NHL
Hot teams
-- Columbus won 11 of its last 12 games.
-- Canucks won five of their last six road games.
-- Washington won six of its last eight games. Ottawa won nine of its last twelve.
-- Rangers won nine of their last thirteen games.
-- Bruins won their last four games, allowing seven goals.
-- Minnesota won seven of its last nine games.
-- Nashville won four of its last five games.
-- Sharks won four of their last five games.
-- Kings won four of their last six games.
Cold teams
-- Carolina is 3-10 in its last 13 games. Flyers lost nine of their last twelve games.
-- Penguins lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Winnipeg lost three of its last four games.
-- Devils lost six of their last seven games.
-- Islanders lost eight of their last ten games. Sabres lost 13 of their last 16.
-- Toronto lost eight of its last ten games.
-- Lightning lost four of its last five games. Florida lost three of its last four.
-- Red Wings lost 11 of their last 15 games.
-- Dallas Stars lost three of their last four games.
-- Arizona lost 11 of its last 13 games.
-- Calgary is 4-6 in its last ten games. Edmonton lost its last two games, 5-1/8-2.
-- Colorado lost five of its last seven games.
Series records
-- Flyers lost six of last seven games with Carolina.
-- Penguins are 6-4 in their last ten games with Columbus.
-- Canucks won seven of their last eight games with Winnipeg.
-- Washington won last two games with Ottawa, after losing previous seven.
-- Rangers won their last four games with New Jersey.
-- Islanders won three of last four games with Buffalo.
-- Maple Leafs won four of last five games with Boston.
-- Lightning won six of last seven games with Florida
-- Detroit-Minnesota split their last ten games.
-- Predators won their last three games with Dallas.
-- Sharks won five of last six games with Arizona.
-- Flames won their last six games with Edmonton.
-- Kings won six of their last seven games with Colorado.
Totals
-- Five of last seven Philly-Carolina games stayed under.
-- Seven of last nine Pittsburgh-Columbus games went over.
-- Over is 3-0-1 in last four Winnipeg games.
-- Seven of last eight Washington-Ottawa games stayed under.
-- Five of last seven Ranger games went over the total.
-- Six of last nine Sabre-Islander games stayed under total.
-- Five of last six Toronto-Boston games went over total.
-- Seven of last eight Tampa Bay-Florida games went over.
-- Over is 5-0-2 in last seven Detroit-Minnesota games.
-- Seven of last eight Dallas-Nashville games stayed under.
-- Seven of last ten San Jose-Arizona games stayed under.
-- Four of last five Calgary-Edmonton games went over.
-- Over is 4-0-1 in last five Colorado games.
Back-to-back
-- Devils are 2-5 on road if they played night before.
-- Buffalo is 3-8 on road if it played the night before.
-- Dallas is 1-6 on road if it played at home night before.
-- Colorado is 2-7 if it played the night before.
Hot teams
-- Columbus won 11 of its last 12 games.
-- Canucks won five of their last six road games.
-- Washington won six of its last eight games. Ottawa won nine of its last twelve.
-- Rangers won nine of their last thirteen games.
-- Bruins won their last four games, allowing seven goals.
-- Minnesota won seven of its last nine games.
-- Nashville won four of its last five games.
-- Sharks won four of their last five games.
-- Kings won four of their last six games.
Cold teams
-- Carolina is 3-10 in its last 13 games. Flyers lost nine of their last twelve games.
-- Penguins lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Winnipeg lost three of its last four games.
-- Devils lost six of their last seven games.
-- Islanders lost eight of their last ten games. Sabres lost 13 of their last 16.
-- Toronto lost eight of its last ten games.
-- Lightning lost four of its last five games. Florida lost three of its last four.
-- Red Wings lost 11 of their last 15 games.
-- Dallas Stars lost three of their last four games.
-- Arizona lost 11 of its last 13 games.
-- Calgary is 4-6 in its last ten games. Edmonton lost its last two games, 5-1/8-2.
-- Colorado lost five of its last seven games.
Series records
-- Flyers lost six of last seven games with Carolina.
-- Penguins are 6-4 in their last ten games with Columbus.
-- Canucks won seven of their last eight games with Winnipeg.
-- Washington won last two games with Ottawa, after losing previous seven.
-- Rangers won their last four games with New Jersey.
-- Islanders won three of last four games with Buffalo.
-- Maple Leafs won four of last five games with Boston.
-- Lightning won six of last seven games with Florida
-- Detroit-Minnesota split their last ten games.
-- Predators won their last three games with Dallas.
-- Sharks won five of last six games with Arizona.
-- Flames won their last six games with Edmonton.
-- Kings won six of their last seven games with Colorado.
