Service Plays Saturday 9/11/10

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ROYAL FLUSH SPORTS


Free Selection: 1 Dime Tennessee +12
Free Selection: 1 Dime Michigan +3.5



(RFS Selections are Rated 1 Dime, 2 Dimes or 5 Dimes)
 

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BOB VALENTINO

SEC GAME OF THE YEAR
60 DIME Vanderbilt Commodores



lets never forget------ 9/11 in memoriam of all who died
 

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Norm Hitzges

Double Plays


Houston -20 vs UTEP

Texas A&M -19.5 vs LaTech

NC State +2.5 vs Central Florida


Single Plays

Baylor -16.5 vs Buffalo

Texas Tech -25 vs New Mexico

Nebraska -28 vs Idaho

E. Carolina -13 vs Memphis

Miami, Oh -14 vs E. Michigan

Alabama -12 vs Penn State

San Diego State -13 vs New Mexico State

Nevada -23.5 vs Colorado State

Arkansas -34 vs ULaMonroe

North Texas -3 vs Rice

Oklahoma State -13.5 vs Troy
 

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SB Professor Original NCAAF Picks Friday 9/10 & Saturday 9/11
Today :

Marshall +13* tonight.

Tomorrow :

As always, picks are against the pointspread and not just to win outright.

Saturday's NCAA Picks:

3:30 PM

Colorado +10*

Florida St. +7
Miami +9

7:00 PM

Syracuse +13*

Tennessee +12
Toledo +9.5
Penn St. +12
UAB +12
Vanderbilt +10.5

10:30 PM

UCLA +6*
 
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Scouts Inc. Week 2 NCAA
Prediction: Gamecocks 28, Bulldogs 27
Prediction: Gators 31, Bulls 14
Prediction: Wolverines 41, Fighting Irish 34
Prediction: Sooners 34, Seminoles 30
Prediction: Crimson Tide 33, Nittany Lions 17
Prediction: Cardinal 28, Bruins 17
 
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Teddy Covers
CFB TRIFECTA
Notre Dame Fighting Irish -3.5
Alabama Crimson Tide -12
Stanford Cardinal -6

BIG TICKET BLOWOUT
20* Mississippi Rebels -20.5

Bonus Play
LSU Tigers
 
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Strike Point Sports


5-Unit Play (Game of the Week). #371 Take Stanford (-6) over UCLA (10:30 p.m., Saturday, September 11)
 
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Indian Cowboy's


7-Unit Play. Take #388. Take Over 62.5 Troy vs. OklahomaState (Saturday @ 7:00pm est).

Whenever 85% of the public rides a team such as here with OklahomaState, it is very good reason to take a close look at this game. This means that the public is likely to get buried with OklahomaState at home, but it is hard to go against the Cowboys as just a two touchdown favorite at home. But, there is good reason for this. Troy, is a very good team that is going way under the radar here. This team has talent on the offensive end and they likely will put up their fair share of points here on the road. I would not be a bit surprised if this game ends up as a shootout as we are indirectly on TroyState by taking the over. I consistently talk about active dogs and overs and indeed, having a team in Troy who will be an active dog as a double-digit underdog makes this play appealing. Remember, Troy put up 24 points against this team on the road in in 2008 and this team does have some returning players from that game. By no means is this team intimidated with Oklahoma State as bear in mind they played them in 2007 (when they won 41-23 as a 10 point underdog) and played them in 2008. I look for Troy to be an active dog and likely push this game over the posted total as this game likely exceeds 70 points
 
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Early Saturday CFB plays


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Hi Friends, hope you all enjoyed good summer and baseball (blah);
anyways NFL back now. From my service guy

Gold Medal Club:

Saturday CFB:
25* Tennessee-+12
10* Army-3
10* UCLA +6

GL
25* Tulsa
10* Uab
 
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Vegas Sports Informer's



3 Unit Play. #312 Take South Carolina -3 over Georgia (12:00p.m., Saturday, Sept. 11 ESPN2)

South Carolina is coming off a big win against Southern Miss 41-13 and I believe the GameCocks are a legit threat in the SEC. In the past Georgia has owned this series (Georgia 46-14-2) but that was then and this is now and South Carolina wins this game by a touchdown. The last 6 meetings between these two teams South Carolina have covered 4 of them.

2 Unit Play. #325 Take Under 45 Iowa St at Iowa (3:30p.m., Saturday, Sept. 11 ABC)

Shocked to see this total in the mid-40's as I thought this total would 42 or 43. Of the last 5 meetings in this series all 5 of them have gone under the total. Last year the Hawkeyes defense only allowed 3 points to the Cyclones which I hope for the same outcome this year. Iowa St is 1-7 O/U in their last 8 games and Iowa is 2-13-1 O/U against non-conference teams.

