Service Plays Saturday 5/7/11

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

Posters can track services here if they care to but we will need any trackers to do so in an accurate and civil manner. We did not create this area for posters to ridicule or bash any services..

You can also discuss who is hot and who is not. The general state of the pay for plays industry and any other subject or topic related to service plays.

You can also create individual threads about specific services and discuss them freely but civilly. Again bashing and abusive treatment of any services will not be tolerated.

Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post ther daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

The Rx.com will not tolerate posters that post false records of any services they track. Please be truthful if you decide to track a particular service.

Lastly The Rx Moderators are appealing to you our everyday posters to report any promotional threads or posts that are made by services or individual touts. No links or contact information to an individual service will be allowed. Just the name of the service. Please report any threads or posts that are promotional attempts by services and touts to use this forum to promote themselves..

Posters can easily report a promotional post by using the triangular Report-a-Post Icon at the bottom left of all post boxes. The poster name of any poster who reports a post that is out of line will be kept strictly confidential.

I will leave this thread open for a month to take questions and do my best to answer them. I will check in daily but am off on Wednesday and Thursday.

I hope this additional Service Play Forum will satisfy those posters that would like to widen the scope of topics relating to service plays and the industry in general to have their own threads. Mods will be liberal as possible regarding topics but this forum was specifically created to allow you more freedom to express your ideas regarding service plays and related subject matter. No off topic threads will be allowed.

Thank you, wilheim




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Some handicappers do not mind having their plays posted, If we are asked by any company to not let their information be posted here, we will comply with the request and remove the information if we see it.
For The Record.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
To all services and professional handicappers. I am only going to be editing posts where your copyrighted write-ups are involved. Please do not email me if someone simply posts so and so likes xyz team plus or minus so many points only.
Thank you, wilheim.......

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[Yankees31]

justincover


Los Angeles Lakers

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

What bettors need to know: Saturday's NBA playoff action

Oklahoma City Thunder at Memphis Grizzlies (-3, 100)

Series tied 1-1

THE STORY: The Oklahoma City Thunder and Memphis Grizzlies end a brief hiatus when the Western Conference semifinal series resumes Saturday with Game 3 in Tennessee. The two teams are back on the court for the first time since Tuesday, when Oklahoma City evened the series with a 111-102 victory in Game 2. The fourth-seeded Thunder were more than a two-man act as Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook received plenty of help from the bench. James Harden scored 21 points, Eric Maynor added 15 and Nick Collison frustrated Grizzlies star Zach Randolph with stellar defense. The split that eighth-seeded Memphis earned in Oklahoma City places it in good position to notch its second consecutive series upset. The Grizzlies ousted the top-seeded San Antonio Spurs in the first round.

TV: 5 p.m. ET, ESPN

ABOUT THE GRIZZLIES: Randolph had just 15 points on 2-of-13 shooting and Memphis committed 16 turnovers during Game 2. The effort was a sharp contrast from the Grizzlies’ Game 1 triumph that included 34 points from Randolph and just eight turnovers. Mike Conley was Memphis’ top performer in Game 2 with a playoff career-best 24 points on 10-of-15 shooting. Guard O.J. Mayo had 16 points off the bench for his highest-scoring output of the playoffs. Center Marc Gasol made just 3-of-9 shots in Game 2 after going 9-for-11 in the opener. Gasol is averaging 16.5 points and 11.5 rebounds in the series. Memphis has won 11 straight home games – including three playoff wins – since last losing at home on March 9 to the New York Knicks.

ABOUT THE THUNDER: Durant (29.5 average) and Westbrook (26.5) have averaged 56 points during the first two games of the series. Maynor was a stunning 6-for-7 from the field in his top playoff effort. Collison had seven points and seven rebounds but his biggest contribution was his stellar defensive work against Randolph, who dominated the Thunder in Game 1. Oklahoma City was 8-for-14 from 3-point range with Maynor hitting all three of his attempts and Durant making both his attempts. Forward Serge Ibaka sprained his left ankle during Game 2 and is listed as probable for Saturday’s game. Ibaka is averaging 10.7 points, 10.3 rebounds and 4.4 blocks during the postseason.

WHO'S HOT/WHO’S NOT: Conley is averaging 19.5 points and 7.5 assists in the series. Durant is averaging 31.6 points in seven playoff games.

KEY STATISTIC: Randolph and Gasol combined to shoot 5-for-22 in Game 2 after hitting 21-of-33 shots in the opener.

TRENDS:

* Over is 13-3 in the last 16 meetings.
* Home team is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings.
* Thunder are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games as underdogs.
* Grizzlies are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games as favorites.

