CRAIG TRAPP
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles (MLB) - 7:05 PM EDT Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: -1.5/-115 Boston Red Sox Play Title:
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973 BOS -1.5 (-115): Man this is too easy again. Usually we don't go after same play two days in a row but everything points to another blowout. Love playing against teams in turmoil and BALT has fired their manager and are looking for answers. Today will be same as yesterday just different dominating pitcher for BOS. Today best BOS pitcher Lester looks to continue super dominating performance 6-0 in last 8 starts with a 1.88 ERA. Even better he is 11-0 against BAL including winning 7 of last 9 starts against them. Guthrie starts for BALT and is trying to get out of his bad streak against BOS as he has not won in his last 9 starts going 0-7 with a 6 plus ERA. BOS is super hot at the plate verse a really struggling BALT lineup. No way this one is even close. Enjoy this blowout.
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles (MLB) - 7:05 PM EDT Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: -1.5/-115 Boston Red Sox Play Title:
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
973 BOS -1.5 (-115): Man this is too easy again. Usually we don't go after same play two days in a row but everything points to another blowout. Love playing against teams in turmoil and BALT has fired their manager and are looking for answers. Today will be same as yesterday just different dominating pitcher for BOS. Today best BOS pitcher Lester looks to continue super dominating performance 6-0 in last 8 starts with a 1.88 ERA. Even better he is 11-0 against BAL including winning 7 of last 9 starts against them. Guthrie starts for BALT and is trying to get out of his bad streak against BOS as he has not won in his last 9 starts going 0-7 with a 6 plus ERA. BOS is super hot at the plate verse a really struggling BALT lineup. No way this one is even close. Enjoy this blowout.
JOHN RYAN
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers (MLB) - 4:10 PM EDT Premium Pick
Pick: Money Line: 121 Texas Rangers Play Title:
25* graded play on Texas as the host Tampa Bay set to start at 4:10 EST. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that Texas will win this game. Texas is a solid 14-3 (+13.9 Units) against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 3.7 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons; 14-6 (+9.3 Units) against the money line versus excellent speed teams averaging 1 or more SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. Texas skipper Washington is a solid 18-4 (+16.8 Units) against the money line versus AL teams allowing 3.7 or less runs/game on the season. TB offense has not been doing well over the past month. Their season run differential has been stagnant at a plus 93 runs reflecting “average” play. Texas is batting 291 and scoring 5.5 RPG in 27 home games this season. They are a singles hitting team that can produce big innings. This type of hitting is also reflected in the fact that they have grounded into just 42 DP on season spanning 53 games. Just 14 of them in 27 home games. Rays starter Schields is coming off a poor start allowing 7 ER on 11 its with 2 home runs spanning 5.3 IP versus the CWS. in summary, Tampa Bay has lost six of its last seven at Texas and has posted a 10.10 ERA during the last six contests there. Texas, meanwhile, has won 12 of its last 15 at home, averaging 6.1 RPG. Guerrero is back in the lineup and is Guerrero is hitting .415 with five homers and 12 RBIs in his last 14 games versus Tampa Bay. Rangers starter Hunter has MLB experience and went 9-6 with a 4.10 ERA for the Rangers last season. Hunter has faced the Rays twice and has posted a 3.48 ERA. The key here is that the Rangers bullpen and offense are playing strong baseball and this will enable Hunter to simply go out and “pitch to contact”. This is a baseball term for a starter to simply hit his spots; not walk anyone; and allow the opponent to put the ball in play. This is one of the best ways to pitch when you have a strong bullpen and an even stronger offense behind you. Take
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers (MLB) - 4:10 PM EDT Premium Pick
Pick: Money Line: 121 Texas Rangers Play Title:
25* graded play on Texas as the host Tampa Bay set to start at 4:10 EST. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that Texas will win this game. Texas is a solid 14-3 (+13.9 Units) against the money line vs. AL teams allowing 3.7 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons; 14-6 (+9.3 Units) against the money line versus excellent speed teams averaging 1 or more SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. Texas skipper Washington is a solid 18-4 (+16.8 Units) against the money line versus AL teams allowing 3.7 or less runs/game on the season. TB offense has not been doing well over the past month. Their season run differential has been stagnant at a plus 93 runs reflecting “average” play. Texas is batting 291 and scoring 5.5 RPG in 27 home games this season. They are a singles hitting team that can produce big innings. This type of hitting is also reflected in the fact that they have grounded into just 42 DP on season spanning 53 games. Just 14 of them in 27 home games. Rays starter Schields is coming off a poor start allowing 7 ER on 11 its with 2 home runs spanning 5.3 IP versus the CWS. in