River City Sharps
3 Units North Carolina -6.5
Big ACC clash in Chapel Hill on Saturday as Pittsburgh tries to get back to winning ways as they travel to North Carolina. This is the second game of a back-to-back roadie for Pitt, who traveled to Oklahoma State last week and lost 45-38. These two teams played a really good game last year in Pittsburgh, a game that UNC won 26-19 and UNC is actually 5-1 against the number vs. Pitt in their last six contests. UNC started sluggishly last week vs. FCS opponent James Madison, which is actually part of the basis of the selection here. Even though the Heels ended up winning 56-28, HC Larry Fedora was less than thrilled with his team’s effort in the first half and has made it a point all week to demand a better start from his team. The offense still seems to be humming with new QB Mitch Trubisky picking up right where Marquise Williams left off, which may be a problem for Pittsburgh, whose secondary was torched last week by Okie State. Pitt is a dreadful 0-6 ATS in the last three seasons vs. good passing offenses (250 PYPG or higher) and also just 4-16 against the number vs. poor defensive teams, which UNC would qualify for. Pitt likes to play "grind it out" football, which doesn't apply here. We also like the fact that Fedora is 10-2 ATS in his last 12 tries as a home favorite of seven points or less, which we have in this particular spot. Fedora has played this game up all week as a “must win” for the Heels and we believe you will see an inspired effort from UNC. We also expect Pitt to score points and the Over 67 appears to be in some jeopardy here as well, but we really like the Heels to play well and cover this number Saturday.
3 Units North Carolina -6.5
Big ACC clash in Chapel Hill on Saturday as Pittsburgh tries to get back to winning ways as they travel to North Carolina. This is the second game of a back-to-back roadie for Pitt, who traveled to Oklahoma State last week and lost 45-38. These two teams played a really good game last year in Pittsburgh, a game that UNC won 26-19 and UNC is actually 5-1 against the number vs. Pitt in their last six contests. UNC started sluggishly last week vs. FCS opponent James Madison, which is actually part of the basis of the selection here. Even though the Heels ended up winning 56-28, HC Larry Fedora was less than thrilled with his team’s effort in the first half and has made it a point all week to demand a better start from his team. The offense still seems to be humming with new QB Mitch Trubisky picking up right where Marquise Williams left off, which may be a problem for Pittsburgh, whose secondary was torched last week by Okie State. Pitt is a dreadful 0-6 ATS in the last three seasons vs. good passing offenses (250 PYPG or higher) and also just 4-16 against the number vs. poor defensive teams, which UNC would qualify for. Pitt likes to play "grind it out" football, which doesn't apply here. We also like the fact that Fedora is 10-2 ATS in his last 12 tries as a home favorite of seven points or less, which we have in this particular spot. Fedora has played this game up all week as a “must win” for the Heels and we believe you will see an inspired effort from UNC. We also expect Pitt to score points and the Over 67 appears to be in some jeopardy here as well, but we really like the Heels to play well and cover this number Saturday.
StatFox Super Situations
WNBA*|*PHOENIX*at*NEW YORK
Play Under - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 after allowing 90 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 165 points or more
81-41*since 1997.**(*66.4%*|*35.9 units*)
16-9*this year.**(*64.0%*|*6.1 units*)
WNBA*|*PHOENIX*at*NEW YORK
Play On - Any team vs the money line (NEW YORK) cold team - failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread against opponent after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread
42-23*over the last 5 seasons.**(*64.6%*|*0.0 units*)
9-6*this year.**(*60.0%*|*0.0 units*)
WNBA*|*PHOENIX*at*NEW YORK
Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is greater than 65.5 after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, with a losing record after 15 or more games
76-37*since 1997.**(*67.3%*|*35.3 units*)
4-5*this year.**(*44.4%*|*-1.5 units*)
WNBA*|*PHOENIX*at*NEW YORK
Play Under - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 after allowing 90 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 165 points or more
81-41*since 1997.**(*66.4%*|*35.9 units*)
16-9*this year.**(*64.0%*|*6.1 units*)
WNBA*|*PHOENIX*at*NEW YORK
Play On - Any team vs the money line (NEW YORK) cold team - failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread against opponent after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread
42-23*over the last 5 seasons.**(*64.6%*|*0.0 units*)
9-6*this year.**(*60.0%*|*0.0 units*)
WNBA*|*PHOENIX*at*NEW YORK
Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is greater than 65.5 after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, with a losing record after 15 or more games
76-37*since 1997.**(*67.3%*|*35.3 units*)
