JIMMY BOYD
Analysis: Even though the Astros have taken the first two games of the series and have won 3 straight overall, I love the value we are getting here with the Blue Jays. Houston will be sending out their worst starter in Scott Feldman, who is 2-4 with a 5.22 ERA and 1.355 WHIP over 7 starts. Feldman did pitch well in his last outing on the road against the Angels, but prior to that allowed 6 runs on 9 hits in just 3 innings of a 1-7 home loss to the Rangers as a -155 favorite. I'll take my chances with Toronto's high-powered offense being able to put up enough runs here to secure a win. The Blue Jays enter this matchup averaging 5.2 runs/game. Toronto will give the rock to Marco Estrada, who has struggled in his two starts since joining the rotation, but is 12-5 in his last 17 as a road dog. Houston is 3-8 in Feldman's last 11 starts overall, 2-7 in his last 9 following a quality start in his last appearance and 3-13 in his last 16 after losing his previous start.
Analysis: Even though the Astros have taken the first two games of the series and have won 3 straight overall, I love the value we are getting here with the Blue Jays. Houston will be sending out their worst starter in Scott Feldman, who is 2-4 with a 5.22 ERA and 1.355 WHIP over 7 starts. Feldman did pitch well in his last outing on the road against the Angels, but prior to that allowed 6 runs on 9 hits in just 3 innings of a 1-7 home loss to the Rangers as a -155 favorite. I'll take my chances with Toronto's high-powered offense being able to put up enough runs here to secure a win. The Blue Jays enter this matchup averaging 5.2 runs/game. Toronto will give the rock to Marco Estrada, who has struggled in his two starts since joining the rotation, but is 12-5 in his last 17 as a road dog. Houston is 3-8 in Feldman's last 11 starts overall, 2-7 in his last 9 following a quality start in his last appearance and 3-13 in his last 16 after losing his previous start.