Totals
-- Five of last seven Philly-Carolina games stayed under.
-- Seven of last nine Pittsburgh-Columbus games went over.
-- Over is 3-0-1 in last four Winnipeg games.
-- Seven of last eight Washington-Ottawa games stayed under.
-- Five of last seven Ranger games went over the total.
-- Six of last nine Sabre-Islander games stayed under total.
-- Five of last six Toronto-Boston games went over total.
-- Seven of last eight Tampa Bay-Florida games went over.
-- Over is 5-0-2 in last seven Detroit-Minnesota games.
-- Seven of last eight Dallas-Nashville games stayed under.
-- Seven of last ten San Jose-Arizona games stayed under.
-- Four of last five Calgary-Edmonton games went over.
-- Over is 4-0-1 in last five Colorado games.
Back-to-back
-- Devils are 2-5 on road if they played night before.
-- Buffalo is 3-8 on road if it played the night before.
-- Dallas is 1-6 on road if it played at home night before.
-- Colorado is 2-7 if it played the night before.
NBA
Hot Teams
-- Toronto won three of last four games (3-0 last three HF). Celtics won their last three road games (17-4 last 21 AU).
-- Nets won six in row, 10 of last 12 games (5-2 last seven AU).
-- Wizards won three of last four games (3-7 last ten AU).
-- Bucks won three of last five games (4-8 last 12 HF).
-- Warriors won their last ten games (8-2 vs spread).
-- Clippers won eight of last nine games (4-0 last four AF).
-- Utah won/covered its last three games (15-8 last 23 AU).
-- Portland won five of its last six games (6-4 last ten HF). Pelicans won/covered their last four games (11-4 last 15 AU).
Cold Teams
-- 76ers lost six of last seven games (3-1 last four AU). Charlotte lost five of its last seven (3-5 last eight HF).
-- Pistons lost three of last four games (5-12 HF). Miami lost five of its last seven games (2-6 last eight AU).
-- Hawks lost five of their last eight games (3-1 last four HF).
-- Memphis lost four of its last five games (3-1 last four HF).
-- Orlando lost 10 of its last 12 games (3-4 last seven AU).
-- Mavericks lost four of last six games (1-4 last five HU).
-- Denver lost four of last five games (3-1 last four HU).
-- Suns lost their last five games (3-1 last four HF).
Series Records
-- 76ers lost five of their last seven games with Charlotte.
-- Heat won four of last five games with Detroit.
-- Celtics lost six of last seven games with Toronto.
-- Hawks won their last three games with Brooklyn.
-- Grizzlies won five of last seven games with Washington.
-- Bucks won four of last five games with Orlando.
-- Warriors won their last six games with Dallas.
-- Home side won last nine Clipper-Denver games.
-- Jazz won three of last four games with Utah.
-- Pelicans lost their last four games with Portland.
Totals
-- Three of last four Philly-Charlotte games went over.
-- Six of last nine Miami-Detroit games went over.
-- Four of last five Toronto home games stayed under.
-- Six of last nine Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Washington-Memphis games went over.
-- Three of last four Buck-Magic games stayed under.
-- Nine of last eleven Golden State games went over.
-- Six of last eight Clipper-Nugget games stayed under.
-- Seven of last ten Phoenix-Utah games stayed under.
-- Last three Pelican-Blazer games stayed under total.
Back-to-Backs
-- Charlotte is 4-5 vs spread at home if it played night before.
-- Pistons are 3-2 at home if they played night before.
-- Boston is 9-1 vs spread on road if it was at home nite before; Toronto is 9-6 if it played night before, 1-1 at home.
-- Brooklyn is 2-5 on road if it played at home last night.
-- Memphis is 3-1 at home if it played night before. Washington is 6-9 if it played night before.
-- Orlando is 9-2 on road if it played the night before. Milwaukee is 2-4-1 at home if it played night before.
-- Denver is 0-6 at home if it played night before.
-- Pelicans are 13-4 if they played the night before. Portland is 3-4 if it won the night before.
Hot Teams
-- Toronto won three of last four games (3-0 last three HF). Celtics won their last three road games (17-4 last 21 AU).
-- Nets won six in row, 10 of last 12 games (5-2 last seven AU).
-- Wizards won three of last four games (3-7 last ten AU).
-- Bucks won three of last five games (4-8 last 12 HF).
-- Warriors won their last ten games (8-2 vs spread).
-- Clippers won eight of last nine games (4-0 last four AF).
-- Utah won/covered its last three games (15-8 last 23 AU).
-- Portland won five of its last six games (6-4 last ten HF). Pelicans won/covered their last four games (11-4 last 15 AU).