LAST WORD: “I just wanted to keep his catches further out on the block and try to be physical with him. He’s gonna score, he’s gonna make shots. He’s gonna be tough in all the rest of the games because I’m sure he feels like he can play better so I just have to continue to try to compete.” – Collison on his Game 2 efforts against Randolph.

Miami Heat at Boston Celtics (-3, 183)

Miami leads series 2-0

THE STORY: This was the Eastern Conference series everyone wanted to see all season. So far, it has not been very exciting. The Miami Heat have figured out how to let their talent shine through en route to easily dispatched the Boston Celtics in the first two games. The veteran Celtics have a few days to regroup but are now facing a must-win Game 3. If you're looking for positives, well, at least they have home-court advantage for the contest. Boston will welcome Miami to TD Garden for Game 3 on Saturday night.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ABC

ABOUT THE CELTICS: Boston has shot under 43 percent in the series and has not received anywhere near the production from its stars that the Heat have garnered from their trio of All-Stars. After leading the team with 25 points on 9-of-13 shooting in Game 1, Ray Allen slipped to seven points on 2-of-7 shooting in Game 2. Allen also sat out for long stretches of the second half after colliding with LeBron James and suffering a bruised chest. Rajon Rondo stepped up his production, finishing with 20 points and 12 assists on Tuesday, but scored seven of his points in the final three minutes after the Celtics were essentially done. Boston had tied the game, 80-80, with less than seven minutes left but went nearly four minutes without scoring a point as Miami sprinted away.

ABOUT THE HEAT: Miami had to answer questions all season about its apparent inability to close out tight games against good teams. Instead of waiting for the final minutes in Game 2, the Heat went ahead and took care of things a little earlier. A 14-0 run in the back half of the fourth quarter included seven points from James and left little suspense over the final seconds. James scored 24 of his game-high 35 points in the second half while Dwyane Wade added 28 and Chris Bosh chipped in 17 and 11 rebounds. James and Wade are a combined 12-0 in their careers when their respective teams have taken a 2-0 lead in a playoff series.

WHO’S HOT/WHO’S NOT: Kevin Garnett has struggled thus far, totaling 22 points on 11-of-29 shooting for the Celtics. Wade has been the most consistent scorer for the Heat through the first two games, averaging 33 points.

KEY STATISTIC: Free throws. The Heat have enjoyed home-court advantage to the tune of a 68-40 discrepancy in free throws attempted. A predictable shift when the series heads to Boston could even things out for the Celtics.

TRENDS:

* Home team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.
* Under is 15-5-1 in the last 21 meetings in Boston.
* Favorite is 15-6 ATS in the last 21 meetings.
* Heat are 0-5 ATS in the last five meetings in Boston.

LAST WORD: “Now the mental discipline begins,” Heat coach Erik Spoelstra said. “This thing is just getting started.”

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Predators at Canucks: What bettors need to know

Nashville Predators at Vancouver Canucks (-208, 5)

Vancouver leads series 3-1

THE STORY: The Vancouver Canucks failed to put away the Chicago Blackhawks in the Western Conference quarterfinals when they had the chance and were forced to win in overtime in Game 7 to advance. Coach Alain Vigneault is hoping his team learned its lesson as it has an opportunity to eliminate the fifth-seeded Nashville Predators with a win at Rogers Arena in Game 5 of their conference semifinal series on Saturday. Top-seeded Vancouver posted a 4-2 victory in Game 4 on Thursday to take a 3-1 lead over Nashville, which lost twice in its own building after stealing home-ice advantage from the Canucks with a double-overtime win in Game 2 at Rogers Arena. Vancouver is looking to advance to the conference final for the first time since 1994, when it last appeared in the Stanley Cup Final.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, VERSUS, CBC, RDS

ABOUT THE PREDATORS: Nashville was outshot 11-6 in the first period but came away with a 1-1 tie when Joel Ward scored a power-play goal with 42 seconds remaining in the session. It was the first man-advantage tally of the series for the Predators, who went 0-for-12 over the first three games. Jerred Smithson suffered an upper-body injury in the first period Thursday and did not return. According to coach Barry Trotz, he is doubtful for Game 5. Colin Wilson made his first appearance this postseason in place of Steve Sullivan, who was out with a lower-body injury sustained in Game 3. Wilson played just over 13 1/2 minutes and was minus-1.

