are tough to break and Tech showed up in Week 1 as a lazy, unorganized group with an alarming lack of fundamentals, especially on defense. That was in front of its own fans and we doubt it’s all going to get fixed in one week.
Tech now travels to El Paso to face a Miners team that compiled 446 yards of their own against New Mexico in their opening game, 31-24 victory. Winning instills confidence and the Miners figure to be even better this week in their own barn. UTEP has a workhorse running back in Aaron Davis, who trampled the Lobos for 237 rushing yards and three rushing touchdowns. UTEP can utilize him in similar fashion to neutralize the air raid style of Texas Tech's offense. This game sets up nicely for a physical UTEP squad, with the Miners coming home off a nice road win to play a big brother-type rival in front of a rowdy late-night crowd.
Our Pick
#390 UTEP +21 -109 (Risking 2.18 units - To Win: 2.00)
Oregon State @ HAWAII
#388 HAWAII +9½ -106 over Oregon State
10:30 PM EST. A team that is notorious for being extremely stubborn at home, Hawaii is once again taking back some significant weight on the Island. The Warriors were held in similar contempt when they hosted fellow Pac-12 rival, Washington last week but managed to give the Huskies a game. That’s a bit of an understatement too, as Washington would escape from Aloha Stadium by the hair of their skinny-skin-skin, 17-16. The Huskies were supposed to be an offensive power and score 40-50 points in that game (total was 63) but the Warriors actually outgained them by close to 100 yards in total offense. In fact, Hawaii was supreme in every notable statistical category: third down conversion %, fourth down conversion % and turnover margin. Hawaii should have won that game but what they did do was knock Washington out of both polls and proved to itself that they can compete with prolific talent from the neighboring Pacific Coast.
As a 32½-point favorite last week at home, the Beavers trailed Portland State 14-13 at the half before rallying for 16 unanswered in the second half. OSU was tagged for 13 penalties last week. They had trouble finding the end zone against an FCS opponent and had to settle for seven FG’s. The Beavers are very capable of putting up points but they are also very capable of turning the ball over and making the kind of mental mistakes that set a team back every week. OSU’s defense is still weak and with games upcoming against San Diego State and USC respectively, these kids may treat this one to the mainland as a vacation and not one of importance.
Our Pick
#388 HAWAII +9½ -106 (Risking 2.12 units - To Win: 2.00)
Navy @ TEMPLE
#324 TEMPLE +3 -102 over Navy
Posted at 9:00 AM EST
1:00 PM EST. One would imagine that the Owls would gain some respect after their 37-7 thumping on the road in Vanderbilt in Week 1. However, despite the prestige that comes with defeating an SEC opponent in out of conference contests, the Owls are still viewed as a weak AAC team. Now the 1-0 Owls will host the Midshipmen of the U.S Naval Academy in a complex yet intriguing match-up of two distinct and different styles of play. Navy enters on a 17-point loss to then #5 Ohio State, where the Midshipmen saw the game slip through their hands in the second half against a shaky Buckeyes team. Navy led 7-6 at the half and hung tough as a 14-point pooch in a game that was televised to a large audience. That exposure against a high-ranked team from a power conference has caused an overreaction here on Navy. That was a physical game that had to take a bit of a toll on the Midshipmen. It was also an emotional Week 1 matchup that the Academy was completely jacked up for. A letdown here in a much less enthusiastic setting would be of no surprise.
The Owls held Vandy to just 54 yards on the ground and that bodes well here against a Navy team that runs left, runs right and runs up the middle. In other words, Navy is a one-dimensional offense that might pass five times or less the entire game. The Owls stock is still low after the team won just two times in 2013. Temple’s win over the Commodores last week was considered to be more of Vandy’s undoing than Temple’s strong game. Owls QB P.J. Walker stepped in for Temple last year in Week 6 but by that time the Owls were in a serious hole, which allowed Walker to fly far under the radar for the remainder of the season. All Walker did was throw for over 2000 yards and 20 TD’s and in the process he kept the Owls in most games. Walker is also a dual-threat, as he rushed for 322 yards and three more TD’s. The Owls possess a solid running game and a solid passing game. Their defense held the Commodores in check the entire game and forced numerous turnovers as well. Temple is a program on the rise and we don’t see a step backwards here in a favorable spot in a game they certainly can win outright.
Our Pick
#324 TEMPLE +3 -102 (Risking 2.04 units - To Win: 2.00)
Range | W | L | P | +/- (Units) |
---|
Yesterday | 1 | 1 | 0.00 | -0.20 |
Last 30 Days | 3 | 7 | 0.00 | -8.66 |
Season to Date | 3 | 7 | 0.00 | -8.66
|