Cold Teams
-- 76ers lost six of last seven games (3-1 last four AU). Charlotte lost five of its last seven (3-5 last eight HF).
-- Pistons lost three of last four games (5-12 HF). Miami lost five of its last seven games (2-6 last eight AU).
-- Hawks lost five of their last eight games (3-1 last four HF).
-- Memphis lost four of its last five games (3-1 last four HF).
-- Orlando lost 10 of its last 12 games (3-4 last seven AU).
-- Mavericks lost four of last six games (1-4 last five HU).
-- Denver lost four of last five games (3-1 last four HU).
-- Suns lost their last five games (3-1 last four HF).
Series Records
-- 76ers lost five of their last seven games with Charlotte.
-- Heat won four of last five games with Detroit.
-- Celtics lost six of last seven games with Toronto.
-- Hawks won their last three games with Brooklyn.
-- Grizzlies won five of last seven games with Washington.
-- Bucks won four of last five games with Orlando.
-- Warriors won their last six games with Dallas.
-- Home side won last nine Clipper-Denver games.
-- Jazz won three of last four games with Utah.
-- Pelicans lost their last four games with Portland.
Totals
-- Three of last four Philly-Charlotte games went over.
-- Six of last nine Miami-Detroit games went over.
-- Four of last five Toronto home games stayed under.
-- Six of last nine Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Washington-Memphis games went over.
-- Three of last four Buck-Magic games stayed under.
-- Nine of last eleven Golden State games went over.
-- Six of last eight Clipper-Nugget games stayed under.
-- Seven of last ten Phoenix-Utah games stayed under.
-- Last three Pelican-Blazer games stayed under total.
Back-to-Backs
-- Charlotte is 4-5 vs spread at home if it played night before.
-- Pistons are 3-2 at home if they played night before.
-- Boston is 9-1 vs spread on road if it was at home nite before; Toronto is 9-6 if it played night before, 1-1 at home.
-- Brooklyn is 2-5 on road if it played at home last night.
-- Memphis is 3-1 at home if it played night before. Washington is 6-9 if it played night before.
-- Orlando is 9-2 on road if it played the night before. Milwaukee is 2-4-1 at home if it played night before.
-- Denver is 0-6 at home if it played night before.
-- Pelicans are 13-4 if they played the night before. Portland is 3-4 if it won the night before.
StatFox Super Situations
NBA | GOLDEN STATE at DALLAS
Play On - Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GOLDEN STATE) good offensive team - scoring 99+ points/game on the season, after scoring 105 points or more 3 straight games
134-76 since 1997. ( 63.8% | 50.4 units )
14-10 this year. ( 58.3% | 3.0 units )
NBA | GOLDEN STATE at DALLAS
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (DALLAS) revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a home loss against a division rival
44-20 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.8% | 25.4 units )
8-2 this year. ( 80.0% | 3.7 units )
NBA | MIAMI at DETROIT
Play On - Underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (MIAMI) after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season
109-60 over the last 5 seasons. ( 64.5% | 43.0 units )
23-18 this year. ( 56.1% | 3.2 units )
NBA | GOLDEN STATE at DALLAS
Play On - Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GOLDEN STATE) good offensive team - scoring 99+ points/game on the season, after scoring 105 points or more 3 straight games
134-76 since 1997. ( 63.8% | 50.4 units )
14-10 this year. ( 58.3% | 3.0 units )
NBA | GOLDEN STATE at DALLAS
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (DALLAS) revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a home loss against a division rival
44-20 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.8% | 25.4 units )
8-2 this year. ( 80.0% | 3.7 units )
NBA | MIAMI at DETROIT
Play On - Underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (MIAMI) after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season
109-60 over the last 5 seasons. ( 64.5% | 43.0 units )
23-18 this year. ( 56.1% | 3.2 units )
StatFox Super Situations
CBB | WISCONSIN at KENTUCKY
Play Under - Neutral court teams against the total an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an excellent defensive team (<=63 PPG), after a combined score of 155 points or more
113-63 since 1997. ( 64.2% | 43.7 units )
9-5 this year. ( 64.3% | 3.5 units )
CBB | WISCONSIN at KENTUCKY
Play On - Neutral court teams (WISCONSIN) excellent ball handling team - committing <=12 turnovers/game, after 4 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers
213-136 since 1997. ( 61.0% | 68.2 units )
30-20 this year. ( 60.0% | 9.8 units )
CBB | WISCONSIN at KENTUCKY
Play Under - Neutral court teams against the total after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers against opponent after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers
105-56 since 1997. ( 65.2% | 43.4 units )
17-12 this year. ( 58.6% | 3.8 units )
CBB | WISCONSIN at KENTUCKY
Play Under - Neutral court teams against the total an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an excellent defensive team (<=63 PPG), after a combined score of 155 points or more
