Service Plays Saturday 7/03/10

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Bananad
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the A's Friday night. Saturday it's the A's.
The deficit is 795 sirignanos.
 
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King Creole | MLB Total Sat, 07/03/10 - 1:05 PM

double-dime bet 967 TOR / 968 NYY Under 8.5 Sportbet
Analysis:
1:05pm ET / Toronto Blue Jays with Romero @ New York Yankees with Pettitte
2** BEST BET on: UNDER the TOTAL

2 Starters in great current form.... a low-scoring series history... two teams that are offensively-challenged versus southpaw pitchers... and a home plate Umpire on a great 'Under' run. Add 'em all together and you have the ingredients for a 4* Best Bet.
 

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Matt Rivers of OffshoreInsiders says your winner for Saturday is on the Reds. They are laying 118 at the Chicago Cubs.

I think I have faded these Cubs for the better part of the last month or so and I'm sure you are seeing exactly why.

It's not the lock of my life or the greatest value ever backing a road team like this, just like yesterday, but the Cubs are a total disgrace and nothing at all seems to be changing. I say once again, just like yesterday, I might as well just cut and paste my writeups from the past few weeks fading these underachieving clowns because it may be a new day but nothing is different.

Lou Pinella is basically gone as he has done nothing good for this organization and the players themselves are regressing by the day. What on God's green Earth has happened to Lee, Soriano and Ramirez? I mean seriously. All three were All-Star beasts that had MVP potential. Now thhe trio can't even hit the ball out of the infield.

Throw in Fukudome and Soto and you have two guys that are just beyond lost. It's unreal how horrific, inept and pathetic the North Siders have become.

I don't mind Randy Wells, ala Ryan Dempster yesterday, but Wells has not been as rock solid as last season and he has a team that is the epitome of mush. This Chicago team has just become a disease of epic proportions. Whatever they do turns to absolute dog doo. Dempster looked good yesterday but the team culdn't do squat at the plate. The day before they couldn't hit a rookie making his major league debut.

Johnny Cueto is a very good pitcher most of the time and I see no reason at all why today won't equal "most of the time". Sure it's not the greatest value on the road to not get any money with the Reds, who are not the most talented team on the planet, but the Cubs are just that bad right now.

Fading the Cubbies has been an absolute cash cow and until that well dries up a little I'm going to ride it for all its worth.

The pick: Cincinnati -118.
 
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Tony George | MLB Money Line Sat, 07/03/10 - 8:05 PM

dime bet 978 TEX (-139) Bodog vs 977 CWS
Analysis:


Texas -139

The Rangers off a loss last night which is rare at home where they are 21-7 their last 28, this is a GREAT bounceback spot with an undefeated starter in Tommy Hunter who has a low WHIP and a 2.15 ERA on the season going up against John Danks for the WS. The Rangers are red hot at the plate but only had 7 hits last night and gave up 14. I see the opposite scenario tonight and a Rangers home win to even the series ata decent price.

Play 1 Unit on the Rangers
 
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Larry Ness | MLB Total Sat, 07/03/10 - 4:10 PM

double-dime bet 957 NYM / 958 WAS Over 7 Bookmaker.com
Analysis: My 9* Daytime Dominator is on the NYM/was Over at 4:10 ET.

Good luck...Larry
 
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Lenny Del Genio | MLB Money Line Sat, 07/03/10 - 8:05 PM

double-dime bet 977 CWS (+125) Bodog vs 978 TEX
Analysis:
Play on Chicago White Sox at 8:05 EST
 
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KIKI SPORTS

Saturday July 3rd

1 unit Atlanta -165
1 unit White Sox +125

WORLD CUP :
1 unit Paraguay +775
At that price, we gotta take a shot at them taking down Spain. Spain is the better rounded squad, but on any given day....
Pass on Germany/Argentina. Truly a matchup to watch unbiased (Go Germany), as talent abounds in this one from all areas !!
 

Bananad
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Bob Balfe

Germany +230
Germany/Argentina over 2.5
Spain -250


Cincinnati Reds -119
 
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Battagliaspicks - FREE Action




BELMONT
8th (4:44)

Brian's Pick's 3-6-7

Flowersonyourback has a consistent stalking style and is one for one at the distance. He has worked well for this race at Finger Lakes .





Churchill
11th (5:56)

Battagliaspicks 8-9-10

#8 Fancy Fiona- came off a year layoff and finished 2nd in back to back races on the turf here. She is the lone speed today and should go wire to wire.




Monmouth
9th (4:52)

Battagliaspicks 4-9-2

#4 Hunters Bay- son of Ghostzapper comes over after a 9 length maiden romp. He tried a mile and a sixteenth in just his second start and looked like a champion winning in hand. He is a runner and will show it today.
 

