Service Plays Saturday 4/30/11

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Saturday, April 30, 2011

Florida Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds (MLB) - 7:10 PM EDT Premium Pick
Pick: Under Total: 7.5/-120
Play Title: Burns' 10* MLB TOTAL OF THE MONTH! (EPIC 25-4 RUN)




Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees (MLB) - 4:05 PM EDT Premium Pick
Pick: Under Total: 9.5/-115
Play Title: 8* Burns' "EARLY" A.L O/U BEST BET! (INSANE 25-4 RUN)

ADDED PLAYS

10* White Sox-127
7* Boston Red Sox -191
 
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WUNDERDOG (NHL)
I OF 3

Game: Boston at Philadelphia (3:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Philadelphia -135 (moneyline)

Last year this was an amazing series that opened in Boston. The Bruins stormed through the first three games, were up 3-0, while the Flyers appeared ready to bow out in game four. They came roaring back to win four straight ando move on as the shocked Bruins did a complete meltdown. The Flyers once again showed their lack of quit this year falling behind Buffalo 3-2 and winning the series. The Bruins were left with an 0-4 mark in their last four conference semifinal games, all at the hands of the Flyers. The Flyers are now 9-3 in their last 12 playoff games as a favorite.
I'll back Philadelphia in this one.
 

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Red dog sports

4* CHELSEA/TOTTENHAM OVER 2.5 ENGLAND PREM LG. 12:30pm est. start
4* FLORIDA MARLINS
4* BOSTON/PHIL UNDER 5.5 NHL
4* SPOKANE AREANA FOOTBALL

PAID AND CONFIRMED

Looking for Billy Coleman, Mike Lee, Hot Shots or MTI I will pick up Billy C. if someone can pick up Mike Lee before 1pm.

Thanks and Good Luck
 

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SPORTS WAGERS

Chicago +115 over ARIZONA

Matt Garza is 0-3 and if there’s any pitcher in the majors that deserves a win more than him, we haven’t spotted it yet. Garza is a premium buy low target. In 30.2 innings thus far, Garza has yet to allow a single HR and has struck out 41 hitters while walking eight. That’s a 5-1 ratio in favor of the strikeout. He also has a 51%/22% groundball/flyball profile and the fact that he’s winless with some of the best beneath the surface stats in the league is completely unjust. He has an xERA of 2.66 and he’s on the verge of a win. Remember, Garza was a rock-solid starter and 15-game winner for the Rays last season and that meant a heavy dose of Red Sox, Yankees and Jays and he should thrive against much lesser NL foes. He has thrived but it has yet to show up in the “W” column. Ian Kennedy has some nice numbers too but his beneath the surface stats reveal he’s been very fortunate. He has a weak GB/FB profile of 39%/43%. Kennedy’s 28% hit rate is low and it’s unsustainable given the aforementioned weak batted ball profile. That’s not to say he’s a poor starter. He has a strong strikeout rate and he’s coming off a complete game, three-hit shutout over the Phillies. However, when a pitcher that seldom throws a masterpiece throws one, a much lesser performance usually follows. This choice has less to do with wagering against Kennedy. Instead, it’s all about taking back a tag on an undervalued Garza. Play: Chicago +1.15 (Risking 2 units).


CLEVELAND –107 over Detroit

The Tigers have dropped four in a row while the Indians have won four in a row, all at home. After last night’s 9-5 win, the Tribe are now 9-2 at Progressive Field (The Jake) and they have the best overall record in the majors. The Indians are a short price here because of a rookie pitcher making his major-league debut but he’s worth a bet. In place of the injured Carlos Carrasco, the Indians recalled the hard-throwing Alex White from Triple-A. White is a tall and athletic pitcher who is tough to hit due to his impressive repertoire. He thrives with his explosive, 87-95 mph groundball-inducing fastball to set up a hard slider that gets swings and misses. Both his heater and slider are dominant offerings. White was a first round selection in '09 and has a career 2.37 ERA in the minors. In four minor-league starts this season he’s 1-0 with a 1.90 ERA and a BAA of .211. Rick Porcello got off to a horrible start (9.00 ERA, 2.20 WHIP in first two starts) but then rebounded with two quality starts. However, his last two quality starts were at Seattle and Oakland respectively and those two parks could make Bob Barker look good. It’s likely a bit too early in his career to label Porcello a bust but his 4.92 ERA last season and two awful starts this season is reason to back off. Wagering on a rookie pitcher is always risky but the Indians are hot, the price is right and there’s far less risk wagering on a new comer when his team is playing well. Play: Cleveland –107 (Risking 2.14 units to win 2).

Jd, does this group have a website? Is it a pay service? Can you give me enough info to find them? I like their nice concise write-ups. Give good info that allow you to decide if you want to make that play or not. Thanks.
 
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Benjamin lee Eckstein

"Mr Chalk" 2011 MLB Regular Season

Week 5

Ben lee went "Double Chalk Dipping" on Friday with the Red Sox -$195/Mariners and the Rockies -$190/Pirates and lost them bolth.

For Saturday "Mr Chalk" likes the Rays -$148/Angles.

"Mr Chalk" is 15-12 -$601 for the 2011 MLB regular season.
 