summary, Tampa Bay has lost six of its last seven at Texas and has posted a 10.10 ERA during the last six contests there. Texas, meanwhile, has won 12 of its last 15 at home, averaging 6.1 RPG. Guerrero is back in the lineup and is Guerrero is hitting .415 with five homers and 12 RBIs in his last 14 games versus Tampa Bay. Rangers starter Hunter has MLB experience and went 9-6 with a 4.10 ERA for the Rangers last season. Hunter has faced the Rays twice and has posted a 3.48 ERA. The key here is that the Rangers bullpen and offense are playing strong baseball and this will enable Hunter to simply go out and “pitch to contact”. This is a baseball term for a starter to simply hit his spots; not walk anyone; and allow the opponent to put the ball in play. This is one of the best ways to pitch when you have a strong bullpen and an even stronger offense behind you. Take
ROB VINCILETTI/GOLDEN CONTENDER
Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals (MLB) - 7:05 PM EDT Premium Pick
Pick: Total: 8.5/-125 Over Play Title: RV: SAT: MLB 90% TOTALS SYSTEM + BELMONT BONUS
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On Saturday the 90% MLB Totals system play is on the over in the Cincinnati at Washington game. Rotation numbers 957/958 at 7:05 eastern. This game has a solid system that applies tonight. What we want to do is play the over for road favorites like the Reds who are off a road favored loss and scored 4 or less runs on 5+ hits and left 10 or more men on base, vs an opponent off a home dog win that scored 4 or less. Somewhat complicated I admit. However very effective cashing 90% of the time and averaging over 11 runs per game. The Reds have rookie righty Leake pitching tonight and he has been real good of late with a 0.93 era over his past 3 starts. However I feel he may regress some here as he may not be able to keep up this type of pace. Washington counters with L.Atilano tonight. Atilano has struggled badly over his past few starts and has a terrible 7.43 home era. The Reds have gone over the total 4 of their last 5 as a road favorite in this range and are scoring 7 runs per game over the past week. Washington has been hot at the plate as well averaging 5 runs per game over the past week. Look for this one to play over the total here tonight. BONUS BELMONT BELOW On Saturday in the Belmont Stakes our selection is #11 First Dude. What we did in this race was use a few Belmont Stakes angles to give us a better indicator of what to expect in this mile and a half race. First Dude trained by D.Romans and ridden By R. Dominguez is coming off a solid 2nd place Preakness finish. H earned his career best Beyer speed figure in that race of 101. He has a front running style in a race tha lacks speed. This could be very positive. If he can get some slow fractions he should have plenty left in the stretch. In the Bemont Stakes most of the time the previous winners ran one of the top Beyer numbers and ran first second or third in the Preakness or Peter Pan. While there are no starters from the Peter Pan, the best Preakness horse in here is First Dude. Play him to win. For Exotics Play first Dude in exacta and Triple boxes with Ice box and Fly Down.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals (MLB) - 7:05 PM EDT Premium Pick
Pick: Total: 8.5/-125 Over Play Title: RV: SAT: MLB 90% TOTALS SYSTEM + BELMONT BONUS
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
On Saturday the 90% MLB Totals system play is on the over in the Cincinnati at Washington game. Rotation numbers 957/958 at 7:05 eastern. This game has a solid system that applies tonight. What we want to do is play the over for road favorites like the Reds who are off a road favored loss and scored 4 or less runs on 5+ hits and left 10 or more men on base, vs an opponent off a home dog win that scored 4 or less. Somewhat complicated I admit. However very effective cashing 90% of the time and averaging over 11 runs per game. The Reds have rookie righty Leake pitching tonight and he has been real good of late with a 0.93 era over his past 3 starts. However I feel he may regress some here as he may not be able to keep up this type of pace. Washington counters with L.Atilano tonight. Atilano has struggled badly over his past few starts and has a terrible 7.43 home era. The Reds have gone over the total 4 of their last 5 as a road favorite in this range and are scoring 7 runs per game over the past week. Washington has been hot at the plate as well averaging 5 runs per game over the past week. Look for this one to play over the total here tonight. BONUS BELMONT BELOW On Saturday in the Belmont Stakes our selection is #11 First Dude. What we did in this race was use a few Belmont Stakes angles to give us a better indicator of what to expect in this mile and a half race. First Dude trained by D.Romans and ridden By R. Dominguez is coming off a solid 2nd place Preakness finish. H earned his career best Beyer speed figure in that race of 101. He has a front running style in a race tha lacks speed. This could be very positive. If he can get some slow fractions he should have plenty left in the stretch. In the Bemont Stakes most of the time the previous winners ran one of the top Beyer numbers and ran first second or third in the Preakness or Peter Pan. While there are no starters from the Peter Pan, the best Preakness horse in here is First Dude. Play him to win. For Exotics Play first Dude in exacta and Triple boxes with Ice box and Fly Down.
