Service Plays Saturday 4/26/14

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA

Saturday, April 26

Miami has won 17 games in row over Bobcat team that is 0-6 all-time in playoff games; Heat covered nine of last 12 series games- they made 20 of 46 from arc in first two games. Miami subs are killing Charlotte's; in two games, Miami's subs combined to be +128; Charlotte's bench was -99. Heat was -15 with Dwyane Wade on floor in first two games, +30 when he was off floor. Under is 25-15-1 in Charlotte home games.

Mavericks forced 22 turnovers (+15) in Game 2 to snap ten-game skid against San Antonio; they were up 10 at Alamo in Game 1, so they've got to have confidence coming home, even though they're just 4-5 in last nine home games. Duncan had only 11 points last game after dominating Game 1; Spurs lost three of last four road games but are 25-16 vs spread overall on foreign soil. Over is 24-17 in Dallas home games this year.

Pacers are now 7-11 in last 18 games, 7-26-1 against spread in last 34, as they often look like they'd be just as happy if season ended. Indiana is 3-4 vs Atlanta this season, 1-2 here- they've lost 14 of last 16 visits to Atlanta. Hawks won eight of last eleven games. Scola has 37 points in 39:00 off bench in last two games; George shot 3-11 from floor in Game 3- he is the Pacers' barometer. Hawks' bench was just 6-20 in Game 3.

Thunder lost five of last six visits to Memphis; their bench is 14-56 in series (25%!!!!), as Ibaka has been only scoring option after Westbrook, Durant. Griz covered three of last eight games as an underdog. Grizzlies won seven of last eight games; they lost Game 1 vs Thunder LY, then won series in 5- their bench made 29-53 shots in last two games, after going 9-28 in Game 1. Favorites are 9-13 SU, 5-17 vs spread; over is 16-6 in NBA playoffs so far this month.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Game of the Day: Angels at Yankees

Los Angeles Angels at New York Yankees (-109, 9)

Coming off a disappointing 2013 season, Albert Pujols has been anything but a letdown so far in 2014. The Los Angeles Angels' slugger aims to become the first player to reach double-digit home runs on the season when he takes on the New York Yankees on Saturday afternoon. Pujols' ninth homer was one of four hit by Los Angeles in Friday's 13-1 triumph in the opener of the three-game series.

Pujols has never faced Yankees starter Vidal Nuno, nor has any current member of the Angels. Nuno will be making just his fifth career start and his second of the season, but he is coming off a scoreless outing last Sunday against Tampa Bay. Los Angeles will give the ball to Hector Santiago, who is 0-3 due in large part to the dreadful run support he has received over the season's first month.

TV: 1:05 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1

LINE HISTORY: The Yankees opened as -109 home faves. The total opened at 9.

POWER RANKINGS: Angels (-151), Yankees (-186)

INJURY REPORT: Los Angeles: OF Kole Calhoun - out (ankle), OF Josh Hamilton - out (thumb). New York: C Francisco Cervelli - out (hamstring).

PITCHING MATCHUP: Angels LH Hector Santiago (0-3, 3.68 ERA) vs. Yankees LH Vidal Nuno (0-0, 6.75)

Santiago has received a total of eight runs of support in his four starts, including Sunday's 2-1 loss to Detroit in which he took the loss despite allowing only two unearned runs over 5 2/3 innings. Control has been an issue for the 26-year-old New Jersey native, who has walked 12 batters in 22 innings, including a season-high five walks against the Tigers. The current Yankees have a collective .310 lifetime average against Santiago, led by Alfonso Soriano (3-for-7, two home runs).

Nuno has made one start and three relief appearances, including a 3 1/3-inning relief outing against Baltimore on April 8 in which he was torched for seven runs and eight hits. He joined the rotation this week when Ivan Nova landed on the disabled list and blanked the Rays over five innings in his first starting nod of 2014. Despite that performance, opponents still are batting .324 against Nuno this season.

TRENDS:

* Under is 7-3 in Gibson IIIs last 10 games behind home plate.
* Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings.
* Angels are 5-0 in their last five vs. American League East.
* Over is 4-1 in Angels last five vs. American League East.

CONSENSUS: 59 percent of wagers are on the Yankees.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL

Saturday, April 26

Bruins won Game 4 in OT, taking 3-1 series lead- Detroit scored three goals in four games, as Boston killed 12 of its 13 penalties. Boston is 32-11 at home this year, but did lost Game 1 here 1-0- Bruins outshot Detroit 12-3 in OT Thursday, after being outshot 34-28 in 60:00 of regulation. Detroit lost three in row, six of last nine games; under is 4-0-2 in its last six games. Bruins scored on four of last nine power plays. Home teams are just 8-9 in eastern half of the NHL playoffs, 1-3 in this series.