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jeff benton saturday....0-2 yesteday for MINUS 40 dimes OR $500..overall 70-81-3 MINUS A WHOPPING 165 DIMES.....GUYS HE HAS NOT ONE A GAME SINCE LAST SATURDAY...HE IS WINLESS THIS ENTIRE WEEK...NOT THE FIRST TIME HE HAS GONE WINLESS IN A WEEK...HOW CAN YOU NOT HAVE ONE WINNER?? UNBELIEVABLE.

Saturday's Winners ... 15 DIME selection on the CINCINNATI REDS over the Cubs. List Johnny Cueto as Cincinnati's starting pitcher. If Cueto doesn't start, this play is VOID

15 DIME selection on the Blue Jays-Yankees UNDER the total. Both Andy Pettitte and Ricky Romero must start or this play is VOID

15 DIME selection on the NEW YORK METS over the Nationals. List R.A. Dickey as the Mets' starting pitcher. If Dickey doesn't start, this play is VOID!



Reds

The Chicago Cubs are an abject disaster, and their season is spiraling down the toilet in a hurry. And for this to be a virtual pick-em game with red-hot Johnny Cueto on the mound for Cincinnati is a joke.

The Cubs have dropped the first two games by scores of 3-2 and 12-0. Going back to May 30, they have 10 wins against 20 defeats. They’ve been shut out five times in their last nine losses and scored one or zero runs 11 times in their last 20 losses; and they’ve scored three runs or fewer in 20 of their last 30 games, including 10 of the last 11 and the last five games in a row. Take away an 8-6 win at the White Sox on June 27, and Chicago has prodaced 12 runs in 10 games since June 22!

So how is an offense that is so inept – one that was batting .215 over a 10-game stretch PRIOR to yesterday’s 12-0 loss! – going to do anything today against Cueto? The Reds’ right-hander is 8-2 with a 3.74 ERA overall, including 2-1 with a 0.87 ERA in his last three trips to the mound (the one defeat was a 1-0 loss to Cliff Lee and the Mariners). In those three games, Cueto has held the Mariners (road), A’s (road) and Phillies (home) to 17 hits and six walks in 20 2/3 innings. What’s more, Cueto hasn’t given up a home run in five consecutive starts going back to June 7.

What about Cubs right-hander Randy Wells? He’s been below average and incredibely inconsistent. Going back to May 28, when he gave up five runs without recording an out in a home game against the Cardinals, he’s surrendered the following run totals: 5, 0, 6, 5, 2, 6 and 1. The Cubs’ record in those seven games? 1-6, including 1-3 at home. You know how much support Wells got in those seven games? 15 runs, and five of those runs came in a 10-5 loss to the White Sox. In fact, on Monday, Wells actually had a decent outing against the Pirates, giving up a run on three hits and four walks with six strikeouts in six innings. Yet Chicago lost 2-1 at home.

The Reds, who have won four straight against Chicago and six of eight on the season, are 9-2 in their last 11 games and come into today at 46-35 and in first place in the N.L. Central. The Cubs are a season-low 12 games under .500 at 34-46 (including 19-22 at Wrigley Field), and they’re 11½ games back of Cincinnati. Put it this way: Chicago is closer – MUCH closer – to last-place Pittsburgh (17 games behind) than first place.


Blue Jays-Yankees UNDER

Neither of those teams is hitting a lick right now, and I don’t expect that to change with two solid lefties on the hill in Toronto’s Ricky Romero and New York’s Andy Pettitte.

Romero has a 2.83 ERA overall and a 1.53 ERA in day games, and over his last three outings, Romero has given up just three runs (two earned) in 21 innings (0.86 ERA). Meanwhile, Pettitte has a 2.72 ERA overall and a 1.87 ERA in day games. Prior to his last start at the Dodgers on Sunday – he gave up five runs (four earned) in five innings – the veteran had held six straight opoonents to two earned runs or less while pitching at least seven innings in all six games.

For the season, Romero has given up two earned runs or fewer in 11 of 16 starts and only twice has he surrendered more than four runs in a game. Pettitte has allowed two earned runs or fewer in 12 of 15 starts and he hasn’t had back-to-back bad outings once all year.

Back to these two struggling offenses: Prior to Friday’s five-run outburst in the 11th inning, the Blue Jays had scored a total of three runs in 28 innings. And going back to June 18, Toronto has tallied three runs or fewer in eight of 14 games. Then again, aside from leading the majors in home runs, the Blue Jays have been pathetic on offense all season long, batting .237 overall and .225 on the road. Against left-handed pitching, those numbers drop to .205 (overall) and .201 (on the road).

As for the Yankees, they’ve scored just nine runs in their last four games, and despite the likes of Jeter, Swisher, Teixeira, A-Rod, Cano and Posada in the everyday lineup, New York has been held to four runs or fewer in 11 of their last 15 games. The team’s batting average over the past 10 contests? Under .240 overall and less than .200 against left-handed pitching.

