VEGAS EXPERTS
Auburn Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldogs
Saturday, September 13th, 7:00 PM ET
Last year's 19-14 loss to Miss State snapped a six-game win streak in the series for Auburn as well as a streak of 14 straight wins in conference openers. However, revenge should be sweet tonight as the Tigers have won the last three meetings in Starkville by an average of 30 PPG. The Bulldogs one win came against a non-lined opponent and they've already lost outright to Louisiana Tech. Auburn should have no problem covering this relatively small number.
Play on: Auburn
Auburn Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldogs
Saturday, September 13th, 7:00 PM ET
Last year's 19-14 loss to Miss State snapped a six-game win streak in the series for Auburn as well as a streak of 14 straight wins in conference openers. However, revenge should be sweet tonight as the Tigers have won the last three meetings in Starkville by an average of 30 PPG. The Bulldogs one win came against a non-lined opponent and they've already lost outright to Louisiana Tech. Auburn should have no problem covering this relatively small number.
Play on: Auburn
Sat, 09/13/08 - 12:00 PMKing Creole | CFB Side
double-dime bet150 Maryland 14.5 (-110) Bodog vs 149 California
Analysis: 2** BEST BET on: MARYLAND TERRAPINS plus the points vs california golden bears / 12:00et / ESPN TV / #150
This play has TREMENDOUS point spread value at even half the price. As it is, Speedee and his canine pals are licking their chops at grabbing the 14+ points for the non-conference home dog MARYLAND TERRAPINS.
In addition to the big ATS System mentioned below, there is a big time travel and time zone advantage for the Turtles.... NOW that they have moved this game to a very EARLY kickoff. California has to travel all the way across the country and start a game that is actually at 7:00AM according to their body clocks. It might be halftime before they realize that they are actually playing a game. Look what the unfair "body clock' disadvantage did for Hawaii when they had to play on the road at Florida two weeks (a game that was changed to 12:00 ET / 5:00am 'body clock' time for the Warriors). They lost 56-10.....
Maryland laid some big points on the road last week against Middle Tennessee State... and they were SHOCKED by a final score loss of 24-14. Now, in a big time point spread reversal, They go from double-digit road FAVS to double-digit home DOGS. The database tells us to RUN to the betting window and place our wager.
Since the 1980 season, College teams are 17-5-1 ATS as an underdog when playing off a SU non-conference ROAD FAV LOSS (Maryland). On a more recent note, these teams are also 7-1 ATS since 1999. And within that original 17-5 ATS set, we note that DOUBLE DIGIT dogs (like the Terrapins) are a PERFECT 5-0 ATS.
CAL sure looked good in that h-u-g-e road win against conference foe Washington State last week. The final score was 66-3. The Playbook database tells us to go the OTHER way the following week.
GAME THREE road teams are a PERFECT 0-6 ATS since 1997 off a SU road win by a margin of 40 or more points the previous week (Cal).
ALL college road FAVS of -5 > points are a PERFECT 0-6 ATS since 2003 after a conference road game in which they held their opponent to 3 or less points (Cal).
double-dime bet150 Maryland 14.5 (-110) Bodog vs 149 California
Analysis: 2** BEST BET on: MARYLAND TERRAPINS plus the points vs california golden bears / 12:00et / ESPN TV / #150
This play has TREMENDOUS point spread value at even half the price. As it is, Speedee and his canine pals are licking their chops at grabbing the 14+ points for the non-conference home dog MARYLAND TERRAPINS.
In addition to the big ATS System mentioned below, there is a big time travel and time zone advantage for the Turtles.... NOW that they have moved this game to a very EARLY kickoff. California has to travel all the way across the country and start a game that is actually at 7:00AM according to their body clocks. It might be halftime before they realize that they are actually playing a game. Look what the unfair "body clock' disadvantage did for Hawaii when they had to play on the road at Florida two weeks (a game that was changed to 12:00 ET / 5:00am 'body clock' time for the Warriors). They lost 56-10.....
Maryland laid some big points on the road last week against Middle Tennessee State... and they were SHOCKED by a final score loss of 24-14. Now, in a big time point spread reversal, They go from double-digit road FAVS to double-digit home DOGS. The database tells us to RUN to the betting window and place our wager.
Since the 1980 season, College teams are 17-5-1 ATS as an underdog when playing off a SU non-conference ROAD FAV LOSS (Maryland). On a more recent note, these teams are also 7-1 ATS since 1999. And within that original 17-5 ATS set, we note that DOUBLE DIGIT dogs (like the Terrapins) are a PERFECT 5-0 ATS.
CAL sure looked good in that h-u-g-e road win against conference foe Washington State last week. The final score was 66-3. The Playbook database tells us to go the OTHER way the following week.
GAME THREE road teams are a PERFECT 0-6 ATS since 1997 off a SU road win by a margin of 40 or more points the previous week (Cal).