113-63 since 1997. ( 64.2% | 43.7 units )
9-5 this year. ( 64.3% | 3.5 units )
CBB | WISCONSIN at KENTUCKY
Play On - Neutral court teams (WISCONSIN) excellent ball handling team - committing <=12 turnovers/game, after 4 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers
213-136 since 1997. ( 61.0% | 68.2 units )
30-20 this year. ( 60.0% | 9.8 units )
CBB | WISCONSIN at KENTUCKY
Play Under - Neutral court teams against the total after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers against opponent after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers
105-56 since 1997. ( 65.2% | 43.4 units )
17-12 this year. ( 58.6% | 3.8 units )
Dave Essler | CBB Sides Sat, 04/04/15 - 6:05 PM
double-dime bet 823 Michigan St. 6.0 (-120) 5Dimes vs 824 Duke
Analysis: I seriously doubt the number gets better than +6 without buying it - so I'll do it now. First and foremost, the large percentage of the tickets that are on Duke that have forced the line up are public. Secondly, there are two ACC referees in the Final Four - and I DOUBT they BOTH work this game. Let's say one does and he IS biased - I have to believe the others offset that. Let's say neither of them do - I DOUBT the referees want to be factors an influence the game, so they should let them play, or at worst set the precedent(s) early. If that's the case my guess is that it is better for Michigan State if they let them play. Duke is obviously younger (and like Kentucky I do think that this game is harder for them than a Monday game - new venue with four times the amount of people and 100 times the press) and could get flustered, and if Okafor should get in foul trouble (assuming they DO call it tight early) they IMO Duke is kind of screwed inside. After him, they're just not that big. I'll finish this later or in the morning - but nobody is giving the Spartans a chance, again. I'll take Izzo and the experienced players - a great many of the Spartans team lost last year in the Regional Final to eventual Champ Uconn - and that game was in New York, a defacto home game for UConn, really. The more I think this through the more I like it - but I felt tha™t way about Miami last night - just released it too early for those that don't wait. And of course the 2H of the E'ville game was played like the 1H could have been.
double-dime bet 823 Michigan St. 6.0 (-120) 5Dimes vs 824 Duke
Analysis: I seriously doubt the number gets better than +6 without buying it - so I'll do it now. First and foremost, the large percentage of the tickets that are on Duke that have forced the line up are public. Secondly, there are two ACC referees in the Final Four - and I DOUBT they BOTH work this game. Let's say one does and he IS biased - I have to believe the others offset that. Let's say neither of them do - I DOUBT the referees want to be factors an influence the game, so they should let them play, or at worst set the precedent(s) early. If that's the case my guess is that it is better for Michigan State if they let them play. Duke is obviously younger (and like Kentucky I do think that this game is harder for them than a Monday game - new venue with four times the amount of people and 100 times the press) and could get flustered, and if Okafor should get in foul trouble (assuming they DO call it tight early) they IMO Duke is kind of screwed inside. After him, they're just not that big. I'll finish this later or in the morning - but nobody is giving the Spartans a chance, again. I'll take Izzo and the experienced players - a great many of the Spartans team lost last year in the Regional Final to eventual Champ Uconn - and that game was in New York, a defacto home game for UConn, really. The more I think this through the more I like it - but I felt tha™t way about Miami last night - just released it too early for those that don't wait. And of course the 2H of the E'ville game was played like the 1H could have been.
Carson K – CBB
3* Over 138 Michigan State/Duke
When you look at the last 3 games for both teams, you would think this line would be around 134 or less. The average score of Dukes L3 games 66-53. Mich St L3 games 62-59 (not counting OT). I’m sure many people will disagree with my thinking, but just hear me out for one minute.
The average bettor will just look at the scores of the last few games for both teams and then look at the line for this game. What they will see is an average of 119pts scored in Dukes L3 games and 121pts in MSU L3 games. Now they see 138 for tonight. What a f*ckin bargin they say. I say the line makers know what the hell they are doing.
3* Over 138 Michigan State/Duke
When you look at the last 3 games for both teams, you would think this line would be around 134 or less. The average score of Dukes L3 games 66-53. Mich St L3 games 62-59 (not counting OT). I’m sure many people will disagree with my thinking, but just hear me out for one minute.
The average bettor will just look at the scores of the last few games for both teams and then look at the line for this game. What they will see is an average of 119pts scored in Dukes L3 games and 121pts in MSU L3 games. Now they see 138 for tonight. What a f*ckin bargin they say. I say the line makers know what the hell they are doing.