4-5*this year.**(*44.4%*|*-1.5 units*)
StatFox Super Situations
CFL*|*HAMILTON*at*SASKATCHEWAN
Play Under - Road teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% in the second half of the season
38-11*since 1997.**(*77.6%*|*25.9 units*)
2-1*this year.**(*66.7%*|*0.9 units*)
CFL*|*HAMILTON*at*SASKATCHEWAN
Play Under - Road teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% in the second half of the season
38-11*since 1997.**(*77.6%*|*25.9 units*)
2-1*this year.**(*66.7%*|*0.9 units*)
StatFox Super Situations
CFB*|*WYOMING*at*E MICHIGAN
Play On - Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WYOMING) good offensive team - scoring 31 or more points/game, after a win by 21 or more points
46-18*over the last 5 seasons.**(*71.9%*|*26.2 units*)
CFB*|*NORTH TEXAS*at*RICE
Play Against - A road team vs. the money line (NORTH TEXAS) off a cover where the team lost as an underdog against opponent off a home cover where the team lost as an underdog
21-8*since 1997.**(*72.4%*|*0.0 units*)
CFB*|*BALL ST*at*FLA ATLANTIC
Play On - A road team vs. the 1rst half line (BALL ST) after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a losing record
46-18*over the last 5 seasons.**(*71.9%*|*26.2 units*)
CFB*|*MIAMI OHIO*at*CINCINNATI
Play Over - All teams where the first half total is 28.5 to 31.5 after 3 or more consecutive straight up losses, in non-conference games
46-18*over the last 10 seasons.**(*71.9%*|*26.2 units*)
CFB*|*WYOMING*at*E MICHIGAN
Play On - Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (WYOMING) good offensive team - scoring 31 or more points/game, after a win by 21 or more points
46-18*over the last 5 seasons.**(*71.9%*|*26.2 units*)
CFB*|*NORTH TEXAS*at*RICE
Play Against - A road team vs. the money line (NORTH TEXAS) off a cover where the team lost as an underdog against opponent off a home cover where the team lost as an underdog
21-8*since 1997.**(*72.4%*|*0.0 units*)
CFB*|*BALL ST*at*FLA ATLANTIC
Play On - A road team vs. the 1rst half line (BALL ST) after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a losing record
46-18*over the last 5 seasons.**(*71.9%*|*26.2 units*)
CFB*|*MIAMI OHIO*at*CINCINNATI
Play Over - All teams where the first half total is 28.5 to 31.5 after 3 or more consecutive straight up losses, in non-conference games
46-18*over the last 10 seasons.**(*71.9%*|*26.2 units*)
StatFox Super Situations
MLB*|*COLORADO*at*LA DODGERS
Play Against - Any team (COLORADO) with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL) against opponent starting a pitcher who walked <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings
79-41*over the last 5 seasons.**(*65.8%*|*35.6 units*)
13-10*this year.**(*56.5%*|*1.2 units*)
StatFox Situational Power Trends
MLB*|*TEXAS*at*OAKLAND
TEXAS is 90-63 (+29.8 Units) against the money line in all games*this season.
The average score was: TEXAS (4.8) , OPPONENT (4.7)
MLB*|*COLORADO*at*LA DODGERS
Play Against - Any team (COLORADO) with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL) against opponent starting a pitcher who walked <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings
79-41*over the last 5 seasons.**(*65.8%*|*35.6 units*)
13-10*this year.**(*56.5%*|*1.2 units*)
StatFox Situational Power Trends
MLB*|*TEXAS*at*OAKLAND
TEXAS is 90-63 (+29.8 Units) against the money line in all games*this season.
The average score was: TEXAS (4.8) , OPPONENT (4.7)
INT Picks
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
#388
1 Star
12:00 PM ET
Florida St @ USF
Take USF +6
#340
2 Stars
3:30 PM ET
Appalachian St @ Akron
Play Under 58
#314
1 Star
6:00 PM ET
Ball St @ FAU
Take Florida Atlantic +3.5
#317
3 Stars
7:00 PM ET
Army @ Buffalo
Take Army -14
(3 Stars up to -16.5)
#389
3 Stars
7:30 PM ET
Nebraska @ Northwestern
Take Nebraska -7
(3 Stars up to -9.5)
#349
2 Stars
7:30 PM ET
Oklahoma St @ Baylor
Play Over 74
#364
3 Stars
9:00 PM ET
Arkansas @ Texas A&M
Take Texas A&M -6
(3 Stars up to -7)
#371
2 Stars
10:30 PM ET
Washington @ Arizona
Take Washington -13.5
MLB
#919
2 Stars
6:10 PM ET
Boston @ Tampa Bay
Take Boston ML (-150)
#927
1 Star
7:10 PM ET
Seattle @ Minnesota
Take Seattle ML (-127)
Free Pick
College Football
#373
1 Star
12:00 PM ET
Georgia @ Mississippi
Play Over 61
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
#388
1 Star
12:00 PM ET
Florida St @ USF
Take USF +6
#340
2 Stars
3:30 PM ET
Appalachian St @ Akron
Play Under 58
#314
1 Star
6:00 PM ET
Ball St @ FAU
Take Florida Atlantic +3.5
#317
3 Stars
7:00 PM ET
Army @ Buffalo
Take Army -14
(3 Stars up to -16.5)
#389
3 Stars
7:30 PM ET
Nebraska @ Northwestern
Take Nebraska -7
(3 Stars up to -9.5)
#349
2 Stars
7:30 PM ET
Oklahoma St @ Baylor
Play Over 74
#364
3 Stars
9:00 PM ET
Arkansas @ Texas A&M
Take Texas A&M -6
(3 Stars up to -7)
#371
2 Stars
10:30 PM ET
Washington @ Arizona
Take Washington -13.5
MLB
#919
2 Stars
6:10 PM ET
Boston @ Tampa Bay
Take Boston ML (-150)
#927
1 Star
7:10 PM ET
Seattle @ Minnesota
Take Seattle ML (-127)
Free Pick
College Football
#373
1 Star
12:00 PM ET
Georgia @ Mississippi
Play Over 61