ABOUT THE CANUCKS: For the second straight game, Ryan Kesler drew a penalty and went on to score the winning goal on the ensuing power play. In overtime of Game 3, Norris Trophy finalist Shea Weber of the Predators was called for hooking Kesler, who netted his second tally of the contest 40 seconds later. A Selke Trophy finalist, Kesler drew a holding penalty on Nashville defenseman Ryan Suter at 6:21 of the the third period and scored 67 seconds afterward to snap a 2-2 deadlock. Kesler, Henrik Sedin and defenseman Christian Ehrhoff each registered a goal and two assists Thursday. Sedin's goal, an empty-netter, was his first of the playoffs. Defenseman Sami Salo returned to the lineup after missing four contests with an undisclosed injury. Salo had not played since Game 6 of the conference quarterfinals.

WHO'S HOT/WHO'S NOT: Ward leads the Predators with five goals and nine points in 10 games this postseason. He tallied just 10 times in 80 games during the regular season. Kesler's second straight three-point effort Thursday gave him a team-leading 11 in the playoffs. Kesler and Chris Higgins each have three goals, with two being game-winners.

SPECIAL TEAMS: Both clubs went 1-for-3 on the power play in Game 4. Nashville has converted 16.7 percent (7-for-42) of its opportunities in the playoffs while Vancouver has gone 7-for-31 (22.6 percent). Each team also has allowed two shorthanded goals. The Predators have the league's worst penalty-killing percentage (68.6) in the postseason. The Canucks have successfully killed 84.1 percent of their infractions.

TRENDS:

* Under is 5-0 in the last five meetings in Vancouver.
* Under is 6-1-1 in the last eight meetings.
* Favorite is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Predators are 1-4 in the last five meetings.
* Road team is 5-1 in the last six meetings.

LAST WORD: "He's getting some room, he's winning more battles and he'd finding the net for them. I think in the first series, he didn't have anything going for him, but right now he's their best player." - Trotz, on Kesler's recent breakout.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hot lines: Saturday's best MLB bets

Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals (-127, 8.5)

The Brewers left left their bats in Milwaukee.

The team is mired in an offensive slump, scoring a mere seven runs over its past six games, all on the road. Not surprisingly, the Brew Crew were on a six-game skid entering Friday's game. But this is nothing new for the club when it steps outside of Wisconsin.

Milwaukee is 5-13 in opposing parks this season and is hitting a horrendous .220 as a visitor this year. And the team’s biggest two bats, Ryan Braun and Prince Fielder, couldn’t be colder. The duo was a horrific 2-for-30 in four straight losses to the Braves.

Five-hole hitter Casey McGhee has been equally dreadful. The Brewers' 2010 RBI leader is just 3-for-22 in the first six games of the road trip.

"We're seeing some guys that are really throwing the ball good against us," said Brewers manager Ron Roenicke. "And I think sometimes when you're not hitting you go out of the (strike) zone and the pattern that you're usually good in because you're trying to create something.

"Sometimes you're not patient enough. When we have the chance, we're not getting that hit."

Don’t expect that to change in St. Louis.

Pick: St. Louis

Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies (-120, NA)

Things are going better for the Braves' batters.

The over is 8-2 in Atlanta's last 10 games entering play on Friday. In a recent four-game set with Milwaukee, the Braves scored 24 runs in four games – all wins.

Outfielder Nate McLouth is carrying his weight and more for the Tomahawk Chops. Starting the year cold, he was dropped from No. 2 to No. 8 in the batting order. Since then, he is a sizzling 20-for-56 with a .471 on-base percentage.

But the Phillies are swinging hot bats too.

Philadelphia has seen six of its past eight games go over the total and is averaging more than 5.5 runs per game during that time. Manager Charlie Manuel has made several tweaks to his lineup to spark that surge, and it has paid off with several hitters, including outfielder Raul Ibanez who snapped an 0-for-35 streak.

“You know what, we’re swinging the bats well," Braves manager Fredi Gonzalez said. "We’ll see what happens. It should be exciting this weekend.”

Pick: Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Pick ‘n’ roll: Saturday’s best NBA bets

Oklahoma City Thunder at Memphis Grizzlies (-3, 200)

No team has been a bigger surprise in the playoffs than the Memphis Grizzlies. They took out Western Conference No. 1 seed San Antonio in six games and have now wrestled home-court advantage from Oklahoma City.

That single Game 1 victory could end up being enough (just as it was against the Spurs), because the Grizzlies have been virtually unbeatable at home. They've been impressive at home all season long, having compiled a 30-11 record during the regular season.

Lionel Hollins’ club has lost only one game at the FedEx Forum since March 9, and that came by just one point (82-81 to the L.A. Clippers on April 5). Memphis has won 11 of its last 12 home games and has covered the spread on 10 of those 12 occasions.