5 Unit Play. #339 Take BYU +1 over Air Force (4:00p.m., Saturday, Sept. 11 Ver)

(Game of the Weekend) Can someone please explain to me why the BYU Cougars are an underdog in this game? BYU is an outstanding 6-0 SU & ATS in their last 6 meetings against Air Force. Air Force has had this game circled because of what happened in the past and that is why they made this game their ?Homecoming' game. Too bad for Force because the BYU Cougars are going to spoil the Homecoming parties and look for the Cougars to win this game by double-digits. Last week Air Force gave up 21 points to the Northwestern St and granted they scored 65 points but those 21 points stick out like a sore thumb. The Air Force defense will be short-handed as DB Reggie Rembert is out for this game with a neck injury. BYU will have no trouble scoring against Air Force and this is why the Cougars win big.

3 Unit Play. #354 Take Washington -13.5 over Syracuse (7:00p.m., Saturday, Sept. 11)

Last week Syracuse won on the road as a road favorite but this week the Orange travel to Washington and the Huskies are coming off a bad loss to BYU. Look for Huskies QB Jake Locker to have a big game at home and get Washington back to winning. Syracuse defense will have a different approach in this game as the Washington Huskies are no Akron Zips. Washington covers this double-digit number at home! Syracuse is 0-4 ATS following a SU win.

4 Unit Play. #384 Take North Texas -2 ½ over Rice (7:00p.m., Saturday, Sept. 11)

Defense wins games and Saturday night the Mean Green defense will flex their muscle and beat the Rice Owls. Two years ago the Rice Owls put up 77 points against North Texas and this number will be on the minds of all North Texas players, coaches and fans. Revenge will be sweet and North Texas wins this game by two field goals. Rice is 6-16 ATS in their last 22 games against non-conference teams.
 
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Point Train CFB 6-Unit - Oregon (-11.5) over Tennessee - 091110

6-Unit Top Game

Oregon (-11.5) over Tennessee

Saturday, September 11 – 6:00 PM CST



Both teams are coming off blowout wins in their respective season openers. Oregon scored 59 points in the first half en route to a 72-0 victory over New Mexico. Tennessee defeated FCS UT-Martin 50-0. The Vols are still in major rebuilding mode and we like the Ducks to come in and win big.



Tennessee is returning just three starters on offense and six on defense. They inserted Jr. Matt Simms at quarterback and looked decent – but not spectacular – against UT-Martin, completing 14 of 24 passes for 181 yards. They’ve had to replace all FIVE starters on the offensive line. Look for them to struggle against a veteran Ducks defense (Dcks return eight of their nine top defenders), especially DE Kenny Rowe (11.5 sacks last season).



The Vols have played Pac-10 UCLA the past two seasons, and lost both times. UCLA was just 11-14 the past two seasons, and Tennessee couldn’t beat them. They are also 0-7 against teams ranked in the top-15 the past two seasons, losing by an average of 15.1 points per game.



Oregon has compiled a 20-6 record over the past two seasons, and is 6-3 against Top-25 talent. They have an electric offense, evident by their 72 point victory last week without their top-running back LaMichael James. Kenjon Barmer, Ramene Alston Jr., and Daryle Hawkins combined to run for 325 yards (6.7 yards per carry) and 5 touchdowns in his absence. Expect Oregon’s running backs to have a lot of success against Tennessee on Saturday. The Vols lost their four top defenders from a year ago and two of their projected starters on the defensive line are both out with injuries.



Tennessee is just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. Pac-10. Expect Oregon to put up a lot of points against Tennessee and to walk away with a blowout win.
 
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Maximum's Football Underdog of the Week - Sep. 11

Maximum's 5* #319 South Florida +16 over Florida 11:20 AM CT
 
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Nelly's 2010 Football - 3* TOP COLLEGE PLAY - Sep. 11

SATURDAY, September 11, 2010 NCAA FOOTBALL

Nelly’s 3* #365 UAB Blazers +11.5 over SMU Mustangs 7:00 PM CT

It has not taken long for June Jones to turn around the Mustangs with a dominant bowl win last season and high aspirations in Conference USA this season. SMU beat UAB 35-33 last season on the road as double-digit underdogs although the Blazers had more yards in the game with a big edge on the ground. UAB had a 345-93 yard rushing edge last week yet still managed to lose as heavy home favorites. Being a double-digit underdog will be a much more favorable situation and a more comfortable role for an improved UAB team that still has not been able to take the next step. Having played on Thursday while SMU played on Sunday will be a big advantage in this game and there is little reason to expect SMU to stop the Blazers on the ground. UAB should be a much better defensive team this season and the running game should be effective behind new QB David Isabelle who rushed for over 200 yards last week. UAB does not have a great passing attack but the top two receivers are back with the team and there will be more holes to hit against the Mustangs defense. SMU failed in a late upset bid with turnovers hurting the cause last week. The performance was not as respectable of a result as the final looked as the yardage was not that close in the loss to Texas Tech and SMU was well behind most of the way. A comeback bid made the game appear close, but it had a cost as well as QB Kyle Padron injured his hand. He is expected to play this week but he may not be 100 percent and the Mustangs clearly poured a lot into last week’s game emotionally. SMU has not covered as a home favorite in the last two years and the Mustangs appear to be overvalued in this critical conference clash between two teams looking for their first wins of the season. SMU has lost six straight home openers against FCS teams and the Mustangs have failed to cover in eight straight games as favorites. UAB does not have a strong S/U track away from home but the Blazers will be a dangerous underdog that can run the ball with great success and control the clock in this game. Motivational edges should side with the Blazers as well after a narrow loss last season in this match-up and after failing in the opening game despite being the better team. With a double-digit spread the Blazers look like a very favorable play in this match-up and we expect a competitive game decided by a single-score with a UAB upset as a serious possibility even with the double-digit spread.
 