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SuperSportsGroup MLB

LA v. Tampa Bay 1:10pm
PICK: Angels ML +144 Game Best bet of the day #1

NY v. Philadelphia 1:10pm
PICK: Mets ML +205-- This is extremely risky but too much of the public is on the Phillies

San Fran v. Washington 4:10pm
PICK: OVER 7.5 Game +105

Florida v. Cincinnati 7:10pm
PICK: Reds ML +120 Game Hidden Gem
 

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SPORTS WAGERS

Georges St-Pierre (by decision) +160 over Jake Shields

It is shocking to see so many people jumping on the Jake Shields bandwagon. We’ve always been a proponent of value but sometimes bettors chase good money after bad when they back a “live dog” that can’t win. St-Pierre is one of the best pound-for-pound fighters the sport has ever seen and he literally trains against an army of competitors before each match. In backing Jake Shields at +280 you have to believe that he would win this fight at least once in three tries. There is no way that St-Pierre loses the fight by decision and Shields does not offer a knockout threat. GSP doesn’t just have the hometown advantage but he also hasn’t lost a single round in his last thirty. While hard to envision St-Pierre losing this fight, it is also hard to picture him finishing Shields before the final bell. Shields looked terrible in his UFC debut and even if his weight issues are all in check he will simply be unable to impose his will against GSP. St-Pierre might not win every round but will do enough to earn another unanimous decision, so it only makes sense to take plus money on exactly that outcome. Play: #1011 George St. Pierre by decision +160 (Risking 2 units).


Jose Aldo (C) (by KO/TKO) -115 over Mark Hominick

Mark “The Machine” Hominick is riding a five-fight win streak but this is a huge step up the ladder. He earned this title-shot by process of elimination when Josh Grispi squandered his opportunity by losing to Dustin Poirier. If this fight was not in Hominick’s backyard one would have to wonder if he would be getting this shot at all. Jose Aldo is an absolute killer and it is almost impossible to envision him losing his belt in this spot. He is 17-1 in his MMA career with his only loss coming over five years ago in Brazil. He was made to pull out of his first defence of the UFC Featherweight Championship due to a neck injury but those issues are supposedly behind him. Hominick fights at an insanely intense pace that simply cannot be maintained for five rounds, meaning that to win the fight he will have to finish Aldo and there is almost no price high enough for that to happen. Aldo absolutely destroyed Urijah Faber and you can expect him to win in even more convincing fashion in Toronto. Seeing as he has finished 14 of his 18 wins inside the distance, with 12 of them by knockout, it only makes sense to take him via the TKO/KO at a reduced rate. Play: #1141 Aldo -115 by TKO/KO (Risking 2.3 units to win 2).


Randy Couture +280 over Lyoto Machida

Oddly enough after picking against an aged quantity in the aforementioned bout, we are doing the exact opposite here. Call us crazy but this looks like a great spot for Randy “Captain America” Couture to ride off into the sunset with a victory in the biggest UFC event of all time. MMA losses are contagious and the record might indicate a two-fight losing streak for Lyoto Machida but any fan of the sport knows he legitimately has lost his last three. He has not been his elusive self since being knocked out by Mauricio “Shogun” Rua, which was evident in his hesitant outing against “Rampage” Jackson, which also resulted in a loss.Machida has failed in back-to-back bouts as the heavy favorite and is a big risk again here as the heavy chalk. Couture is one of the most intelligent fighters the sport has ever seen and he is certainly capable of figuring out how to win this fight. It doesn’t make sense for the UFC to send one of their most recognizable faces to slaughter on the grandest stage and thus, one has to figure that Couture will be in this with a chance to win it. Play: Randy Couture +280 (Risking 2 units).


Jason Brilz -115 over Vladimir Matyushenko

Brilz might be coming off a layoff of almost a year but he offers some of the best value of the night. His last fight was a controversial split decision loss to a war-tested Antonio Rogerio Nogueira at UFC 114. The part-time fighter has quietly compiled an 18-3-1 record by utilizing his superior wrestling and underrated striking skills. Matyushenko certainly has his own wrestling pedigree but it will likely not match up well on this night. Brilz might be 35-years-old but he his body has been lightly used over the years compared to that of his opponent five years his elder. Three of Matyushenko’s last four losses have come against current or former UFC champions and that has kept Brilz from being a large favorite in this spot. An undoubtedly motivated Jason Brilz sports all the value here. Play: #1401 Jason Brilz (Risking 2.3 units to win 2).
 

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picknation...

demarco 5 dime - indians
redd 50 dime - under padres/dodgers
atkins 15 dime - yankees
o'brien 40 dime -phillies rl...15 dime - under angels/rays
davis 100 dime - marlins
mancini 30 dime - reds
mcneil 100 dime - marlins
tyson 20 dime - a's
budin 25 dime - yankees rl
adams 1000* - sf giants
 

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PICKTHERIGHTBET

NHL>Philadelphia U5.5
NHL>Nashville +1.5 -160
MLB>Boston -1.5 +100
MLB>Minnesota +100
MLB>Florida U7.5
 

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KELSO
3 UNIT* MLB* Cleveland Indians -110 ML
5 UNIT* MLB* Florida Marlins -125
10 UNIT* MLB* Chicago Cubs +120
25 UNIT* MLB* Milwaukee Brewers -125
 
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Chris Jordan 600* Cleveland Indians (TYPO; SUPPOSED TO BE A 300*. IF HE LOSES HE WILL CHARGE 600. IF HE WINS HE WILL ONLY CREDIT 300*).
 

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Handicapper
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Anyone on indian cowboy on the ICE??????
 

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Cleveland Insider

MLB
1* Colorado Rockies -169
3* Detroit Tigers +1.5 (-200)

AFL
1* Philadelphia Soul +5.5 (buy 3)

3* system
 

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