The Thunder hit back in Game 2 for a 111-102 victory following their 114-101 loss in Game 1. The difference was their physicality and attention to packing in bodies in the paint. Memphis scored 52 points in the paint in the series opener, but Zach Randolph and Marc Gasol combined for a mere 28 points on 5-of-22 shooting on Tuesday.

Hollins knows how to get his team back in Game 1 form for Saturday’s tilt.

“We've got to be better in our spacing and better in our timing,” the Grizzlies head coach told the Memphis Commercial Appeal. "We've got to play with more pace than we played with in the last game. We did it in the first game. We just got away from it. And you have to give Oklahoma City credit. They came out much more aggressive and much more physical. I expected them to be on Saturday as well."

Pick: Grizzlies

Miami Heat at Boston Celtics (-3, 182.5)

Boston got pretty much abused during the first two games of this highly-anticipated series. The visitors lost 99-90 in Game 1 and 102-91 in Game 2.

A return home, though, could be just what the doctor ordered. The Celtics went 33-8 at the Garden in the regular season, tied for the third best home record in the NBA with Denver, trailing only San Antonio and Chicago.

Boston has won six in a row (4-2 ATS) as the home team dating back to the regular season, including a pair of first-round victories over New York that eventually led to a sweep. Doc Rivers’ squad has not lost at home to Miami since 2007, a streak of 10 games (7-3 ATS)—including two this season (2-0 ATS).

Rivers thinks the trend can continue, but only if the Celtics pick up the aggressiveness that was lacking in South Beach.

“Forget all the X and O stuff,” Rivers told the Boston Globe. “I really thought Miami played harder in a lot of ways; all the loose balls, they finished at the basket (going) through us, they got three-point plays. We didn't.”

The Celtics could get a boost from a return by Shaquille O’Neal, who has played only one game (on April 3) since Feb. 1 due to various injuries. Shaq is listed as probable and Rivers said that he expects the big man to play.

Pick: Celtics

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ice picks: Saturday's best NHL bets

Nashville Predators at Vancouver Canucks (-208, 5)

There’s a reason why the Canucks are -208 for Saturday’s contest. It’s because they are going to win.

They have won four of their last five games dating back to Game 7 against the Blackhawks in round one and they just won two in a row on Nashville’s home ice. The biggest reason for their recent hot streak is, of course, goalie Roberto Luongo.

The Canadian Olympic hero is heating up at just the right time. He has played five straight games without allowing more than two goals get past him. Luongo has surrendered a mere six goals in his last five, a span that includes a 2-1 overtime win over Chicago in Game 7 and 44-save performance in Game 2 against the Predators (Vancouver’s only loss to date in this series).

All of that being said, -208 is not good value for any hockey game; especially not one that involves two of the best teams in the Western Conference. The under, though, could be more enticing than a play on Vancouver.

The Canucks and Preds have now faced each other eight times this season and six have gone under the total. Game 4 on Tuesday was pushed and the lone tilt that has gone over was Game 5 on Thursday, only because Henrik Sedin scored a late empty-net goal.

Nashville’s Pekka Rinne has been solid, as well. Rinne has not given up more than three goals in any of his last six outings and he limited Vancouver to one goal in each of this series’ first two games.

Pick: Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Top 5 ways to bet Pacquiao vs. Mosley odds

There are a number of options when it comes to wagering on the Manny Pacquiao-Shane Mosley welterweight title fight. Here are five of the best bets on the biggest fight of 2011:

5. Bet Mosley to win the fight outright

Mosley should be a significant underdog, but odds like Pacquiao at -1000 and Mosley at +700 are based in fandom rather than reality.

No fighter, not even the great Pacquiao, is unbeatable. The pound-for-pound kings eventually falter and when they do, underdog bettors clean up. Roy Jones Jr. was knocked from his perch by an Antonio Tarver left hand in 2004 and Mosley, when he was undefeated and atop many pound-for-pound rankings in 2002, lost to the underestimated Vernon Forrest.

So despite Mosley’s age (39), he is still a skilled practitioner who can crack with either hand. The possibility that he separates Pacquiao from his senses might be worth the long odds. At 10-to-1 or more, is it worth betting the farm on Pac-Man to win relative peanuts?

4. Pacquiao by decision

With the public banking on Pacquiao to be the first man to KO Mosley, Pacquiao by decision is +190 at offshore books (by KO, TKO or DQ is -160).