Minnesota outshot Colorado 32-12 in last game, 78-34 in two games at home; now they go back to Denver, where Avalanche won first two series games, scoring in all six periods. Wild is just 20-23 on road this season, losing last three away games. Colorado scored nine goals in Games 1-2, then scored only once in two games in Twin Cities; they're 1-15 on power play in series. Home teams are 15-2 in Western Conference, with both losses in OT. Neither team has scored a goal in last two third periods. Wild is 2-12 on power play in series.

Kings lost seven of last nine games, scoring total of 25 goals- they avoided sweep in Game 4, now try to take series back down to Staples with win here. San Jose is 32-11 in Shark Tank this season; they scored 13 goals here in winning Games 1-2, scoring seven straight goals in Game 2. LA is 23-20 on the road this season; home teams are 15-2 in west so far this month. League-wide, over is 18-7-6 in playoffs so far this year, 4-0 in this series. Sharks scored one power play goal in each game (4-17); Kings were 3-9 at home, were 0-4 here.

All four Columbus-Pitt games have ended 4-3, with Blue Jackets' two wins both in OT; they tied Game 4 with 0:24 left, then won it 2:49 into OT, outshooting Pens 5-1 in extra session. Columbus outshot Pitt 46-25 overall in Game 4: Penguins are just 5-6 in last 11 games, but are 8-2 in last ten series games- six of their last eight games overall went to OT, with six of last seven going over total. Columbus is 4-12 on power play in its two wins, 1-8 in losses- they're +28 in faceoffs last three games, after being -9 (40-31) in Game 1.

 

[pascal5757]

XpertPicks

SATURDAY BASEBALL

• Play Detroit -145 over Minnesota----RISK 8% OF YOUR BANKROLL
  2:10 PM EST

Phil Hughes has lost 8 of the last 11 games when pitching on a Saturday and he has lost 21 of the last 34 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs. Phil Hughes has lost 5 of the last 7 home games when pitching as a home underdog of +100 or higher and he is 4-7 vs. Detroit over his career with an ERA of 4.87.

• Play Baltimore -125 over Kansas City----RISK 8% OF YOUR BANKROLL
  7:10 PM EST

 

[pascal5757]

XpertPicks

SATURDAY

• Play OVER 202.5 Dallas/San Antonio (NBA)---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
  4:30 PM EST

Dallas has gone OVER the total in 8 consecutive games when playing as a home underdog and they have gone OVER the total in 11 of the last 13 games when playing with two days of rest.Dallas has gone OVER the total in 13 of the last 18 games vs. division opponents and they have gone OVER the total in 17 of the last 25 games coming off a win in their last game.

• Play Atlanta +2 over Indiana (TOP NBA PLAY)---RISK 3% OF BANKROLL
• Play Dallas +3.5 over San Antonio (TOP NBA PLAY)---RISK 3% OF BANKROLL
• Play Miami -5.5 over Charlotte (TOP NBA PLAY)---RISK 3% OF BANKROLL
• Play Oklahoma City -2.5 over Memphis (TOP NBA PLAY)---RISK 3% OF BANKROLL
  
  

=========================================================


NHL HOCKEY

• Play Pittsburgh -170 over Columbus (TOP NHL PLAY)---RISK 3% OF BANKROLL
• Play Boston -230 over Detroit (TOP NHL PLAY)---RISK 3% OF BANKROLL

 

[pascal5757]

FantasySportsGametime

SATURDAY
NBA BASKETBALL

1000* Play Atlanta +2 over Indiana (NBA TOP PLAY)
2:00 PM EST

Atlanta has covered the spread in 7 of the last 8 games and they have also covered the spread in 10 of the last 13 games when playing as a home underdog of three points or less.Atlanta has covered the spread in 21 of the last 29 home games when playing in the 1[SUP]st[/SUP] round of the playoffs and they are averaging 100 points a game this season.

50* Play Dallas +3.5 over San Antonio (NBA BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Miami -5.5 over Charlotte (NBA BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Oklahoma City -2.5 over Memphis (NBA BONUS PLAY)


=========================================


NHL HOCKEY


50* Play San Jose -165 over Los Angeles (NHL BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Colorado -140 over Minnesota (NHL BONUS PLAY)

 

[pascal5757]

FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball

1000* Play Oakland -160 over Houston (MLB TOP PLAY)

Houston has lost 36 of the last 55 games when playing on a Saturday and they have also lost 50 of the last 73 games when playing in the month of April.Houston has lost 85 of the last 120 games when playing as a home underdog of +125 or higher and they have lost 76 of the last 104 games after having lost 15 or more of the last 20 games.


1000* Play Detroit -145 over Minnesota (MLB TOP PLAY)

Minnesota has lost 77 of the last 134 day games and they have lost 98 of the last 165 games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs.Minnesota has lost 76 of the last 117 games when playing as a home underdog of +100 or higher and they have lost 89 of the last 160 games vs. division opponents.