Indian Cowboy
4-Unit Play. Take #654. Take Under 157 Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics (Saturday @ 7:00pm est)
5-0 Last 2 days;
14 of 16 winning days in basball
5 of 6 winning days in wnba
June MLB: 4-0 (100%): +$1200
May MLB: 20-10-1 (66%); +$2700
7 of 10 NBA Playoff Winners
33 of 53 (+$4500)
My Dream have lost their last two ballgames after starting the year 6-0. This is perfect. At some point, they are going to take all their anger out on some team and I will step out during the game. In fact, many thought they were going to kill Chicago coming off the loss to Seattle on the road, but I specifically laid off that game and we took Connecticut yesterday instead. This is because if you have been tracking the wnba, it has become apparent that the Chicago Sky have turned the corner and they are increasing in many power rankings including my own. Also, the 6 point line was a trap line as well set by Vegas to bury the public on Atlanta. But, that is neither here or there. As per this game, Washington is a very good team. Despite not starting the season with Alana Beard, they have come a long way. This team needs to rely on their defense more as other teams begin to figure them out as Beard was such a dynamic player and with her, they could be a serious contender for the WNBA Title. Teams are starting to figure out Atlanta as they have put up 72 and 70 points as many teams are duplicating what Seattle did in their defensive scheme. I see this total as a bit high as Washington will look to likely slow down this game and make this game more of a half-court offense. Washington is a sound defensive team and I would not be surprised if this game went below the posted total. The Under is 6-0 for the Dream when playing on 0 days rest and the Under is 5-2 in the Mystics last seven home games.
4-Unit Play. Take #960. Take Under 9.0 San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies (Saturday @ 7:05pm est)
Garland is pitching exceptionally well right now as he has given up two runs over his last 14 innings. In fact, Garland has pitched 8 of 9 quality starts. In fact, he has not had a non-quality dating back to early April. Although Moyer has had some trouble at the onset of the season, he has come a long way. Moyer has pitched three straight unders and note that he has given up just seven runs over his last three starts. Garland has simply been exceptional of late having an era of 2.15 and his last two ballgames have been exceptionally impressive. He has given up just two earned runs over his last 14 innings to the likes of an upstart Nationals team and defeating the Cardinals at home. On the road, Garland shutout the Astros in seven innings and his last road start against the Dodgers was not that positive on the road. I look for him to have a better road start today against the Phillies. And, note that the Phillies have provided very little support for any one of their pitchers of late and their offensive woes likely continues with the likes of Garland on the mound. I look for Moyer to have a quality start today at home as well as he looks to help his team rebound from several poor games. The Under is 10-0-1 in the last 11 games when the total is set at this mark and the Under is and the Under is 12-3-1 to the Under in the last 16 games when the total is set at this mark.
4-Unit Play. Take #654. Take Under 157 Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics (Saturday @ 7:00pm est)
5-0 Last 2 days;
14 of 16 winning days in basball
5 of 6 winning days in wnba
June MLB: 4-0 (100%): +$1200
May MLB: 20-10-1 (66%); +$2700
7 of 10 NBA Playoff Winners
33 of 53 (+$4500)
My Dream have lost their last two ballgames after starting the year 6-0. This is perfect. At some point, they are going to take all their anger out on some team and I will step out during the game. In fact, many thought they were going to kill Chicago coming off the loss to Seattle on the road, but I specifically laid off that game and we took Connecticut yesterday instead. This is because if you have been tracking the wnba, it has become apparent that the Chicago Sky have turned the corner and they are increasing in many power rankings including my own. Also, the 6 point line was a trap line as well set by Vegas to bury the public on Atlanta. But, that is neither here or there. As per this game, Washington is a very good team. Despite not starting the season with Alana Beard, they have come a long way. This team needs to rely on their defense more as other teams begin to figure them out as Beard was such a dynamic player and with her, they could be a serious contender for the WNBA Title. Teams are starting to figure out Atlanta as they have put up 72 and 70 points as many teams are duplicating what Seattle did in their defensive scheme. I see this total as a bit high as Washington will look to likely slow down this game and make this game more of a half-court offense. Washington is a sound defensive team and I would not be surprised if this game went below the posted total. The Under is 6-0 for the Dream when playing on 0 days rest and the Under is 5-2 in the Mystics last seven home games.
4-Unit Play. Take #960. Take Under 9.0 San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies (Saturday @ 7:05pm est)
Garland is pitching exceptionally well right now as he has given up two runs over his last 14 innings. In fact, Garland has pitched 8 of 9 quality starts. In fact, he has not had a non-quality dating back to early April. Although Moyer has had some trouble at the onset of the season, he has come a long way. Moyer has pitched three straight unders and note that he has given up just seven runs over his last three starts. Garland has simply been exceptional of late having an era of 2.15 and his last two ballgames have been exceptionally impressive. He has given up just two earned runs over his last 14 innings to the likes of an upstart Nationals team and defeating the Cardinals at home. On the road, Garland shutout the Astros in seven innings and his last road start against the Dodgers was not that positive on the road. I look for him to have a better road start today against the Phillies. And, note that the Phillies have provided very little support for any one of their pitchers of late and their offensive woes likely continues with the likes of Garland on the mound. I look for Moyer to have a quality start today at home as well as he looks to help his team rebound from several poor games. The Under is 10-0-1 in the last 11 games when the total is set at this mark and the Under is and the Under is 12-3-1 to the Under in the last 16 games when the total is set at this mark.