Pacquiao won’t be reckless in the early rounds against a dangerous foe like Mosley. He saw Mosley buzz Floyd Mayweather Jr. in Round 2 of their May 2010 bout and respects his firepower. Pacquiao should dominate the later rounds and it will then be a race against the clock. Will Mosley’s pride allow him to go down? Will his corner, led by trainer Naazim Richardson, allow him to take a prolonged beating?

One final thing to keep in mind: Scheduled referee Kenny Bayless (Pacquiao-Cotto, Antonio Margarito-Cotto) is among the sport’s elite and is not prone to stopping fights early.

3. Bet the undercard

There is value before the main event when Wilfredo Vazquez Jr. fights Jorge Arce. An 11-to-1 favorite, I would not bet Vazquez on the moneyline, but the under of 8.5 rounds (-110) is worth a look.

Arce is well past his prime and has a tendency to cut, while Vazquez sports 17 KOs on a 20-0-1 record. This has the makings of a classic “passing of the torch”, when a rising star batters an aging warhorse into quitting.

At -900, former middleweight champion Kelly Pavlik fights unbeaten and untested Alfonso Lopez (+500) at super middleweight - his first bout since completing alcohol rehab. If you must bet Pavlik, parlay him with fellow undercard fighter Mike Alvarado (-500), who faces Ray Narh (+400).

2. Aim Late in individual round props

I’m not a fan of these crapshoots, but since this fight should go some rounds, a small KO wager on a few later rounds allows the over bettors to hedge their wagers. Pacquiao in Round 10 (+1000), 11 (+1000) or 12 (+1400) are decent values.

Sportsbetting.com has round group betting with Pacquiao in Rounds 10-12 at 3-to-1. And if you are looking for the huge score, Mosley in Round 10 (+10000), 11 (+10000) or 12 (+12500) might be worth a few dollars apiece.

1. Over, over and over

Pacquiao has not scored an early-round KO since his two-round demolition of Ricky Hatton at junior welterweight back in 2009.

A quick KO against a sturdy, veteran welterweight like Mosley is difficult to envision. And while the round total is 11.5 rounds at most books, Mosley’s durability should make this a distance fight.

With the Over 11.5 at +150 (and with the potential to go higher once all of the Pacquiao fanatics place their bets) and the Under going at around 2-to-1, you are getting a better value by banking on Mosley to survive. And with Pacquiao by decision at +190, an over bet hedges against a last-minute KO or Mosley decision victory.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Eafra soccer

medium:
Aston Villa -0.5, EPL
Man City PK, EPL
Sporting Gijon -0.5, Spanish Primera

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NBA

Season
Straight Up: 839-366 (.696)
ATS: 634-621 (.505)
ATS Vary Units: 1499-1477 (.504)
Over/Under: 650-623 (.511)
Over/Under Vary Units: 781-760 (.507)

Eastern Conference Semifinals
Game 3, best-of-7
Miami vs. BOSTON: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Western Conference Semifinals
Game 3, best-of-7
MEMPHIS 102, Oklahoma City 99

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NHL

Season: 395-300 (.568)

Eastern Conference Semifinals
Game 5, best-of-7
WASHINGTON 3, Tampa Bay 2
Western Conference Semifinals
Game 5, best-of-7
VANCOUVER 3, Nashville 2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

636 - 482 57 % Run over 3 YEARS

Bonus Play Sat: Phillies -130

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

Hondo partially offset yesterday afternoon's loss by the Cubs by cashing with the Rays last night, which left him with a deficit of 1,065 arcaros at the close of business hours. (Correction: Due to a basic math error by Mr. Aitch's longtime accountant, CP Addemup, yesterday's deficit was reported incor rectly as 1,125, instead of 1,050. Addemup regrets the error, but he has been indefinitely suspended anyway.)

Today, Hondo will try to regroup and recoup with the Reds, Tigers, Braves, Nats and Yanks -- 10 units apiece. Also, he'll go to the whip in the Derby with a one-unit win wager on Twice the Appeal and a one- unit exacta box on Twice the Appeal, Stay Thirsty and Midnight Interlude.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Gamblers Data

Bonus Play Saturday

Twins/Bosox under 9 even

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Baseball Crusher
Play of the Day:

Twins + RedSox UNDER 9

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hockey Crusher
Play of the Day:

Predators + Canucks UNDER 5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Basketball Crusher
Play of the Day:

Heat + Celtics OVER 183

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Soccer Crusher
Play of the Day:

Reading + DerbyCounty OVER 2.5
This match is happening in England

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sportsbook Investing
Play of the Day:

Heat + Celtics OVER 183

 

[takster]

any might quin cpw thanks


His page has not been updated yet. cpaw