=====================================================



50* Play Seattle -170 over Texas (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Milwaukee -140 over Chicago Cubs (MLB BONUS PLAY)

 

[pascal5757]

BeatYourBookie

SATURDAY

NBA Basketball


10* Play Atlanta +2 over Indiana (NBA TOP PLAY)
10* Play Dallas +3.5 over San Antonio (NBA TOP PLAY)
10* Play Miami -5.5 over Charlotte (NBA TOP PLAY)
10* Play Oklahoma City -2.5 over Memphis (NBA TOP PLAY)


NHL Hockey


10* Play Boston -230 over Detroit (NHL TOP PLAY)
10* Play Pittsburgh -170 over Columbus (NHL TOP PLAY)

 

[pascal5757]

Kevin's Pick(s):
5 STAR = Philadelphia Phillies @ Arizona Diamondbacks - PHILLIES TO WIN (-131)
Listed Pitchers: Lee vs Arroyo
(Note: I'm risking 5.00 units to win 3.82 units)
Arizona took the first of this series last night by a score of 5-4, but that makes them just 8-18 on the season and 2-11 at home (which might include one Australia game). The Phillies fall a game below .500 at 11-12 and are a solid 7-7 on the road. Tonight they send their ace, Cliff Lee, to the mound. Lee is 3-2 with a 3.09 ERA, .306 OBA and 1.31 WHIP. Besides a rough start to the season in Texas, Lee has pitched great. In his last 4 starts he's allowed just 4 earned runs combined and on the season he has 38 strikeouts and just 2 walks. His latest start was 8 innings of shutout baseball where he struckout 10 and walked none vs the Dodgers. Over his career vs the Dbacks he is 4-1 with a 2.93 ERA, .205 OBA and 0.93 WHIP. His last start vs Arizona was 7 shutout innings. He will be facing Bronson Arroyo, who has struggles this season. Arroyo is 1-2 with a 9.50 ERA, .372 OBA and 2.00 WHIP. In his last two starts combined he has pitched 8.2 innings and giving up 18 hits, 14 earned runs, with 3 strikeouts and 4 walks. When Arroyo has his stuff he can be great, but when he doesn't he usually struggles quite a bit like we've seen this season. Arroyo has struggled vs Philadelphia in his career going 4-7 with a 5.35 ERA, .274 OBA and 1.34 WHIP. A few of the Phillies have had some success vs Arroyo over the last 5 years, including Dominic Brown who is hitting .545 off Arroyo in 11 at-bats. Note that the Phillies are 5-1 in Lee's last 6 starts with a total set between 7-8.5, 5-2 in his last 7 vs a team with a losing record, and 5-2 in his last 7 starts with 4 days off. The Dbacks are 0-6 in their last 6 Saturday games, 0-8 in their last 8 games as a a home underdog, and 1-8 in their last 9 games vs a left-handed starter. Also note that the Phillies are 4-1 in Lee's last 5 starts vs the Dbacks. This is a big pitching mis-match with current form, and I expect that current form to continue tonight in Arizona where the Dbacks have struggled. I like the price on Lee and the Phillies and I'm on it for 5 units.
Kyle's Pick(s)
2 UNIT = Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays - OVER 9 RUNS (-110)
Listed Pitchers: Buchholz vs. Morrow
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.82 units)
The Dodgers' offense really didn't get moving until they were down, in extra innings. The Rockies scored 3 and the Dodgers came back in the bottom and scored 2. There is no reason the Dodgers should be going to the 9th with only 2 runs against Jordan Lyles.
I said before the season started that the OVER in Blue Jays games would be a good trend to look at. Thus far you would be ahead if you took the OVER in all of their games this season, a 13-9 advantage. Of late is what I have expected from this team: scoring lots of runs and giving up a ton as well. Their last four games have hit the OVER. The last two games weren't even close, as the Blue Jays lost 10-8 and 11-4. Prior to that they won 9-3 in a rather comfortable cover. Finding a reliable number 2 in the rotation has been an issue for the Jays. Mark Buehrle has been great, but other than him the rotation has left a lot to be desired. Brandon Morrow enters today with a 5.03 ERA in four starts. His WHIP has also been lacking too at 1.37. Note that all of his games have gone OVER the number this season. Actually, dating back to last season, Morrow has been involved in 11 straight that have eclipsed the number. Clay Buchholz like Morrow, is trying to get into a rhythm. His ERA is all the way up to 7.71 after a productive 2013 campaign. In his last start against the Orioles, Buchholz lasted only 2.1 innings, getting blasted for 6 runs in that time. The most innings he has lasted this season has been only 6. His OBP is a whopping .402 with a 1.93 WHIP. Not sure what is bothering him, maybe trying to fight through an injury, but it is safe to say he is not himself. I expect some hard hit balls in this matchup, so the OVER 9 looks like a good bet for early Saturday afternoon.