Finally, Pettitte and Romero matched up against each other in Toronto almost exactly a month ago (June 5), and they combined to give up four runs in a game that ended 3-2. Pettitte lasted 7 2/3 innings in that one, while Romero went eight. And like today, that contest was a day game. In fact, the start time here is a BIG reason to love the UNDER. Why? Because these teams played a day game yesterday and were likely out of the stadium about the time happy hour started – meaning they had the entire night to roam Manhattan! Don’t be surprised if the early wake-up call for this morning doesn’t result in some real sluggish bats against two very good pitchers. Play this one low!


Mets

Stephen Strasburg has been absolutely as good as advertised since coming up to the big leagues, posting a 2.27 ERA with 48 strikeouts in just 31 2/3 innings. But after winning his first two starts against the lowly Pirates (5-2) and Indians (9-4), the Nationals have lost three in a row behind their phenom, scoring a whopping one run TOTAL in those three defeats.

Strasburg isn’t the only Nationals pitcher who isn’t getting offensive help. Washington has scored six runs in its last three games and 16 runs in its last six (and seven of those 16 runs came in one game at Atlanta on Tuesday). Take it back further and the Nationals are in a 5-15 slump, scoring three runs or fewer in 14 of those 20 games.

Meanwhile, New York’s offense is humming pretty good right now, producing five runs or more in 12 of 18 games, including eight of the last 11. Will the Mets maintain that pace today in their first look at Strasburg? I wouldn’t bet on THAT in particular. But I would bet on the fact they won’t need to score that much because Washington won’t force them to.

That Nats will be facing right-hander R.A. Dickey here. True, Dickey is coming off his worst start of the season (five runs allowed in five innings of 10-3 loss to the Marlins). However, I’m tossing that game in the trash because it was played in San Juan, Puerto Rico, and every single one of the Mets-Marlins games in that bandbox flew over the total (not a single starting pitcher put up good numbers). Prior to that game on Monday, Dickey had delivered six quality starts in his previous seven, going 4-0 with a 1.98 ERA in his previous four.

Finally, while Washington is in 5-15 slump, the Mets have won 18 of 26, including nine of 12 against the N.L. East, 13 of 18 against right-handed starters and seven of nine as an underdog (they’re also 5-0 in Dickey’s five starts as a pup).
 
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PAUL THE OCTOPUS SPORTS ADVISOR

Capper: Paul the Octopus

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[9002] Germany

Today's selection

Pick Germany over Argentina in World Cup
 
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TEMPLE PICKS-STATBETTING

MLB TOTALS VERSION 1.0
MLB 07/03 Philadelphia Phillies at Pittsburgh Pirates pick: under pts: 8.5
MLB 07/03 LA Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks pick: under pts: 9.0
MLB 07/03 Chicago White Sox at Texas Rangers pick: under pts: 9.5

MLB TOTALS VERSION 1.1
MLB 07/03 LA Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks pick: under pts: 9.0
MLB 07/03 Chicago White Sox at Texas Rangers pick: under pts: 9.5


MLB Run Lines:
MLB 07/03 Tampa Bay Rays at Minnesota Twins pick: Minnesota Twins pts: -1.5 (+140)
 
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LOGICAL PICK
Pick Today is San Diego Padres.
The game is on at 8:30 PM EST.

66.4 % Win Probability

Over/Under:
Spread:
Moneyline: -165
 
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"World's Greatest Sports Betting Systems"
Today's Selections

MLB Baseball Betting System A

Today's Selection(S)


Series in Progress!
Selection#1 (Game#3) Chicago Cubs +110 1:05 PM

Washington Series lost
Series Idle

Selection#2 (Game#1) NONE

Toronto Series Wins!
Series Idle
Selection#3 (Game#1) NONE

Series in Progress!
Selection#4 (Game#3) Philadelphia -120 7:05 PM

Series in Progress!
Selection #5 (Game#4) San Francisco's game#4 does not qualify for today.

Series Idle
Selection #6 (Game #1) NONE



Please Note: If we place a question mark after the team (??) this simply means the line was not posted at the time of the email and we will be betting the opening line when it posts.

Please Note: We will be using our signature 4 game progression again this year in MLB. We will be betting the money line unless otherwise noted in the selection.

Please Note: We bet action on all MLB games unless otherwise noted.
 
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JSM SPORTS
HRC PREMIUM MLB ACTION-July 3rd

Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)

Play Strengths
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2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*****************

5* [957] New York Mets|-135|+1.5 RL|Network N/A|4:10 pm EST

5* [960] Phi/Pit |OVER|8.5 Runs|Network N/A|7:05 pm EST

5* [961] San Francisco |+190|B+0|Network N/A|8:10 pm EST

5* [962] SF/Col |UNDER|7.5 Runs|Network N/A|8:10 pm EST

5* [965] LA Dodgers |-160|B+0|Network N/A|9:40 pm EST
 
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Deano's HRC Smart Choice* Best Bets|Your Capping Agent-July 3rd

Capper: Deano (Handicappers Paradise)

Play Strengths
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2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
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[959] Philadelphia |8*|+155|-1.5 Runs|Network N/A|7:05 pm EST.

*Note
Records can be found at Handicappers Paradise
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1-3 Yesterday
 

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