FOXSHEETS
5 STAR PLAY
Play On - All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA DODGERS) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 54%)
(41-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.0%, + Rating=*)
The situation's record this season is: (3-0
4 STAR PLAYS
Favoring: TAMPA BAY on the money line.
Play Against - Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CLEVELAND) - poor power team (<=0.9 HR's/game) against a starting pitcher who gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL
(49-11 since 1997.) (81.7%, . Rating=)
The situation's record this season is: (7-2 +
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - All teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (NY METS) - ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 10 games against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.00 over his last 3 starts
(46-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (79.3%, +. Rating=)
The situation's record this season is: (10-2 +).
Favoring: TEXAS on the money line.
Play Against - Road underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 (LA ANGELS) - AL team with a low on-base percentage (<=.320) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP <=1.350), with a poor bullpen whose WHIP is 1.550 or worse on the season
(43-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.7%, +. Rating=)
The situation's record this season is: (8-2
Favoring: OAKLAND on the run line.
Play On - Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (OAKLAND) - below average AL hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA <=3.75), cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 5 games
(58-23 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.6%,
The situation's record this season is: (13-3 ).
Favoring: PITTSBURGH on the run line.
Play On - Any team against a 1.5 run line (PITTSBURGH) - terrible offensive team (<=3.8 runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA<=3.00) (NL), after 2 straight games with no home runs
(55-21 since 1997.) (72.4%, )
The situation's record this season is: (5-3 ).
Favoring: BALTIMORE on the run line.
Play On - Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line (BALTIMORE) - below average AL hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA <=3.75), in July games
(46-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.7%, )
The situation's record this season is: (9-3 ).
Favoring: CLEVELAND on the run line.
Play On - Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line (CLEVELAND) - below average AL hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA <=3.75), in July games
(46-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.7%, )
The situation's record this season is: (9-3
Favoring: SAN FRANCISCO on the run line.
Play On - Road teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (SAN FRANCISCO) - average offensive team (4.3 to 4.8 runs/game) against a decent starter (ERA=3.70 to 4.20)-NL, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.00 over his last 3 starts
(44-15 since 1997.) (74.6%, . Rating=
The situation's record this season is: (5-0 +
.Favoring: SEATTLE on the run line.
Play On - Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+110 or higher) (SEATTLE) - with a bullpen that averages less than 2.75 innings per game against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start
(32-12 since 1997.) (72.7%, +
The situation's record this season is: (2-2
Favoring: HOUSTON on the run line.
Play On - Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (HOUSTON) - with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 1.000 over his last 3 starts
(82-44 over the last 5 seasons.) (65.1%, )
The situation's record this season is: (13-10
Favoring: LA DODGERS on the money line.
Play Against - Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (NY METS) - with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.50 over his last 3 starts, with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games
(57-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.0%, )
The situation's record this season is: (8-6 ).
Favoring: LA DODGERS on the money line.
Play Against - Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (NY METS) - with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.50 over his last 3 starts
(57-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.0%, )
The situation's record this season is: (8-6 +
Favoring: PITTSBURGH on the money line.
Play Against - Any team (SAN DIEGO) - below average hitting team (AVG <=.255) against an average starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 5.20) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better on the season-NL
(67-38 since 1997.) (63.8%,
The situation's record this season is: (2-1
Favoring: SAN FRANCISCO on the run line.
Play On - All teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (SAN FRANCISCO) - average offensive team (4.3 to 4.8 runs/game) against a decent starter (ERA=3.70 to 4.20)-NL, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts
(41-16 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.9%,
The situation's record this season is: (6-1 +