I think the Ness 15* is right.
I pulled this off freaksforum, this is a Bonus Play
Larry Ness
The Brewers were on a nine-game road losing streak before visiting Pittsburgh on Tuesday to begin a three-game set. What's more, the Pirates had won seven of their last eight home games and had dominated the Brewers in PNC Park since the stadium opened in 2001, winning 42 of the 62 games played there between the two teams. Milwaukee's pitching staff owned a 3.82 ERA in 20 home games in '08 but entering this series, had a 5.48 road ERA. So what happened? Milwaukee beat the Pirates 7-2 and 4-1 in the first two games! However, normalcy has since returned, as the Pirates avoided a three-game sweep with an 8-4 win on Thursday and then Milwaukee lost last night in Washington, 5-1. As I do so often when getting involved with Milwaukee games, let me remind everyone again of the Brewers home/away dichotomy these last two seasons ('06 and '07). Milwaukee's two-year mark has them 99-63 (plus-$1,950) at home but a pathetic 59-103 (minus-$3,818) on the road! Milwaukee is now 11-17 (minus-$460) on the road heading into tonight's game and will send Seth McClung to the mound, who will be making his first start since 2006. McClung made 73 appearance (32 starts) with Tampa Bay in 2005 and 2006, going 13-23 with a 6.44 overall, as the Rays (then Devil Rays) were only 11-21 in those 32 starts. He was with Milwaukee last year but made only 14 relief appearances, pitching just 12 innings. He's made 11 relief appearances this year, going 1-1 with a 3.54 ERA over 20.1 innings. Washington has its fair share of problems at the plate but McClung is sure not a tough 'test!' Going for Washington is John Lannan, who is 4-4 with 3.40 ERA in nine starts in 2008. He's had a few poor starts but overall, he's allowed two ERs or less in SIX of his nine starts this year. He enters this game on a pretty good roll, having given up one ER or none in FIVE of his last seven starts, posting a 4-2 record with a 2.55 ERA over that span. Why not take a chance with him here vs the poor-traveling Brewers who will have a pitcher making his first ML start since June 18, 2006. By the way, that start came in Philadelphia vs the Phillies, with McClung allowing eight hits and six ERs over 4.2 innings of an 8-5 loss. Go Nats!