 

[pjoyce5893]

Cleveland Insider (11-6-1 +18.4 L4D)

NBA
5* Memphis Grizzlies +3 over the OKC Thunder
5* San Antonio Spurs -3.5 over the Dallas Mavericks'
5* Miami Heat -5 over the Charlotte Bobcats

MLB
5* Oakland A's -165 over the Houston Astros
5* Milwaukee Brewers -170 over the Chicago Cubs

NHL
5* Boston Bruins -240 over the Detroit Red Wings

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets

NBA | OKLAHOMA CITY at MEMPHIS
Play Under – Road teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season
49-20 since 1997. ( 71.0% | 27.0 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | -1.1 units )

NBA | SAN ANTONIO at DALLAS
Play On – Road teams vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) off an upset loss as a home favorite, extremely well rested team – playing 3 or less games in 10 days
64-53 since 1997. ( 54.7% | 39.5 units )
2-5 this year. ( 28.6% | -2.5 units )

NBA | SAN ANTONIO at DALLAS
Play On – Favorites vs. the 1rst half line (SAN ANTONIO) revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off a win by 20 points or more over a division rival
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets

MLB | TAMPA BAY at CHI WHITE SOX
Play Against – All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (TAMPA BAY) with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 8 runs or more
199-122 over the last 5 seasons. ( 62.0% | 67.2 units )
6-7 this year. ( 46.2% | -1.3 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends – FoxSheets

MLB | CINCINNATI at ATLANTA
ATLANTA is 16-2 (+14.0 Units) against the money line after 2 straight wins by 2 runs or less over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was: ATLANTA (4.8) , OPPONENT (2.1)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ADVANCED SPORTS INVESTMENTS
(records are of current month only)

BASEBALL RELEASES
JEFF (18-26-3 -10.93)
1X- TORONTO – 110 BOSTON (1PM)

JIMMY (24-16 +6.76)
1X- SAN DIEGO -110 WASHINGTON (1PM)
1X- CINCY +100 ATLATA (7PM)
1X- MIAMI +120 NYM (7PM)

MARC (23-25-2 -4.05)
2X- TAMPA/CHICAGO – OVER 9 -105 (7PM)
1X – SEATTLE/TEXAS – UNDER 7 -130 (9PM)
1X- LAA/NYY – OVER 9 -110 (1PM)

NHL RELEASES
JIMMY (10-7 -.51)
1X- LOS ANGLES/SJ – UNDER 5 +115 (10PM)

MARC (8-11-3 -4.30)
1X- BOSTON/DETROIT – UNDER 5 -130 (3PM)

NBA RELEASES
JEFF (6-8 -2.80)
1X- MIAMI/CHARLOTTE – UNDER 188 (7PM)

JIMMY (2-3 -1.30)
1X- INDIANA -2 ATLANTA (2PM)

MARC (12-6 +5.40)
1X- OKLAHOMA CITY/MEMPHIS – UNDER 188.5 (930PM)

 

[PurduePete]

Marc Lawrence LTS:
3*'s
Spurs
Phillies

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SportsCashSystem

extra pick:

Texas Rangers / Seattle Mariners UNDER 7 (Total Runs Scored) (MLB Baseball) - Game Starts at 9:10 PM EST

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Paul Leiner

100* Thunder -3
100* Padres / Nationals Over 7
50* Yankees -115

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

reds
cubs

 

[pascal5757]

BeatYourBookie

SATURDAY

MLB BASEBALL


10* Play Miami +130 over New York Mets (MLB TOP PLAY)

New York is 38-57 after having won four or five of the last six games
New York is 25-30 when playing on a Saturday the last three seasons
New York is 53-70 when batting .240 or worse over the last twenty games


10* Play San Diego +110 over Washington (MLB TOP PLAY)

Andrew Cashner is 12-8 when pitching in the 1[SUP]st[/SUP] half of the season
Andrew Cashner is 12-5 when the line posted is between +125 to -125
Andrew Cashner is 11-7 when the total posted is 7 runs or less

=============================================


5* Play Boston +100 over Toronto (MLB EXTRA PLAY)
5* Play Tampa Bay +110 over Chicago White Sox (NBA EXTRA PLAY)

 

[cowboyup]

Sports InvestorsUSA

Hawks +1, FH, 1unit
Hawks +2 FG, 1 unit
Heat/OKC/Spurs ML Par (+295), 1 unit
Heat/Spurs Parlay (+130) 1 unit

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Buffett Gambler

la dodgers
pitt pirates
kc royals
sd padres