Service Plays Saturday 8/15/15

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STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
SATURDAY, AUGUST 15th 2015
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Friday, 8/15/15 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2015 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
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Rounding The Bases – Saturday

National League
•Pirates @ Mets
--Morton is 1-2, 5.04 in his last five starts; under is 4-2-1 in his last seven
--Niese is 2-0, 1.80 in his last three starts; under is 7-3 in his last ten.

--Pittsburgh won six of last eight games (over 5-2-1). Mets won 12 of last 15 games; four of last five stayed under. Pirates won seven of last eight games vs New York; seven of last ten series games stayed under.

•Diamondbacks @ Braves
--Corbin is 1-1, 3.54 in his last four starts; four of his last six stayed under.
--Foltynewicz is 1-1, 5.09 in his last three starts; five of his last six went over.

--Arizona won three of last five games with Atlanta; over is 3-2-1 in last six in series. D'backs won three of last five games, with three of last four going over total. Braves lost three of last four games; over is 6-3-1 in their last ten.

•Phillies @ Brewers
--Williams is 1-0, 1.50 in his last two starts; under is 3-1-1 in his last five.
--Nelson is 3-0, 2.38 in his last five starts.

--Road team won 10 of last 11 Philly-Milwaukee games, with Brewers winning last five; over is 4-1-1 in last six series games. Phillies are 17-8 in their last 25 games; six of their last eight went over. Brewers lost five of their last seven.

•Marlins @ Cardinals
--Hand is 2-2, 3.57 in his five starts (under 4-1).
--Lackey is 0-2, 3.15 in his last three starts; Cards scored six runs in the three games. .

--Miami lost its last five games with St Louis; under is 4-1-1 in last six series games. Marlins won three of last four games; eight of their last 11 went over total. Cardinals won seven of last nine games; under is 8-2-1 in their last 11.

•Padres @ Rockies
--Cashner is 0-2, 6.11 in his last three starts; over is 6-3-1 in his last ten.
--Gray is 0-0, 3.60 in his first two MLB starts (10 IP).

--San Diego won its last six games with Colorado, scoring 44 runs; Padres are 3-7 in last ten games overall-- seven of their last nine went over. Rockies lost six of their last seven games (under 4-3).

•Reds @ Dodgers
--Holmberg is 1-1, 3.06 in his three starts (under 2-1).
--Anderson is 1-2, 5.20 in his last five starts (under 3-1-1).

--Cincinnati is 7-5 in its last 12 games with the Dodgers; four of last seven went under the total. Reds lost seven of last ten games; nine of last 13 went under total. Dodgers lost five of last eight games; seven of their last nine games went over the total.

•Nationals @ Giants
--Gonzalez is 3-0, 2.51 in his last five starts (over 4-1).
--Peavy is 0-1, 1.59 in his last three starts; over is 6-4 in his last ten.

--Nationals lost five of last six games; three of their last four stayed under. San Francisco lost five of last eight games; four of their last five stayed under. Washington won four of last seven games with the Giants; seven of last nine in series stayed under total.

American League
•Athletics @ Orioles
--Bassitt is 1-0, 0.66 in his last two starts; five of his last seven stayed under.
--Gonzalez is 0-2, 8.10 in his last three starts; seven of his last nine went over.

--Oakland lost last four games, scoring 13 runs- four of their last seven games stayed under. A's are 5-6 in last eleven games with Baltimore- nine of last 11 went over total. Orioles lost three of their last five games overall.

•Yankees @ Blue Jays
--Tanaka is 1-2, 4.50 in his last three starts; four of his last six stayed under.
--Estrada is 3-0, 1.45 in his last three starts; under is 7-3 in his last ten.

--Yankees lost six of last nine games; seven of nine stayed under. Toronto won 11 of last 12 games; four of last six stayed under- they've won five of their last seven games with New York, with four of last five staying under the total.

•Mariners @ Red Sox
--Hernandez is 4-1, 3.57 in his last six starts (over 5-1).
--Boston lost last six Miley starts (0-2, 5.15-- over 4-2).

--Seattle won five of last eight games with Boston; four of last five in series stayed under total. Mariners won three of last five games overall (under 3-2). Red Sox lost three of their last five games (over 5-0).

