INDIAN COWBOY
4-Unit Play. Take #656. Take Under 173 Minnesota Lynx vs. Tulsa Shock (Saturday @ 8:00pm est)
These two teams just hooked up with each other recently and are very familiar with each other. The first few times these two teams faced each other, games went considerably over. And, we were on Minnesota to defeat this team at home yesterday covering the big seven point curve as they looked to avenge back to back losses to Tulsa. Minny ended up winning the game by double-digits and cashing the cover for us. Now, its a home and home. These two teams face each other for the second time in two nights and I look for the same defensive intensity that was in the last game to carry over to this game. Note, that with Tulsa losing yesterday they will look to play increased defense at home as they seek to get their revenge, and in that same token, Minnesota still is trying to even the season series with Tulsa so they too will look to be an active dog. It makes me a bit nervous today that Minnesota will likely be an active dog once again, but the line is still relatively high in the low 170's as one of these teams would be expected to get into the 90's for this game to go over. Granted, that has happened before in this series, but with these teams so familiar with each other now, usually the total should start dropping fourth, fifth and sixth time a team faces each other. I look for this game to likely be in the low 160's today.
4-Unit Play. Take #964. Take Under 9.5 Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Detroit Tigers (Saturday @ 7:05pm est)
Edwin Jackson faces his old team today and I suspect he will have a quality start. Usually when a pitcher faces a prior foe, he does very well. This is a field that Edwin is very comfortable in pitching in and I suspect rather than yesterday's game which featured twelve runs between these two teams, this game is likley to be lower scoring for a few reasons. For starters, Edwin has put together three of four quality starts of late for the Dbacks and is coming on of late. Tack that on with the fact that he is facing his old team, and he will undoubtedly be geared up to focus in this contest. Note, Vegas is also expecting a big start from Jackson as they have placed him as a +125 road dog and have refused to really move the line despite 70% of the public riding Porcello and the home Tigers. Porcello comes off one of his worst starts of his career against the Whitesox giving up eight runs in about three innings of work in a game in which the Tigers were hammered 3-15. Prior to that, Rick had put together three straight quality starts. The last time he had a non-quality start (which was also against the Whitesox), he went on the road to Anaheim and held the Angels to two runs in six innings of work helping the Tigers to win 6-2. I look for both pitchers to likely have decent outings today as this game is likely to go under the posted total