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David Malinsky

4* EASTERN MICHIGAN over MIAMI O.

Let’s establish some perspective here. Miami O. is 3-22 SU the last 2+ seasons, with one of the wins coming in an unlined game vs. Charleston Southern. The other two wins both came by seven points. In their lined games in that stretch the RedHawks averaged 15.9 points per game. In 2009 they were #116 (of 120 teams) in the nation in scoring offense, #119 in rushing offense, #120 in sacks allowed, #104 in passing efficiency, #120 in kickoff returns, #118 in net punting, and #113 in sacks recorded by the defense. In 2008 it was #107 in scoring offense, #101 in rushing offense, #101 in passing efficiency (note back-to-back seasons of rating worse than 100th in both rushing offense and passing efficiency, an awful daily-double), #106 in rushing defense, #108 in pass efficiency defense, #101 in scoring defense and #108 in defensive sacks. Yet suddenly this team is favored by more than their scoring average of the last 2+ seasons. And for further perspective, the 5th year SR’s on the Miami roster have played 33 MAC games in their career, and have won one of them by more than seven points.

So what is going on here? Why is a young team (only five SR starters) bereft of big-play ability, or the actual experience of winning games, elevated to this point? Largely because of a result at Florida on Saturday that we do not believe means all that much in terms of upgrading Michael Haywood’s team. The Gators were remarkably sloppy that day, letting the ball touch the ground nine times via either a fumble (Miami O. recovered three of them), or a bad snap. So perhaps we give the RedHawks some credit for hanging tough and competing on defense. But do we elevate an offense that did not score a TD, and managed only 212 yards in 68 snaps, including four INT’s? Absolutely not.

So what are we left with? A favorite that lacks the talent, swagger or confidence to get anything easily, and one that is not looking to go for the jugular here anyway. When you are so bereft of wins, you do not possess a killer instinct, and if anything the failure to win games in the past often makes for outstanding situations to buck bad teams when they are big chalk. There is such a tendency by the coaches to go conservatively to try to hang on and gut the game out, because they are so rarely playing with a lead, that they play right into the hands of the underdog from an ATS standpoint.

So Miami is a bad team that was handed a lot of gifts last week yet still lost by 22 points, and now lays major wood here despite not having appreciable edges in size, speed or overall talent. So can we trust this underdog? Absolutely, vs. this class, and especially at this tempo. Ron English has made a concerted focus to improve the Eagle ground game in his second season, and we saw immediate dividends paid vs. Army last week – both QB Alex Gillett and RB Dwayne Priest ran for over 100 yards, part of a 285 at 5.6 per carry they generated as a team, and they held the lead until the Black Knights scored with 0:38 remaining to escape 31-27. Eastern may not be talented, but the Eagles played hard, and smart, in that game, not being flagged for a single penalty. So if we get a big underdog that is going to run the ball to slow the game flow, vs. a favorite that lacks the big-play ability to score quickly or easily, this becomes a mountain of a pointspread to climb, and this particular favorite is not accustomed to that altitude at all.
 
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Joseph D'Amico

Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
Play: Alabama Crimson Tide -11½

This is a huge Week 2 matchup. The Defending National Champion’s will be without Heisman winner RB Mark Ingram. But they aren’t worrying. #2 RB, Trent Richardson filled in quite nicely LW in Bama’s 48-3 dismantling of San Jose State. Richardson, Lang, and Goode combined for 243 YR and 4 TD’s. The defense completely shut down SJ State, and held them to just 7 FD’s and 175 yards. I know SJ State is not near the class of Penn State. But this is a team in sync. The Nittany Lion’s beat Youngstown State 44-14 a week ago. QB Robert Bolden looked good, throwing for 239 yards, 2 TD’s, and 1 INT. However, this will be a very different road environment against a great ”D” led by now healthy LB Dont’a Hightower. Alot of people say that Penn State actually took a step down in talent TY. They have very few recent big wins and the Big 10 has struggled in big games against the SEC. Tide QB Greg McElroy can and will exploit the Nittany Lion’s stop unit that allowed Iowa and Ohio State to rack up 391 combined YR in their 2 losses LY. Nick Saban and Alabama have been practicing for this game for weeks. With a big win here, ‘Bama solidifies their perch atop the National Ranks. The Crimson Tide is 7-1 ATS their L8 games played in September, 4-1 ATS their L5 games at home, and 4-1 ATS their L5 non-conference games. The Nittany Lion’s are 0-6 ATS their L6 games played in September and 1-4 ATS their L5 non-conference games. Take Alabama.
 
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DOC SPORTS

5-Georgia Tech
5-S Florida Bulls
4-Iowa Hawkeyes
4-Alabama Crimson Tide
4-Oregon Ducks
4-Oklahoma State Cowboys
 

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