•Rays @ Rangers
--Archer is 1-2, 2.73 in his last five starts (under 3-2).
--Lewis is 1-1, 7.07 in his last two starts; three of his last four stayed under.

--Tampa Bay won four of last seven games with Texas (over 4-2-1); Rays are 7-3 in last ten games- seven of last nine went over. Rangers lost three of last five games; four of their last seven went over the total.

•Indians @ Twins
--Tomlin is 29-28, 4.89 in 70 MLB starts, last of which was for Indians (16 starts) LY-- he is 1-2, 4.22 in four AAA starts this year.
--Duffey allowed six runs in two PT (60 PT) in his only '15 start.

--Cleveland won four of last five games with Minnesota; over is 7-0-1 in last eight series games. Indians won five of last six games overall; over is 5-1-1 in last seven. Twins lost nine of last 12 games; over is 7-1-1 in last nine.

•Angels @ Royals
--Shoemaker is 1-1, 2.55 in his last four starts; six of his last seven went under.
--Cueto is 1-1, 2.05 in three starts for the Royals (under 2-1).

--Royals won eight of last nine games with the Angels; four of last six went over the total. KC won six of its last eight games overall; four of last seven got over the total. Halos lost five of last seven overall (under 6-4 in last ten).

•Tigers @ Astros
--Detroit is 1-9 in Verlander starts (1-2, 2.79 in last four-- under 3-1).
--McHugh is 4-1, 3.19 in his last five starts (under 5-1 in last six).

--Tigers are 3-6 in last nine games with Houston; over is 3-2-1 in last six series games. Detroit lost four of last five games; over is 4-3-1 in their last eight. Astros lost seven of last ten games; five of last six stayed under.

Interleague
•Cubs @ White Sox
--Arrieta is 6-1, 1.41 in his last eight starts; under is 5-0-1 in his last six.
--Quintana is 2-0, 2.57 in his last four starts; his last three went over.

--Cubs lost five of last eight games with the White Sox (under 4-3-1) but they won 13 of its last 14 games overall; seven of last nine went over total. Pale Hose won three of last four, allowing ten runs; over is 8-3 in their last 11.

•Teams' Record When This Starting Pitcher Starts
-- Pitt-NY-- Morton 10-4; Niese 9-13
-- Az-Atl-- Corbin 3-4; Foltynewicz 6-6
-- Phil-Mil-- Williams 7-11; Nelson 11-12 (4-1 last 5)
-- Mia-StL-- Hand 2-3; Lackey 12-11 (0-3 last 3)
-- SD-Colo- Cashner 8-14; Gray 0-2
-- Cin-LA-- Holmberg 1-2; Anderson 11-11
-- Wsh-SF-- Gonzalez 13-8; Peavy 5-4 (5-0 last 5)

-- A's-Balt-- Bassitt 3-4; Gonzalez 11-10
-- NY-Tor-- Tanaka 11-5; Estrada 10-8
-- Sea-Bos-- Hernandez 16-7; Miley 10-13 (0-6 last 6)
-- TB-Tex-- Archer 14-10; Lewis 11-12 (4-1 last 5)
-- Clev-Minn-- Tomlin 0-0; Duffey 0-1
-- LA-KC-- Shoemaker 9-11; Cueto 12-10/1-2
-- Det-Hst-- Verlander 1-9; McHugh 15-8

-- Chi-Chi-- Arrieta 15-8 (7-1 last 8); Quintana 13-23

•Times This Starting Pitcher Allowed A Run In First Inning
-- Pitt-NY-- Morton 8-14; Niese 7-22
-- Az-Atl-- Corbin 1-7; Foltynewicz 5-12
-- Phil-Mil-- Williams 6-18; Nelson 7-23
-- Mia-StL-- Hand 1-5; Lackey 4-23
-- SD-Colo- Cashner 9-23; Gray 1-2
-- Cin-LA-- Holmberg 0-3; Anderson 8-22
-- Wsh-SF-- Gonzalez 2-21; Peavy 1-9

-- A's-Balt-- Bassitt 1-7; Gonzalez 5-21
-- NY-Tor-- Tanaka 4-16; Estrada 3-18
-- Sea-Bos-- Hernandez 7-23; Miley 7-23
-- TB-Tex-- Archer 5-24; Lewis 5-21
-- Clev-Minn-- Tomlin 0-0; Duffey 1-1
-- LA-KC-- Shoemaker 5-20; Cueto 5-22
-- Det-Hst-- Verlander 3-10; McHugh 8-23