ALL college road FAVS of -5 > points are a PERFECT 0-6 ATS since 2003 after a conference road game in which they held their opponent to 3 or less points (Cal).
BOB BALFE
College Football
Rice +8.5 over Vanderbilt
Both teams have very similar offenses and both QB's have great arms and are a threat running the ball. Rice needs to get better at defense to be a legitimate threat, but today should get a break with Vandy having so many WR injuries and they are coming off a huge win which might make this a let down. Both teams should score a lot, but this line is too high without a healthy group of wide receivers for Vandy. Take Rice.
Nebraska -25.5 over New Mexico State
This will be NM States first game of the year and I expect a lot of rush from a team playing on the road in front of 80,000 fans. Nebraska is 2-0 and has a huge offensive line which should swallow the state defense all game. New Mexico State is debuting their 3-3-5 defense which should be nothing more than a joke. The state players even have been talking trash saying their receivers are 10 times better than the Nebraska receivers. Look for size and strength to dominate today. New Mexico State will be in a hole before they can even blink. Look for a blowout.
BYU -7.5 over UCLA
The Bruins have played the Cougars tight in the last two matchups but Max Hall is a lot better of a QB this year and I just don't think UCLA can keep up offensively with so many key injuries. We all remember last Monday night with the Bruins beat Tennessee, but that was at home and more of a Tennessee meltdown. The Bruins will be going with Kevin Craft at QB who might throw a lot of INT's on the road. Also, this Provo altitude is nothing to mess with and the UCLA team will just not be used to these conditions. Look for BYU to win and cover.
Hawaii +13 over Oregon State
Oregon State looks awful and we are not so much betting Hawaii as much as we are betting against the Beavers. Hawaii QB Tyler Graunke played great last week even thought it was against Weber State. The Beavers have yet to do anything offensively and cannot stop the run. Until this team proves otherwise they should not be double digit favorites. Hawaii is not the same team they were last year, but this group still has won 23 of their last 26 games and know whats its like to be winners. Take Hawaii.
Tulane +13 over ECU
The entire nation has a fascination with ECU. Maybe its the cool uniforms or Skip Holtz being related to Lou, but this team has only proven they can win at home and until they win on the road people should not get to excited. Tulane not only outplayed Alabama last week but they dominated the line of scrimmage. Alabama was lucky to have gotten special team help or it could have been upset city. ECU was remarkable the past two weeks, but its against fading teams and was at home. Look for Tulane to be a much be tougher test today.
Major League Baseball
Giants -125 over Padres
Lincecum/Young
College Football
Rice +8.5 over Vanderbilt
Both teams have very similar offenses and both QB's have great arms and are a threat running the ball. Rice needs to get better at defense to be a legitimate threat, but today should get a break with Vandy having so many WR injuries and they are coming off a huge win which might make this a let down. Both teams should score a lot, but this line is too high without a healthy group of wide receivers for Vandy. Take Rice.
Nebraska -25.5 over New Mexico State
This will be NM States first game of the year and I expect a lot of rush from a team playing on the road in front of 80,000 fans. Nebraska is 2-0 and has a huge offensive line which should swallow the state defense all game. New Mexico State is debuting their 3-3-5 defense which should be nothing more than a joke. The state players even have been talking trash saying their receivers are 10 times better than the Nebraska receivers. Look for size and strength to dominate today. New Mexico State will be in a hole before they can even blink. Look for a blowout.
BYU -7.5 over UCLA
The Bruins have played the Cougars tight in the last two matchups but Max Hall is a lot better of a QB this year and I just don't think UCLA can keep up offensively with so many key injuries. We all remember last Monday night with the Bruins beat Tennessee, but that was at home and more of a Tennessee meltdown. The Bruins will be going with Kevin Craft at QB who might throw a lot of INT's on the road. Also, this Provo altitude is nothing to mess with and the UCLA team will just not be used to these conditions. Look for BYU to win and cover.
Hawaii +13 over Oregon State
Oregon State looks awful and we are not so much betting Hawaii as much as we are betting against the Beavers. Hawaii QB Tyler Graunke played great last week even thought it was against Weber State. The Beavers have yet to do anything offensively and cannot stop the run. Until this team proves otherwise they should not be double digit favorites. Hawaii is not the same team they were last year, but this group still has won 23 of their last 26 games and know whats its like to be winners. Take Hawaii.
Tulane +13 over ECU
The entire nation has a fascination with ECU. Maybe its the cool uniforms or Skip Holtz being related to Lou, but this team has only proven they can win at home and until they win on the road people should not get to excited. Tulane not only outplayed Alabama last week but they dominated the line of scrimmage. Alabama was lucky to have gotten special team help or it could have been upset city. ECU was remarkable the past two weeks, but its against fading teams and was at home. Look for Tulane to be a much be tougher test today.
Major League Baseball
Giants -125 over Padres
Lincecum/Young