-- Chi-Chi-- Arrieta 4-23; Quintana 13-23

•Umpires Trends
-- Pitt-NY-- Eight of last ten Davidson games went over.
-- Az-Atl-- Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven Bellino games.
-- Phil-Mil-- Five of last seven Gonzalez games went over.
-- Mia-StL-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Randazzo games.
-- SD-Col-- Underdogs are 10-10 in Scott games this year.
-- Cin-LA-- Last three Demuth games stayed under total.
-- Wsh-SF-- Five of last seven Blaser games went over.

-- NY-Tor-- Home side won last six Baker games.
-- Sea-Bos-- Under is 8-5 in Blakney games this year.
-- A's-Balt-- Under is 8-4-1 in last thirteen Hamari games.
-- Det-Hst-- Underdogs are 8-7 in last fifteen Miller games.
-- LA-KC-- Home side won eight of last eleven Barksdale games.
-- Cle-Min-- Four of last five Holbrook games went over.
-- TB-Tex-- Underdogs won 10 of last 14 Cooper games.

-- Chi-Chi-- Three of last four West games stayed under.
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Incredible Stats of the Day
•W's Hard To Come By With Phils' Williams On The Road
The Philadelphia Phillies have won just two out of Jerome Williams' last 10 road starts. Williams is scheduled to get the ball in Milwaukee Saturday opposite of Jimmy Nelson. The Brewers are currently in the -180 ballpark at sportsbooks.

•Over Hot When Orioles And A's Clash
When the Oakland Athletics and Baltimore Orioles collide, high-scoring games tend to follow. The Over has cashed in eight out of the last nine times the two squads have met. They'll renew acquaintances Saturday in Baltimore. Pinnacle Sports opened the game with a total of 8.5, but that's since been lowered to eight as of 9 a.m. ET.

•Jays On A Roll For Under Bettors
The offensive juggernaut that is the Toronto Blue Jays have surprisingly been on a nice streak for Under bettors as of late. In the Jays' last seven games, the Under is 6-1. Marco Estrada is slated to get the ball for the Bluebirds Saturday opposite Masahiro Tanaka and the New York Yankees. Sportsbooks are dealing a total of eight for the AL East contest.

•Pirates Cruising Versus Mets Recently
The Pittsburgh Pirates have won five consecutive games over the New York Mets and will have an opportunity to make that six in a row at Citi Field Saturday. Charlie Morton and Jon Niese are the probable starters for the Pirates and Mets, respectively. As of this writing, sportsbooks had the Buccos listed as slight +106 underdogs.

Diamond Trends - Saturday
•PHILADELPHIA is 13-2 (+16.9 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season this season.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 5.5, OPPONENT 2.8.

•ST LOUIS is 13-1 UNDER (+12.1 Units) versus good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game in the second half of the season this season.
The average score was ST LOUIS 2.9, OPPONENT 1.9.

•OAKLAND is 3-14 (-15.1 Units) against the run line versus good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season this season.
The average score was OAKLAND 2.8, OPPONENT 5.2.

•JOHNNY CUETO is 12-0 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CUETO 4.0, OPPONENT 1.5.

•JAKE PEAVY is 40-13 UNDER (+24.7 Units) in home games versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse since 1997.
The average score was PEAVY 3.3, OPPONENT 2.8.

•JAKE ARRIETA is 10-0 (+11.1 Units) against the run line versus an American League team with a batting average of .260 or worse in the second half of the season since 1997.
The average score was ARRIETA 6.9, OPPONENT 4.0.

Situational Analysis of The Day
•Play Under - Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (MINNESOTA) - starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest, ice cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 20 games, after scoring 1 or less runs in a loss to a division rival, with a losing record.
(48-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.2%, +30.8 units. Rating = 3*)

The average total posted in these games was: 8.8, Money Line=-114.7
The average score in these games was: Team 3.4, Opponent 4.2 (Total runs scored = 7.6)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 1 or more runs was 39 (65% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (4-0, +4.0 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (30-9, +19.9 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (143-101, +30.2 units).
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